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GreaterChinaTopOfficeSupply/DemandTrends1
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In2022,Beijing'sGradeAofficenewsupplydropped32.1%year-on-year(y-o-y)to423,858sqm.AtotalofnineGradeAofficebuildingscompletedinthemarket,thesamenumberofcompletionsasseenin2021.
Impactedbythepandemic,downwardeconomicpressure,anduncertaintyintheexternalenvironmentin2022,marketactivitydecreasedsignificantlyinBeijing.Thus,theannualnetabsorptionfortheGradeAofficemarketinthecitywas173,000sqm,down79.4%y-o-y.TheTMT,financeandprofessionalservicesindustriesstillrankedinthetopthreeintermsoftheleasingtransactionsbyarea.Theseindustrysectorsaccountedfor43.2%,25.0%and13.6%oftotalGradeAofficeleasingtransactionactivity,respectivelyinBeijingin2022.
Withtherelaxationoftheepidemiccontrolmeasuresandtherapidreleaseofeconomicactivity,thecity’sGradeAofficemarketisexpectedtograduallyrecover.Bothsupplyanddemandareexpectedtoincreasesignificantlycomparedto2022.About2.1millionsqmofnewofficespaceisexpectedtobeusheredinoverthenextthreeyears.Theinfluxofnewspacewillcontinuetoexertpressureonlandlords.Subsequently,marketrentalwillstillfacesomedownwardpressureintheshortterm,whichshouldprovidetenantswithafavourablewindowofopportunityforleasenegotiation.
Shenzhenwelcomed597,950sqmofprimenewofficesupplyin2022,withFutianCBDandHouhaiadding130,000sqm,respectively.SupplyinQianhaimadeuptheremainingnewsupplyshareof56.5%.
Intermsofdemand,theannualGradeAofficenetabsorptiontotalled221,608sqm,adropof66.3%whencomparedtothefigureachievedin2021.Subsequently,thecitywidevacancyrateclimbed3.6percentagepointsy-o-yto22.8%andtheaveragerentdeclined3.3%y-o-ytorecordRMB203.5persqmpermonth.
Thefinance,TMTandprofessionalservicesindustriesremainedkeydriversofleasingdemand,althoughwithchangingmarketshares.Thefinancesector,whichtooka36.5%shareofthetotalleasedareain2022wasup10.9percentagepointsy-o-y.Meanwhile,onanannualbasis,TMTdropped15.1percentagepointswhileprofessionalserviceswasup5.9percentagepoints.
Newsupplyinthepipelinefor2023isexpectedtoreach1.3millionsqm,bringingonconsiderablesupplypressure.Asbordersfurtherreopen,themarketwillwitnessafurtherreboundinbusinessactivity,whichwillhelpoutintherecoveryofShenzhen’seconomyandbringsupporttothedegreeofofficedemand.
BEIJING
SHANGHAI
SHENZHEN
In2022,theShanghaiGradeAofficemarketwasgreatlyimpactedbytheoutbreakoftheCOVID-19virus.Still,muchnewsupplyenteredthecity’snon-coresubmarkets,helpingthetotalstockofGradeAofficetosurpass15millionsqm.
Meanwhile,markettransactionvolumeslowed.TheannualnetabsorptionfigurefortheGradeAofficemarketinShanghaireached625,725sqm,asmallerfigurethantheonerecordedin2021.Throughouttheyear,professionalservices,TMTandfinancestillledtheindustrysectorsinthevolumeoftransactionsbyareastakeswithamarketshareof23.8%,17.4%and17.4%,respectively.
Inthefuture,withthegreateradoptionandimplementationofmoreadvancedtechnologiesinAIandtheInternet,thedigitaleconomyisexpectedtocontinuetobringchangestomanyindustriesinShanghai.Someoftheindustrieswhichareexpectedtoseerelatedtransformativenewbusinessopportunitiesaretrading,education,lifesciences,media,marketing,fintech,assetmanagement,newretail,high-endmanufacturingandmodernlogistics.
Additionally,manyofficeprojectsdelayedbypreviousCOVID-19epidemicoutbreaksarescheduledtoenterthemarketthisyear.Theseprojectsarelikelytoaddmorethan2millionsqmofqualitysupply.Lastly,intermsofmarketrevival,graduallyrecoveringfromtheCOVID-19epidemicoutbreakin2022,thisyear,Shanghaiisaimingtoencourageagreaterinfluxofcapitaltosupporttheofficeeconomyinthecity.
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GUANGZHOU
Sixnewprojectscompletedin2022,bringingover416,953sqmofofficespacetotheGuangzhouGradeAofficemarket.ThisnewsupplyexpandedthecitywideGradeAofficemarketstocktomorethan6.0millionsqm.
Duringthepastyear,therecurrenceoftheCOVID-19epidemicinmajorcitiesinmainlandChinabroughtgreatchallengestoeconomicdevelopmentandurbanoperations.Enterprisesturnedcautiousonexpansionplans,withrenewalandrelocationsdrivenbycostcontrolslargelyresponsibleformuchleasingactivity.In2022,weakerdemandinGuangzhouplacedthecity’sannualnetabsorptionfigureintonegativeterritory.
DomesticenterpriseswerestillthemaindriversfortransactionactivityinGuangzhou’sGradeAofficemarket,witha72.6%shareoftotaltransactionsbyareain2022.Meanwhile,professionalservicestooka28.4%ofleasingactivitybyarea,growing15.1percentagepointsy-o-y.
Ahead,approximately3.7millionsqmofnewsupplyisscheduledtocompleteduringthenextfiveyears.Thereturnofmarketparticipantconfidencewillbethekeytopromotingtheresumptionofmarketactivityandvitality.
HONGKONG
In2022,theHongKongmarketsawsixnewGradeAofficebuildingcompletions.Allwerelocatedinthecity’snon-coreareas.Thesixprojectsadded266,500sqmandwentsomewaytolifttheoverallavailabilityrateto16.7%byend-2022;thisfrom13.6%atend-2021.At23,300sqmanddrivenbytakeupinnewcompletions,GradeAofficenetabsorptioninHongKongfor2022reboundedbacktopositiveterritory.Thiswasaftertwoconsecutiveyearsofnegativenetabsorption.
Continuingonthedemandsideandinlinewithpreviousyears,thefinanceandprofessionalservicessectorscontinuedtodominatetheleasingmarketbytotalnewlyleasedareain2022.Inaddition,theHongKongGradeAofficemarketalsosawemergingdemandfromthepublicsectorin2022.
WiththeborderfullyreopenedandmostCOVID-19pandemicrestrictionsrelaxedinthecity,overallbusinesssentimentisexpectedtoimprovealongwithagradualreturnofdemandfrommainlandfirms.Thisreturneddemandisexpectedtoresultinofficerentaldeclinetonarrowandthenstabilisein2023.
TAIPEI
In2022,onlyonequalityGradeAofficebuilding,E.SUNSecondHeadquarters,waslaunched.Thenewsupplyadded28,800sqmtotheTaipeiGradeAofficemarket.
Thefull-yearnetabsorptioninthecity’sGradeAofficeleasingmarketreached35,200sqmin2022.Theleasingtransactionswerepredominantlysmall-andmedium-sizedareas,averaging2,100sqmperdeal.
By2025,approximately330,000sqmoffutureGradeAofficesupplyisexpectedtocompleteinTaipei,equatingtoabout13%oftheexitingstock.AtrendtoupgradehardwareinolderA-gradeofficebuildingsincoreareaswillemergeduetointensecompetitionandcompanyemphasisonachievingESGgoals.BusinessesintheofficemarketwillprioritiseGradeAofficeswithflexiblespaceusageandsustainabilityfeatures.
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MillionSqm
1425%
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
20%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
20162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
SupplyNetAbsorptionVacancyRate
ThisdataincludesBeijing,Shanghai,Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Changsha,Chengdu,Chongqing,Dalian,Hangzhou,Nanjing,Qingdao,Shenyang,Tianjin,Wuhan,Xiamen,Xi'an,Wuxi,Suzhou,HongKongandTaipei
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Office/R&DIndustrialMixedUseRetail
Hotel
ApartmentDataCentre
4%
5%
14%
51%
21%
4%1%
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AboutCushman&Wakefield
Cushman&Wakefield(NYSE:CWK)isaleadingglobalrealestateservicesfirmthatdeliversexceptionalvalueforrealestateoccupiersandowners.Cushman&Wakefieldisamongthelargestrealestateservicesfirmsintheworld,withapproximately52,000employeesinover400officesand60countries.InGreaterChina,anetworkof23officesserveslocalmarketsacrosstheregion,earningre
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