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2009屆高三最新英語時文閱讀選
1
2009politicalpredictions:Whatwillbethebig
story?
(CNN)--Thispastyearwasfullofunexpectedtwistsandturnsonthe
campaigntrail.
BarackObamawilltakeofficewithabigto-dolistinfrontofhim.
Withanewpresidenttakingoverandahostofproblemsawaitinghim,
there,snotellingwhatwillhappenin2009.
CNN'spoliticalanalystsandcontributorsofferedupsomeoftheir
predictionsfortheupcomingyear:
EdRollins,Republicanstrategist
ThebiggeststorywillbethecontinuedviolenceintheMiddleEast一
theIsrael/Hamaswarandtheuncertaintyofwhetherwecanpullourtroops
outofIraqandAfghanistan.
WhilemostAmericansandournewpresidentwillbefocusedontheongoing
economiccrises,thenationalsecurityteamofHillaryClinton,Robert
GatesandretiredGen.JamesJoneswillbeinacrisis-a-daymodeforthe
foreseeablefuture.
Thesecondarystorywillbewhoplaystheroleofthetheloyalopposition
tothenewpresident.WiththediminishedroleoftheRepublicanParty,
doesitbecomeatrueoppositionpartyledbytheconservativesbuilding
forthefuture,orisitapartythatcrossestheaisletoseekcompromise
withtheDemocratsandthenewpresident?More:Politicianswhofellfrom
grace
AnddoesJohnMcCainplaytheleadroleinbecomingthefacilitatorfor
compromise?IftheRepublicanPartyisnoteffective,doesthenational
mediabecometheoppositionvoice?
JeffreyToobin,senioranalyst
Theoverarchingpoliticalissueof2009willbetheeconomy.Itappears
thatPresident-electBarackObamawillbenefitfromwidespreadgoodwill
and--thoughthisisnotcertain-asensethatthingsarenearthe
bottom.
Thegreatunknowniswhethertherewillbeanyturnaround.Ifthereis,
lookforDemocratstotakecredit.Ifnot,lookforthemtocontinueto
blametheBushlegacy.
Theeconomywillbecentralintwoverydifferentpoliticalraces.The
Virginiagovernor'sracewillhelpestablishwhetherthecommonwealthhas
becomeatrulybluestate.It'sanopenseatbecausecurrentGov.TimKaine
isineligibletosucceedhimself.TheDemsaremostlylow-profilenames,
exceptforTerryMcAuliffe,thegreatClintonfundraiser,whowantsto
runforthefirsttime.
TheotherraceisforNewYorkmayor.MikeBloombergengineeredachange
incitylawtoallowhimselftorunathirdtime,andhelookslikethe
favoritetowin.Butwillthecity,smajoreconomicproblemsprompta
seriouschallengertoemerge?I'11bewatching.
JamesCarville,Democraticstrategist
2009willbeayearinwhichtheRepublicanPartywillbeconfrontedwith
anear-catastrophicideologicalrift.Readaboutapredictionthat
'pains'Carvilletomake
ThereisnoobviousRepublicanleaderonthehorizon,andthepartyis
caughtbetweenitsSouthern/talk-radiobaseandtherestofthecountry
onwhethertheyshouldopposeorcooperatewithObama'sadministration.
Thecombinationofthelackofanobviousleaderandthegeneralpolitical
combustibilityoftheRepublicanPartywillleadtoadangerousfissure
thatwillplagueituntilthe2012electioncycle.
HilaryRosen,Democraticstrategist
WillPresidentObama,ssolutionsfortheeconomybringpeopletogether?
Obamamadealotofcampaignpromises一一onesIknowheintendstokeep.
Butfixinghealthcare,creatinganewenergypolicy,investingin
educationandprovidingformiddle-classtaxreliefcostalotofmoney.
Withaneconomyintatters,howthenewpresidentmarriesthisaggressive
agendatotheall-importanttaskoffixingtheeconomywillbethebiggest
storyof2009.
Hestartswithtwothingsthatfewpresidentshavehad:ahugeamountof
goodwillfromtheAmericanpeopleand,importantly,acitizenrythat
wantstoparticipateinthenewagenda.Theydon,tcarewhichboxthey
checkedonElectionDay.Theycareabouttheirfragilepaycheck.
Itwillbeanexcitingyear,suretostartwithmorestockmarketscares
andmorelayoffs.ButIhaveahunchthatbynextNewYear,sEve,wewill
beremarkingthatthebigpoliticalstoryof2009wasthesuccessof
President0bama,sfirstyearinoffice.
DonnaBrazile,Democraticstrategist
2009willpresentuswiththemostfundamentalbreakinAmericanpolitical
economydiscoursesincetheelectionofRonaldReaganin1980.
Whatistheroleofgovernment?Isgovernmenttheproblem(Reaganomics
1980),orisgovernmentisafundamentalpartofthesolution(Obama2008).
Thisisanepochalshift.
FareedZakariastatedinNewsweekthat,/governmentsaremorepowerfulthan
markets.Thereisaneedforanewbalancebetweenthestate/government
andmarkets.Marketfundamentalismfailed(marketsarenot
self-regulatingasthebanks,BernardMadoff,WorldCom,etc.sopainfully
illustrated).
Thequestion:Whatkindofgovernment?Thiswillbethechallengeofthe
newpresident,hisadministrationandthenewCongress.
LeslieSanchez,Republicanstrategist
Themostinterestingpoliticalstoryin2009willbethesurprisingly
disharmoniousrelationshipbetweenObamaandthecongressional
Democraticleadership.
Obamawillwanttoleadfromthecenter,whileSpeakeroftheHouseNancy
PelosiandSenateMajorityLeaderHarryReidwillcontinuallypullhim
left.Tocomplicatematters,itshouldbenotedthatReidistheGOP,s
toptargettodefeatin2010.
PaulBegala,Democraticstrategist
AfterthecampaignsofJimmyCarter,WalterMondaleandMichaelDukakis,
(theMountLosemoreofmodernDemocraticpolitics),Democratsfinally
stoppedblamingthevoters.
AndsobeganagreatconversationaboutwhatitmeanttobeaDemocrat.
TheconversationtookplaceoverorganictofuinyurtsinSantaBarbara,
itwasfueledbyChassagne-MontrachetinGeorgetown,andwasconcluded
whilescarfingdownpimento-cheesesandwichesinall-nightbullsessions
inthebasementofthegovernor,smansioninLittleRock.
WhatcamefromthatpainfulreassessmentwastheNewDemocratmovement
embodiedbyBillClinton,andnowcarriedtothenextlevelbyObama.
Nowit'stheRepublicans,turn.
TheGOPneedstoaskitselftoughquestions:Aretheythepartythat
believessodeeplyinscienceandtechnologythattheybelievewecanshoot
asupersonicmissileoutofthesky,oraretheythepartythatbelieves
humanswalkedtheearthwithdinosaursafewthousandyearsago?
AretheythepartythatreachesouttoAfrican-Americans,oraretheythe
partythathandsouttheracistsong"BaracktheMagicNegro?”
AretheythepartyofconservativeintellectualslikeDavidBrooksand
thelateWilliamF.Buckley,oraretheypartyofanti-intellectual
know-nothingslikeRushLimbaughandAnnCoulter?
AretheythepartythatfeelssomorallysuperiortogayAmericansthat
theywoulddenythemequalrights,oraretheythepartythatcoversup
forLarryCraig,MarkFoleyandtheRev.TedHaggard?
Aretheythepartythatbelieveseconomicincentivesshouldbetargeted
toatiny,wealthyelite(likeBernardMadoffandKenLay)--orarethey
thepartythatbelieveshundredsofmillionsofmiddle-classconsumers
drivetheeconomy?
MarkShieldssaystherearetwokindsofpoliticalparties:thosethat
seekoutconvertsandthosethathuntdownheretics.Fundamentally,that's
thechoicetheGOPwillwrestlewithin2009.Ifthey,reinterestedin
seriouslythinkingthisthrough,IknowsomeexcellentyurtsinSanta
Barbara.
2
Study:Diamondslinkcomettomammalextinction
(CNN)-Tnydiamondsfoundinthesoilare"strongevidence"acometexploded
onoraboveNorthAmericanearly13,000yearsago,leadingtotheextinctionof
dozensofmammalspecies,accordingtoastudy.
DiamondsfoundinNorthAmericansoilsuggestacometledtothe
extinctionofdozensofmammalspecies.
Thescientificreportalsosuggeststhecataclysmalsoreducedthe
populationoftheearliestpeopletoinhabittheregionandtriggereda
1,300-year-longcoldspellthatstretchedaroundtheworld.
Theheatgeneratedbytheextraterrestrialimpactlikelymeltedmuchof
aglacierthatoncecoveredtheGreatLakesregion,sendingamassiveflood
downtheMississippiRiver,thestudysaid.
Accordingtothereport,thecoldwavesofglacialrunoffintotheGulf
ofMexicoshiftedAtlanticOceancurrents,changingclimatepatterns
throughouttheworldinacoolingperiodknownastheYoungerDryas.
〃Arareswarm"ofcometsrainedoverNorthAmericaabout12,900yearsago,
sparkingfiresthatproducedchoking,leading〃totheextinctionofa
largerangeofanimals,includingmammoths,acrossNorthAmerica,z,the
reportsaid.
Thestudywasconductedbyagroupofeightarchaeologistsandgeologists
fromtheuniversitiesofOregonandCalifornia,NorthernArizona
University,OklahomaUniversityandDePaulUniversity.Theirfindings
werepublishedFridayinthejournalNature.
Theprehistorichumansknowntohaveinhabitedthecontinentatthetime
oftheevent一一huntersandgatherersdubbedtheClovisculture一一suffered
amajordeclineinpopulationintheaftermath,thescientistssaid.
Thescientists,studyinglayersofsedimentdatedto12,900yearsagoat
sixNorthAmericanlocations,includingonedirectlyontopofaClovis
siteinMurraySprings,Arizona.Eachlayerwasrichinnanodiamonds,
whichareproducedunderhigh-temperature,high-pressureconditions
createdbycosmicimpacts,thereportsaid.
“Thenanodiamondsthatwefoundatallsixlocationsexistonlyin
sedimentsassociatedwiththeYoungerDryasBoundarylayers,notabove
itorbelowit,〃saidUniversityofOregonarchaeologistDouglasKennett.
“Thesediscoveriesprovidestrongevidenceforacosmicimpacteventat
approximately12,900yearsagothatwouldhavehadenormousenvironmental
consequencesforplants,animalsandhumansacrossNorthAmerica.
TheothersitesstudiedwereinBullCreek,Oklahoma;Gainey,Michigan
andTopper,SouthCarolina,aswellasLakeHind,Manitoba;andChobot,
intheCanadianprovinceofAlberta.
3
Playboyoftheeasternworld
Thefirstmodernnovelcelebratesits1,000thbirthday
ITCONTAINSnomilitaryadventuresnorepicjourneys.Yet“TheTaleof
Genji”isineverywayJapan'sequivalentofHomerJs“Iliad”.First
mentionedinadiaryexactly1,000yearsago,inlate1008,ithasover
thecenturiesbeensubjecttochanges,adaptations,mutationsand
translations(nottomentionbeingremadeasamangacomic),allofwhich
havehelpeditnotjustsurvive,butflourish.Todaythisaccountofthe
amorousescapadesofanaristocraticaestheteiswidelyregardedasthe
firstmodernorpsychologicalnovel.
Thebook,ssuccessliesinitsbroadappeal.Right-wingJapanese
commentatorspointto“TheTaleofGenji”andtakegreatpridein
emphasisinghowmuchmoresophisticatedcivilisationwasinJapaninthe
11thcenturycomparedwithEuropeatthattime.Formiddle-agedJapanese,
readingthebookatstudygroupsinadult-educationcentresisaspopular,
andasquintessentiallyJapanese,asf1ower-arrangingortheteaceremony.
Feministsrejoicethattheauthor,MurasakiShikibu,wasawoman,even
ifwritingfictionwasgenerallyregardedasfrivolousandlowbrow;not
anactivityformen.
Thebook,s1,000thanniversaryisbeingcelebratedinJapanwithlectures,
symposia,plays,conferencesandconcerts.AlineofGenjiteaandGenji
sweetsisalreadyonthemarketandtheCDofanewlycomposedGenji
symphonygoesonsalethismonth.
Ruthlesslysummarised,thebook'sstorylinegoeslikethis.The
dazzlinglylovely”Genji,sonoftheemperorandoneofhislower-grade
consorts,isirresistibletowomen.Heenjoysastringofaffairsasa
youngman,evenabductingaten-year-oldgirlsohecanmouldherinto
theperfectlife-companion.Butsleepingwiththedaughteroftheleader
oftheopposingpoliticalfactionisoneindiscretiontoomanyandGenji
isforcedintoexile.Recalledeventuallytothecapital,hebuilds
himselfamansionwithadifferentwomanineachofitsfourwings.Honours
areheapeduponhimandheisofferedtheretiredemperorsdaughteras
awife.ButGenji'sroyalbridebetrayshimwithanothermanandwhen
hisbelovedmistressdiesafteralongillness,ourheartbrokenhero
followsherswiftlytothegrave.
Atthispointthereaderisonlytwo-thirdsofthewaythroughthebook,
whichrunsto1,200pagesinitsmostrecentEnglishtranslationandboasts
acastofmorethan400.Thestoryresumeswithnewheroes.Twoyoungmen
(thepurportedsonandgrandsonofGenji)arewooingatrioofsisters.
Oneofthemsuccumbstomarriage,butoftheothertwosisters,onestarves
herselftodeathandtheotherchoosestobecomeanunratherthanfall
intomalehands.Love,itturnsout,isnotinnocenthanky-panky,but
somethingnoxious,corrosive一evendeadly.
Sheerscaleisnotallthatisforbiddingaboutthebook.Japaneseprose
wasstillinitsinfancyinMurasaki'sday,sohersyntaxcanbeopaque.
Sentenceslacksubjects,directspeechisoftenunattributedand,most
alarmingly,thecharacterschangenamesaccordingtotheirrankor
circumstances.Genji,forinstance,isvariouslyreferredtoasthe
captain,theconsultant,thecommander,thegrandcounsellor,thepalace
minister,thechancellorandthehonoraryretiredemperor.
Thesubjectmatterisalsochallenging.Thereispolygamy,bisexuality
(whenoneyoungwomanrebuffshisadvances,Genjiconsoleshimselfwith
heryoungerbrotherwhoturnsouttobe"nobadsubstituteforhis
ungracioussister")andsomethingveryclosetoincest.Genjiis
attractedtoFujitsubo,oneofhisfather'sconsorts,becauseofher
resemblancetohisdeadmother.Eventhoughsheis,ineffect,his
stepmother,hefathersachildwithher.
MurasakiJslanguagewasalreadyarchaicandimpenetrableacenturyafter
itwaswritten,sotheJapanesehavebeenreadingannotated,abridged,
simplifiedandillustratedversionsofthebooksinceasearlyasthe12th
century.Thesameholdstruetoday.Inthelastcentury,fourJapanese
writersproducedatotalofsevenupdatedversionsofthebook.Themost
recentofthesewasbyJakuchoSetouchi,afemalenovelistwhoseownwork
dealswithissuesofwomen'sindependence.Setouchis“Genji”has
soldmorethan3mcopiessinceitwaspublishedinDecember1996,asuccess
thatKodansha,thepublisher,attributestotheauthorJsempathywith
thewomeninthetaleandhercolloquialwriting.Cannymarketingalso
playedapart,withKodanshaorganisinglecturesanddiscussiongroups
alloverthecountryatthetimeofthelaunch.
Freerandlessreverentialadaptationsexistaswell.AlsofromKodansha
isWakiYamato's"FleetingDreamsw,ausugarandspiceandallthings
nice”takeonGenjiinmangaformthathassold17mcopies.Forthose
whopreferalesssaccharineapproach,Shogakukan,arivalpublisher,came
upwithanothermangaversionthatemphasisesthemaliciousfemale
charactersandincludesplentyofexplicitsex.
Ittookuntilthe20thcenturybeforeacompleteEnglish-languageversion
appeared.ArthurWaley,aCambridgeclassicistwhotaughthimself
JapaneseandChinese,producedthefirstEnglishtranslationinsix
instalmentsbetween1925and1933.Waleywasmuchmoreinterestedin
readabilitythanfidelity.Hespeduptheplot,cutlongdescriptive
scenesandtheoccasionalentirechapter.Heclarifiedmanyofthe
sentences,addedpsychologicalbackgroundtothecharactersand
westernisedtheJapanesearchitecture.Theresultwasaprosemasterpiece,
thoughonewhichmodernscholarsprefertocallanadaptationratherthan
atranslation.
LyttonStrachey,aneighbourofWaleyJs,consideredhistranslation
“beautifulinbits”,butthereactionfromJapanwasmuchwarmer.Even
ifWaley,sJapanesenoblemensoundalittlelikeearly-20th-century
Cambridgeundergraduates,onecontemporaryJapanesewriterfamously
declaredthattheEnglishmanhadbreathedlifeintoaworkthathadbeen
totteringaroundlikeaheadlesscorpse.Indeed,Waley1sstatureinJapan
issuchthatHeibonsha,anotherpublisher,recentlyreleaseda
retranslationofWaley1s“Genji”backintoJapanese."Eveninthe
modern-1anguageversionsof'Genji’,themajorityofJapanesereaders
don'tmakeitmuchpasttheopeningchapters,"explainsTakaoHoshina,
aneditoratHeibonsha."Waley'sisthemostaccessibleversionforus
too.”
In1976EdwardSeidensticker,anacademicalreadycelebratedforhis
translationsofYasunariKawabata,aNobelprize-winningnovelist,
broughtoutanewversion.TornbetweenadmirationforWaley'snarrative
verveandhorroratthelibertieshehadtakenwiththetext,Seidensticker
produceda“Genji”thatwasdoggedlyfaithfulbutalittlelackingin
grace.
ItwaslefttoRoyal1Tyler,whosecharmingandurbane“Genji”cameout
in2001,tochartthecoursebetweentheexuberanceandtheexactitude
ofhistwopredecessors.PerhapsbecausehelivesintheAustralianbush,
MrTylerwaswillingtorecognisethatreaderscanlosetheirwayinthe
novel'svastnessandsoprovidesahandykitoforientationtools:
chapter-by-chapterlistsofthecharactersandfootnotestoexplainthe
imageryofthepoemsdottedthroughoutthetext.
“TheTaleofGenji”rewardsperseverance,butjustasyoungGenjiflits
fromonemistresstothenext,sothereadercanchoosebetweenthethree
Englishversionsofthestory.EffervescentWaley,primSeidenstickeror
suaveTyler一whowillyoutaketobedwithyoutonight?
4
WhatSantacanbringEasternEurope
RadekSikorskiforNATOchief
THEreindeerareharnessed,thesledgeladen.SowhatwillSantaClaus
bringtheex-communistcountriesforChristmas?Desirablepresentsare
easytothinkof.Arespitefromtheeconomicdownturn.Alesschauvinist
attitudefromRussia.AmoreconsiderateapproachfromGermany.Attention
fromthenewAmericanadministration.Butthesebelonginthesame
charmingbutunrealisticcategoryasachild'swish-listonwhich“no
school”,“afairycarriageand“machinegun”arescrawledincrayon.
Rathermorelikely-andgenuinelydesirable-wouldbetheappointmentof
someonefromtheonce-captivenationstoatopinternationaljob.Since
thecollapseofcommunism,therecordonthishasbeendismal.Russia
chairedtheG-8(thoughmostofthecountriesattendingtheStPetersburg
summitdidsowhilewincingattheirhost'sbehaviour).Sloveniaheld
theEuropeanUnion1spresidencycompetently(thoughcloseinspection
revealedatightFrenchembraceoftheEU'snominalleadership).
Butintermsofthebigappointments,suchasrunningtheEUCommission
andNATOoreventhelesserpostssuchasleadingtheOrganisationfor
SecurityandCo-operationinEurope,theCouncilofEurope,theEuropean
BankforReconstructionandDevelopmentoranythingattheUnitedNations,
itishardtofindanyonefromeasternEuropewhohasheldanything
remotelyresemblingatopjob.Themessageis:begratefulforyourEU
commissioners;nowshutup.
Thenewmember-statesofNATOandtheEUfeeltheyhavebeenratherpoorly
treatedinthepastyearorso.GermanysnubbedthemattheBucharestNATO
summit.TheEUtoldthemtheyweresillytocareaboutGeorgia,imposed
asingleflimsysanctiononRussiaandthenwasunabletomaintaineven
that.
MuchoftheresponsibilityforthislieswiththeFrenchpresident,
NicolasSarkozy.HehasalsoflirtedwiththeKremlin,snewschemefor
Europeansecurity.ThisinvolveskickingtheAmericansout,sidelining
NATO,andallowingRussiaandthebigEUcountriestostitchthingsup
betweenthem.
Inprivatebriefings,FrenchandotherwestEuropeanofficialsarealready
underminingtheupcomingCzechEUpresidency,sneeringandjeeringatthe
ideathatthedumpling-munchingpeasantsofBohemiacanmatchthegrandeur
ofFrance.Theyalsogrosslyoverstatetheimportance(moreaccurately:
nuisancevalue)oftheabrasiveCzechpresident,VaclavKlaus.AllEU
statesareequal,MrSarkozyconcedes.Butthebiggeroneshaveumore
responsibilities”(andarelessequal,GeorgeOrwellmighthave
concluded,thanothers).
Nextyear,iftheLisbontreatyisratified,thefollowingjobswillcome
open:presidentsoftheEUCommission(anexistingpost)andtheEUCouncil
(anewone),plusEUforeignminister,NATOsecretary-generaland
presidentoftheEuropeanparliament.Asthingsstand,theeastEuropeans
willgetonlythelastofthese-whichisbyfartheleastimportant.
Thatisnotjustunfair.It'srisky.ItwillalienatetheeastEuropeans
andmaketheirpoliticalelitesfeelmutinous.EastEuropeancountries
haveplentyofwaystoslowdownEUdecision-making.Sofar,theyhave
forthemostpartbeenatpainstoshowthattheyaregoodEuropeans.That
cannotbetakenforgranted.
Hereisapossiblewayout:theNATOtopjobshouldgotoaheavyweight
Atlanticistpolitician,withexpertiseindefencepolicy,fromanew
memberstate.Thatproducesashortlistofroughlytwo:RadekSikorski,
Poland'sforeignminister(andformerdefenceminister)orSashaVondra,
theCzechdeputyprimeminister.Poland'sstatusasadefenceheavyweight
makesMrSikorski'scasethestronger.Let'shopeSantaseesitthat
waytoo.
AmericantradeandbudgetdeficitshavegrownworseandTreasurySecretary
HenryPaulsonJr.,withPresidentHuJintaoofChina,hasnotbeenable
toallaytheproblem.
5
DollarShift:ChinesePocketsFilledas
Americans'Emptied
Usuallyit'stherichcountrylendingtothepoor.Thistime,it'sthe
poorcountrylendingtotherich.”
一NiallFerguson
WASHINGTON—InMarch2005,alow-keyPrincetoneconomistwhohadbecome
aFederalReservegovernorcoinedanoveltheorytoexplainthegrowing
tendencyofAmericanstoborrowfromforeigners,particularlytheChinese,
tofinancetheirheavyspending.
Theproblem,hesaid,wasnotthatAmericansspendtoomuch,butthat
foreignerssavetoomuch.TheChinesehavepiledupsomuchexcesssavings
thattheylendmoneytotheUnitedStatesatlowrates,underwriting
Americanconsumption.
Thiscolossalcreditcyclecouldnotlastforever,hesaid.Butinaglobal
economy,thetransferofChinesemoneytoAmericawasamarketphenomenon
thatwouldtakeyears,evenadecade,toworkitselfout.Fornow,hesaid,
“weprobablyhavelittlechoiceexcepttobepatient.”
Today,thedependenceoftheUnitedStatesonChinesemoneylooksless
benign.Andtheeconomistwhoproposedthetheory,BenS.Bernanke,is
dealingwiththeconsequences,havingbeenpromotedtochairmanofthe
Fedin2006,asthesecross-bordermoneyflowswerereachingstratospheric
levels.
Inthepastdecade,Chinahasinvestedupwardof$1trillion,mostly
earningsfrommanufacturingexports,intoAmericangovernmentbondsand
government-backedmortgagedebt.Thathasloweredinterestratesand
helpedfuelahistoricconsumptionbingeandhousingbubbleintheUnited
States.
China,someeconomistssay,lulledAmericanconsumers,andtheirleaders,
intocomplacencyabouttheirspendthriftways.
“Thiswasablinkingredlight,“saidKennethS.Rogoff,aprofessor
ofeconomicsatHarvardandaformerchiefeconomistattheInternational
MonetaryFund."Weshouldhavereactedtoit?“
Inhindsight,manyeconomistssay,theUnitedStatesshouldhave
recognizedthatborrowingfromabroadforconsumptionanddeficit
spendingathomewasnotaformulaforeconomicsuccess.Evenasthat
weaknessisbecomingmorewidelyrecognized,however,theUnitedStates
islikelytobemoreaddictedthanevertoforeigncreditorstofinance
recordgovernmentspendingtorevivethebrokeneconomy.
Tobesure,therewerefewreadyremedies.Somecriticsarguethatthe
UnitedStatescouldhavepushedBeijinghardertoabandonitspolicyof
keepingthevalueofitscurrencyweak一apolicythatmadeitsexports
lessexpensiveandhelpedturnitintotheworld,sleadingmanufacturing
power.IfChinahadalloweditscurrencytofloataccordingtomarket
demandinthepastdecade,itsexportgrowthprobablywouldhavemoderated.
Anditwouldnothaveacquiredthesamevasthoardofdollarstoinvest
abroad.
OtherssaytheFederalReserveandtheTreasuryDepartmentshouldhave
seentheChineselendingforwhatitwas:agiantstimulustotheAmerican
economy,notunlikeinterestratecutsbytheFed.Thesecriticssaythe
FedunderAlanGreenspancontributedtothecreationofthehousingbubble
byleavinginterestratestoolowfortoolong,evenasChineseinvestment
furtherstokedaneasy-moneyeconomy.TheFedshouldhavecutinterest
rateslessinthemiddleofthisdecade,theysay,andstartedraising
themsooner,tohelpreducespeculationinrealestate.
Today,withthewreckagearoundhim,Mr.Bernankesaidheregrettedthat
morewasnotdonetoregulatefinancialinstitutionsandmortgage
providers,whichmighthavepreventedthefloodofinvestment,including
thatfromChina,frombeingsobadlyused.ButtheFed,srolein
regulationislimitedtobanks.Andstricterre
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