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AIRiskManagementFramework:InitialDraft
March17,2022
ThisinitialdraftoftheArtificialIntelligenceRiskManagementFramework(AIRMF,or
Framework)buildsontheconceptpaperreleasedinDecember2021andincorporatesthe
feedbackreceived.TheAIRMFisintendedforvoluntaryuseinaddressingrisksinthedesign,development,use,andevaluationofAIproducts,services,andsystems.
AIresearchanddeploymentisevolvingrapidly.Forthatreason,theAIRMFanditscompaniondocumentswillevolveovertime.WhenAIRMF1.0isissuedinJanuary2023,NIST,workingwithstakeholders,intendstohavebuiltouttheremainingsectionstoreflectnewknowledge,
awareness,andpractices.
PartIoftheAIRMFsetsthestageforwhytheAIRMFisimportantandexplainsitsintendeduseandaudience.PartIIincludestheAIRMFCoreandProfiles.PartIIIincludesacompanionPracticeGuidetoassistinadoptingtheAIRMF.
ThatPracticeGuidewhichwillbereleasedforcommentincludesadditionalexamplesand
practicesthatcanassistinusingtheAIRMF.TheGuidewillbepartofaNISTAIResourceCenterthatisbeingestablished.
NISTwelcomesfeedbackonthisinitialdraftandtherelatedPracticeGuidetoinformfurther
developmentoftheAIRMF.Commentsmaybeprovidedata
workshoponMarch29-31,2022,
andalsoarestronglyencouragedtobesharedviaemail.NISTwillproduceaseconddraftfor
comment,aswellashostathirdworkshop,beforepublishingAIRMF1.0inJanuary2023.Pleasesendcommentsonthisinitialdraftto
AIframework@
byApril29,2022.
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Commentsareespeciallyrequestedon:
1.WhethertheAIRMFappropriatelycoversandaddressesAIrisks,includingwiththerightlevelofspecificityforvarioususecases.
2.WhethertheAIRMFisflexibleenoughtoserveasacontinuingresourceconsideringevolvingtechnologyandstandardslandscape.
3.WhethertheAIRMFenablesdecisionsabouthowanorganizationcanincreaseunderstandingof,communicationabout,andeffortstomanageAIrisks.
4.Whetherthefunctions,categories,andsubcategoriesarecomplete,appropriate,andclearlystated.
5.WhethertheAIRMFisinalignmentwithorleveragesotherframeworksandstandardssuchasthosedevelopedorbeingdevelopedbyIEEEorISO/IECSC42.
6.WhethertheAIRMFisinalignmentwithexistingpractices,andbroaderriskmanagementpractices.
7.WhatmightbemissingfromtheAIRMF.
8.WhetherthesoontobepublisheddraftcompaniondocumentcitingAIriskmanagementpracticesisusefulasacomplementaryresourceandwhatpracticesorstandardsshouldbeadded.
9.Others?
Note:ThisfirstdraftdoesnotincludeImplementationTiersasconsideredintheconceptpaper.
ImplementationTiersmaybeaddedlaterifstakeholdersconsiderthemtobeahelpfulfeatureintheAIRMF.Commentsarewelcome.
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TableofContents
Part1:Motivation
1OVERVIEW1
2SCOPE2
3AUDIENCE3
4FRAMINGRISK5
4.1UnderstandingRiskandAdverseImpacts5
4.2ChallengesforAIRiskManagement6
5AIRISKSANDTRUSTWORTHINESS7
5.1TechnicalCharacteristics8
5.1.1Accuracy9
5.1.2Reliability9
5.1.3Robustness10
5.1.4ResilienceorMLSecurity10
5.2Socio-TechnicalCharacteristics10
5.2.1Explainability11
5.2.2Interpretability11
5.2.3Privacy11
5.2.4Safety12
5.2.5ManagingBias12
5.3GuidingPrinciples12
5.3.1Fairness13
5.3.2Accountability13
5.3.3Transparency13
Part2:CoreandProfiles
6AIRMFCORE14
6.1Map15
6.2Measure16
6.3Manage17
6.4Govern18
7AIRMFPROFILES20
8EFFECTIVENESSOFTHEAIRMF20
Part3:PracticalGuide
9PRACTICEGUIDE20
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AIRiskManagementFramework:InitialDraft-
Part1:Motivation
1Overview
Remarkablesurgesinartificialintelligence(AI)capabilitieshaveledtoawiderangeof
innovationswiththepotentialtobenefitnearlyallaspectsofoursocietyandeconomy–
everythingfromcommerceandhealthcaretotransportationandcybersecurity.AIsystemsareusedfortaskssuchasinformingandadvisingpeopleandtakingactionswheretheycanhavebeneficialimpact,suchassafetyandhousing.
AIsystemssometimesdonotoperateasintendedbecausetheyaremakinginferencesfrom
patternsobservedindataratherthanatrueunderstandingofwhatcausesthosepatterns.Ensuringthattheseinferencesarehelpfulandnotharmfulinparticularusecases–especiallywhen
inferencesarerapidlyscaledandamplified–isfundamentaltotrustworthyAI.WhileanswerstothequestionofwhatmakesanAItechnologytrustworthydiffer,therearecertainkey
characteristicswhichsupporttrustworthiness,includingaccuracy,explainabilityand
interpretability,privacy,reliability,robustness,safety,security(resilience)andmitigationofharmfulbias.Therealsoarekeyguidingprinciplestotakeintoaccountsuchasaccountability,fairness,andequity.
CultivatingtrustandcommunicationabouthowtounderstandandmanagetherisksofAIsystemswillhelpcreateopportunitiesforinnovationandrealizethefullpotentialofthistechnology.
ItisimportanttonotethattheAIRMFis
neitherachecklistnorshouldbeusedin
anywaytocertifyanAIsystem.Likewise,
usingtheAIRMFdoesnotsubstitutefor
duediligenceandjudgmentby
organizationsandindividualsindeciding
whethertodesign,develop,anddeployAI
technologies–andifso,underwhat
conditions.
ManyactivitiesrelatedtomanagingriskforAI
arecommontomanagingriskforothertypesof
technology.AnAIRiskManagementFramework
(AIRMF,orFramework)canaddresschallenges
uniquetoAIsystems.ThisAIRMFisaninitial
attempttodescribehowtherisksfromAI-based
systemsdifferfromotherdomainsandto
encourageandequipmanydifferentstakeholders
inAItoaddressthoseriskspurposefully.
Thisvoluntaryframeworkprovidesaflexible,
structured,andmeasurableprocesstoaddressAIrisksthroughouttheAIlifecycle,offeringguidanceforthedevelopmentanduseoftrustworthyandresponsibleAI.Itisintendedto
improveunderstandingofandtohelporganizationsmanagebothenterpriseandsocietalrisks
relatedtothedevelopment,deployment,anduseofAIsystems.AdoptingtheAIRMFcanassistorganizations,industries,andsocietytounderstandanddeterminetheiracceptablelevelsofrisk.
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Inaddition,itcanbeusedtomapcomplianceconsiderationsbeyondthoseaddressedbythisframework,includingexistingregulations,laws,orothermandatoryguidance.
Riskstoanysoftwareorinformation-basedsystemapplytoAI;thatincludesimportantconcernsrelatedtocybersecurity,privacy,safety,andinfrastructure.ThisframeworkaimstofillthegapsrelatedspecificallytoAI.Ratherthanrepeatinformationinotherguidance,usersoftheAIRMFareencouragedtoaddressthosenon-AIspecificissuesviaguidancealreadyavailable.
ForthepurposesoftheNISTAIRMFthetermartificialintelligencerefers
toalgorithmicprocessesthatlearnfromdatainanautomatedorsemi-automatedmanner.
Part1ofthisframeworkestablishesthecontextfortheAIriskmanagementprocess.Part2providesguidanceonoutcomesandactivitiestocarryoutthatprocesstomaximizethebenefitsandminimizetherisksofAI.
Part3[yettobedeveloped]assistsinusingtheAI
RMFandofferssamplepracticestobeconsideredin
carryingoutthisguidance,before,during,andafterAIproducts,services,andsystemsaredevelopedanddeployed.
TheFramework,andsupportingresources,willbeupdatedandimprovedbasedonevolving
technologyandthestandardslandscapearoundtheglobe.Inaddition,astheAIRMFisputintouse,additionallessonswillbelearnedthatcaninformfutureupdatesandadditionalresources.
NIST’sdevelopmentoftheAIRMFincollaborationwiththeprivateandpublicsectorsis
consistentwithits
broaderAIefforts
calledforbytheNationalAIInitiativeActof2020(P.L.
116-283),the
NationalSecurityCommissiononArtificialIntelligence
recommendations,andthe
PlanforFederalEngagementinAIStandardsandRelatedTools.
EngagementwiththebroadAIcommunityduringthisFramework’sdevelopmentalsoinformsAIresearchanddevelopment
andevaluationbyNISTandothers.
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TheNISTAIRMFoffersaprocessformanagingrisksrelatedtoAIsystemsacrossawide
spectrumoftypes,applications,andmaturity.Thisframeworkisorganizedandintendedtobeunderstoodandusedbyindividualsandorganizations,regardlessofsector,size,orlevelof
familiaritywithaspecifictypeoftechnology.Ultimately,itwillbeofferedinmultipleformats,includingonlineversions,toprovidemaximumflexibility.
TheAIRMFservesasapartofabroaderNISTresourcecentercontainingdocuments,
taxonomy,suggestedtoolkits,datasets,code,andotherformsoftechnicalguidancerelatedtothedevelopmentandimplementationoftrustworthyAI.ResourceswillincludeaknowledgebaseofterminologyrelatedtotrustworthyandresponsibleAIandhowthosetermsareusedbydifferentstakeholders.
TheAIRMFisnotachecklistnoracompliancemechanismtobeusedinisolation.ItshouldbeintegratedwithintheorganizationdevelopingandusingAIandbeincorporatedintoenterprise
InitialDraft
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1riskmanagement;doingsoensuresthatAIwillbetreatedalongwithothercriticalrisks,yielding
2amoreintegratedoutcomeandresultinginorganizationalefficiencies.
3AttributesoftheAIRMF
4TheAIRMFstrivesto:
51.Berisk-based,resourceefficient,andvoluntary.
62.Beconsensus-drivenanddevelopedandregularlyupdatedthroughanopen,transparentprocess.
7AllstakeholdersshouldhavetheopportunitytocontributetotheAIRMF’sdevelopment.83.Useclearandplainlanguagethatisunderstandablebyabroadaudience,includingsenior
9executives,governmentofficials,non-governmentalorganizationleadership,andthosewhoare
10notAIprofessionals–whilestillofsufficienttechnicaldepthtobeusefultopractitioners.TheAI
11RMFshouldallowforcommunicationofAIrisksacrossanorganization,betweenorganizations,
12withcustomers,andtothepublicatlarge.
134.ProvidecommonlanguageandunderstandingtomanageAIrisks.TheAIRMFshouldoffer
14taxonomy,terminology,definitions,metrics,andcharacterizationsforAIrisk.
155.Beeasilyusableandmeshwithotheraspectsofriskmanagement.UseoftheFrameworkshould
16beintuitiveandreadilyadaptableaspartofanorganization’sbroaderriskmanagementstrategy
17andprocesses.ItshouldbeconsistentoralignedwithotherapproachestomanagingAIrisks.
186.Beusefultoawiderangeofperspectives,sectors,andtechnologydomains.TheAIRMFshould
19bebothtechnologyagnosticandapplicabletocontext-specificusecases.
207.Beoutcome-focusedandnon-prescriptive.TheFrameworkshouldprovideacatalogofoutcomes
21andapproachesratherthanprescribeone-size-fits-allrequirements.
228.Takeadvantageofandfostergreaterawarenessofexistingstandards,guidelines,bestpractices,
23methodologies,andtoolsformanagingAIrisks–aswellasillustratetheneedforadditional,
24improvedresources.
259.Belaw-andregulation-agnostic.TheFrameworkshouldsupportorganizations’abilitiesto
26operateunderapplicabledomesticandinternationallegalorregulatoryregimes.
2710.Bealivingdocument.TheAIRMFshouldbereadilyupdatedastechnology,understanding,and
28approachestoAItrustworthinessandusesofAIchangeandasstakeholderslearnfrom
29implementingAIriskmanagementgenerallyandthisframeworkinparticular.
303Audience
31AIriskmanagementisacomplexandrelativelynewarea,andthelistofindividuals,groups,
32communities,andorganizationsthatcanbeaffectedbyAItechnologiesisextensive.Identifying
33andmanagingAIrisksandimpacts–bothpositiveandadverse–requiresabroadsetof
34perspectivesandstakeholders.
InitialDraft
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1
2Figure1:KeystakeholdergroupsassociatedwiththeAIRMF.
3AsFigure1illustrates,NISThasidentifiedfourstakeholdergroupsasintendedaudiencesofthis
4Framework:AIsystemstakeholders,operatorsandevaluators,externalstakeholders,andthe
5generalpublic.Ideally,membersofallstakeholdergroupswouldbeinvolvedorrepresentedin
6theriskmanagementprocess,includingthoseindividualsandcommunityrepresentativesthat
7maybeaffectedbytheuseofAItechnologies.
8AIsystemstakeholdersarethosewhohavethemostcontrolandresponsibilityoverthedesign,
9development,deployment,andacquisitionofAIsystems,andtheimplementationofAIrisk
10managementpractices.ThisgroupcomprisestheprimaryadoptersoftheAIRMF.Theymay
11includeindividualsorteamswithinoramongorganizationswithresponsibilitiestocommission,
12fund,procure,develop,ordeployanAIsystem:businessteams,designanddevelopmentteams,
13internalriskmanagementteams,andcomplianceteams.Smalltomedium-sizedorganizations
14facedifferentchallengesinimplementingtheAIRMFthanlargeorganizations.
15Operatorsandevaluatorsprovidemonitoringandformal/informaltest,evaluation,validation,
16andverification(TEVV)ofsystemperformance,relativetobothtechnicalandsocio-technical
17requirements.Thesestakeholders,whichincludeorganizationswhichoperateoremployAI
18systems,usetheoutputfordecisionsortoevaluatetheirperformance.Thisgroupcaninclude
19userswhointerpretorincorporatetheoutputofAIsystemsinsettingswithahighpotentialfor
20adverseimpacts.Theymightincludeacademic,public,andprivatesectorresearchers;
21professionalevaluatorsandauditors;systemoperators;andexpertendusers.
22Externalstakeholdersprovideformaland/orquasi-formalnormsorguidanceforspecifyingand
23addressingAIrisks.ExternaltotheprimaryadoptersoftheAIRMF,theycanincludetrade
InitialDraft
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1groups,standardsdevelopingorganizations,advocacygroups,andcivilsocietyorganizations.
2Theiractionscandesignateboundariesforoperation(technicalorlegal)andbalancesocietal
3valuesandprioritiesrelatedtocivillibertiesandrights,theeconomy,andsecurity.
4ThegeneralpublicismostlikelytodirectlyexperiencepositiveandadverseimpactsofAI
5technologies.Theymayprovidethemotivationforactionstakenbytheotherstakeholdersand
6canincludeindividuals,communities,andconsumersinthecontextwhereanAIsystemis
7developedordeployed.
84FramingRisk
9AIsystemsholdthepotentialtoadvanceourqualityoflifeandleadtonewservices,support,
10andefficienciesforpeople,organizations,markets,andsociety.Identifying,mitigating,and
11minimizingrisksandpotentialharmsassociatedwithAItechnologiesareessentialstepstowards
12theacceptanceandwidespreaduseofAItechnologies.Ariskmanagementframeworkshould
13provideastructured,yetflexible,approachformanagingenterpriseandsocietalriskresulting
14fromtheincorporationofAIsystemsintoproducts,processes,organizations,systems,and
15societies.Organizationsmanaginganenterprise’sAIriskalsoshouldbemindfuloflarger
16societalAIconsiderationsandrisks.Ifariskmanagementframeworkcanhelptoeffectively
17addressandmanageAIriskandadverseimpacts,itcanleadtomoretrustworthyAIsystems.
184.1UnderstandingRiskandAdverseImpacts
19Riskisameasureoftheextenttowhichanentityisnegativelyinfluencedbyapotential
20circumstanceorevent.Typically,riskisafunctionof1)theadverseimpactsthatcouldariseif
21thecircumstanceoreventoccurs;and2)thelikelihoodofoccurrence.Entitiescanbeindividuals,
22groups,orcommunitiesaswellassystems,processes,ororganizations.
23TheimpactofAIsystemscanbepositive,negative,orbothandcanaddress,create,orresultin
24opportunitiesorthreats.AccordingtotheInternationalOrganizationforStandardization(Guide2573:2009;IEC/ISO31010),certainriskscanbepositive.Whileriskmanagementprocesses
26addressadverseimpacts,thisframeworkintendstoofferapproachestominimizeanticipated
27negativeimpactsofAIsystemsandidentifyopportunitiestomaximizepositiveimpacts.
28Additionally,thisframeworkisdesignedtoberesponsivetonewrisksastheyemergeratherthan
29enumeratingallknownrisksinadvance.Thisflexibilityisparticularlyimportantwhereimpacts
30arenoteasilyforeseeable,andapplicationsareevolvingrapidly.WhileAIbenefitsandsomeAI
31risksarewell-known,theAIcommunityisonlybeginningtounderstandandclassifyincidents
32andscenariosthatresultinharm.Figure2providesexamplesofpotentialharmsfromAI
33systems.
34RiskmanagementcanalsodriveAIdevelopersanduserstounderstandandaccountforthe
35inherentuncertaintiesandinaccuracyoftheirmodelsandsystems,whichinturncanincreasethe
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1overallperformanceandtrustworthinessofthosemodels.Managingriskandadverseimpacts
2contributestobuildingtrustworthyAItechnologiesandapplications
3
4Figure2:ExamplesofpotentialharmsfromAIsystems.
54.2ChallengesforAIRiskManagement
64.2.1RiskMeasurement
7AIrisksandimpactsthatarenotwell-definedoradequatelyunderstoodaredifficulttomeasure
8quantitativelyorqualitatively.Thepresenceofthird-partydataorsystemsmayalsocomplicate
9riskmeasurement.Thoseattemptingtomeasuretheadverseimpactonapopulationmaynotbe
10awarethatcertaindemographicsmayexperienceharmdifferentlythanothers.
11AIriskscanhaveatemporaldimension.MeasuringriskatanearlierstageintheAIlifecycle
12mayyielddifferentresultsthanmeasuringriskatalaterstage.SomeAIrisksmayhavealow
13probabilityintheshorttermbuthaveahighlikelihoodforadverseimpacts.Otherrisksmaybe
14latentatpresentbutmayincreaseinthelongtermasAIsystemsevolve.
15Furthermore,inscrutableAIsystemscancomplicatethemeasurementofrisk.Inscrutabilitycan
16bearesultoftheopaquenatureofAItechnologies(lackofexplainabilityorinterpretability),
17lackoftransparencyordocumentationinAIsystemdevelopmentordeployment,orinherent
18uncertaintiesinAIsystems.
194.2.2RiskThresholds
20Thresholdsrefertothevaluesusedtoestablishconcretedecisionpointsandoperationallimits
21thattriggeraresponse,action,orescalation.AIriskthresholds(sometimesreferredtoasKey
22RiskIndicators)caninvolvebothtechnicalfactors(suchaserrorratesfordeterminingbias)and
23humanvalues(suchassocialorlegalnormsforappropriatelevelsoftransparency).These
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1factorsandvaluescanestablishlevelsofrisk(e.g.,low,medium,orhigh)basedonbroad
2categoriesofadverseimpactsorharms.
3ThresholdsandvaluescanalsodeterminewhereAIsystemspresentunacceptableriskstocertain
4organizations,systems,socialdomains,ordemographics.Inthesecases,thequestionisnothow
5tobettermanageriskofAI,butwhetheranAIsystemshouldbedesigned,developed,or
6deployedatall.
7TheAIRMFdoesnotprescriberiskthresholdsorvalues.Risktolerance–thelevelofriskor
8degreeofuncertaintythatisacceptabletoorganizationsorsociety–iscontextandusecase-
9specific.Therefore,riskthresholdsshouldbesetthroughpoliciesandnormsthatcanbe
10establishedbyAIsystemowners,organizations,industries,communities,orregulators(who
11oftenareactingonbehalfofindividualsorsocieties).Riskthresholdsandvaluesarelikelyto
12changeandadaptovertimeaspoliciesandnormschangeorevolve.Inaddition,different
13organizationsmayhavedifferentriskthresholds(ortolerance)duetovaryingorganizational
14prioritiesandresourceconsiderations.Evenwithinasingleorganizationtherecanbeabalancing
15ofprioritiesandtradeoffsbetweentechnicalfactorsandhumanvalues.Emergingknowledgeand
16methodsforbetterinformingthesedecisionsarebeingdevelopedanddebatedbybusiness,
17governments,academia,andcivilsociety.Totheextentthatchallengesforspecifyingrisk
18thresholdsordeterminingvaluesremainunresolved,theremaybecontextswherearisk
19managementframeworkisnotyetreadilyapplicableformitigatingAIrisksandadverseimpacts.
20TheAIRMFprovidestheopportunityfororganizationstospecificallydefinetheirrisk
21thresholdsandthentomanagethoseriskswithintheirtolerances.
224.2.3OrganizationalIntegration
23TheAIRMFisnotachecklistnoracompliancemechanismtobeusedinisolation.Itshouldbe
24integratedwithintheorganizationdevelopingandusingAItechnologiesandbeincorporatedinto
25enterpriseriskmanagement;doingsoensuresthatAIwillbetreatedalongwithothercritical
26risks,yieldingamoreintegratedoutcome
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