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主講人:王莉教授LL66@163.com
INTERNATIONALTRADE
國際貿(mào)易2023/2/62Chapter1:INTRODUCTION§1.
GeneralReview1、TheHistoryandStationoftheCourseInternationalTradeSovietModelinEarlyTimes.InternationalEconomicsin90’s.OneofCompulsoryCourseforStudentsMajoredinEconomics.2023/2/632、TheRelationbetweenInternationalTradeandotherSubjects2.1TheSubjectOriginofInternationalTradeInternationalEconomics(InternationalTradeandInternationalFinance)EconomicsPhilosophy2.2InternationalTradevsPhilosophy&Science2023/2/642.3
TheRelationbetweenInternationalTradeandotherCourses
inInternationalTradeSubjectEconomicsistheforwardcourse,especiallyMicroeconomics;It’stheforwardcourseofWTO,TransnationalCorperations,InternationalInvestment,
andetc;It’stheparallelcoursewithGeneralReviewofChineseForeignTrade.2023/2/653.ThearrangementofcoursesPartI:Thebasictheoryofinternationaltrade(Chapter1-6)
PartII:InternationalTradePolicy(Chapter7-11)
PartIII:Someimportantissuesintoday'sinternationaltradepractice(12-15).2023/2/664、ReferenceMaterial1)PeterLindert(彼得.林得特),InternationalEconomics,上海譯文出版社,1985.
2)DominickSalvatore,InternationalEconomics,EighthEdition,JohnWiley&SonsInc.,2004.3)PaulKrugmanandMauriceObstfeld,InternationalEconomics:TheoryandPolicy(FifthEdition),Addison-WestleyPublishingCompany,2000.
4)Allkindsacdemicjournalsandnewpapers,suchas:
InternationalTrade,JournalofInternationalTrade、WorldEconomy、International
BusinessDaily、人大報刊復印資料。5)Internet.Suchas:中華人民共和國商務部.htm2023/2/675、PlanandArrangement1)3hoursclassesstudyeveryweek;2)4homeworks,oneiscoursepaper;3)1seminar4)1finaltest5)CourseEvaluationThegradingsystemforthecourseisbasedonthestudents’academicperformance.Thatincludes:30%homework&classperformance+70%finalexam.2023/2/68§2.
TheEmergence&DevelopmentofInternationalTrade&thetheoryofInternationalTrade
1、TheEmergence&Developmentof
InternationalTrade
1.1ConceptInternationaltrade
istheexchangeactivityofgoodsandservicesacrossinternationalbordersorterritories.
Foreigntrade
istheexchangeactivityofgoodsandservicesbetweenonecountry(district)withothers.2023/2/691.2
ThePrerequisiteforEmergenceof
InternationalTrade(1)Therearesurplusproductsforexchange;(2)Establishmentofnationalstateswiththeirownsovereignty.
2023/2/6101.3TheHistoryofInternationalTrade1)TheearlyinternationaltradeoccurredinancientRomaandGreece.Definitely,it’sonly“tradebetweendistricts”.2)Onlyafterindustrialrevolution,internationaltradeandworldmarkethaddefinitelyformedandgotdeveloped.3)AftertheSecondWorldWar,internationaltradeenteredanewdevelopingera,especiallyinthefieldsofservicetrade,TransnationalCorperations,InternationalInvestment.2023/2/611戰(zhàn)后世界貿(mào)易(出口)發(fā)展情況
(1950年-2000年,10億美元)2023/2/612
1.4
TheHistoryofChineseFoeignTradeEarlyinXihan,ChinastartedtradewithMiddleEastandEuropethroughthefamous“SilkRoad”。Fromthesetof“SilkRoad”
to“theOpiumWar(1840-1842)”,thedevelopmentofChineseforeigntradewerestganant。Untilmid19’s,ChinahadbennopeneditsforeigntradedoorbyEuropeanandAmericanartillery。ChinacastedoffthecontrolofwesterncountriesonlyaftertheNewChinafoundedin1949.Butthen,forthereasonssuchasembargofromwesterncountrieswhichleadedbyU.S.,Chinahadtocarryonclosed-doorpolicyagain.Anditsforeigntradefalledintostagnancyoncemore.
2023/2/613So,theexportratioofChinaintheworlddroppedfrom1.9%in1959to0.8%in1969,then0.74%in1978!After1978,Chineseforeigntradeenteredintoafastdevelopingperiod.From1978to2006,thevalueofChinesemerchandisetradeincreasedfromUS$20640million
(206.4億美圓)toUS$1760690million,theyearlyaveragegrowthrateisover15%,farmorethanthatofothercountriesandtheworldaveragegrowth.Chinabecamethethirdcountryoftradeintheworld.2023/2/614
Chineseservicetradegotdevelopedinlate80’s.ThevalueofserviceexportincreasedfromtheonlyUS$2700millionin1982toUS$5748million
in1990,thenUS$157081millionin2005,andbecametheeighthserviceexportcountryintheworld.2023/2/615Questions(homework1):(1)BalanceofforeigntradeofChinain2009and2014?
(2)BalanceofsrevicetradeofChinain2009and2014?
(3)HowabouttheChineseratioandrankinworldtrade?
(4)Statistictradedatasofothermaincountries.
2023/2/6162、TheDevelopmentTrackof
InternationalTradeTheory
Early15’s—Mid18’s,Mercantilism;Mid18’s,Tradebasedonabsoluteadvantage
(AdamSmith);tradebasedoncomparativeadvantage
(DavidRicardo);After20’s,H-OModel;TheLeontiefParadoxbyW.W.Leontief;SpecificfactormodelbyPaulSamuelson;BhagwatiEffectbyJagdishBhagwati;Intra-industryTradeModelbyPaulKrugman;TradeModelinProductCyclebyRaymondVernon.2023/2/617國際貿(mào)易領域做出貢獻的重要學者國際貿(mào)易領域做出貢獻的重要學者伊·菲·赫克歇爾(1879-1959)瑞典貝蒂·俄林
(1899--1979)瑞典2023/2/618保羅·薩繆爾森(美國)(Samuelson
,1915-):凱恩斯學派重要代表人,經(jīng)濟學通才,1970年獲諾獎,
保羅·克魯格曼(美國)(Krugman,1953-
):薩繆爾森弟子,2008年獲諾獎
埃爾赫南·赫爾普曼(以色列)(Helpman,1946-)吉恩·格羅斯曼(美國)(Grossman,1955-)和赫爾普曼致力于利益集團對國際貿(mào)易的研究,兩人也都是諾獎的熱門人選2023/2/619國際貿(mào)易的主要理論模型2023/2/6203、StudyPattern
Internationaltradetheory
isdividedto:Positivetheory
Normativetheory2023/2/621PositiveAnalysis:Mainlyshowstherelationsbetweeneconomicvariables,analysesthereasonsandresultsofallkindstradebehaviorandpolicys,butnotgivejudgmentandcomment.PositiveAnalysisisakindoftechnicalanalysis.
Normative
Analysis:
ismainlythediagnosisandjudgmentor
commenttotheresultsofpositiveanalysis.Andthediagnosisandcommentreflectdifferentcognitionandvalueview.2023/2/6221、(1)美國經(jīng)濟比中國經(jīng)濟增長得更快。(2)窮人應該不納稅。2、王老師說:“對啤酒征稅會使其價格上漲”,而李老師則認為:“在校大學生們喝啤酒喝得太多,因此應該對啤酒征稅”2023/2/623RelationbetweenPositiveAnalysisandNormative
Analysis:Usuallycloselyrelated,cannotbecutted.Positiveanalysissupplythebasisfornormative
analysis.Atheorywithoutpositiveanalysisisalwaysshortofconviction。Ontheotherhands,ifatheoryonlycomposedbypositiveanalysisbutnonormative
analysis,it’llloseitseconomicsocialsignificance.So,internationaltradetheoryshouldbetheuniteofpositiveanalysisandnormative
analysis.2023/2/624
4、UsualEconomicAnalysisTools(1)Theautarky
equilibriumanalysis---productionpossibilityfrontier(PPF),opportunitycost,indifferencecurve;(2)Partequilibriumanalysis
---supplycurve,demandcurve.
2023/2/625Implications
fortheproductionpossibilityfrontier0R
WABCDPPF2023/2/626機會成本不變的PPF古典學派斯密、李嘉圖模型WR機會成本遞增的PPF(常態(tài))新古典學派貿(mào)易模型wR機會成本遞減的PPF當代貿(mào)易理論模型wR2023/2/627CommunityindifferencecurvesAcommunityindifferencecurvedisplaysthecombinationsoftwoproductsthatofferthecommunitythesamelevelofsatisfaction.Characteristicsofcommunityindifferencecurves:NegativeslopeConvextotheoriginDifferentcurvesdonotcross2023/2/628Communityindifferencecurve
YIIIIIIX更高的社會福利水平2023/2/629Theautarkyequilbrium(P*r/P*w)(Pr/Pw)
WAF
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