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28August2024|11:54PMHKT
ChinaSmartphones:Julyshipments+28%YoY;7M24+14%YoY
JulysmartphoneshipmentsinChinawere+28%YoY,leadingto7M24
shipmentsat+14%YoY.Weseeacceleratingrecoveryofsmartphonedemand
AllenChang
+852-2978-2930|
allen.k.chang@
GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
sincebottominginFeb2024(May+14%YoY;June+14%YoY).Forcameras,the
VerenaJeng
numberofcamerasperphonehaspeakedoutat3.3in2024YTD(vs.3.5/3.8in
+852-2978-1681|verena.jeng@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
2023/22);however,20MPx+penetrationhasincreasedto50%in2024YTD(vs.
KatrinaChiu
39%/31%in2023/22),inlinewithourviewofcameraspeci?cationupgradesforChinasmartphones(reportlink).Readmore:Smartphoneproductmonthlytracker.
+852-2978-1197|katrina.chiu@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
Buy:HonHai,AAC,Luxshare,SZS,Fositek,BYDE,Transsion,Vanchip,Maxscend,Arcsoft(camerasoftware),SGMicro,WillSemi,MediaTek,andTSMC(onCL).
Neutral:Largan,SunnyOptical.
KeyChinasmartphonedatainJuly
China5GphonemarketinJuly
n5GphoneshipmentsinChinacameinat21munitsinJul,-7%MoM,+37%YoY,withan85%penetrationrate,perMIIT.
nThenumberofnew5GsmartphonemodelslaunchedinChinawas-28%YoYto
13modelsinJul2024vs.+57%YoYto11modelsinJun2024,perMIIT.
n225Gmodelspassed3Ccerti?cationinChinainAug2024MTD(vs.38modelsinJul),fromVivo(4),Honor(2),Xiaomi(4),OPPO(1),andothers(11),perthe
ChinaQualityCerti?cationCenter.
_
ChinasmartphonemarketinJuly
nSmartphoneshipmentsinChinawere+28%YoYinJulvs.+14%YoYinJun2024,perMIIT.
nThenumberofnewsmartphonemodelslaunchedinChinawas-36%YoYto18modelsinJul2024vs.+27%YoYto19modelsinJun2024,perMIIT.
nReplacementratio:Ofthe1,711mmobilephonesubscribersasofJul2023,around15%hadreplacedtheirphonesfromAug2023toJul2024.
SmartphonecamerapixelsinleadingChinasmartphonebrandssincethestartof2024:
GoldmanSachsdoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethatthe?rmmayhaveacon?ictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthis
report.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.ForRegACcerti?cationandotherimportantdisclosures,seetheDisclosureAppendix,orgoto
/research/hedge.html.Analystsemployedbynon-USaf?liatesarenotregistered/quali?edasresearchanalystswithFINRAintheU.S.
GoldmanSachs
ChinaSmartphones
n
Wereviewedthe180modelslaunchedbyHonor,Xiaomi,OPPO,VivoandTranssionin2024YTD,totaling602cameras.
n
Averagecameraspermodelwereat3.3in2024YTD,vs.3.5/3.8/4.1/4.9/4.0in2023/2022/2021/2020/2019.Amongthe602cameras,only40%ofcameras
were2MPx/5MPx/8MPx,vs.45%/51%/50%/57%/46%in2023/2022/2021/2020/2019.
n
18modelshavebeenlaunchedbyHonorsincethestartof2024withatotalof66cameras,or3.7cameraspermodel,vs.Huaweiat3.6cameras,OPPOat3.2
cameras,Xiaomiat3.7cameras,Vivoat3.2cameras,andTranssionat3.4cameras.
n
Amongthe66camerasinthe18modelsthatHonorhaslaunchedsincethestartof2024,29%were2MPx/5MPx/8MPx,vs.Huaweiat33%,OPPOat45%,Xiaomiat38%,Vivoat38%,andTranssionat47%.
_
28August20242
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit1:5GsmartphoneshipmentsinChina:21munitsinJulExhibit2:Monthly#ofnew5Gsmartphonemodelslaunchedin
China
Jan-21
Mar-21
(munits)
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
Mar-22
May-22
Jul-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Jan-23
Mar-23
May-23
Jul-23
Sep-23
Nov-23
Jan-24
Mar-24
May-24
Jul-24
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
Mar-22
May-22
Jul-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Jan-23
Mar-23
May-23
Jul-23
Sep-23
Nov-23
Jan-24
Mar-24
May-24
Jul-24
(units)
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Source:MIITSource:MIIT
Exhibit3:2014-154GmobilephoneshipmentsandpenetrationrateExhibit4:Monthly#ofnew4Gmobilephonemodelslaunchedin
China
(mnunits)
60
50
40
30
20
10
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
-
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
4GmobilephoneshipmentstoChinaPenetrationrate(RHS)
(units)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Jun-14Jul-14Aug-14Sep-14Oct-14Nov-14Dec-14#ofnew4Gmobilephonemodels
Source:MIITSource:MIIT
_
28August20243
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit5:SmartphoneshipmentsinChina
(munits)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jan-24
Feb-24
Mar-24
Apr-24
May-24
Jun-24
0
290%
240%
190%
140%
90%
40%
-10%
Jul-24
-60%
SmartphoneshipmentsinChinaYoY(RHS)
Source:MIIT
Exhibit6:NumberofnewsmartphonemodelslaunchedinChina
_
(units)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
#ofnewsmartphonemodels(units)
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
YoY(RHS)
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jan-24
Feb-24
Mar-24
Apr-24
May-24
Jun-24
Jul-24
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
-60%
-80%
Source:MIIT
Exhibit7:MobilephoneshipmentsinChina
munits
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jan-24
Feb-24
Mar-24
Apr-24
May-24
Jun-24
Jul-24
Mobilephones
19
21
23
19
26
22
19
19
33
29
31
28
32
14
21
24
30
25
24
YoY
-43%
43%
5%
3%
25%
-21%
-7%
0%
59%
20%
34%
1%
68%
-33%
-5%
29%
16%
12%
30%
MoM
-32%
12%
6%
-17%
39%
-15%
-16%
2%
75%
-12%
7%
-9%
12%
-55%
50%
13%
26%
-18%
-3%
5G
16.5
17.7
17.3
13.3
20.2
17.3
15.1
15.6
28.7
26.4
27.1
24.2
26.2
12.5
17.7
20.2
25.5
22.1
20.7
5Gtomobilephones
87%
83%
77%
71%
77%
78%
81%
82%
86%
91%
87%
86%
82%
88%
83%
84%
84%
89%
85%
ChineseBrands
10
18
19
16
22
20
16
17
25
18
25
25
26
12
18
21
25
22
22
ChineseBrandstomobilephones
52%
83%
85%
88%
86%
88%
88%
89%
75%
62%
82%
87%
83%
83%
82%
85%
83%
88%
90%
Smartphone
18
20
22
18
25
21
17
18
32
28
30
27
30
14
20
23
29
24
22
YoY
-43%
40%
3%
2%
23%
-24%
-10%
-1%
61%
19%
34%
0%
61%
-31%
-6%
25%
14%
14%
28%
MoM
-32%
12%
5%
-16%
39%
-17%
-17%
4%
78%
-12%
6%
-10%
10%
-52%
44%
12%
26%
-17%
-7%
Smartphonetomobilephones
97%
96%
95%
97%
97%
94%
93%
94%
96%
97%
96%
95%
93%
98%
95%
94%
94%
96%
92%
#ofnewsmartphonemodels(units)
12
26
42
51
27
15
28
46
32
36
22
19
17
19
29
28
37
19
18
YoY
-57%
18%
20%
42%
42%
-46%
56%
7%
14%
50%
-41%
-42%
42%
-27%
-31%
-45%
37%
27%
-36%
MoM
-64%
117%
62%
21%
-47%
-44%
87%
64%
-30%
13%
-39%
-14%
-11%
12%
53%
-3%
32%
-49%
-5%
#ofnewmobilemodels(units)
13
28
48
60
32
22
35
55
42
50
30
26
29
21
47
33
49
26
29
5G
7
11
20
29
11
7
18
30
20
31
19
11
9
17
23
22
27
11
13
5Gtototalnewmobilemodels
54%
39%
42%
48%
34%
32%
51%
55%
48%
62%
63%
42%
31%
81%
49%
67%
55%
42%
45%
Source:MIIT
28August20244
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit8:Cumulativenumberof5Gmodelspassing3Ccerti?cationExhibit9:Numberof5Gmodelspassing3Ccerti?cationinChina
inChina
(No.ofmodels)
900
800
395
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Huawei
523
281
219
VivoOppoXiaomi
816
215
HonorOthers
(No.ofmodels)
100
80
60
40
20
Jun-19
Aug-19
Oct-19
Dec-19
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
June-22
August…
Oct-22
Dec-22
Feb-23
Apr-23
Jun-23
Aug-23
Oct-23
Dec-23
Feb-24
Apr-24
Jun-24
Aug-24
0
DataasofAug28,2024
Source:ChinaQualityCerti?cationCenter
DataasofAug28,2024
Source:ChinaQualityCerti?cationCenter
Exhibit10:Modelpricingforvarious5Gsmartphonebrands
Rmb5,0004,5004,0003,5003,0002,5002,0001,5001,000500
0
VivoiQoo
RedmiNo
te10OppoA555G
Vivo
Y31s
MotoX40
XiaomiRedmiK70Pro
Honor80
RealmeGTNeo5
OnePlusAce2Pro
NEO5HonorPlay55G
OnePlusAce3
VivoS17tXiaomiCivi3
VivoiQOOZ5
Honor100
XiaomiPOCOX4Pro5G
OppoA745G
Honor50SE
VivoiQOONeo7OppoReno8Lite
RealmeQ3s
Note11TSE
Redmi
XiaomiRedmi11PrimeVIVOS10
OnePlusvivoY100t
VivoY76s
OppoA2Pro
HonorX20
Realme11
HonorX30
RedmiNote10T
HonorX95G
VivoY100
HonorX50
Realme9i5G
HonorPlay6T
VivoY10
VivoY53t
OneplusAce3Pro
OppoK12Ace3V
Rmb1,999(US$274)
Realme13Pro+OppoA3
vivoY200
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
_
28August20245
GoldmanSachs
Exhibit11:2023to2024smartphonemodellaunchespipelineacrosskeyvendors
SamsungGalaxy
GalaxyZFold6
(Launched)
SamsungGalaxy
GalaxyZFlip5
(Launched)
MeizuMeilan20(Launched)
XiaomiRedmiK70Ultra(Launched)
XiaomiMixFlip(Launched)
2024
OnePlusAce3
(Launched)
HonorX50GT(Launched)
HonorMagic6(Launched)
SamsungGalaxyS24(Launched)
OppoFindX7(Launched)
Realme12Pro(Launched)
vivoY100t(Launched)
HuaweiPocketS2(Launched)
Xiaomi14Ultra(Launched)
XiaomiCivi4Pro
(Launched)
Meizu21Pro(Launched)
OnePlusAce3V(Launched)
HonorMagic6
RSR(Launched)
VivoXFold3/Pro
(Launched)
XiaomiRedmi
Turbo3
(Launched)
HuaweiP70(Launched)
vivoY200i(Launched)
OPPOA3Pro(Launched)
RealmeGTNeo6
SE
(Launched)
OPPOK12(Launched)
Meizu21Note(Launched)
OppoReno12(Launched)
RealmeGTNeo6
(Launched)
Honor200(Launched)
VivoX100(Launched)
VivoS19(Launched)
OnePlus
Ace3Pro
(Launched)
HonorMagicVFlip(Launched)
Motorazr50Ultra
AI
(Launched)
Motorazr50(Launched)
XiaomiMixFold4
(Launched)
ZTERedmagic
9SPro(Launched)
RealmeGT6(Launched)
HonorMagicVs3
(Launched)
HonorMagicV3(Launched)
OPPOA3(Launched)
JanFebMarAprilMayJunJul
Xiaomi13Ultra
(Launch)
HuaweiNova11
(Launch)
2023
SamsungGalaxyS23(Launched)
HuaweiP60(Launched)
RedmiNote12
Turbo
(Launched)
OppoFindX6(Launched)
VivoiQOOZ7(Launched)
VivoV27(Launched)
OnePlusAce2V(Launched)
VivoXFlip(Launch)
VivoXFold2(Launch)
OnePlusNordCE3Lite(Launched)
AsusROG7(Launched)
ZTEAxon50Ultra
(Launched)
Meizu20(Launched)
Realme11(Launched)
XiaomiCivi3(Launched)
VivoS17(Launched)
VivoiQOONeo8
(Launched)
SamsungGalaxy
GalaxyZFold5
(Launched)
SamsungGalaxy
GalaxyZFlip5
(Launched)
OppoK11(Launched)
HonorX50(Launched)
_
RealmeGTNeo5
(Launched)
OnePlus11(Launched)
VivoS16(Launched)
Honor90(Launched)
OppoReno10(Launched)
Motorazr40(Launched)
VivoX90s(Launched)
HonorMagicV2(Launched)
VivoiQOO11S(Launched)
RealmeGTNeo5SE(Launched)
HuaweiMateX3(Launched)
TecnoPhantomVFold(Launched)
OnePlusAce2(Launched)
HonorMagic5(Launched)
JanFebMarAprilMayJunJul
Expectedmodelandlaunchdateforthosecellswithwhitebackground
Source:Companydata,CompiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
28August2024
ChinaSmartphones
HuaweiMate70
OnePlus13
OppoFindX8Pro
OppoFindX8
HonorX60
VivoX200Pro
HuaweiNova13
RealmeGT7Pro
Realme13Pro+(Launched)
Xiaomi15Pro
XiaomiRedmiK80
iPhone16series
ZTERedmagic
10Pro
Honor100GT
HuaweiNovaFlip
Xiaomi15
HuaweiMateX6
(Launched)
AugSepOctNovDec
VivoiQOOZ8(Launched)
HuaweiMate60Pro(Launched)
OnePlusAce2Pro(Launched)
XiaomiRedmiK60Ultra(Launched)
XiaomiMIXFold3
(Launched)
iPhone15sereis
(Launched)
HonorVPurse(Launched)
OppoFindN3Flip
(Launched)
HuaweiMate60Pro+(Launched)
HuaweiMateX5(Launched)
HuaweiNova11SE(Launched)
VivoY100(Launched)
OppoA2x(launched)
OnePlusOpen(Launched)
Xiaomi14(Launched)
OppoFindN3(Launched)
HonorMagicVs2
(Launched)
Meizu21(Launched)
VivoY100i(Launched)
ZTERedmagic9Pro(Launched)
Honor100(Launched)
OppoReno11(Launched)
VivoX100(Launched)
VivoiQOO12(Launched)
XiaomiRedmiK70
(Launched)
Honor90GT(Launched)
HuaweiNova12(Launched)
VivoS18(Launched)
OnePlus12(Launched)
RealmeGT5Pro(Launched)
AugSepOctNovDec
6
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit12:Cameraspersmartphonemodelpeakingout
SmartphonemodelslaunchedbyHuawei,Honor,Xiaomi,OPPO,Vivo,TranssionsinceDec2020
model
#ofmodels(RHS)Camerasper
units454035302520151050
units5.0
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Dec-22
Feb-23
Apr-23
Jun-23
Aug-23
Oct-23
Dec-23
Feb-24
Apr-24
Jun-24
Aug-24
4.54.03.53.02.52.01.51.00.50.0
Exhibit13:20MPx+becomesthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyHuawei,Honor,Xiaomi,OPPO,Vivo,TranssionsinceDec2020,%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
Dec-20
Feb-21
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
2/5/8MPx
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Dec-22
20MPx+
Feb-23
Apr-23
Jun-23
Aug-23
Oct-23
Dec-23
Feb-24
Apr-24
Jun-24
Aug-24
10-19MPx
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Exhibit14:Huawei/Honor/Xiaomi/OPPO/Vivo/Transsion:20MPx+becomesthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyHuawei,Honor,Xiaomi,OPPO,Vivo,Transsionsince2018:%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
Exhibit15:2/5/8MPxat40%in2024YTD
602camerason180modelslaunchedbyHuawei,Honor,Xiaomi,OPPO,Vivo,Transsionin2024YTD,dividedbypixelcount
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1Q18
2Q18
3Q18
4Q18
1Q19
2Q19
3Q19
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
4Q20
1Q21
2Q21
3Q21
4Q21
1Q22
2Q22
3Q22
4Q22
1Q23
2Q23
3Q23
4Q23
1Q24
2Q24
_
2/5/8MPx20MPx+10-19MPx
10-19MPx11%
2/5/8MPx40%
20MPx+50%
DataasofAug28,2024.
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
28August20247
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit16:Honor:20MPx+remainsthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyHonorsince2018:%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
Exhibit17:Honor:29%at2/5/8MPx
66camerason18modelslaunchedbyHonorin2024YTD,bypixelnumber
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10-
19MPx
8%
2/5/8MPx29%
20MPx+64%
2/5/8MPx20MPx+10-19MPx
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Exhibit18:Xiaomi:20MPx+increasing
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyXiaomisince2018:%ofcamerasintermsofpixel
Exhibit19:Xiaomi:38%at2/5/8MPx
81camerason22modelslaunchedbyXiaomiin2024YTD,bypixelnumber
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10-19MPx20%
20MPx+42%
2/5/8MPx38%
2/5/8MPx20MPx+10-19MPx
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
_
28August20248
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Exhibit20:OPPO:2/5/8MPx+becomesthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyOPPOsince2018:%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
Exhibit21:OPPO:45%at2/5/8MPx
175camerason55modelslaunchedbyOPPOin2024YTD,bypixelnumber
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10-19MPx6%
20MPx+49%
2/5/8MPx45%
2/5/8MPx20MPx+10-19MPx
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Exhibit22:Vivo:20MPx+becomesthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyVivosince2018:%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
Exhibit23:Vivo:38%at2/5/8MPx
152camerason48modelslaunchedbyVivoin2024YTD,bypixelcount
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
10-19MPx13%
2/5/8MPx38%
0%
20MPx+49%
2/5/8MPx20MPx+10-19MPx
_
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
28August20249
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
1Q21
2Q21
3Q21
4Q21
1Q22
2Q22
3Q22
4Q22
1Q23
2Q23
3Q23
4Q23
1Q24
2Q24
Exhibit24:Transsion:20MPx+becomesthemaincontributor
CamerasonsmartphoneslaunchedbyTranssionsince2021:%ofcamerasintermsofpixels
10-19MPx1%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
2/5/8MPx47%
10%
0%
10-19MPx
Exhibit25:Transsion:47%at2/5/8MPx
74camerason22modelslaunchedbyTranssionin2024YTD,bypixel
20MPx+51%
2/5/8MPx
20MPx+
20%
80%
Source:Companydata,compiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchSource:CompanydatacompiledbyGoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
_
28August202410
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
DisclosureAppendix
RegAC
We,AllenChang,VerenaJengandKatrinaChiu,herebycertifythatalloftheviewsexpressedinthisreportaccuratelyre?ectourpersonalviewsaboutthesubjectcompanyorcompaniesanditsortheirsecurities.Wealsocertifythatnopartofourcompensationwas,isorwillbe,directlyorindirectly,relatedtothespeci?crecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisreport.
Unlessotherwisestated,theindividualslistedonthecoverpageofthisreportareanalystsinGoldmanSachs’GlobalInvestmentResearchdivision.
GSFactorPro?le
TheGoldmanSachsFactorPro?leprovidesinvestmentcontextforastockbycomparingkeyattributestothemarket(i.e.ourcoverageuniverse)anditssectorpeers.Thefourkeyattributesdepictedare:Growth,FinancialReturns,Multiple(e.g.valuation)andIntegrated(acompositeofGrowth,FinancialReturnsandMultiple).Growth,FinancialReturnsandMultiplearecalculatedbyusingnormalizedranksforspeci?cmetricsforeachstock.The
normalizedranksforthemetricsarethenaveragedandconvertedintopercentilesfortherelevantattribute.Theprecisecalculationofeachmetricmayvarydependingonthe?scalyear,industryandregion,butthestandardapproachisasfollows:
Growthisbasedonastock’sforward-lookingsalesgrowth,EBITDAgrowthandEPSgrowth(for?nancialstocks,onlyEPSandsalesgrowth),withahigherpercentileindicatingahighergrowthcompany.FinancialReturnsisbasedonastock’sforward-lookingROE,ROCEandCROCI(for?nancial
stocks,onlyROE),withahigherpercentileindicatingacompanywithhigher?nancialreturns.Multipleisbasedonastock’sforward-lookingP/E,P/B,price/dividend(P/D),EV/EBITDA,EV/FCFandEV/DebtAdjustedCashFlow(DACF)(for?nancialstocks,onlyP/E,P/BandP/D),withahigherpercentileindicatingastocktradingatahighermultiple.TheIntegratedpercentileiscalculatedastheaverageoftheGrowthpercentile,FinancialReturns
percentileand(100%-Multiplepercentile).
FinancialReturnsandMultipleusetheGoldmanSachsanalystforecastsatthe?scalyear-endatleastthreequartersinthefuture.Growthusesinputsforthe?scalyearatleastsevenquartersinthefuturecomparedwiththeyearatleastthreequartersinthefuture(onaper-sharebasisforallmetrics).
ForamoredetaileddescriptionofhowwecalculatetheGSFactorPro?le,pleasecontactyourGSrepresentative.
M&ARank
Acrossourglobalcoverage,weexaminestocksusinganM&Aframework,consideringbothqualitativefactorsandquantitativefactors(whichmayvaryacrosssectorsandregions)toincorporatethepotentialthatcertaincompaniescouldbeacquired.WethenassignaM&Arankasameansofscoring
companiesunderourratedcoveragefrom1to3,with1representinghigh(30%-50%)probabilityofthecompanybecominganacquisitiontarget,2representingmedium(15%-30%)probabilityand3representinglow(0%-15%)probability.Forcompaniesranked1or2,inlinewithourstandard
departmentalguidelinesweincorporateanM&Acomponentintoourtargetprice.M&Arankof3isconsideredimmaterialandthereforedoesnotfactorintoourpricetarget,andmayormaynotbediscussedinresearch.
Quantum
QuantumisGoldmanSachs’proprietarydatabaseprovidingaccesstodetailed?nancialstatementhistories,forecastsandratios.Itcanbeusedforin-depthanalysisofasinglecompany,ortomakecomparisonsbetweencompaniesindifferentsectorsandmarkets.
_
28August202411
GoldmanSachsChinaSmartphones
Disclosures
Ratingandpricinginformation
Exhibit26:Raingandpricinginformationofmentionedstocks
Price
Companyname
Ticker
Rating
Currency
28-Aug-2024
AAC
2018.HK
Buy
CNY
33.00
Arcsoft
688088.SS
Buy
CNY
23.96
ASMPT
0522.HK
Buy
HKD
87.20
Luxshare
002475.SZ
Buy
CNY
36.60
O-film
002456.SZ
Buy
CNY
7.81
Maxscend
300782.SZ
Buy
CNY
64.05
TSMC
2330.TW
Buy
TWD
964.00
MediaTek
2454.TW
Buy
TWD
1200.00
SGMicro
300661.SZ
Buy
CNY
65.52
WillSemi
603501.SS
Buy
CNY
87.90
SunnyOptical
2382.HK
Neutral
CNY
46.35
Transsion
688036.SS
Buy
CNY
79.26
BYDE
0285.HK
Buy
CNY
29.50
Largan
3008.TW
Neutral
TWD
3015.00
SZS
3376.TW
Buy
TWD
216.50
Fositek
6805.TW
Buy
TWD
804.00
HonHai
2317.TW
Buy
TWD
185.50
Vanchip
688153.SS
Buy
CNY
29.40
Source:GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Distributionofratings/investmentbankingrelationships
GoldmanSachsInvestmentResearchglobalEquitycoverageuniverse
RatingDistributionInvestmentBankingRelationships
_
Buy64%
Sell17%
Sell41%
Hold35%
Hold57%
Global
Buy48%
AsofJuly1,2024,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearchhadinvestmentratingson2,925equitysecurities.G
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