2017年江蘇省高考英語試卷

2017年江蘇省高考英語試卷

第一部分聽力（共兩節(jié)，滿分20分）

1.（1分）Whatdoesthewomanthinkofthemovie?

A.It'samusing.B.It'sexciting.C.It'sdisappointing.

2.（1分）HowwillSusanspendmostofhertimeinFrance?

A.Travelingaround.

B.Studyingataschool.

C.Lookingafterheraunt.

3.（1分）Whatarethespeakerstalkingabout?

A.Goingout.

B.Orderingdrinks.

C.Preparingforaparty.

4.（1分）Wherearethespeakers?

A.Inaclassroom.B.Inalibrary.C.Inabookstore.

5.（1分）Whatisthemangoingtodo?

A.GoonInternets.Makeaphonecall.C.Takeatraintrip.

6.（2分）聽第6段材料，回答第6、7題.

6.Whatisthewomanlookingfor?

A.Aninformationoffice.B.ApolicestationC.Ashoerepairshop.

7.WhatistheTownGuideaccordingtotheman?

A.Abrochure.B.Anewspaper.C.Amap.

8.（2分）聽第7段材料，回答第8、9題.

8.Whatdoesthemansayabouttherestaurant?

A.It'sthebiggestonearound.

B.Itoffersmanytastydishes.

C.It'sfamousforitsseafood.

9.Whatwillthewomanprobablyorder?

A.FriedfishB.Roastchicken.C.Beefsteak.

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10.（3分）聽第8段材料，回答第10至12題.

10.WherewillMr.Whitebeat11o'clock?

A.AttheofficeB.Attheairport.C.Attherestaurant.

11.WherewillMr.Whiteprobablydoatoneintheafternoon?

A.Receiveaguest.B.Haveameeting.C.Readareport.

12.WherewillMissWilsonseeMr.White?

A.Atlunchtime.

B.Lateintheafternoon.

C.Thenextmorning.

13.（4分）聽第9段材料，回答第13至16題.

13.WhyisBillgoingtoGermany?

A.Toworkonaproject.

B.TostudyGerman.

C.Tostartanewcompany.

14.WhatdidthewomandislikeaboutGermany?

A.Theweather.B.Thefood.C.Theschools.

15.WhatdoesBillhopetodoabouthisfamily?

A.BringthemtoGermany.

B.LeavetheminEngland.

C.Visittheminafewmonths.

16.Whatistheprobablerelationshipbetweenthespeakers?

A.Fellow-travelers.B.Colleagues.C.Classmates.

17.（4分）聽第10段材料，回答第17至20題.

17.WhendiditrainlasttimeinJuarez?

A.Threedaysago.B.Amonthago.C.Ayearago.

18.Whatseasonisitnowinjuarez?

A.Spring.B.Summer.C.Autumn.

19.Whataretheelderlyadvisedtodo?

A.Takeawalkinafternoon.

B.Keeptheirhomescool.

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C.Drinkplentyofwater.

20.Whatisthespeakerdoing?

A.Hostingaradioprogram.

B.Conductingaseminar.

C.Forecastingtheweather.

第二部分：英語知識(shí)運(yùn)用（共兩節(jié)）第一節(jié)：單項(xiàng)填空（共15小題；每小題1分，滿分15

分）

21.（1分）ManyChinesebrands,theirreputationsovercenturies,arefacingnewchallenges

fromthemodernmarket.（）

A.havingdevelopedB.beingdeveloped

C.developedD.developing

22.（1分）notforthesupportoftheteachers,thestudentcouldnotovercomeher

difficulty.（）

A.ItwereB.WereitC.ItwasD.Wasit

23.（1分）LocatedtheBeltmeetstheRoad,JiangsuwillcontributemoretotheBeltand

Roadconstruction.（）

A.whyB.whenC.whichD.where

24.（1分）ThepublicationofGreatExpectations,whichbothwidelyreviewedandhighly

praised,strengthenedDickens'statusasaleadingnovelist.（）

A.isB.areC.wasD.were

25.（1分）WorkingwiththemedicalteaminAfricahasthebestinherasadoctor.（）

A.heldoutB.broughtoutC.pickedoutD.givenout

26.（1分）Wechoosethishotelbecausethepriceforanighthereisdownto$20,halfofit

usedtocharge.（）

A.thatB.whichC.whatD.how

27.（1分）Hehurriedhome,neveroncelookingbacktoseeifhe.（）

A.wasbeingfollowedB.wasfollowing

C.hadbeenfollowedD.followed

28.（1分）In1963theUNsetuptheWorldFoodProgramme,oneofpurposesistorelieve

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worldwidestarvation.()

A.whichB.it'sC.whoseD.whom

29.(1分)OnlyfiveyearsafterSteveJobs'death,smart-phonesdefeatedPCsin

sales.()

A.controversialB.contradictory

C.confidentialD.conventional

30.(1分)Aquickreviewofsuccessesandfailuresattheendofyearwillhelpyouryear

ahead.()

A.shapeB.switchC.stretchD.sharpen

31.(1分)He'sbeeninformedthatheforthescholarshipbecauseofhisacademic

background.()

A.hasn'tqualifiedB.hadn'tqualified

C.doesn'tqualifyD.wasn'tqualifying

32.(1分)Determiningwhereweareoursurroundingsremainsanessentialskillforour

survival.()

A.incontrasttoB.indefenseof

C.infaceofD.inrelationto

33.(1分)--WhatdoesthestuffonyourT-shirtmean?()

--It'snothing.Justsomething.

A.asclearasdayB.offthetopofmyhead

C.undermynoseD.beyondmywildestdreams

34.(1分)Thedisappearanceofdinosaursisnotnecessarilycausedbyastronomicalincidents.But

explanationsarehardtofind.()

A.alternativeB.aggressiveC.ambiguousD.apparent

35.(1分)--GoingtowatchtheWomen'sVolleyballMatchonWednesday?

--!Willyougowithme?()

A.YouthereB.Youbet

C.YougotmeD.Youknowbetter

第二節(jié)：完形填空(滿分20分)請(qǐng)閱讀下面短文，從短文后各題所給的A、B、C、D四個(gè)選

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項(xiàng)中，選出最佳選項(xiàng)，并在答題卡上將該項(xiàng)涂黑.

36.(20分)ForalongtimeGabrieldidn'twanttobeinvolvedinmusicatall.Inhisfirstyearsof

highschool,Gabrielwouldlookpityinglyatmusicstudents,(36)acrossthecampus

withtheirheavyinstrumentcases.(37)atschoolforpracticehours(38)

anyoneelsehadtobethere.Hesworetohimselfto(39)music,ashehatedgettingto

schoolextraearly.

(40),oneday,inthemusicclassthatwas(41)ofhisschool'sstandard

curriculum,hewasplayingidly(隨意地)onthepianoandfoundit(42)topickout

tunes.Withasinkingfeeling,herealizedthatheactually(43)doingit.Hetriedtihide

his(44)pleasurefromthemusicteather,whohad(45)overtolisten.Hemight

nothavethisparticularlywell,(46)theteachertoldGabrielthathehadagood(47)

andsuggestedthatGabrielgointothemusinstore-roomtiseeifanyoftheinstrumentsthere

(48)him.Therehedecidedtogivethecello(大提琴)a(49).Whenhebegan

practicing,hetookitvery(50).Buthequicklyfoundthathelovedplayingthis

instrument,andwas(51)topracticingitsothatwithinacoupleofmonthshewas

playingreasonablywell.

This(52),ofcourse,thathearrivedatschoolearlyinthemorning,(53)his

heavyinstrumentcaseacrossthecampustothe(54)looksofthenon-musicianshehad

left(55).

36.A.travellingB.marchingC.pacingD.struggling

37.A.risingupB.comingupC.drivingupD.turningup

38.A.beforeB.afterC.untilD.since

39.A.betrayB.acceptC.avoidD.appreciate

40.A.ThereforeB.HoweverC.ThusD.Moreover

41.A.partB.natureC.basisD.spirit

42.A.complicateB.safeC.confusingD.easy

43.A.missedB.dislikedC.enioyedD.denied

44.A.transparentB.obviousC.falseD.similar

45.A.runB.joggedC.jumpedD.wandered

46.A.becauseB.butC.thoughD.so

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47.A.earB.tasteC.heartD.voice

48.A.occurredB.tooktoC.appealedD.heldto

49.A.changeB.chanceC.missionD.function

50.A.seriouslyB.proudlyC.casuallyD.admitted

51.A.committedB.usedC.limitedD.admitted

52.A.provedB.showedC.stressedD.meant

53.A.pushingB.draggingC.liftingD.rushing

54.A.admiringB.pityingC.annoyingD.teasing

55.A.overB.asideC.behindD.out

第三部分：閱讀理解（滿分30分）請(qǐng)閱讀下列短文,從短文后各題所給的A、B、C、D四個(gè)

選項(xiàng)中，選出最佳選項(xiàng)，并在答題卡上將該項(xiàng)涂黑.

56.（4分）CHRONOLOGICA

--TheUnbelievableYearsthatDefinedHistory

DIDYOUKNOW...

In105ADpaperwasinventedinChina?

WhenColumbusdiscoveredtheNewWorld?

TheBritishMuseumopenedin1759?

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CHRONOLOGICAisafascinatingjourneythroughtime,fromthefoundationofRometothe

creationoftheinternet.Alongthewayaretalesofkingsandqueens,hotairballoons...and

monkeysinspace.

TravelthroughlOOofthemostunbelievableyearsinworldhistoryandlearnwhybeingaRoman

Emperorwasn*talwaysasgoodasitsounds,howtheHundredYears'Wardidn'tactuallylastfor

lOOyearsandwhySpencerPercevalholdsaratherunfortunaterecord.

CHRONOLOGICAisaninformativeandentertainingtourintohistory,beautifullyillustratedandfull

ofunbelievablefacts.WhileCHRONOLOGICAtellsthestoriesoffamouspeopleinhistorysuchas

ThomasEdisonandAlexandertheGreat,thisbookalsogivesabaccountofthelivesoflesser-

knownindividualsincludingtheexploeerMungoParkandsculptorGutzonBorglum.

Thiscompletebutbriefhistoricalcollectioniscertaintoentertainreadersyoungandold,and

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guaranteedtopresenteventhebiggesthistoryloverwithsomgthingnew!

56.WhatisCHRONOLOGICAaccordingtothenext?

A.Abiography.B.Atravelguide.

C.Ahistorybook.D.Asciencefiction.

57.HowdoesthewriterrecommendCHRONOLOGICAtoreaders?

A.Bygivingdetailsofitscollection.

B.Byintroducingsomeofitscontents.

C.Bytellingstoriesatthebeginning.

D.Bycomparingitwithotherbooks.

Red-backedfairywrens（鵬鶉），whichliveinnorthernandeasternAustralia,laythreeorfour

eggsatatime.

Beforebirth,babiescantellthedifferencebetweenloudsoundsandvoices.Theycaneven

distinguishtheirmother'svoicefromthatofafemalestranger.Butwhenitcomestoembryonic

learning（月臺(tái)教），birdscouldruletheroost.AsrecentlyreportedinTheAuk：Ornithological

Adrances,somemotherbirdsmayteachtheiryoungtosingevenbeforetheyhatch（孵化）.New

-bornchickscanthenimitatetheirmom'scallwithinafewdaysofeneringtheworld.

Thiseducationalmethodwasfirstobservedin2012bySoniaKieindorfer,abiologistatFlinders

UniversityinSouthAustralia,andhercolleagues.FemaleAustraliansuperbfairywrenswerefound

torepeatonesoundoverandoveragainwhilehatchingtheireggs,Whentheeggswerehatched,

thebabybirdsmadethesimilarchirptotheirmothers-asoundthatservedastheirregular"feed

me!"call.

Tofindoutifthespecialqualitywasmorewidespreadinbirds,theresearcherssoughtthered-

backedfairywren,anotherspeciesofAustraliansongbird.Firsttheycollectedsounddatafrom67

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nestsinfoursitesinQueenslangbeforeandafterhatching,Thentheyidentifiedbeggingcallsby

analyzingtheorderandnumberofnotes.Acomputeranalysisblindlycomparedcallsproducedby

mothersandchicks,rankingthembysimilarity.

Itturnsoutthatbabyred-backedfairywrensalsoemergechirpingliketheirmoms.Andthemore

frequentlymothershadcalledtotheireggs,themoresimilarwerethebabies'beggingcalls.In

addition,theteamsetupaseparateexperimentthatsuggestedthatthebabybirdsthatmost

closelyimitatedtheirmom'svoicewererewardedwiththemostfood.

Thisobservationhintsthateffectiveembryoniclearningcouldsignalneurological（神經(jīng)系統(tǒng)的）

strengthsofchildrentoparents.Anevolutionaryinferencecanthenbedrawn."Asaparent,do

youinvestinqualitychildren,ordoyouinvestinchildrenthatareinneed?"Kleindorferasks."Our

resultssuggestthattheymightbegoingforquality."

58.TheunderlinedphraseinParagraph1means"”?

A.betheworstB.bethebest

C.betheasbadD.bejustasgood

59.WhatareKleindorfer'sfindingsbasedon?

A.Similaritiesbetweenthecallsmomsandchicks.

B.TheobservationoffairywrensacrossAustralia.

C.ThedatacollectedfromQueensland'slocals.

D.Controlledexperimentsonwrensandotherbirds.

60.Embryoniclearninghelpsmotherbirdstoidentifythebabybirdswhich.

A.canreceivequalitysignals

B.areinneedoftraining

C.fittheenvironmentbetter

D.maketheloudestcall.

61.（8分）Anewcommoditybringsaboutahighlyprofitable,fast-growingindustry,urging

antitrust（反壟斷）regulatorstostepintocheckthosewhocontrolitsflow.Acenturyago,the

resourceinquestionwasoil.Nowsimilarconcernsaresbeingraisedbythegiants（巨頭）thatdeal

indata,theoilofthedigitalage.ThemostvaluablefirmsareGoogle,Amazon,Facebookand

Microsoft.Alllookunstoppable.

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Suchsituationshaveledtocallsforthetechgiantstobebrokenup.Butsizealoneisnotacrime,

Thegiants'successhasbenefitedconsumers.Fewwanttolivewithoutsearchenginesoraquick

delivery,Farfromchargingconsumershighprices,manyoftheseservicesarefree（userspay,

ineffect,byhandingoveryetmoredata）.Andtheappearanceofnew-borngiantssuggeststhat

newcomerscanmakewaves,too.

Butthereiscauseforconcern.Theinternethasmadedataabundant,all-presentandfarmore

valuable,changingthenatureofdataandcompetition.Googleinitiallyusedthedatacollected

fromuserstotargetadvertisingbetter.Butrecentlyithasdiscoveredthatdatacanbeturnedinto

newservices：translationandvisualrecognition,tobesoldtoothercompanies.Internet

companies'controlofdatagivesthemenormouspower.Sotheyhavea"God'seyeview"of

activitiesintheirownmarketsandbeyond.

Thisnatureofdatamakestheantitrustmeasuresofthepastlessuseful.Breakingupfirmslike

Googleintofivesmalloneswouldnotstopremakingthemselves：intime,oneofthemwould

becomegreatagain.Arethinkisrequired-andasanewapproachstartstobecomeapparent,two

ideasstandout.

Thefirstisthatantitrustauthoritiesneedtomoveformtheindustrialageintothe21st

century.Whenconsideringamerger（兼并）,forexample,theyhavetraditionallyusedsizeto

determinewhentostepin.Theynowneedtotakeintoaccounttheextentoffirms'dataassets（資

產(chǎn)）whenassessingtheimpactofdeals.Thepurchasepricecouldalsobeasignalthatan

establishedcompanyisbuyinganew-bormthreat.Whenthistakesplace,especiallywhenanew

-borncompanyhasnorevenuetospeakof,theregulatorsshouldraiseredflags.

Thesecondprincipleistoloosenthecontrolthatprovidersofon-lineserviceshaveoverdataand

givemoretothosewhosupplythem.Companiescouldbeforcedtoconsumerswhatinformation

theyholdandhowmanymoneytheymakeformit.Governmentscouldorderthesharingof

certainkindsofdata,withusers'consent.

RestartingantitrustfortheinformationagewillnotbeeasyButifgovernmentsdon'twantsadata

oconomybyafewgiants,theymustactsoon.

61.Whyisthereacalltobreakupgiants?

A.Theyhavecontrolledthedatamarket.

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B.Theycollectenormousprivatedata.

C.Theynolongerprovidefreeservices.

D.Theydismissedsomenew-borngiants.

62.WhatdoesthetechnologicalinnovationinParagraph3indicate?

A.Datagiants'technologyisveryexpensive.

B.Google'sideaispopularamongdatafirms.

C.Datacanstrengthengiants'controllingposition.

D.Datacanbeturnedintonewservicesorproducts.

63.Bypayingattentiontofirms'dataassets,antitrustregulatorscould.

A.killanewthreat

B.avoidthesizetrap

C.favourbiggerfirms

D.chargehigherprices

64.Whatisthepurposeoflooseningthegiants'controlofdata?

A.Bigcompaniescouldrelievedatasecuritypressure.

B.Governmentscouldrelievetheirfinancialpressure.

C.Consumerscouldbetterprotecttheirprivacy.

D.Smallcompaniescouldgetmoreopportunities.

65.（12分）OldProblem,NewApproaches

Whilecleanenergyisincreasinglyusedinourdailylife,globalwarningwillcontinueforsome

decadesafterCO2emissions（排放）peak.Soevenifemissionweretobegindecreasetoday,we

wouldstillfacethechallengeofadaptingtoclimate.HereIwillstresssomesmarterandmore

creativeexamplesofclimateadaptation.

Whenitcomestoadaptation,itisimportanttounderstandthatclimatechangeisaprocess.We

arethereforenottalkingaboutadaptingtoanewstandard,buttoaconstantlyshiftingsetof

conditions.Thisiswhyinpartatleast,theUSNationalClimateAssessmentsaysthat："thereis

no'one-sizefitall'adaptation."Nevertheless,therearesomeactionsthatoffermuchandcarry

littleriskorcost.

Aroundtheworldpeopleareadaptinginsurprisingways,especiallyinsomepoorcountries,Floods

havesomemoredamaginginBangladeshinrecentdecades.MohammedRezwansawopportunity

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whereotherssawonlydisaster.Hisnot-for-profitorganizationrunslOOriverboatsthatserver

asfloatinglibraries,schools,andhealthclinics,andareequipmentwithsolarpanelsandother

communicationfacilities.Rezwaniscreatingfloatingconnecticity（連體）toreplacefloodedroads

andhighways.Butheisalsoworkingatafarmorefundamentallevel：hisstaffpeoplehowtomake

floatinggardensfishpondspreventatarcationduringthewetseason.

Aroundtheworld,peopleareadaptinginsurprisingways,especiallyinsomepoorcountries,Fllods

havebecomemoredamaginginBangladeshinrecentdecades.MobammedRezwansaw

opportunitywhereotherssawonlydisaster.Hisnot-for-profitorganizationrunslOOriverboats

thatserveasfloatinglibraries,schoods,andhealthclinics,andareequippedwithsolarpanelsand

othercommunicatingfacilities.Rezwaniscreatingfloatingconmetivity（連接）toreplaceflooded

roadsandhighways.Butheisalsoworkingatafarmorefundamentallevel：hisstaffshowpeople

howtomakefloatinggardensandfishpondstopreventstarvationduringthewetseason.

ElsewhereinAsiaevenmoreastonishingactionsarebeingtaken.ChewangNophellivesina

mountaionousregioninIndia,whereheisknownastheIceMan.Thelossofglaciers（冰〃I）there

duetoglobalwarmingrepresentsanenormousthreattoagriculture.Withouttheglaciers,water

willarriveintheriversattimeswhenitcandamagecrops.Norphel'sinspirationcomefromseeing

thewasteofwateroverwinter,whenitwasnotneeded.Hedirectedthewastedwaterinto

shallowbasinswhereitfroze,andwasstoreduntilthespring.Hisfieldsoficesupplyperfectly

timedirrigation（灌力既）water.Havingcreatedninesuchicereserves.Nophelcalculatesthathe

hasstoredabout200,000m3ofwater.Climatechangeisacontinuingprocess,soNorhel'sice

reserveswillnotlastforever.Warmingwillovertakethem.Butheisprovidingafewyearsduring

whichthefarmerswill,perhaps,beabletofindothermeansofadapting.

IncreasingEarth'sreflectivenesscancooltheplanet.InsouthernSpainthesuddenincreaseof

greenhouses（whichreflectlightbacktospace）haschangedthewarmingtrendlocally,and

actuallycooledtheregion.WhileSpainasawholeisheatingupquickly,temperaturesnearthe

greenhouseshavedecreased.Thisexampleshouldactasaninspirationforallcities.Bypainting

buildingswhite,citiesmayslowdownthewarmingprocess.

InPeni,localfarmersaroundamountainwithaglacierthathasalreadyfallenvictimtoclimate

changehavebegunpaintingtheentiremountainpeakwhiteinthehopethattheadded

reflectivenesswillrestorethelife-givingice.Theoutcomeisstillfarfromclear,ButtheWorld

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BankhasincludedtheprojectonitsoflOOideastosavetheplanet".

Moreordinaryformsofadaptationarehappeningeverywhere.Afriendofmineownsanareaof

landinwesternVictoria.Overfivegenerationsthelandhasbeentoowetforcropping.Butduring

thepastdecadedecliningrainfallhasallowshimtoplanthighlyprofitablecrops.Farmersinmany

countriesarealsoadaptinglikethis-eitherbygrowingnewproduce,orbygrowingthesame

thingsdifferently.Thisiscommonsense,Butsomesuggestionsforadaptingarenot.Whenthe

pollutingindustriesarguethatwe'velostthebattletocontrolcarbonpollutionandhavenochoice

buttoadapt,it'sanonsensedesignedtomakethecaseforbusinessasusual.

Humanbeingswillcontinuetoadapttothechangingclimateinbothordinaryandastonishing

ways.Butthemostsensibleformofadaptationissurelytoadaptourenergysystemstoemitless

carbonpollution.Afterall,ifweadaptintheway,wemayavoidtheneedtochangeinsomany

others.

65.TheunderlinedpartinParagraph2implies.

A.adaptationisanever-changingprocess

B.thecostofadaptationvarieswithtime

C.globalwarmingaffectsadaptationforms

D.adaptationtoclimatechangeischallenging

66.WhatisspecialwithregardtoRezwan'sproject?

A.Theprojectreceivesgovernmentsupport.

B.Differentorganizationsworkwitheachother.

C.Hisorganizationmakesthebestofabadsituation.

D.Theprojectconnectsfloodedroadsandhighways.

67.WhatdidtheIceMandotoreducetheeffectofglobalwarming?

A.Storingiceforfutureuse.

B.Protectingtheglaciersfrommelting.

C.Changingtheirrigationtime.

D.Postponingthemeltingoftheglaciers.

68.WhatdowelearnfromthePeruexample?

A.Whitepaintisusuallysafeforbuildings.

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B.Theglobalwarmingtreadcannotbestopped.

C.Thiscountryisheatinguptooquickly.

D.Sunlightreflectionmayrelieveglobalwarming.

69.Accordingtotheauthor,pollutingindustriesshould.

A.adapttocarbonpollution

B.planthighlyprofitablecrops

C.leavecarbonemissionalone

D.fightagainstcarbonpollution

70.What'stheauthor*spreferredsolutiontoglobalwarming?

A.settingupanewstandard.

B.Readucingcarbonemission.

C.Adaptingtoclimatechange.

D.Monitoringpollutingindustries.

第四部分：任務(wù)型閱讀(滿分10分)請(qǐng)閱讀下面短文，并根據(jù)所讀內(nèi)容在文章后表格中的

空格里填入一個(gè)最恰當(dāng)?shù)膯卧~.注意：請(qǐng)將答案寫在答題卡上相應(yīng)題號(hào)的橫線上.每個(gè)空格

只填一個(gè)單詞.

71.(10分)PopulationChange

Whyistheworld'spopulationgrowing?Theanswerisnotwhatyoumightthink.Thereasonfor

theexplosionisnotthatpeoplehavebeenreproducinglikerabbits,butthatpeoplehavestopped

droppingdeadlikeflies.In1900,peoplediedattheaverageageof30.By2000theaverageage

was65.Butwhileincreasinghealthwasatypicalfeatureofthe20thcentury,decliningbirthrate

couldbeadefiningoneofthe21st.

Statisticsshowthattheaveragenumberofbirthsperwomanhasfallenfrom4.9intheearly1960s

to2.5nowadays.Furthermore,around50%oftheworld'spopulationliveinregionswherethe

figureisnowbelowthereplacementlevel(i.e.2.1birthsperwoman)andalmostalldeveloped

nationsareexperiencingsub-repalanementbirthrate.Youmightthinkthatdevelopingnations

wouldmakeuptheloss(especiallysince80%oftheworld'speoplenowliveinsuchnations),but

you'dbewrong,Decliningbirthrateisamajorprobleminmanydevelopingregionstoo,which

mightcausecatastrophicglobalshortagesofworkforcewithinafewdecades.

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AgreatdeclineinyoungworkforceislikelytooccurinChina,forinstance.Whatdoesitimply?

First,Chinaneedstoundergorapideconomicdevelopmentbeforeapopulationdeclinehitsthe

country.Sencond,ifotherfactorssuchastechnologyremainconstant,economicgrowthand

materialexpectationswillfallwellbelowrecentstandardsandthiscouldinvitetrouble.

Russiaisanothercountrywithpopulationproblemsthatcouldbreakitseconomicpromise.Since

1992thenumberofpeopledyinghasbeenbiggenthanthatofthosebeingbornbyamassive50%,

Indeedofficialfiguressuggestthecountryhasshrunkby5%since1993andpeopleinRussialivea

shorterlifenowthanthosein1961.Whyisthisoccurring?Nobodyisquitesure,butpoordietan

abovealllong-timealcoholismhavemuchtodowithit.Ifcurrenttrendsdon'tbend.Russia's

populationwillbeaboutthesizeofYemen'sbytheyear2050.

Inthenorthofindia,thepopulationisboomingduetohighbirthrates,butinthesouth,where

mosteconmoicdevelopmentistakingplace,birthrateisfallingrapidly.Inafurthertwist,birth

rateishighestinpoorlyeducatedruralarceasanlowestinhighlyeducatedurbanareas.Intotal,

25%ofIndia'sworking-agepopulationhasnoeducation.In2030,asixthofthecountry's

potentialworkforcecouldbetotallyuneducated.

Onesolutionisobviouslytoimportforeignworkersviaimmigration.AsfortheUSA,itisalmost

uniqueamongdevelopednationsinhavingapopulationthatisexpectedtogrowby20%from

2010-2030,Moreover,theUSAhasatrackrecordofsuccessfullyacceptingimmigrants.Asa

resultit'slikelytoseeariseinthesizeofitsworking-agepopulationandtowitnessstrong

economicgrowthoverthelongerterm.

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PopulationChange

Thebirthrateinthe21"centurymaybemuch71.thanitwasinthe

2g

Declineofthebirthrate

Itwouldbedifficultfordevelopedcountnestomaintainthe72.

ofpopulation.

Theimpactofdroppingbinhrateondevelopingcountnesmaynot

be73.butdisastrous

Tbguarameeitseconomicgrowth.Chinaneedstodealwiththe

populationissueproperly,asitsworkersaregetting75

Populationand74The76.deathaRussiansmayresultinashrmkmg

population,whichwoulddamageitseconomicfuture.Itwouldbe

betterifitcanchangepeopleswayof77..

Leavingasidethebirthrateissue.India'seconomymaytakeoffwhen

thecountryachieves78ofeducationalopponunny

AmericansolutionTheUSAwillincrease,from2010-2030.itspopulationby200othrough

79.Thswill80forthelackofyoungworkforce

71.72.73.74.75.

76.77.78.79.80