大戰(zhàn)略性技術(shù)

CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTechnologiesThesematerialscanbereproducedonlywithGartner’sofficialapproval.Suchapprovalsmayberequestedviae-mail--quote.requests@.Notesaccompanythispresentation.PleaseselectNotesPageview.TheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsMaturingin18to36MonthsWiderApplicabilityLoweredRiskIssuesResolvedCopyright?2003Conclusion:Top10Technologies1. WhatarethetrendsanddriversshapingITstrategyduringthenextthreeyears?2. WhichtechnologieswillreachhighenoughlevelsofmaturityandadoptiontoimpacttheITlandscapethrough2005?3. HowwillITarchitecturesevolvetosupportenterprisegoals?Copyright?2003KeyIssuesValues:PresenceserviceReal-timeNorewindLowoverheadOtherIssues:LackofaudittrailQoSlimitationsPoorintegrationcapabilityLostrecordofdecisionsTextfocused,limitedmediaSecurityConcerns:DataprotectionPrivacyTamperresistanceCopyright?2003InstantMessagingintheEnterpriseRFIDTagCurrentApplicationsTollpasssystemsPetidentificationAccesscardsRetailtheftprotectionElectronicparoleetrackingPhotossourceTexasInstrumentsSuccessortoBarCodesCanreadevencoveredCanreadwhilemovingCanscanatdistanceSurviveswater,heat,paintingPricedroppingtolowlevelsRemaininproductforlifePotentialApplicationsLocatecommonobjectsImprovedassetcontrolReal-timeretail-shelfinventoryMovetofasterorself-checkoutImprovemanufacturingandsupply-chainefficiencyAfter-saleservicesofferingsCopyright?2003HoneyPots,ApplicationTracesandForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGatewayAVSecurityPlatformIntheCloudMSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-

100MbGigabit+200220042006??PoliciesandParametersUnified*ManagementCopyright?2003NetworkSecurityPlatformTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCellphonetowerGPSPossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmartcontextCopyright?2003Location-BasedServicesApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerBCopyright?2003GRIDComputingToolkitsandEnablersUnitedDevices,Avaki,DataSynapse,etc.Globus,OGSA,GlobalGridForumWebservicesandotherstandardsCorbaCustomapproachesSignificantintegrationrequiredCurrentApplicationsLargecomputationsLimiteddatainterchangePartitionablealgorithmEngineeringScientificresearchOptimizationandsimulationUniversalorNiche?HighlydependentonproblemandapplicationSecurity,economicandQoSissuesremainBreakthroughperformancevs.cost-efficiencyAdoptionrateofutilitymodelofcomputingDiffusiondependsonturnoverinexistingplantCopyright?2003GRIDComputingGeneraltextentryCommandandcontrolCallcenteruseSuccessFactorsLimitedvocabularyandhighcontextDialog-oriented,interactiveapproachAcceptablerateoferrorsCopyright?2003SpeechRecognitionReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessResponseAwarenessActionDecisionBusinessstrategyfirstReducedelaysReducederrorratesInformationprecisionandtimelinessRicher/More-appropriateinformationLowerwasteFasterreactionCopyright?2003Real-TimeEnterprise--RTETroughofDisillusionmentSlopeofEnlightenmentPlateauofProductivityTechnologyTriggerPeakofInflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWebServicesMassRFIDTaggingMEMSsensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRTIntegrationbrokersWirelessMessagingDataWarehouseBusinessProcessManagementLanguagesContentManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRulesEnginesHomeBroadbandAutomatictextcategorisationEventMgt.CommercialGridInfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright?2003MaturityofRTETechnologiesVoIPonWANissuesQoScontrolEconomicsvscarriertrendsIPvariablelatencyStandardsandinteroperabilityIPtelephonyissuesFeaturesvsPBXScalabilityReliabilityQoSandsharingnetworksInteroperabilitySomeMissingFeaturesAttendantconsoleLeastcostroutingBusyoverrideTrunkcallbackqueuingBlindtransferLessthen500phones;VoIPoverWANLargeIPTelephony(500ormorephones)VeryLargeIPtelephony(2,000ormorephones)Copyright?2003IPTelephonyConceptsToolsDevelopDeployService-

OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopmentofApplications(SODA)Web

ServiceArchitecture(WSA)InterfaceSeparationWrapping(Reflection)DescriptionDynamismAssemblyCompositionDiscoveryOrchestrationContractsMessagesRepositoryServersProg.ModelPlatformStandardsOrganizationWebServiceProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright?2003ServiceOrientationtoSoftwareCommonInternetprotocols(e.g.,TCP/IPHTTP)ExtensibleMarkupLanguage(XML)SimpleObjectAccessProtocol(SOAP)WebServicesDefinitionLanguage(WDSL)UniversalDescription,DiscoveryandIntegration(UDDI)WS-Transaction,BPEL4WS,WSCIInplaceKey:Liberty,PassportWS-Security,SecurityAssertionsMarkupLanguage(SAML)WebServicesforRemotePortals(WSRP),

WebServicesUserInterface(WSUI)FormatTransportMessageDescriptionSearch&FindCoordinationUserInterfaceIdentifyingStandardNeedBusiness

SemanticsebXML,RosettaNetEmergingEstablishedEntrenchedSecurityTrustIdentityCopyright?2003EmergingWebServicesStandardsBuildingTrust

ApplicationsInspection SurveysForms AnnotationPersonalizationofe-mail Note