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文檔簡介
1998年
Text1
Fewcreationsofbigtechnologycapturetheimaginationlikegiantdams.Perhapsitishumankind’slongsufferingatthemercyoffloodanddroughtthatmakestheideaofforcingthewaterstodoourbiddingsofascinating.Buttobefascinatedisalso,sometimes,tobeblind.Severalgiantdamprojectsthreatentodomoreharmthangood.
Thelessonfromdamsisthatbigisnotalwaysbeautiful.Itdoesn’thelpthatbuildingabig,powerfuldamhas easymbolofachievementfornationsandpeoplestrivingtoassertthemselves.Egypt’sleadershipintheArabworldwascementedbytheAswanHighDam.Turkey’sbidforFirstWorldstatusludesthegiantAtaturkDam.
Butbigdamstendnottoworkasintended.TheAswanDam,forexample,stoppedtheNilefloodingbutdeprivedEgyptofthefertilesiltthatfloodsleft--allinreturnforagiantreservoirofdiseasewhichisnowsofullofsiltthatitbarelygenerateselectricity.
Andyet,themythofcontrollingthewaterspersists.Thisweek,intheheartofcivilizedEurope,SlovaksandHungariansstoppedjustshortofsendinginthetroopsintheircontentionoveradamontheDanube.Thehugecomplexwillprobablyhavealltheusualproblemsofbigdams.ButSlovakiaisbiddingforcefromtheCzechs,andnowneedsadamtoproveitself.
Meanwhile,,theWorldBankhasgiventhego-aheadtotheevenmorewrong-headed
NarmadaDam.Andthebankhasdonethiseventhoughitsadvisorssaythedamwillcausehardshipforthepowerlessandenvironmentaldestruction.Thebenefitsareforthepowerful,buttheyarefarfromguaranteed.
Proper,scientificstudyoftheimpactsofdamsandofthecostandbenefitsofcontrollingwatercanhelptoresolvetheses.Hydroelectricpowerandfloodcontrolandirrigationarepossiblewithoutbuildingmonsterdams.Butwhenyouaredealingwithmyths,itishardtobeeitherproper,orscientific.ItistimethattheworldlearnedthelessonsofAswan.Youdon’tneedadamtobesaved.
ThethirdsentenceofParagraph1impliesthat .
peoplewouldbehappyiftheyshuttheireyestoreality
theblindcouldbehappierthanthesighted
over-excitedpeopletendtoneglectvitalthings
fascinationmakespeoplelosetheireyesight
InParagraph5,“thepowerless”probablyrefersto .
areasshortofelectricity
damswithoutpowerstations
poorcountriesaround
commonpeopleintheNarmamarea
Whatisthemythconcerninggiantdams?
Theybringinmorefertilesoil.
Theyhelpdefendthecountry.
Theystrengtheninternationalties.
Theyhaveuniversalcontrolofthewaters.
Whattheauthortriestosuggestmaybestbeinterpretedas .
“It’snousecryin erspiltmilk”
“Morehaste,lessspeed”
“Lookbeforeyouleap”
“Hewholaughslastlaughsbest”
Text2
Well,nogainwithoutpain,theysay.Butwhataboutpainwithoutgain?EverywhereyougoinAmerica,youheartalesofcorporaterevival.Whatishardertoestablishiswhethertheproductivityrevolutionthatbusinessmenassumetheyarepresidinerisforreal.
Theofficialstatisticsaremildlydiscouraging.Theyshowthat,ifyoulumpmanufacturingandservicestogether,productivityhasgrownoageby1.2%se1987.Thatissomewhatfasterthantheaverageduringthepreviousdecade.Andse1991,productivityhasreasedbyabout2%ayear,whichismorethantwicethe1978-87average.Thetroubleisthatpartoftherecentaccelerationisduetotheusualreboundthatoccursatthispointinabusinesscycle,andso
isnotconclusiveevidenceofarevivalintheunderlyingtrend.Thereis,asRobertRubin,thetreasurysecretary,says,a“disjunction”betweenthemassofbusinessanecdotethatpointstoaleapinproductivityandthepicturereflectedbythestatistics.
Someofthiscanbeeasilyexined.Newwaysoforganizingtheworkce--allthatre-engineeringanddownsizing--areonlyonecontributiontotheoverallproductivityofaneconomy,whichisdrivenbymanyotherfactorssuchasjointinvestmentinequipmentandmachinery,newtechnology,andinvestmentineducationandtraining.Moreover,mostofthechangesthatcompaniesmakeareintendedtokeepthemprofitable,andthisneednotalwaysmean
reasingproductivity:switchingtonewmarketsorimprovingqualitycanmatterjustasmuch.
Twootherexnationsaremorespeculative.First,someofthebusinessrestructuringofrecentyearsmayhavebeenineptlydone.Second,evenifitwaswelldone,itmayhavespreadmuchlesswidelythanpeoplesuppose.
LeonardSchlesinger,aHarvardacademicandformerchiefexecutiveofAuBongPain,arapidlygrowingchainofbakerycafes,saysthatmuch“re-engineering”hasbeencrude.Inmanycases,hebelieves,thelossofrevenuehasbeengreaterthanthereductionsost.Hiscolleague,MichaelBeer,saysthatfartoomanycompanieshaveappliedre-engineeringinamechanisticfashion,chopoutcostswithoutgivingsufficientthoughttolong-termprofitability.BBDO’sAlRosenshineisblunter.Hedismissesalotoftheworkongineeringconsultantsasmererubbish--“theworstsortofambulancechasing.”
Accordingtotheauthor,theAmericaneconomicsituationis .
notasgoodasitseems
atitsturningpoint
muchbetterthanitseems
neartocompleterecovery
Theofficialstatisticsonproductivitygrowth .
excludetheusualreboundinabusinesscycle
fallshortofbusinessmen’santicipation
meettheexpectationofbusinesspeople
failtoreflectthetruestateofeconomy
Theauthorraisesthequestion“whataboutpainwithoutgain?”because .
hequestionsthetruthof“nogainwithoutpain”
hedoesnotthinktheproductivityrevolutionworks
hewondersiftheofficialstatisticsaremisleading
hehasconclusiveevidencefortherevivalofbusinesses
WhichofthefollowingstatementsisNOTmentionedinthepassage?
Radicalreformsareessentialforthereaseofproductivity.
Newwaysoforganizingworkcesmayhelpto reaseproductivity.
Thereductionofcostsisnotasurewaytogainlong-termprofitability.
Theconsultantsareabunchofgood-for-nothings.
Text3
Sciencehaslonghadanuneasyrelationshipwithotheraspectsofculture.ThinkofGallileo’s17th-centurytrialforhisrebellingbeliefbeforetheCatholicChurchorpoetWilliamBlake’sharshremarksthemechanisticworldviewofIsaacNewton.Theschismbetweenscienceandthehumanitieshas,ifanything,deepenedinthiscentury.
Untilrecently,thescientificcommunitywassopowerfulthatitcouldaffordtoignoreitscritics--butnolonger.Asfundingforsciencehasdeclined,scientistshaveattacked“cience”inseveralbooks,notablyHigherSuperstition,byPaulR.Gross,abiologistattheUniversityofVirginia,andNormanLevitt,amathematicianatRutgersUniversity;andTheDemon-HauntedWorld,byCarlSaganofCornellUniversity.
Defendersofsciencehavealsovoicedtheirconcernsatmeetingssuchas“TheFlightfromScienceandReason,”heldinNewYorkCityin1995,and“ScienceintheAgeof(Mis)information,”whichassembledlastJunenearBuffalo.
cienceclearlymeansdifferentthingstodifferentpeople.GrossandLevittfindfaultprimarilywithsociologists,philosophersandotheracademicswhohavequestionedscience’sobjectivity.Saganismoreconcernedwiththosewhobelieveinghosts,creationismandotherphenomenathatcontradictthescientificworldview.
Asurveyofnewsstoriesin1996revealsthattheciencetaghasbeenattachedtomanyothergroupsaswell,fromwhoadvocatedtheeliminationofthelastremainingstocksofsmallpoxtoRepublicanswhoadvocateddecreasedfundingforbasicresearch.
FewwoulddisputethatthetermappliestotheUnabomber,whosemanifesto,publishedin
1995,scornsscienceandlongsforreturntoapre-technologicalutopia.Butsurelythatdoesnotmeanenvironmentalistsconcernedaboutuncontrolledindustrialgrowthare cience,asanessayinUSNews&WorldReportlastMayseemedtosuggest.
Theenvironmentalists,inevitably,respondtosuchcritics.Thetrueenemiesofscience,arguesPaulEhrlichofStanfordUniversity,apioneerofenvironmentalstudies,arethosewhoquestiontheevidencesupportingglobalwarming,thedepletionoftheozonelayerandotherconsequencesofindustrialgrowth.
Indeed,someobserversfearthatthecienceepithetisindangerof ingmeaningless.“Theterm‘cience’canlumptogethertoomany,quitedifferentthings,”notesHarvardUniversityphilosopherGeraldHoltoninhis1993workScienceand cience.“Theyhaveommononlyhingthattheytendtoannoyorthreatenthosewhoregardthemselvesasmoreenlightened.”
Theword“schism”(Line4,Paragraph1)inthecontextprobablymeans .[A]
dissatisfaction
separation
contempt
Paragraphs2and3arewrittento .
discussthecauseofthedeclineofscience’spower
showtheauthor’ssympathywithscientists
exinthewayinwhichsciencedevelops
exemplifythedivisionofscienceandthehumanities
Whichofthefollowingistrueaccordingtothepassage?
Environmentalistswereblamedforcienceinanessay.
Politiciansarenotsubjecttothelabelingofcience.
The“moreenlightened”tendtotagothersas cience.
Taggingenvironmentalistsas“cience”isjustifiable.
Theauthor’sattitudetowardtheissueof“sciencevs.cience”is .
impartial
subjective
biased
puzzling
Text4
Emergingfromthe1980censusisthepictureofanationdevelomoreandmoreregionalcompetition,aspopulationgrowthintheNortheastandMidwestreachesanearstandstill.
Thisdevelopment--anditsstrongimplicationsforUSpoliticsandeconomyinyearsahead
--hasenthronedtheSouthasAmerica’smostdenselypopulatedregionforthefirsttimeinthe
historyofthenation’sheadcounting.
Altogether,theUSpopulationroseinthe1970sby23.2millionpeople--numericallythethird-largestgrowtheverrecordedinasingledecade.Evenso,thatgainaddsuptoonly11.4percent,lowestinAmericanannualrecordceptfortheDepressionyears.
AmericanshavebeenmigratingsouthandwestinlargernumbersseWorldWarII,andthepatternstillprevails.
Threesun-beltstates--Florida,TexasandCalifornia--togetherhadnearly10millionmorepeoplein1980thanadecadeearlier.Amonglargecities,SanDiegomovedfrom14thto8thandSanAntoniofrom15thto10th--withClevelandandWashington.D.C.,dropoutofthetop10.
Notallthatshiftcanbeattributedtothemovementoutofthesnowbelt,censusofficialssay.Nonstopwavesofimmigrantsyedarole,too--andsodidbiggercropsofbabiesasyesterday’s“babyboom”generationreacheditschildbearingyears.
Moreover,demographersseethecontinuingshiftsouthandwestasjoinedbyarelatedbutnewerphenomenon:Moreandmore,Americansapparentlyarelookingnotjustforceswithmorejobsbutwithfewerpeople,too.Someinstances—
■Regionally,theRockyMountainstatesreportedthemostrapidgrowthrate--37.1percentse1970inavastareawithonly5percentoftheUSpopulation.
■Amongstates,NevadaandArizonagrewfastestofall:63.5and53.1percentrespectively.ExceptforFloridaandTexas,thetop10inrateofgrowthiscomposedofWesternstateswith7.5millionpeople--about9persquare.
Theflightfromovercrowdednessaffectsthemigrationfromsnowbelttomorebearable
climates.
Nowheredo1980censusstatisticsdramatizemoretheAmericansearchforspaciouslivingthanintheFarWest.There,Californiaadded3.7milliontoitspopulationinthe1970s,morethananyotherstate.
Inthatdecade,however,largenumbersalsomigratedfromCalifornia,mostlytootherpartsoftheWest.Oftentheychose--andstillarechoosing--somewhatcolderclimatessuchasOregon,IdahoandAlaskainordertoescapesmog,crimeandothersofurbanizationintheGoldenState.
Asaresult,California’sgrowthratedroppedduringthe1970s,to18.5percent--littlemorethantwothirdsthe1960s’growthfigureandconsiderablybelowthatofotherWesternstates.
Discernedfromtheperplexingpictureofpopulationgrowththe1980censusprovided,Americain1970s .
enjoyedthelowes growthofpopulationinhistory
witnessedasouthwesternshiftofpopulation
underwentanunparalleledperiodofpopulationgrowth
broughttoastandstillitspatternofmigrationseWorldWarII
Thecensusdistinguisheditselffrompreviousstudiesonpopulationmovementinthat
.
itstressestheclimaticinfluenceonpopulationdistribution
ithighlightsthecontributionofcontinuouswavesofimmigrants
itrevealstheAmericans’newpursuitofspaciousliving
i aboratesthedelayedeffectsofyesterday’s“babyboom”
Wecanseefromtheavailablestatisticsthat .
CaliforniawasoncethemostthinlypopulatedareainthewholeUS
thetop10statesingrowthrateofpopulationwerealllocatedintheWest
citieswithbetterclimatesbenefitedunanimouslyfrommigration
Arizonarankedsecondofallstatesinitsgrowthrateofpopulation
Theword“demographers”(Line1,Paragraph8)mostprobablymeans .
peopleinfavorofthetrendofdemocracy
advocatesofmigrationbetweenstates
scientis gagedinthestudyofpopulation
conservativesclingingtooldpatternsoflife
Text5
Scatteredaroundtheglobearemorethan100smallregionsofisolatedvolcanicactivityknowntogeologistsashotspots.Unlikemostoftheworld’svolcanoes,theyarenotalwaysfoundattheboundariesofthegreatdriftingtesthatmakeuptheearth’ssurface;onthecontrary,manyofthemliedeepintheinteriorofate.Mostofthehotspotsmoveonlyslowly,andinsomecasesthemovementofthetespastthemhaslefttrailsofdeadvolcanoes.Thehotspots
andtheirvolcanictrailsare tonesthatmarkthepassageofthetes.
Thatthetesaremovingisnowbeyonddispute.AfricaandSouthAmerica,forexample,aremovingawayfromeachotherasnewmaterialisinjectedintotheseafloorbetweenthem.Thecomplementarycoastlinesandcertaingeologicalfeaturesthatseemtospantheoceanareremindersofwherethetwocontinentswereoncejoined.Therelativemotionofthetescarryingthesecontinentshasbeenconstructedindetail,butthemotionofonetewithrespecttoanothercannotreadilybetranslatedintomotionwithrespecttotheearth’sinterior.Itisnotpossibletodeterminewhetherbothcontinentsaremovinginoppositedirectionsorwhetheronecontinentisstationaryandtheotherisdriftingawayfromit.Hotspots,anchoredinthedeeperlayersoftheearth,providethemeasuringinstrumentsneededtoresolvethequestion.Fromanysisofthehot-spotpopulationitappearsthattheAfricanteisstationaryandthatithasnotmoveddurin
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