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2023ChinaNPLMarketReport
Contents
1NoticetoReaders
2Chapter1:MarketUpdate
4NPLBalanceinChinaCommercialBanks
5ProvincialNPLBalance
6Chapter2:OverviewofRecentNPLTransactions
6NPLBid&TransactionTrend
6BreakdownofNPLTransactionVolumebyMarket
9DistributionofNPLBid&TransactionVolume
10PersonalNPLMarket
12Chapter3:OverviewofOnlineNPLAuctions
13Chapter4:OverviewofOnlineCollateralJudicialAuctions
13OverallAuctionSummary
15AuctionsbyAssetType
17JudicialAuctionOverviewinZhejiang&GuangdongProvince
19SponsoringOrganisations
2023ChinaNPLMarketReport
Apublicationfrom:
Page|1
NoticetoReaders
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
ThisReport,undertakenjointlybyZheshangAssetResearchInstituteandPepperGroup(China)providesreaderswithabetterscopetounderstandthedynamicsandrecentactivitieswithinChina’sNPLmarket.ThefirsteditionwasreleasedinAugust2020andwillbepublishedonasemi-annualbasistofocusoncurrentgovernmentregulationsandpolicies,recentindustryactivities,insightsintotheprimaryandsecondaryNPLmarketsandtheonlinejudicialauctionmarket.
LiChuanquan
DeputyChairmanofZheshangAMCCSOofZheshangAMC
DeanofZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
KarenChen
CEOofPepperChina
Co-HeadPrincipalInvestmentsAsiaPepperGroup
Page|2
Chapter1:NPLMarketUpdate
“China’slenderswillmaintainthesteadygrowthmomentumin2024,withfinancialresourceallocationtobeoptimizedfurther.Thecountry’ssoundlong-termfundamentalswillremainunchanged,andtheimprovingfundamentalsandnewgrowthopportunitiesareexpectedtoboostthedevelopmentofthebankingsector”.
TheChinaBankingandInsuranceRegulatoryCommission(CBIRC)[1]andthePeople'sBankofChina(PBoC)jointlyissuedTighterAssetRiskClassificationRulesforCommercialBanks
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
Onthe11thofFebruary2023,China’scentralbankandbankingregulatorupdatedRulesrequiringcommercialbankstoevaluateandclassifycreditriskmorepromptlyandprudentlyandprioritizedebtors’abilitytomeettheirobligationsoverunderlyingcollateralvalues.TheupdatedRulesexpandstheexistingfive-categoryriskclassificationfromloanstoallfinancialassetsexposedtocreditrisk,includingbondinvestments,interbanklending,entrustedinvestments,andasset-backedsecurities,coveringtherisksofalltheiron-balance-sheetandoff-balance-sheetfinancialassetsthatbearcreditrisk.Theexpansionofthescopeofriskclassificationwillhaveanimpactonindicatorssuchasthenon-performingloan(NPL)rateandtheprovisioncoverageratio.
TheRulesforriskclassificationoffinancialassetsareintendedtopromotecommercialbankstoaccuratelyassesscreditrisksandtrulyreflectthequalityoffinancialassets.TheRulesaimtofurtherpromotecommercialbankstoaccuratelyidentifyrisklevelsandimplementassetriskclassification,whichwillhelpthebankingsectoreffectivelypreventandresolvecreditrisksandimprovethelevelofservingtherealeconomy.Forsomesmallandmedium-sizedbankswithpoorassetqualityandweakrisk-resistanceability,theRuleswillbringaboutcertainpressuresduringtheimplementationprocess,andthebanks'demandforthedisposalofNPLswillbeelevated.
Comments:Forassetmanagementcompanies(AMCs),thescaleofNPLsonthesupplysidewillincrease,andmoreopportunitiesforrestructuring,mergersandacquisitionswillarise,thisisinadditiontothegrowthofsmallandmedium-sizedbankbail-outsopportunities.Ontheotherhand,theincreaseddiversityofNPLsfromcommercialbanks,thelargermarketsize,andthedifferenceinvaluationandpricinglogicfromtraditionalNPLs,willposehigherprofessionalrequirementsandchallengesforAMCs.
CBIRCIssuedtheNoticeonLaunchingtheSecondBatchofNPLTransferPilotProject
Onthe30thofDecember2022,CBIRCissuedtheNoticetoexpandtheNPLtransferorscopeofthepilotproject.Undertheexpandedpilot,continuingonthesamebasisastheinitialpilot,ChinaDevelopmentBank,ChinaExport-ImportBank,AgriculturalDevelopmentBankofChina,aswellastrustcompanies,consumerfinancecompanies,autofinancecompaniesandfinancialleasingcompaniesareallincludedintheproject;Besidestheaforementionedentities,citycommercialbanksandsmallandmedium-sizedruralbankinginstitutionsregisteredinBeijing,Hebei,InnerMongolia,Liaoning,Heilongjiang,Shanghai,Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Henan,GuangdongandGansuwerealsoincludedinthescope.
Comments:Thisexpansionincludespolicybanksandnon-bankfinancialinstitutionsinthescopeofthepilotprogram,enhancingthediversityofNPLsources.Withthediversedegreeofassetriskclassesacrossthetransferorswithinthepilotproject,thedegreeofassetqualitydifferentiationmaybeenhanced,andthetransferpricewillbefurtherstratified,whichfurtherenrichestheassetdiversityinthemarket.
ANumberofAMCsHaveBeenApprovedtoConnecttoCreditReferenceCenterSystemofPBoC
ZheshangAMC,ChinaMerchantsPingAnAMCandseveralotherlicensedAMCshavebeengrantedapprovaltoconnecttotheCreditReferenceCenterSystemofPBoC,whichwillallowthemtoaccessthepersonalcreditprofiles.
Comments:AsthecompetitionintheNPLindustryintensifies,AMCshavebeguntoseeksupply-sidesourcesofexpansionaroundthe"largerscopeofNPLs",andthepersonalNPLbusinesshasbecomethechoiceofmany
AMCs.ConnectiontothecreditreferencesystemofPBoCisanecessarystepforAMCstocarryoutpersonalNPLbusiness.
Note[1]CBIRCwasabolishedinMarch2023aspartofaplantooverhaulgovernmentagencies,beingreplacedbytheNationalAdministrationofFinancialRegulation(NAFR).
Page|3
AccesstoFinancialAMCs[1]FurtherEased
Onthe17thofNovember2023,NFRAreleasestheImplementationMeasuresfortheAdministrativeLicensingofNon-bankFinancialInstitutions.ThenewMeasure,whichwilltakeeffectonNovember10th,allowsoverseasnon-financialinstitutionstoinvestinfinancialAMCs,andabolishesthetotalassetsrequirementforoverseasfinancialinstitutionstobeinvestorsoffinancialAMCs.
Overseasnon-financialinstitutions,asinvestorstoafinancialAMC,musthavemorethan10yearsofexperienceinoperatingandmanagingnon-performingassetinvestmentandmanagement.Inaddition,itmustbeingoodfinancialstandingandhavemadeconsecutiveprofitsinthelast2fiscalyears;ifitisthecontrollingshareholderofthefinancialAMC,itmusthavemadeconsecutiveprofitsinthelast3fiscalyears.Thebalanceofequityinvestmentshallinprinciplenotexceed50%ofthenetassetsoftheenterprise(includingtheamountofthecurrentinvestment);asacontrollingshareholderofafinancialassetmanagementcompany,thebalanceofequityinvestmentshallinprinciplenotexceed40%ofthenetassetsoftheenterprise(includingtheamountofthecurrentinvestment).Thefundsforequityparticipationmustbeownfunds,andnonon-ownfundssuchasentrustedfundsordebtfundsisallowedforequityparticipation.
Comments:Comparedwiththepreviousversion,thebiggestchangeinthenewMeasuresisthatoverseasnon-bankingfinancialinstitutionsareallowedtoinvestinfinancialAMCs,whichisarelaxationofthepreviousrestrictionthatoverseasinvestmentinstitutionsmustbefinancialinstitutions.Inaddition,therequirementsforthetotalassetsizeofforeigninvestmentinstitutionshavebeencancelled,butaddingtherequirementsfornetassetratio,operatingandmanagementexperienceofnon-performingassetinstitutions,andcontinuousprofitability.Generallyspeaking,theoverallrequirementsforforeigninstitutionstoinvestinfinancialAMCshavebeenrelaxed,andmorespecificrequirementshavebeenputforwardforinvestmentinstitutionsintermsoftheirprofessionalisminthefieldofnon-performingassetsandfinancialstatus.
ChinaBondYindengNon-PerformingAssetExchangeCenter(Beijing)Co(CBY-NPLEx)FormallyCompletedtheChangeofCompanyNamefromHuarongZhongguancunDistressedAssetExchangeCo
Accordingtothecompany'swebsite,CBY-NPLExisastate-ownedenterpriseundertheChinaCentralDepository&ClearingCo.,Ltd.andheldbytheBankingCreditAssetsRegistrationandCirculationCenterCo.,Ltd.witharegisteredcapitalofRMB500million.CBY-NPLExisaspecializedassetexchangevenueapprovedbytheGovernment,withbusinessscopeoftradingofnon-performingassets(includingdebt,equity,physicalobjects,etc.)andotherkindsofdebtassetstrading,enterprise
managementconsulting,investmentandfinancinginformationintermediaryandbrokerageconsulting.
On13thofDecember2021,ChinaHuarongAMCcompletedthetransferofa79.6%stakeinHuarongZhongguancunDistressedAssetExchangeCotoYindengCenter,withatransferpriceofRMB323million.
Comments:SincethereleaseoftheCircularoftheGeneralOfficeofCBIRConthePilotWorkofNPLTransferin2021andthepilotprogrammeofpersonalNPLtransfer,YindengCenterhasbecomeoneofthemainstreamNPLtradingplatforms.AccordingtothedataoftheYindengCenter,thecurrentNPLtransactionvolumeintheYindengCenteraccountforarelativelyhighproportionofpersonalNPLportfoliotrade.WiththeestablishmentoftheCBY-NPLEx,theconstructionofYindengCenter'sNPLtradingplatformhasbeenfurtherpromoted,anditisexpectedthatthetradingscale,assettypesandcounterpartieswillbefurtherexpanded.
TheStateCommissionOfficeofPublicSectorsReform(SCOPSR)HasOfficiallyReleasedProvisionsontheFunctions,StructureandStaffingofNAFR
TheProvisionsoutliningtheNAFR’sfunctions,structure,andstaffing,comeon10thofNovember2023,twoweeksafterthetwice-a-decadeCentralFinancialWorkConferenceinBeijing.
ItproposesthatthefunctionsoftakingtheleadincrackingdownonillegalfinancialactivitieswithinNAFRinclude"Toformulatearegulatorysystemforlocalfinancialorganizationssuchasmicrofinancecompanies,financialguaranteecompanies,pawnbrokers,financialleasingcompanies,commercialfactoringcompanies,provincial
AMCs,etc.,andtoguideandsupervisetherelevantoperationalworkoflocalfinancialsupervisoryauthorities".
Comments:Inthepast,thesupervisionofprovincialAMCswastheresponsibilityoftheDepartmentofInclusiveFinanceintheCBIRC,andnowitistheresponsibilityoftheBureauofCombatingIllegalFinancialActivitiesofNAFR,andthesupervisionofprovincialAMCshasbeenexplicitlyincludedintheregulatoryframeworkofNAFR.Previously,thereisnounifiedregulatorysystemforprovincialAMCs,andsomeprovinceshaveintroducedtheirownregulatoryapproach.Recently,theInterimMeasuresfortheSupervisionandAdministrationofProvincialAssetManagementCompanieshavebeenreleasedtotheindustryforcomments,anditisexpectedthattheregulatoryapproachforprovincialAMCswillbeintroducedsoon,andthedegreeofindustrystandardizationwillrisefurther.
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
Note[1]TheFinancialAssetManagementCompaniesrefertothenationalBigFiveAMCs,i.e.,CindaAMC,CITICFinancialAMC(formerlyknownas
HuarongAMC),GreatWallAMC,OrientAMC,andGalaxyAMC.Itisaddedthat,onJanuary25,2024,ChinaHuarongAssetManagementCo.,Ltd.changeditsnametoChinaCITICFinancialAssetManagementCo.,Ltd.,andothercontentsofthebusinesslicenseremainedunchanged.
Page|4
REPORT
Exhibit1-1NPLBalanceinChinaCommercialBanks
Balance(RMBtrillion)
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
NPLBalanceNPLRatio%
'18'19'20'21'22'23
2.0%
1.9%
1.8%
1.7%
1.6%
1.5%
CHINANPL–MARKET
Source:NationalAdministrationofFinancialRegulation
Asoftheendof2023,theNPLbalanceofChina’scommercialbankswasRMB3.23trillion(US$448billion),anincreaseofRMB243billionyear-on-year.Meanwhile,theNPLratioofChinacommercialbankswas1.59%,adecreaseof4bpscomparedtotheendof2022.
In2023,theoverallassetqualityofthebankingindustryremainedstable,andmajorfinancialinstitutionscontinuedtheirpreviouseffortstodisposeofnon-performingassets,andactivelyadoptedavarietyofmeanstopreventandresolvefinancialrisks.Overall,in2023,China'scommercialbankscontinuedtomaintainthetrendofrisingNPLbalances,decreasingNPLratio,andgraduallyslowingdownthepaceofcompression.Thecurrenteconomiclandscapeiscomplexandvolatile,andsomepotentialNPLsmaybetemporarilycoveredordelayedexposure,increasingthedifficultyofriskpreventionandcontrolinthebankingsector.
Note:FXrateof1USD:7.2RMB
Page|5
Exhibit1-2ProvincialNPLBalances(RMBbillion)andRatiosbytheendof2023
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
235.7
174.0165.4
134.9125.2
116.6110.8106.3
99.8
94.886.2
t
75.979.074.5
71.1
66.959.8
58.858.252.7
Guangdong(1) Hebei(2) Jiangsu(3) Zhejiang(4) Shandong(5) Sichuan(6) Beijing(7) Shanghai(8) Gansu(9) Fujian(10) Hunan(11) Anhui(12) Jiangxi(13) Guangxi(14) Guizhou(15)Chongqing(16) Henan(17)Heilongjiang(18) Tianjin(19)Shanxi(20)
44.4
36.819.0
TotalNPLRatio(%)inBankingIndustry|2023
>3%
2%-3%
1%-2%
<1%
Notdisclosed
Jilin(21)Xinjiang(22)Hainan(23)
Source:NationalAdministrationofFinancialRegulation
Note:DataforGansuProvinceareforthethirdquarterof2023;NoavailabledataformprovincesofInnerMongolia,Liaoning,Hubei,Yunnan,Tibet,Shaanxi,Qinghai,andNingxia
BasedonthelatestreporteddataineachprovincialbranchoftheNAFR,theNPLbalancesandratiosaredisplayedasabove(dataofsomeprovincesisnotdisclosed).ItisevidentthatintheprovincesofGansu,Hainan,Heilongjiang,Jilin,andHebei,theNPLratioisatanextremelyhighlevel.TheNPLratioinotherprovincesarerelativelymanageable,especiallyintheprovincesthatforeigninvestorshaveshownthemostinterestin,includingJiangsuprovince(0.70%),Zhejiangprovince(0.62%),Guangdongprovince(1.35%),andFujianprovince(1.15%).
Page|6
Chapter2:OverviewofRecentNPLTransactions
“ThenumberofNPLtransactionswasatahighlevelin2023andisexpectedtoincreasein2024duetotheincreasingsupplyvolume.Withthesituationsofbankingsectorgrapplingwitharealestatecrisis,localgovernmentdebtwoesandrisingindividualdelinquenciesasChina'spost-Covidrecoveryfades,underGovernment’srequirementsofacceleratingthedisposalofNPLstofendoffsystemicfinancialrisks,theNPLmarketwillstillbepromisinginthecomingyears.
Startingfrom2024,weaddmarkettradeinformationforpersonalNPLsasyoucanseein
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
11.Overall,thePersonalNPLMarketisincreasinglyattractinginvestors’attentionafterthepilotprogramexpandedwithfarmoreplayersoffinancialinstitutions”
Exhibit2-1NPLBid&TransactionTrend
30-dayAvarage(RMBBillion)
16.014.012.010.08.06.04.02.0
--
——NPLbidvolume——NPLtransactionvolume
Note:datainchartisgenerateddailybycalculatingthelatest30-daymovingaverageofthevolumeofbidortransactioncasesSource:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
TheNPLbidvolumefluctuateddownwardsthroughout2023,withmarketactivationweakeningandoverallsizelevelslowerthanthroughout2022.NPLtransactionvolumewaslessvolatileandremainedatahighlevelingeneral.Theoveralltransactionvolumewashigherthanlastyear,resultingintheshrinkinggapbetweentransactionandbidvolume,indicatingstrengthenedmarketliquiditycomparedtolastyear.
Basedonhistorictrends–similartrendsforbidandtransactionvolume,withthelatterlaggingbehindby3to6months,transactionvolumeisexpectedtocontinuetheincreasein2024,andtheNPLbidvolume,inotherwords,marketsupplywillincreaseaswellastheyearendlevelin2023ishigherthanthatin2022.
BreakdownofNPLTransactionVolumebyMarket
Generally,onlylicensedAMCs(nationalAMCsandprovincialAMCs)areallowedtopurchaseNPLsona“bulk”basisfromChinesebanks(3ormoreNPLsperthecurrentdefinitionof“bulk”transfer).TheacquisitionofNPLportfoliosdirectlyfromChinesebanksorotherChinesefinancialinstitutionsisreferredtoasaPrimaryMarketTransaction.
TheacquisitionofNPLportfoliosfromlicensedAMCsbyinvestors(bothdomesticandforeign)andthesubsequenttransferofNPLportfoliosamonginvestorsarereferredtoasSecondaryMarketTransactions.
Thisreportenclosesprimarymarkettransactionsandpartofsecondarymarkettransactions,whichonlyincludestransactiondatafromthetradesmadebylicensedAMCstoinvestors.Itdoesnotincludeanytransactionsbetweentwoprivateinvestors.
Page|7
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
Proportionin2023
16%
23%
18%
40%
Exhibit2-2NPLTransactionVolume–SellerBreakdowninthePrimaryMarket
(RMBBillion)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
--
94
61
51
49
44
4039383940
35
26
29262828
10
2018191819
1415
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
CityCommercialBanksBig5Banks
Joint-stockBanksPolicyBanks
RuralCommercialBanksOtherBanks
Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
In2023,thetotalsizeofNPLtransactionsfrombankswasapproximatelyRMB400.7billion,ayear-on-yearincreaseof
0.5%.Thisbreakdownwasprimarilydrivenbythelargeassetvolumeoftraditionalbigbanks(Big5banksandlargejoint-
stockbanks)thatresultsinadominantmarketposition.
Proportionin2023
18%
23%
10%
9%
16%
21%
Exhibit2-3NPLTransactionVolume–BuyerBreakdowninthePrimaryMarket
(RMBBillion)
100
80
60
40
20
--
94
61
51
49
403938443940
2935262828
14201819181915
26
10
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
GreatWallOrientCITICCindaGalaxyProvincialLicensedAMCsOthers*
Note*:"Others"herereferstoinstitutionswithoutAMClicense,mainlyprivateenterprises,foreigninstitutions,andindividualinvestors.Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute.
AmongthebuyersinChina’sprimaryNPLmarket,theBigFiveAMCs(CITIC,Cinda,Orient,GreatWall,Galaxy)purchasedapproximatelyRMB233.6billion,provinciallicensedAMCspurchasedapproximatelyRMB93.0billion,andotherinvestorspurchasedapproximatelyRMB74.0billion.AsidefromtheBigFiveAMCs,thepurchasesizesofotherinstitutionsalldecreasedcomparedtolastyear.ThepurchasesizeofCindaAMCrosethemost,up139.1%year-on-year.
Page|8
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
Proportionin2023
17%
37%
8%
16%
22%
Exhibit2-4NPLTransactionVolume–SellerBreakdownintheSecondaryMarket
(RMBBillion)
60
50
40
30
20
10
--
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
57
4444
37
42
353436
414041
33
29
27
31
26
3028
22
1916
16
22
11
GreatWallOrientCITICCindaGalaxyProvincialLicensedAMCs
Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
TotalNPLsalesfromlicensedAMCsin2023haveincreasedby0.4%year-on-yeartoRMB379.7billion,andamongtheBigFiveAMCs,CindaAMChadthelargestproportionofNPLtransactions,whileGalaxyAMChadthesmallestproportion(approximately0.6%).Regardlessofthebidscaleortransactionscale,theBig5AMCs(morespecifically,thepreviousBig4AMCs)stillmaintaintheirpositionasthedominantsellersinthesecondarymarket.
Proportionin2023
18%
80%
Exhibit2-5NPLTransactionVolume–BuyerBreakdownintheSecondaryMarket
(RMBBillion)
60
50
40
30
20
10
--
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
57
44
37
42
41
40
44
41
35
36
29
27
33
30
26
34
3028
22
16
19
16
22
11
uBig5AMCsuProvincialLicensedAMCsuOtherInvestors
Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
RegardingNPLssoldbylicensedAMCsinthesecondarymarket,approximatelyRMB303.7billionwerepurchasedbyinvestorsotherthanlicensedAMCsorintheproportionof80%,whichdecreasedby2.5%year-on-yearintheamountanddecreasedby2.2%intheproportion,andRMB68.8billionwerepurchasedbyprovinciallicensedAMCs,whiletheBigFiveAMCs(morespecifically,thepreviousBig4AMCs)purchasedRMB6.2billion.
Thesecondarymarketremainsaprimarilynon-licensed-AMCinvestorsmarket,wherethelackofpolicyandgovernmentguidanceinthesecondarymarketcreatesamorecompetitiveandprice-sensitivemarketdynamic.
Page|9
NPLBid&TransactionVolumeDistribution
NPLbiddingvolumeswereheavilyconcentratedinasmallnumberofprovinces,withthetopfiveaccountingfor48%oftotalNPLbidsin2023andseeingproportionreduceof2%comparingto2022’s.
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
OfTotal%
5
BiddingVolume
(RMBbn)
RankProvince
4
t
2
3
1
Guangdong
339.3
16.01%
2
Jiangsu
215.9
10.19%
3
Henan
165.1
7.79%
4
Shandong
162.3
7.66%
5
Liaoning
127.8
6.03%
1
Note:Excepttop5provinces,gradationofgreyinmapindicatesbidvolumerange,thedeepercolour,thehighervolume,sameforbelow.
Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
t
3
5
4
1
Likewise,NPLtransactionvolumeswerealsoheavilyconcentratedin2023,andtogether,thetop5provinceswiththelargestNPLtransactionsizeaccountedforappropriately54%ofthevolumeoftotalChineseNPLtransactionsbutseeing6%decreasefrom2022.Thecompositionofthetop5provincesremainedunchangedwithonlythedifferentorderscomparedto2022,exceptLiaoningandZhejiangprovinces,whichstatesthatfinancialinstitutionsinLiaoningprovincewereveryeagertodisposeofNPLsandthattheNPLmarketinZhejiangprovincewasinextremelyhighliquidity.
Rank
Province
TransactionVolume
(RMBbn)
OfTotal%
1
Zhejiang
150.6
14.79%
2
Guangdong
137.4
13.49%
3
Shandong
121.2
11.90%
4
Jiangsu
79.6
7.82%
5
Henan
63.2
6.21%
Source:PublicInformation,ZheshangAssetResearchInstitute
2
ConsideringthescaleofNPLbidsandtransactions,theNPLmarketactivitiesintheYangtzeRiverDelta(JiangsuProvince,ZhejiangProvince)andthePearlRiverDelta(GuangdongProvince)arestillrobustandstableastheNPLmarketismoreactiveandpopularinthesetwodevelopedregions,andintheShandongprovince,Henanprovince,andLiaoningprovince,theNPLbidand/ortransactionvolumeisalsoquitelarge,likelyduetolocalpolicyrequirementsonbanksandlicensedAMCstodisposeofNPLsofacertainsize.
Page|10
PersonalNPLMarket
In2023,atotalof390personalNPLportfoliosweresoldinthemarket,withthebusinessscale(claimOPBandGLB)totallingRMB96.53billion,farexceedingthatof2022bothintermsofquantityandamount,andshowinganoverallupwardtrend,withhugemarketpotential.
AsExhibit2-6showsbelow,ineachofthelastthreequartersof2023,transactionvolumesweresignificantlylargerthanthatinthefirstquarter,partiallybecause,inthefirstquarterof2023,thenewlyaddedpilotinstitutionswerestillinthestageofopeningaccountsinYinDengCenterorpackagingpersonalNPLportfoliosforsale.
CHINANPL–MARKETREPORT
AsfarasthesourceofpersonalNPLportfolioswasconcerned,joint-stockbanksweretheabsolutemainforce,withPingAnBanklistingpersonalNPLportfoliosinYinDengCenterin2023farexceedingotherbanksbothintermsofnumberandamount.AcquirersweredominatedbyprovincialAMCs.In2023,ZheshangAMCacquiredasuper-sizedpersonalNPLportfoliofromHomeCreditConsumerFinanceCompanywithanoutstandingprincipalbalance(OPB)ofRMB15.76billionandagrossloanbalance(GLB)ofRMB16.98billion,andotherprovincialAMCssuchasLiaoningFuAnFinancialAMC,GuangzhouAMC,GuohouAMC,andNingxiaFinancialAMCwerealsoactivelylayingoutpersonalNPLmarket.TheBigFiveAMCswerealsograduallygettinginvolved,buttheywereenteringthemarketmoreintheformoffundersthroughcooperationwithpersonalNPLdisposalcompanies.
Exhibit2-6OverviewofPersonalNPLPortfoliosTransactedinYinDengCenter
50.0045.0040.0035.0030.0025.0020.0015.0010.005.00
-
182
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
-
5.4
6.4
5.2
9.0
47.5
34.9
89
92
41
27
25
22
13
7
10
2021Q32021Q42022Q12022Q22022Q32022Q42023Q12023Q22023Q32023Q4
TotalTransaction
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