益普索-全球消費者信心已接近大流行前水平（英文）-2021.3-5正式版-WN4

PRESSRELEASE

Globalconsumerconfidencegettingclosertopre-pandemiclevel

Nosignificantmonth-on-monthdropinconsumersentimentrecordedinanymarket

Washington,DC,March17,2021—At44.7,thismonth’sIpsosGlobalConsumerConfidenceIndexisupbyeight-tenthsofapointoverlastmonth,markinganewhighsincethestartoftheCOVID-19pandemicayearago.

TheGlobalConsumerConfidenceIndexistheaverageof24worldmarkets’NationalIndices.Itisbasedonamonthlysurveyofmorethan17,500adultsundertheageof75conductedonIpsos’GlobalAdvisoronlineplatform.ThissurveywasfieldedbetweenFebruary19andMarch5,2021.

Sixofthe24surveyedmarketsshowsignificantgrowthintheirNationalIndexwhencomparedtoFebruary2021:GreatBritain(+3.6),theUnitedStates(+2.2),Belgium(+1.8),Canada(+1.7),Japan(+1.7),andTurkey(+1.6).Meanwhile,notasinglemarkethasexperiencedasignificantdrop,definedas1.5indexpointsormore.

NationalIndexTrends

RoughlyoneyearaftertheWorldHealthOrganizationdeclaredCOVID-19apandemiconMarch11,2020,theGlobalConsumerConfidenceIndexcomesinat44.7,aboutfourpointsbelowwhereitwasthen(48.5)aswellasacoupleofmonthsearlier,inJanuary2020(48.7),justbeforetheworldhadheardofthecoronavirus.Witha0.8-pointuptickoverFebruary2021’sreading,theindexshowsamonthlyincreaseforthefourthstraightmonth.

WithaNationalIndexabove50,China(71.8),SaudiArabia(62.9),India(56.9),Sweden(55.9),Australia(55.4),theUnitedStates(52.5),andGermany(51.9)arethehighestindexingmarketssurveyed.

JusttwomarketshaveaNationalIndexbelow35:SouthAfrica(34.7)andTurkey(33.6).Neithercountry’sindexhassurpassed35sinceearly2020(AprilandMarch,respectively).

AlthoughGreatBritain’sNationalIndexcontinuestotrailthatofothercountries,itshowssignificantgrowththismonth.Itisup3.6pointsto48.4,just1.8pointsbelowitsJanuary2020level(50.2).

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PRESSRELEASE

Expectations,Jobs,andInvestmentIndexTrends

TheExpectations,Jobs,andInvestmentIndicesalldisplaygrowthsinceFebruary2021.Amongthe24marketssurveyed,GreatBritainandtheUnitedStatespostsignificantgainsforeachindex.

TheglobalJobsIndexisupslightly,withamonth-on-monthgainof0.8pointto49.8,butitstilltrailsitsJanuary2020readingby6.6points.GreatBritainandTurkeyshowthelargestgrowthintheirJobsIndexsincelastmonth,andnocountrypostsasignificantdecline.

However,China(+3.7)istheonlymarketwhoseJobsIndexnowsurpassesitsJanuary2020reading.

TheglobalInvestmentIndexcurrentlyreadsat39.2,up0.7pointfromlastmonth.GreatBritain,theUnitedStates,andBelgiumallpostincreasesofmorethan2points.Atthesametime,SaudiArabia,Brazil,andHungarydisplaymonth-on-monthdeficits.

TheglobalExpectationsIndex,indicativeofconsumers’outlookontheirlocaleconomy,financialsituation,andemploymentringsinat55.5.ItdisplaysthelargestgainacrossindicesandtrailsitsJanuary2020readingbyjust1.5points.AswiththeJobsIndex,noneofthemarketssurveyedshowasignificantdropintheirExpectationsIndexoverlastmonth.GreatBritainpoststhegreatestmonth-on-monthincreaseof5.1points.

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PRESSRELEASE

JobsIndex

ExpectationsIndex

InvestmentIndex

(Jobsecurityconfidence,jobloss

(Personalfinancial,community

(Purchasingandinvestmentconfidence,

experience,employmentoutlook)

economy,andemploymentoutlook)

personalfinancialsituationandoutlook)

GlobalAverage:49.8

GlobalAverage:55.5

GlobalAverage:39.2

Changevs.February2021globally:+0.8

Changevs.February2021globally:+1.1

Changevs.February2021globally:+0.7

LargestgainssinceFebruary:

LargestgainssinceFebruary:

LargestgainssinceFebruary:

?GreatBritain:+3.6

?GreatBritain:+5.1

?GreatBritain:+3.0

?Turkey:+2.0

?Spain:+2.3

?UnitedStates:+2.8

?Canada:+1.8

?Canada:+1.9

?Belgium:+2.2

?UnitedStates:+1.6

?Sweden:+1.8

?Japan:+1.9

?India:+1.5

?Turkey:+1.5

?Russia:+1.8

?UnitedStates:+1.5

LargestdropssinceFebruary:

?Israel:+1.5

LargestdropssinceFebruary:

?Mexico:+1.5

?

Nocountriesdisplayedsignificantdrops

?

SaudiArabia:-1.7

sinceFebruary2021

?Brazil:-1.5

LargestdropssinceFebruary:

?Hungary:-1.5

?Nocountriesdisplayedsignificantdrops

sinceFebruary2021

Changevs.January2020globally:-6.6

LargestgainssinceJanuary:

China:+3.7

LargestdropssinceJanuary:

Israel:-20.1

Mexico:-15.8

Poland:-14.3

UnitedStates:-14.0

Hungary:-13.7

Changevs.January2020globally:-1.5

Changevs.January2020globally:-3.2

LargestgainssinceJanuary:

LargestgainssinceJanuary:

?Australia:+10.5

?Australia:+4.8

?China:+4.6

?GreatBritain:+2.7

?Sweden:+2.6

?France:+2.1

?Turkey:+2.0

?SaudiArabia:+1.7

LargestdropssinceJanuary:

?Brazil:-12.1

LargestdropssinceJanuary:

?Mexico:-10.4

?Poland:-8.4

?Israel:-9.6

?Argentina:-6.2

?UnitedStates:-9.4

?Israel:-5.9

?Poland:-8.9

?France:-5.7

?Hungary:-5.4

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ChrisJackson

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+1202463-7300

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chris.jackson@

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PRESSRELEASE

AbouttheStudy

ThesefindingsarebasedondatafromRefinitiv/Ipsos’PrimaryConsumerSentimentIndex(PCSI)collectedinamonthlysurveyofconsumersfrom24marketsviaIpsos’GlobalAdvisoronlinesurveyplatform.Forthissurvey,Ipsosinterviewsatotalof17,500+adultsaged18-74intheUnitedStatesofAmerica,Canada,Israel,Turkey,SouthAfrica;andage16-74inallothermarketseachmonth.Themonthlysampleconsistsof1,000+individualsineachofAustralia,Brazil,Canada,China(mainland),France,Germany,Italy,Japan,Spain,GreatBritain,andtheU.S.,and500+individualsineachofArgentina,Belgium,Hungary,India,Israel,Mexico,Poland,Russia,SaudiArabia,SouthAfrica,SouthKorea,Sweden,andTurkey.

Datacollectedeachmonthareweightedsothateachcountry’ssamplecompositionbestreflectsthedemographicprofileoftheadultpopulationaccordingtothecountry’smostrecentcensusdata.Datacollectedeachmontharealsoweightedtogiveeachcountryanequalweightinthetotal“global”sample.Onlinesurveyscanbetakenasrepresentativeofthegeneralworking-agepopulationinArgentina,Australia,Belgium,Canada,France,Germany,GreatBritain,Hungary,Italy,Japan,Poland,SouthKorea,Spain,Sweden,andtheUnitedStates.OnlinesamplesinBrazil,mainlandChina,India,Israel,Mexico,Russia,SaudiArabia,SouthAfrica,andTurkeyaremoreurban,moreeducated,and/ormoreaffluentthanthegeneralpopulationandtheresultsshouldbeviewedasreflectingtheviewsofamore“connected”population.

Samplesurveysandpollsmaybesubjecttoothersourcesoferror,including,butnotlimitedtocoverageerror,andmeasurementerror.TheprecisionoftheRefinitiv/IpsosonlinesurveysismeasuredusingaBayesianCredibilityInterval.Here,thepollhasacredibilityintervalof+/-2.0pointsforcountrieswherethe3-monthsampleis3,000+and+/-2.9pointsforcountrieswherethe3-monthsampleis1,500+.Pleaseclick

here

formoreinformation.

Thepublicationofthesefindingsabidesbylocalrulesandregulations.

TheresultsreportedeachmonthintheRefinitiv/Ipsos’

PrimaryConsumerSentimentIndex

arebasedonlyonthatmonth’sdata(hence,thebaseforeachcountryis500+or1,000+)andcomparisonsaremadeagainstresultsfromothermonthswhicharealsoeachbasedononemonth’sdata.Incontrast,theresultsreportedanygivenmonthinIpsos’sGlobalConsumerConfidenceat-a-Glancearebasedondatacollectednotonlythatmonth,butalsoduringthetwopreviousmonthsandconsistofpast3-month“rollingaverages”.Thistechniqueallowsfortriplingthesamplesizeforeachmetric.Hence,thebaseforanycountryrangesfrom1,500+to3,000+.Thisincreasesthereliabilityofthefindingsandthestatisticalsignificanceofreportedvariationsovertime,However,toheightenthefr