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1、 【關(guān)鍵詞】產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移 城鎮(zhèn)化 產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚 新增固定資產(chǎn)【英文關(guān)鍵詞】industrial transfer urbanization industrial agglomeration new fixed assets產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移論文:產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的城鎮(zhèn)化效應(yīng)及政策研究【中文摘要】工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化是當(dāng)今世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的兩大主題,也是社會進(jìn)步的重要標(biāo)志。安徽省作為最接近長三角地區(qū)的省份,長期以來將承接?xùn)|部地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移作為工業(yè)化的重要動力。大量文獻(xiàn)已證實工業(yè)化與城鎮(zhèn)化之間存在著互為促進(jìn),相伴發(fā)展的關(guān)系,但是產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化的作用機(jī)制及效應(yīng)并不十分明確。在全面貫徹落實科學(xué)發(fā)展觀的條件下,重新對產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移及城鎮(zhèn)化理論進(jìn)

2、行梳理,研究產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化的作用機(jī)制,對于促進(jìn)安徽省城鎮(zhèn)化健康發(fā)展具有重要意義。安徽省沿江五市作為皖江城市帶的重要城市,長期以來將承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移作為當(dāng)?shù)毓I(yè)化發(fā)展的重要路徑之一。通過對該地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移及城鎮(zhèn)化現(xiàn)狀的研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移能夠明顯促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展。但是由于各市之間歷史發(fā)展因素、承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移時間和力度的不同,所產(chǎn)生的城鎮(zhèn)化效應(yīng)大小不同。各地應(yīng)該根據(jù)自身的情況,制定不同的承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移政策,促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展。本文按照理論整理、實證分析、政策評價和建議的步驟對這一主題進(jìn)行研究,首先,運(yùn)用產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移、城鎮(zhèn)化等相關(guān)領(lǐng)域理論,研究產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移、城鎮(zhèn)化的表現(xiàn)形式和內(nèi)涵,分析產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化的作用機(jī)制,研究國內(nèi)外

3、產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移過程中的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展,在此基礎(chǔ)之上再具體研究安徽承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的作用。其次,選擇銅陵市作為安徽沿江城市代表,選擇新增固定資產(chǎn)和城鎮(zhèn)化率兩個數(shù)據(jù)代表銅陵市的產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移量和城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)度,選取一定年份的數(shù)據(jù),再利用單位根檢驗該序列數(shù)據(jù)的平穩(wěn)性,并分析變量間是否具有長期協(xié)整關(guān)系。確定協(xié)整關(guān)系存在后,運(yùn)用格蘭杰因果檢驗手段分析新增固定資產(chǎn)和城鎮(zhèn)化率之間的因果關(guān)系,為文章的后續(xù)的政策評價和建議提供現(xiàn)實依據(jù)。最后,研究安徽省的產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移政策和城鎮(zhèn)化政策的實施效果,指出應(yīng)當(dāng)從建立區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)組織、區(qū)別承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移、建立統(tǒng)一勞動力市場各方面加強(qiáng)政策規(guī)劃,以促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展?!居⑽恼縤ndustriali

4、zation and urbanization are the two main themes of the worlds economic development and the important symbol of social progress. anhui province, as the closest province to the yangtze river delta region, for a long time use the eastern region industry transfer as an important driving force of industr

5、ialization. a large number of literature has confirmed that there is a relationship that they can promote each other between industrialization and urbanization, but the mechanism that how transfer of industry effecting urbanization is not very clear. under the conditions of fully implement the scien

6、tific concept of development, it is very important to re-sort out the theory of industrial transfer and urbanization and researth the mechanism that how transfer of industry effecting urbanization.five cities of anhui province along the yangtze river as an important part of wanjiang urban belt use t

7、he force of industrial transfer as one of the important path of the local industrial development for a long time. through the research of the regions industrial transfer and urbanization status and found that the transfer of industry can promote the development of urbanization significantly. however

8、, due to the difference of historical development factors and start time and intensity, the effect of urbanization are defferent. each city should make different industrial transfer policy to promote the development of urbanization according to their own situation,.following the step of theory resea

9、rch, empirical analysis, policy evaluation and the recommended to study the subject. first of all, use of the theory of industrial transfer and urbanization to research the form and content of industrial transfer and urbanization, analyse the mechanism how transfer of industry effecting urbanization

10、 and home and abroad urbanization in the process of industrial transfer, then research the effect that anhui industrial transfer exerting on urbanization. secondly, selected tongling city as the symbol and then use new fixed assets and the urbanization rate on behalf of tongling city development lev

11、el, select a certain number yearsdata, then use the unit root to test the stationarity of the sequence data, and analyze whether long-term cointegration relationship between variables. after determine the co-integration relationship exists, use of the granger causality test causal relationship betwe

12、en new fixed assets and the urbanization rate, provide a realistic basis to following research.finally, study the effect of industrial transfer and urbanization policies of anhui province, pointing out that should establish a regional coordinatingbodies, undertake industrial transfer accordance to t

13、heir own situation and establish a unified labor market to promote the development of urbanization.【目錄】產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的城鎮(zhèn)化效應(yīng)及政策研究摘要4-5abstract5-6第一章 緒論9-13第一節(jié) 選題的背景及意義9-11第二節(jié) 研究思路和主要內(nèi)容論文安排11-12一、本文研究思路11二、本文內(nèi)容安排11-12第三節(jié) 研究方案和可能的創(chuàng)新之處12-13一、研究方案12二、可能的創(chuàng)新之處12-13第二章 文獻(xiàn)綜述及經(jīng)驗借鑒13-29第一節(jié) 產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移與城鎮(zhèn)化理論基礎(chǔ)及關(guān)系的評述13-23一、產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的

14、內(nèi)涵13-17二、城鎮(zhèn)化的內(nèi)涵17-20三、產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移與城鎮(zhèn)化關(guān)系論述20-23第二節(jié) 產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的作用機(jī)制23-26一、城鎮(zhèn)化動力機(jī)制分析23-24二、產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的作用機(jī)制24-26第三節(jié) 國內(nèi)外經(jīng)驗簡介26-29一、日本產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移中的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展26-27二、臺灣產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移過程中的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展27-29第三章 安徽沿江五市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移及城鎮(zhèn)化現(xiàn)狀29-43第一節(jié) 國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移政策及發(fā)展歷程研究29-30第二節(jié) 安徽沿江五市研究目標(biāo)的選取30-33第三節(jié) 皖江五市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移及城鎮(zhèn)化現(xiàn)狀33-43一、皖江五市概況33-37二、沿江五市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移概況37-39三、沿江五市城鎮(zhèn)化概況39-41四、沿江五市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化作用的經(jīng)驗分析41-43第四章 安徽沿江五市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對城鎮(zhèn)化率的計量分析43-48第一節(jié) 數(shù)據(jù)說明43-44第二節(jié) 單

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