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大連理工大學(xué)軟件學(xué)院
2022-2022學(xué)年度第二學(xué)期大作業(yè)(論文)
課程名稱:工程經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)
大作業(yè)題目:商業(yè)街開辟項目財務(wù)分析
姓名:____________________________________________________
專業(yè):軟件工程
學(xué)號:____________________________________________________
E-mail:
班級:_____________________________________________________
電話:
Commercialstreetdevelopment
Projectfinancialanalysis
(商業(yè)街開辟項目財務(wù)分析)
1preface
Backgroundandadvantages:
withtheimprovementofpeople,slivingstandard,peoplelife
qualityrequesttoomoreandmorehigh,commercialstreethas
agoodtrafficlocation,closetothetraffichuboftheregion,
theresidentscanuseallkindsoftransportationisconvenient
arrived,astrongsenseofaccessibilityandlocation
advantages.Citycommerciallocationconditionisitscanbring
efficiencyandeffectivenessmaximizationofthebasicbasis.
Locationconditionsaffectthecityfunction,the
establishmentofthebosomfriendandurbangenerallayout
planningdesign,deepersaidalsoaffectthecitycommercial
touristmarketandradiationabi1ity.Theproject1ocatcdin
DLcitymainroad,whichistheadvantageofexcellentpeople
andtrafficflow.
Overviewandenvironment:
DLcityislocatedinanortherncoastallivablecity,ourblock
inDLcitydevelopmentzone,wheretheroadspaciousand
convenienttraffic,nearuniversities,hasthegoodcultural
atmosphere,andatthesametime,neartheresidentialarea
developmentzone,moreconvenientresidents,consumption.The
projectcoversanareaof200mu(120muforsale,80muforrent)
ofwhich100muoflandisabusinessman,5acresoflandas
astreet.Thetotalconstructionareais250thousandsquare
metres,3~4alargeshoppingmallisgivenpriorityto,and
undergroundparking.Hasacertaindevelopmentscale,andcan
bringaboutgoodsocialbenefitssocialbenefitsandeconomic
benefits.
2Thenecessityoftheprojectconstruction
AccordingtoChina,seconomicsituation,businesscircle
constructionbecameanimportantaspectofeconomicgrowth,
promoteconsumptionhasbecomeanationaltheexpansionof
domesticdemand,promotingeconomicdevelopmentandeconomic
vitalityreplyoneoftheimportantmeasures.Throughpromoting
consumption,thedevelopmentofcommercialconstructionnot
onlycanrelieve,theimprovementofpeople,slifelevel,but
alsocanpromotethedevelopmentofdozensofrelated
industries,andprovidingsocietywithalargenumberof
employmentopportunities,andpromotethefurtherdevelopment
ofthenationaleconomy.Inshort,therealestateindustryhigh
correlationtoeconomicgrowthinfluencebig.Thepurposeof
construction,topromotethehealthydevelopmentofDLcity
commercialmarket,expanddomesticdemand,maintainagood
momentumofgrowthinthenationaleconomy,andpromote
economicstructuraladjustment,improvetheresident
consumptionlevelandquality,expandingemployment,promote
theprogressofscienceandtechnologyandthesustainable
developmenthasimportantsignificance.
3marketanalysisandgeneralschedule
marketanalysis:
InordertounderstandthemarketdemandstatusinnowdaysCSL
countymerchantmarketresearch,intentiontounderstandthe
goalcustomerbuyingintentionandpurchaseability,soasto
determinetheproject,smarketposition.Thecontentofthe
investigationhavecustomersbuyshopswill,shopstype,the
areaofthedemand,thedemandunitpriceandtotalprice,
expectationssupportingfacilities;InvestigationtoDMG
buildingmaterialswithinthehouseholdmarketmerchantis
givenpriorityto,questionnairesurveyandinterviews
combinedform,samplingsurvey.Datashowthatmerchantsfor
foodandbeverage,financialinstitutions,leisure
entertainment,supermarkets,logisticscenterandtheneedsof
thehotelisbigger,above90%.Amongthemthedemandoffood
mainlyconcentratedinfastfood,specialsnacksand
middle-gradehotel;Thehotelisinfavourofquicktypeand
three-starhotel,Leisureandrecreationalfacilitiesaremore
preferencefitnesscenterandbathcenterandetccansatisfy
theneedsofdailylifesupporting.Therefore,thepurposeof
supportingfacilities,notonlybeabletomeettheirdailylife,
theneedsofwork,andatthesametimetousethepurposeof
locationadvantagesattractperipheralpassengerflow,foil
popularity,thusincreasingtheprojectbusinessatmosphere,
increaseprojectappreciationpotential.
TheGNPof36.9millionyuan,animalhusbandryoutputvalue
33.57millionyuan,theindustrialoutputvalue14.88million
yuan,townshipandvillageenterprisesthevalueof4.68
millionyuan.Asthedevelopmentofgreatwesternarea,
regionaldevelopmentrapidly.Thecurrentcommercialcounty
surroundinggatheredthebank,digitalspecialstoreand
cateringentertainmentinstitutions,businesscircleto
increasinglyprosperous.Futuredevelopmentspaceisquite
large,theopenthedevelopmentprospectisgood.
ProjectSchedule:
projectpredictusingtime
planning1month
landpurchase2month
perparaingmaterialsandworkers1month
construction24month
sales40month
rent???
4investmentestimationandfinancing
Investmentestimation:
projectCost(millionyuan)
landpurchase200(BU)*400=800
workers500(worker)*0.4*24(month)=48
materials100
materialsrent10
others10
total1,000
Thecompanyinvest400millionyuan,600millionyuanloans
asdebtcapitalfrombank(fromthethirdyear,eachyearis
equalprincipalandinterest,threeyearstopayoff,every
year600*(1+10%)-5/3=322.102millionyuan),thebankloan
interestraterd=10%,theincometaxrateT=20%,the
financingchargesfdisneglected.
Bankloancost
Kd=rd*(1-T)/(1-fd)=10%*(1-20%)/1=8%
5Financialbenefitandcostcounsel
Onsalesfromthethirdyearstart,salesplaneachyear,athird
ofayearthatsalesof50000squaremeters,renteveryyear
canbe10millionyuan,priceofeverysquaremetre10,000yuan,
soeveryyeartosellandrenthouseshavegiventhefor50000
*1=500millionyuan.Countupto510millionyuan.Everyyear
theprincipalandinterestofthebankis322.102millionyuan.
Thefinancialbenefitis510-322.1=187.9millionyuanevery
year
6Financialanalysis
periodforrecoveryofinvestment:
OriginalinvestmentF0=400millionyuan,startedtoselleach
yearafterthene:cashflowfor197.9millionyuancumulative
netcashflowcomesastheyearofsalesisthethirdyear,also
isthefifthyearintotalprogress.
1R=0+0+187.9*3-400=163.7>0
t=o
Paybacktime
Pt=5-1+(400-163.7*2)/197.9仁4.37年
netpresentvalue
setthediscountrateis10%,theprojectcalculationperiod
is5yearsnetpresentvalue.
NPV(10)二£NFt.(i+i)一t=-400+187.9*(P/A10,5)=-400+
t=0
(187.9*3.7908)=312.3millionyuan
netpresentvalueNPV>0
internalrateofreturn
NPV=-400+187.9*251=0
t=i
Ifi-35%thenNPV-400+187.9*(P/A35,3)
=-400+187.9*2.219=17.0
Ifi=40%thenNPV=-400+187.9*(P/A40,3)
=-400+187.9*2.035=-17.6
IRR=35%+(40%-35%)*17.0/(17.0+17.6)=37.46%.
Rateofreturnoninvestment
Yearlypaymentofprincipalandinterestis322.102million
yuan,andtheaverageprincipalis200millionyuaneveryyear,
sotheeveryyearloaninterestis322.102-200=122.102million
yuan
TheAnnualinterestpre-taxprofitis122.102+187.9=300
millionyuan
Therateofreturnoninvestment(R0I):
R0I=Annualinterestpre-taxprofit/totalinvestmentX100%
二300/1000X100%=30%
RateofReturnonCommonStockholdersEquity
EquityCapitalis400millionyuan.
ROE=annualprofit/EquityCapitalX100%=187.9/400X100%y
47.0%
CurrentRatio
TheCurrentassetsis400millionyuan.
Thebankreimbursementis322.102millionyuaneveryyear.
CurrentRatio=currentassets/TotalCurrentLiabilities
=400/322.102=1.24
InterestCoverageRatio
InterestCoverageRatio=EarningsBeforeInterestandTax/
Thecurrentdealwithinterestexpense=400/(322.102-200)=3.28
DebtServiceCoverageRatio
DSCR=(EBITDA-Tax)/PDM00/322.102=1.24
7Summary
Accordingtotheanalysistheresult,thisprojecthasalot
ofprojectfeasibility.
Fromtheprojectinvestmentpaybackperiodwecansee,the
periodforrecoveryofinvestmentisshortenoughas4.37
years.
Fromtheanalysisofinternalrateofreturnandthecurrent
ratio,wegotthedatathattheinternalrateofreturnisonly
37.46,thecurrentratioashighas1.24,theRateofReturn
profitsishighenough.
Soabovetheanalysis,theprojectriskislow,andreturnis
relativelyhigh.Sotheprojectisfeasible.
8Cashflowstatementandaccumulatedrepaymenttable
CashFlowStatement(millionyuan)
projectyearlyear2year3year4year5
cashinflow1000
pre-taxincome00300300300
cashoutflow96040
lending6000000
totalinvestment
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