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Passage1:HowtoTakeAdvantageofaWeakDollar
Whenthedollargoesdown,whereshouldyourdollarsgo?
ByMEGHANDLEY
Posted:December14,2010
Althoughthedollarhasexperiencedwhatsomeexpertscalla
"confounding"rallylately,ifyou'restillworriedaboutthegreenback
takingadownwarddive,you'renotalone.Attheveryleast,financial
analystsexpecttheU.S.economytogrowslowlyfortheforeseeable
future.Mixinthelong-termimpactoflarge-scalestimulusspendingand
mountingdeficits,andyourdollar-centricinvestmentsmightbeless
securethanyouthink.
"Weareinanenvironmentwherethereisnosuchthinganymoreasa
'safeasset,"'saysAxelMerk,founderofMerkInvestmentsandauthorof
SustainableWealth."Investorsneedtothinkbeyondthetraditionalasset
allocationmodelwhereyouhaveasafehaven,anddiversifytheirassets
inaworldthat'severlessstable."
Thegoodnewsisthatthereareplentyofwaystohedgeagainsta
lacklusterdomesticeconomyandadecliningdollar,whetherit'ssimply
increasingyourexposuretoU.S.companieswithlargeglobalfootprints
orinvestinginthelocalcurrenciesofgrowingeconomies.U.S.News
talkedwithsomeexpertsabouthowtodulltheeffectsofaweakdollaron
yourportfolio.
Beefupyourexposuretobluechips.Ifyouhavebignameslike
McDonald's,Pepsi,andGeneralMotorsinyourportfolio,youalready
havesomeindirectexposuretonon-dollardenominatedassets.Most
companiesintheS&P500havesignificantforeignoperations,which
meanstheyhavestakesinforeigncurrencies."Sincethedollarhas
weakenedandmanyexpectittocontinuetoweaken,companieswith
incomeoverseaswillseeabenefitwhentheytranslatethatincomeback
intoU.S.dollars,"MorningstaranalystMikeRawsonsaidinanE-mail.
Ifyoudon'talreadyownsomelarge-capU.S.stocks,Rawson
recommendsiSharesS&P500Index(symbolWV),anexchange-traded
fundthatoffersbroad-basedexposuretobigfirmswithglobalreach.
AsidefrombeingoneofthecheapestETFsavailablewitha0.09percent
expenseratio,about45percentoftheunderlyingcompanies'
asset-weightedrevenuescomefromoutsidetheUnitedStates,giving
investorssubstantialsecondaryexposuretointernationalcurrencies.
Don'tignoreemergingmarkets.Forthoselookingtogrowtheir
investmentswithafive-yearorlongertimehorizon,"itwouldbe
dangeroustoignoreemergingmarkets,"saysOliverPursche,presidentof
NewYork-basedGaryGoldbergFinancialServices."That'swherethe
growthishappening—AsiaandLatinAmerica.It'snotEuropeorthe
UnitedStates."
PurscheandRawsonrecommendWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsSmall
CapDividend(DGS),anETFthatgivesinvestorsconcentratedaccessto
agroupofrapidlygrowingeconomiesincludingChinaandBrazil."We
liketolookatsmall-capemergingmarketcompaniesbecausewethink
they'reclosertothoseemergingmarketconsumers,sothey'reprobably
goingtoexperiencegrowthmoresimilartothegrowthofthose
underlyingeconomies,"Rawsonsays.Andbecausetherevenueandcosts
ofthoseeconomiesstaylocal,investorscanexpectcompaniesinthe
portfoliotohavefarlessexposuretofluctuationsintheU.S.dollar.
Becauseinternationalmarketscanbemorecomplicatedandless
transparentthanU.S.markets,Rawsonrecommendsstickingtoactively
managedfundsorfundamentally-weightedETFslikeWisdomTree
EmergingMarketsSmallCapDividend.Thefundweightscompanies
basedonthedividendtheypaytoinvestorsratherthanthetraditional
methodofweightingbasedonmarketcap."Whatyou'redoingistrying
toshifttowardqualitycompaniesthathavethewherewithaltobeableto
payadividend.It'salittlebitofatilttohigher-qualityfirmsanditgets
youalittlebitclosertosomelevelofsafetyandcomfort."
Cashinonforeigncurrencies.Holdingaforeigncurrencyinan
overseassavingsaccountisn'tyourbestoptionforbettingoncurrencies,
Rawsonsays,becausethosetypesofinvestmentswon'tearnyoua
competitivereturncomparedwithinflation.Instead,herecommends
WisdomTreeEmergingMarketsLocalDebt(ELD),anETFthatholds
localcurrencybondsincountriessuchasIndonesia,Brazil,andMexico.
"Whatwelikeaboutthisfundisthatitisdiversified,[and]accesses
emergingmarketscurrencies,"Rawsonsays."Andsinceitinvestsin
medium-termbonds,[it]earnsmoreinterestthanadepositaccount."The
bottomline:Ifgrowthinemergingmarketscontinuesoutpacingthatof
theUnitedStates,emergingmarketscurrenciesshouldriseagainstthe
dollar,whichwillbepositiveforthefund.
Commoditiesarekey.JustbecausetheU.S.economyisinadaze
doesn'tmeanothercountrieshavestoppedtogape."Eventhoughwe've
hadthistremendousrecessionintheU.S.andaslowrecovery,foreign
economies—particularlydevelopingmarkets—aregoingtogrowfaster,"
Rawsonsays."ItaffectsU.S.investorsbecauseasthoseeconomiesgrow,
theirdemandforinternationallytradedcommoditiessuchaswheat,oil,
andpreciousmetals,isgoingtogrowalso."
Withitsexposuretoglobally-pricedcommoditiesandother
non-U.S.-dollarassets,VanguardEmergingMarketsStock(VWO)can
helpinvestorscapitalizeonthecommoditiesmarketsand
commodity-producingforeigncountries.Thefundhaslargestakesin
naturalresourcescompaniesintheoil,naturalgas,andsteel
industries—allofwhichareexpectedtoseemajorgrowthincoming
years."WhenyoulookatthecurrenciesofAustralia,Canada,andBrazil,
theyhaveonethingincommon—they'reallcommodityproducing
places,"saysMikeSavage,founderofSavageFinancialGroup."If
commoditypricesgoup,thosecommoditycurrenciesgoup."
Passage2:HowtoUsetheHolidaystoBoostYourCareer
ByKARENBURNS
Posted:December15,2010
Itmaysoundcalculatingtoleveragetheholidayseasontoyour
professionaladvantage,butit'ssmart,too.
Theholidaysareprimonetworkingtime.Mostpeopleareinamorejovial,
givingmood.Manyworkplacesslowdownalittlethistimeofyear,so
youmayhavemorementalspacetothinkaboutwaystopolishyour
resumeandevensetupinformationalinterviews.Andtheendoftheyear
isanaturaltimetoreevaluate,refocus,andthinkstrategicallyaboutyour
future.
Ifyoudecidetotakeadvantageofthisgoldenopportunity,whether
toadvanceinthejobyoualreadyhaveorfindanewone,herearea
fewguidelines:
Gotoyourannualworkplaceparty.Whereelsedoworkerbeesand
upper-upsminglesofreely?Thepowers-that-bewillbeattheirmost
kindlyandtheirmostaccessible,sodon'tmissthisopportunitytoget
yournameandfaceoutthere.Introduceyourself;makesmalltalk.And
don'tforgettosaythankyou.Yourcompanydroppedawadofcashon
thisevent,soconveyyourgratitude.
Haveamasterplan.Thinkstrategicallyaboutwhoyou'dliketomeetor
gettoknowbetterthisseason.Areyouinterestedintransferringtothe
salesdepartment?Gotothatworkplacepartyreadytointroduceyourself
tothesalesstaffand,ideally,thesalesmanager.Doyoudreamof
switchingcareersentirely?Mentionitatyourneighborhoodget-together,
yourchurchsocial,oryourkid'sschoolplay.Youneverknowwhoyou511
meet.
Rememberthatcompetitionforjobsisatitslowestduringthe
holidays.InDecember,manyjobhunterscallitquits,atleastuntil
January2nd.Thisisyourcuetorampupyourownsearch.It'snottrue
thatcompaniesdon'thireduringtheholidays.Theydo.Youmighteven
tryreachingoutbetweenChristmasandNewYear's,whenhiring
managersaremorelikelytobeansweringtheirownphones.
Sendcards.Thisisthetimeofyearwhenit'snaturaltoremindtheworld
ofyourexistence.WhetheryouoptforChristmascards,NewYear's
cards,printedholidayletters,orane-newsletter,nowistheperfecttime
toreconnectwithfriends,colleagues,formerbosses,former
professors-everyoneyouknoworusedtoknow.Keepittastefuland
sincere,andaddapersonalnotetoeachmessage.
Volunteer.Volunteering—toserveatthefoodbank,hangdecorations
downtown,orparticipateinanyactivitywherepeoplegatherandwork
together-isanotherstellarwaytoexpandyournetwork.Giveitatry.
Youreallycandowellforyourselfbydoinggoodforothers.Youmight
alsolearnanewskill,ordiscoveranewfield,orsimplymeetnew
friends.
Alwaysremainprofessional.Keepinmindthattoomuchholidaycheer
canworkagainstyou,too.Whatevereventsyouattend,bepleasantand
businesslike.Youaretryingtoimpress!Ifeggnogandrumballsturnyou
woozy,avoidthem.Rememberthataworkplaceholidaypartyisnot
reallya“party."It'sabusinessevent.Comportyourselfaccordingly.
Rechargeyourbatteries.Sure,usethoseextradaysoffforfamilyevents
andpartieswithfriends,butdon'tforgettocarveoutsomeyou-time.Get
thesleepyouneed.Lookforhealthywaystodealwithholidaystress.
Exercise.Takelongwalks,talkwithyourmentors,orreadinspirational
books.Thatwayyou511berelaxed,refreshed,andreadytohittheground
runningcomeJanuary.
Puttingalittleenergyintoyourcareer-whileeveryoneelseisfiguring
outhowtoleaveworkearlytogettothemall—mayjustbethebest
presentyoucangiveyourself.
Passage3:WhyaDouble-DipRecessionHasn'tHappened
ByRICKNEWMAN
Posted:December15,2010
Stepbacktolastsummerforamoment.Homesaleshad
plunged—again—afterabigfederalsubsidyforbuyersexpired.Stocks
wereinaswoon,asinvestorsworriedthatEurope'sdebtcrisiswould
contaminatetheworld'sfinancialsystem.Growthwasslowingas
stimulusspendingfrom2009hititspeakandbegantowinddown.
Ruinousdeflationseemedpossible,promptingcomparisonstoJapan's
"lostdecade."AndforallthejawboninginWashington,nothingmuch
washappeningtojolttheeconomy.
Nowonderadouble-dipseemedplausible,withsomeforecastersgiving
50-50odds,ormore,tothelikelihoodofasecondrecession.Butthose
concernshaveslowlyfaded,witheconomistsnowincreasinglyconvinced
thattherecovery,howeverweak,isheretostay.Here'swhytheoutlook
hasbrightened.
Nothingterriblehashappened.
Thefinancialpanicof2008wasasearingeventthatleftinvestorsand
businessleadersshaken.Now,they'reprimedfordisaster-andmore
likelytooverreactthantoshrugoffdanger.TheEuropeandebtcrisis
couldstillmushroomandoverwhelmtheresourcessetasidetohandleit.
Chinaandotheremergingmarketscouldsuccumbtorunawayinflationor
burstingassetbubbles.TheU.S.housingmarket,badasitis,couldsink
everfurther.Washington'sdebtloadmightfinallycomecrashingdown.
Suchfearshavesentinvestorsfleeingforsafetyandforcedcorporations
tohunkerdown,depressingtheeconomymorethansomeeconomistsfeel
iswarranted.
Yetnoneofthosescaryscenarioshascometopass.Notyet,anyway.The
EuropeanshavebeenslowtoreacttotheproblemsinGreece,Ireland,
andelsewhere,yetthey'veshownjustenoughresolvetoreassurethe
markets.Chinaandotheremergingnationsaregrowingfarfasterthan
westerneconomies.Americanconsumersaremanagingtospendmoney
despitethehousingbust,andglobalinvestorsstillseemtohaveenough
faithinAmericatolendtoUncleSamatbargainrates.Acrisis(ortwo)
couldstillerupt,buteverymonthwithoutonemeansthatAmericanspay
offalittlemoredebt,companiesgetalittlemoreefficient,andthe
recoverygathersalittlemoresteam.
Corporateprofitshaveexploded.Formorethanayear,bigcompanies
havebeenperformingfarbetterthanmostanalystsexpected.Inthelatest
quarter,accordingtoinvestingfirmZacks,359ofthefirmsrepresentedin
theS&P500reportedearningshigherthanexpectations,withjust95
firmsunderperforming.Ayearago,companieswereturningin
surprisinglygoodearningsbecausetheywerecuttingcostsmuchdeeper
thanexpected,whileoverallrevenuesremainedflat.Now,revenueis
risingaswell,producingakindofperverseboomforcorporations:
Despitehighunemployment,profitsarenearrecordlevels,farhigherthan
mostanalystseverimaginedlessthantwoyearsafterafinancialpanic
andbrutalrecession.
That'sgoodnewsforanybodywithaninvestmentportfolio,sincestrong
corporateperformancehashelpedpushedstockpriceshigher,helping
Americansrebuildtheirretirementportfoliosandregainsomeofthe
wealthlostduringtherecession.Andthathashelpedconsumer
confidencestarttorecover.Thenextobviousquestion:Whenwillstrong
corporateperformancebegintolifttheoveralleconomyandreduce
joblessness?Soon,possibly.Corporationshavestreamlinedso
aggressivelythatthey'llhavelittlechoicebuttohireasdemandfortheir
stuffpicksup.Plus,they'vestockpiledloadsofcashthatcanbeusedto
financehiring.
Theprivatesectorhasstartedtorecover.The2009stimulusplanwas
obviouslyunpopular,butmosteconomistsagreethatitboostedgrowthby
apercentagepointormoreinboth2009and2010,andhelpedspeedthe
endoftherecession.Thestimuluswasmeanttobridgethegapas
private-sectordemandfellduringtherecession,whichmeansthat
private-sectoractivityneedstopickupagain,ortheendofthestimulus
willleaveabigholeintheeconomy.Andjustintime,theprivatesector
isstartingtoshowapulse.
Theprivatesectorhasaddednearly1.2millionjobsthisyear,withgains
everymonth.Thenumbersremaintoosmallforcomfort,buttheoverall
upwardtrendsignalsthatprivate-sectorunemploymenthasprobably
bottomedoutforgood.That'svital,becausetheprivatesectoristheheart
oftheeconomy(exceptinGreece),andotherbigsectorsarelikelyto
shrinkoverthenextcoupleofyears.Governmenthiringinparticularis
likelytoplateauatthefederallevel,anddeclineatthestateandlocal
level.Itwilltakemuchstrongerprivate-sectorhiringtoforcedown
unemployment,butthesituationisatleastgettingbetter.
Exportsarestrong.Withlittlenotice,U.S.exportshavebeenrisingall
year,astheweakdollarandstrongeconomiesinemergingmarketslike
ChinahasstokeddemandforstuffmadeinAmerica.NewsabouttheU.S.
tradebalanceusuallyfocusesonallthecheapgoodswebuyfrom
overseas,butwealsosendlotsofcars,airplanes,food,farmmachinery,
electroniccomponents,medicalequipmentandotherstuffabroad.Critics
scoffedearlierthisyearwhenPresidentObamasaidhisgoalwasto
doubleU.S.exportsinfiveyears.Butsofar,we'reonapacetodoit.That
hasproppedupemploymentinexport-relatedindustriesandbeenan
unexpectedbrightspotintheoveralleconomy.
Washingtonhasdonethebareminimum.TheFederalReservehas
becomethenation'spunchingbag,yetformuchofthelastyearit'sbeen
theonlyinstitutiontakingaggressivestepstoshaketheeconomyoutof
thedoldrums.Itslatest"quantitativeeasing"program,whichstartedin
November,maynotdomuchtogeneratejobs,whichispartofthe
purpose.ButithascertainlysignaledtoinvestorsthattheFedwilldo
something-anything!—untilitfeelsbetterabouttheeconomy.Andby
coincidenceornot,astockmarketthatwasmostlyflatoverthesummer
hassurgedbyabout18percentsincelateAugust,whenFedChairman
BenBernankefirstannouncedtheneweasingprogram.
PresidentObamatrumpedtheFedwiththenearly$900billiontaxand
stimulusbillherecentlynegotiatedwithCongressionalRepublicans.By
manyestimates,thatpackagecouldboosteconomicgrowthbyafull
percentagepointoverthenexttwoyears.Itcameatthelastminute,while
businessesandconsumerswerestartingtosweatoverwhattodoifthe
Bush-erataxcutsexpiredandtheirtaxrateseffectivelywentup.Andit
doesn'tevenpaylipservicetoworriesaboutthenationaldebt,sinceit
willbefinancedentirelywithborrowedmoney.Butthedealcould
providejustenoughofaneconomicpushtomakeadoubledipadistant
worry.Nowwecanworryaboutthenextsetofproblems.
Passage4:HowRisingMortgageRatesCouldBoostHomeSales
ByRICKNEWMAN
Posted:December13,2010
Ifyou'reinthemarketforahome,you'reprobablyfeelingprettycalm:
Pricesarefalling,interestratesarelow,andtherearefewotherbuyersto
competewith.Youcanprobablyjusthangoutforawhileandwaitfor
pricestofallsomemore.
Buthowlongwillthebuyer'smarketlast?Conventionalwisdomholds
thatpriceswillfallanother5to10percent,mostlikelybottomingout
sometimein2011.Asthehousingmarketstabilizes,saleswillslowly
pickup,whilethehugebacklogofforeclosedandbank-ownedhomes
getsworkedoff.Inhealthiermarkets-likemanyintheMidwest,where
therewasnevermuchofabubbletostartwith—thehousingmarket
mightevenstarttofeelnormalagainin2011or2012.
Thatoutlookisbasedonthepremisethatinterestrateswillstaylow,
whichhasseemedlikelybecausetheFederalReserveispullingallthe
leversitcantodoexactlythat.Butnowsomethingsurprisingis
happening:Long-termratesareactuallygoingup,indefianceoftheFed's
actions.DatafromfederalmortgageagencyFreddieMacshowsthat
30-yearmortgageratesreachedaonce-unthinkablelowof4.17percentin
earlyNovember,shortlyaftertheFedlaunchedQE2,itssecond
quantitativeeasingprogram.That'showthescriptwassupposedtoplay
out.TheFed'splantopurchase$600billioninTreasurysecurities
throughthemiddleofnextyearwillintensifydemandforTreasuries,
whichintheoryshoulddriveratesdownoneverythinglinkedtothem,
includingmortgages.BytheFed'sreasoning,thatoughttomakehomes
moreaffordable,getbuyersoffthesidelines,andputmoneyintothe
pocketsofhomeownersabletorefinance.
Butsuddenly,interestratesaren'tcooperating.Fromthatlowpointin
earlyNovember,rateshaverisenseveralweeksinarow,with30-year
mortgageratesnowatabout4.6percent.That'sstillextremelylow,but
economistsarenowaskingifratesarefinallybeginninganupwardclimb
thatcouldbepermanent-andnotbecauseoftheFed.
TherecenttaxdealnegotiatedbytheWhiteHouseandCongressional
Republicansincludesavarietyoftaxcutsandspendingmeasuresthatgo
alotfurtherthanseemedlikelywhentheFedstarteditslatesteasing
program.That'sdrivinginterestratesup,fortworeasons.One,a
surprisinglylargefiscalstimulusplanmakestheFed'sactionsless
necessary,sotheFedcouldcurtailitseasingprogramearlierthan
expected.Andbyaddingnearly$900billiontothenationaldebt,thetax
dealcreatesabitmoreuncertaintyaboutUncleSam'sabilitytopayoffits
debt.Higherriskmeansthatinvestorsdemandahigherinterestrate.And
higherratesonTreasuriestypicallymeanhigherratesonmortgages,too.
Risingmortgagerateswillscareoffsomebuyers,suchasbottomfishers
orthosewhocanonlymarginallyaffordtobuy.Buttheycouldmotivate
otherswhomightfeelanewfoundsenseofurgencytolockinratesthat
arestillremarkablylow."Highermortgageratescouldparadoxicallygive
housingatemporaryboostbypushingbuyersoffthefence,"Moody's
Analyticsadvisedinarecentcommentaryonthetaxdeal.Interestrates,
infact,cansurgewithlittlewarning,sendingunhurriedbuyersintoa
scrambletofindtherightpropertyandlockinrates.
Afewtidbitsofdatamightevensuggestthatwe'renearthebeginningof
arecoveryinthehousingmarket.Applicationsfornewmortgageshave
beenrising.Buildershavebeenincreasingtheirproductionofnewhomes.
Ameasureofhomebuilderconfidencehasbeendriftingupward.And
economicnewsingeneralisbecomingmorepositive.Thestockmarkets
survivedtheIrishdebtcrisisandrecentlyhitahighfortheyear.
Corporateprofitsarestrong,andcompaniesmaybeginhiringagainif
CEOsstarttobelievethattherecoveryisdeeplyrooted.Onceconsumers
starttofeelmoresecureintheirjobs,spendingonhomesandmanyother
thingsoughttopickup.
Theoverallhousingmarketremainsdepressed,withactivitystillfar
belowtheboomlevelsof2006.Andsomemarketsremaingluttedwith
overbuiltdevelopmentsandforeclosures.Butrecoveriesusuallystart
withtiny,evenimperceptible,improvements.Andtheydon'talways
comefromthesamedirectionthatpolicymakersexpect.
Passage5:WorkersFallShortofRetirementSavingsGoals
ByEMILYBRANDON
Posted:December16,2010
ThetypicalAmericanestimatesthattheywillneedtosaveamedianof
$300,000toretirecomfortably.Butmostretirementinvestorssaytheir
nesteggiscurrentlycomprisedofamedianofjust$20,000,orabout6.7
percentoftheirretirementgoal,accordingtoarecentWellsFargosurvey
of1,756middleclasshouseholdsearninglessthan$100,000annually.
Workersintheir50ssetthelowestretirementgoalforthemselvesofany
agegroupinthesurvey:$200,000.Theycurrentlyhaveamedianof
$29,000saved,orabout14.5percentoftheirgoal.Thetypical
50-somethingexpectstheirretirementtolastnearlytwodecades(19
years).Theamountofsavingstheseinvestorscurrentlyhavewillprovide
themwitharetirementincomeofabout$190amonthover20years,
assuminga5percentrateofreturnannually.
Individualsintheir60shaveamedianretirementgoalof$300,000,but
saytheycurrentlyhavejust10percentor$30,000tuckedawayfor
retirement.Employeesintheir30ssetthehighestretirementsavingsgoal
ofanyagegroup:$400,000.Theycurrentlyhave5percentofthator
$20,000saved.
“ToomanyAmericanshavetheirheadsinthesandinthefaceof
obvioussavingsdeficits,,5saysLaurieNordquist,directorofWellsFargo
InstitutionalRetirementandTrust."Peoplearenotevenclosetowhere
theyneedtobeintotalsavings.Barringamiracle,awinninglottery
ticket,orabiginheritance,they'regoingtobeforcedtodramaticallycut
backtheirlifestylesafterretirement.^^
Thesurveyrespondentswerealsoaskedtoestimatehowmuchthey
wouldspendonhealthcarethroughoutretirement.Themedian
anticipatedout-of-pockethealthcarespendingwas$32,300,whichis
significantlymorethanthetypicalworkerhassavedforretirement.Allof
theagegroupsqueriedsayhealthcareislikelytocostmorethanthey
currentlyhavesavedexceptfor60-somethings,whohavesavedbarely
enoughtocovertheirexpectedhealthcarecosts.
Unsurprisingly,mostoftheemployeessurveyed(72percent)planto
continuetoworkinretirement,eitherbecausetheyneedthemoney(39
percent)orbecausetheywantto(33percent),thesurveyfound.Most
middleclassAmericans(63percent)alsosaytheyareplanningtorelyon
SocialSecurityasamajorsourceofretirementincome.
Passage6:WhytheRetirementAgeIsIncreasing
Inmanyplaces,anolderretirementageisjustareversalofearlier
declines
ByEMILYBRANDON
Posted:November15,2010
Manycountriesarecontemplatingorarealreadyintheprocessofraising
theretirementagefortheirnationalpensionsystems.However,inmany
places,thisissimplyareversalofearlierdeclinesintheretirementage.
Manygovernmentsrelaxedretirement-agerulesinthe1970sand1980s,
andarenowrestoringretirementagestotheirformerlevels.
Theaverageglobalretirementagewas64.3formenin1949,but
graduallyfelltoalowof62.5in1993,accordingtoanOrganisationfor
EconomicCo-operationandDevelopmentanalysisofretirementagesin
30countrieswithnationalretirementplans.Nowtheageatwhich
private-sectorworkerswithafullcareercanfirstdrawretirementbenefits
fromthemainnationalpensionschemewithoutanyreductionsis63.
Legislationalreadyinplacewillincreasetheaverageretirementageto
64.6by2050."Earlierpensionagesmeanhighertaxesandcontributions
topayforbenefits.Votersinsomecountriesmaysimplyhaveagreater
preferenceforleisuretimeoverworkonaverage,"saysEdward
Whitehouse,co-authorofthereport."Insomecases,lowerpensionages
havebeenintroducedormaintainedinthemistakenbeliefthatgetting
olderworkersoutofjobsmeansmorejobsforyoungerworkers."
Lifeexpectancy,however,increasedcontinuouslyoverthepastfew
decades.Theperiodoftimethatseniorsliveafterreachingretirementage
grewfrom13.4yearsformenin1958to18.5in2010.TheOECD
analysisofUnitedNationsdataprojectslifeexpectancytobe20.3years
inretirement,evenafterthehigherretirementagesarephasedin.
"Retirementisnowsomethingthateverybodylooksforwardto,along
periodofleisureattheendofthelife,"saysRichardJackson,directorof
theGlobalAgingInitiativeattheCenterforStrategicandInternational
Studies,"Retirementbefore1950hadanegativeconnotation.Itwas
somethingthatyoudidtoaworn-outmachine."
Countrieswiththelowestretirementages.Themoststrikinglylow
retirementageisinTurkey.Theformerretirementageof60was
abolishedandreplacedwitharequirementofabout25yearsof
contributionstoreceiveafullpension.TheOECDcalculatedthatmany
workerswhobeginworkingbyage20willbeabletoretirearoundage45.
Thenextlowestretirementageis57inGreece,upfrom55in1959.In
Italy,theretirementagedeclinedfrom60in1949toalowof55inthe
1980sand1990s,andthenclimbedbackto59today.Undercurrentlaw,
theretirementagewillincreaseto65inItalyby2030.Afewcountries
nowhaveanationalretirementageof60,includingBelgium,Hungary,
Korea,andLuxembourg.France'scurrentretirementageis60.5.
Placeswiththehighestretirementages.Thecountrieswiththeoldest
2010retir
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