國(guó)際戰(zhàn)略暨外交決策分析解析

1、國(guó)際戰(zhàn)略暨外交決策分析成功大學(xué)政治經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所碩士班陳欣之壹、課程目標(biāo) :本課程主要討論國(guó)家在國(guó)際體系中如何應(yīng)對(duì)安全困境，擴(kuò)大本國(guó)權(quán)力與追求 國(guó)際地位的戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)成暨外交決策。有關(guān)戰(zhàn)略暨外交決策，首先從國(guó)際體系之層次，討論位處國(guó)際無(wú)政府狀態(tài)中 之國(guó)家，所面臨之安全困境暨國(guó)家追求安全之必要性。其次就國(guó)家分析層次，討 論外交策略形成。最後就個(gè)人層次，研究官僚體系暨政府菁英，如何處理對(duì)外事 務(wù)，探索外交決策的內(nèi)容、特徵與模式。本課程期望能夠透過(guò)討論、老師講授與同學(xué)之報(bào)告過(guò)程，培養(yǎng)修課同學(xué)對(duì)於 大戰(zhàn)略暨外交決策相關(guān)研究成果之認(rèn)識(shí)與運(yùn)用 ，並作為深入研析國(guó)家對(duì)外決策之 基礎(chǔ)。貳、教學(xué)方式：透過(guò)課堂提問(wèn)及討論，

2、瞭解國(guó)家外交暨戰(zhàn)略之構(gòu)成與對(duì)外行為。參、課程要求： 每位同學(xué)於課前閱讀指定參考文獻(xiàn)，報(bào)告閱讀心得並且參與課間討論。 每位同學(xué)需進(jìn)行一次論文口頭報(bào)告及繳交書面期末報(bào)告。書面報(bào)告格式以 問(wèn)題 與研究之格式為準(zhǔn)，需有章節(jié)目錄、本文與參考書目。書面報(bào)告不得少於 15 頁(yè)。口頭暨書面期末報(bào)告之前，需繳交二頁(yè)論文提綱，並在課間就此進(jìn)行口頭報(bào)告。 論文提綱需列舉研究源起、所欲探索問(wèn)題、研究方法、問(wèn)題假設(shè)、論證之基礎(chǔ)、 可能的理論解釋以及最後同學(xué)在論文中所欲補(bǔ)充的看法。論文撰寫請(qǐng)參考：Thies, Cameron G. 2002.“A Pragmatic Guide to Qualitative Histor

3、ical Analysis in theStudy of International Relations, Internatio”nal Studies Perspectives, Vol. 3, No. 4, pp. 351-372.Evera, Stephen Van. 1997. Guide to methods for students of political science, Ithaca :Cornell University Press.肆、評(píng)分方式： 選課同學(xué)需於參考書目中選擇二篇期刊文章，於課堂上進(jìn)行十分鐘之摘要報(bào)告， 並主持 30分鐘之討論。期中考 (30%), 課間出席

4、 (10%)，課間討論(20%)、書面報(bào)告 (20%)，口頭報(bào)告(20%)伍、上課進(jìn)度：第一週 (09/16) 課程介紹，論文撰寫注意事項(xiàng)。第二週 (09/23) 分析層次 levels of analysis.Introduction. In G. John Ikenberry, ed.American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays, st1st edition, Boston: Scott, 1989.Singer, David.“The- olef vAenl alysis Problem in International Relations, G

5、. John ” instIkenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays,1 edition, Boston: Scott, 1989.Waltz, Kenneth. 1959. Man, the State, and War: A Theoretical Analysis . New York: Columbia University Press. Chapter 1.第三週 (09/30) 國(guó)際格局對(duì)國(guó)家行為的解釋 International system and state behavior Holsti, Ole R

6、. “ Modelsof International Relations and Foreign Policy, i”n G. John Ikenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.Waltz, Kenneth. “ Anarchic Orders and Balances of Power,” in G. John Ikenberry, ed.American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longm

7、an, 2005.Ikenberry, G. John. 1989. Re”thinking the Origins of American Hegemony, Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 104, No. 3, pp. 375-400.Ikenberry, G. John, Michael Mastanduno and William C. Wohlforth. 2009. “ Introduction: Unipolarity, State Behavior, and Systemic Consequences, ”World Politics ,

8、Vol. 61, No. 1, pp. 1-27.第四週 (10/07) 國(guó)家屬性對(duì)國(guó)家行為的解釋 state characters and state behavior George, Alexander. “ Domestic Constraints on Regime Chain gGe., John Ik”enberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005. Huntington, Samuel P. Ame“rican Ideals versus American In

9、stitutions, ” inin G. John Ikenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.Mastanduno, Michael. “The United States Political System and International Leadership: A Decidedly Inferior Form of Government? ”inG. John Ikenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoreti

10、cal Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.Mansfield, Edward D.; Milner, Helen V.; Rosendorff, B. Peter. 2002. “Why Democracies Cooperate More: Electoral Control and International Trade Agreemen, t”s International Organization , Vol. 56, Issue 3, pp. 477-513.第五週 (10/13) 國(guó)家價(jià)值與國(guó)內(nèi)制度 Mansfield, Edward and Ja

11、ck Snyder, 2002. “ DemocraticTransitions, Institutional Strength and War,”International Organization , Vol. 56, No. 2, pp. 297-337.Russett, Bruce. 1993.Grasping the Democratic Peace: principles for a post-Cold War world , Princeton, N.J. :Princeton University Press. Chapter 1 and 2.Keohane, Robert.

12、Th“e Ironies of Sovereignty: The European Union and the United States, ” iGn . John Ikenberry, ed.American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays.5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.第六週 (10/21) 觀念的作用一 Idea and Foreign Policy Decision-making (I) Goldstein, Judith and Robert O. Koehane. 1993. “Ideas and foreign pol

13、icy: an analytical framework, ” inJudith Goldstein and Robert O. Keohane, eds., Ideas and Foreign Policy , beliefs, institutions, and political change. Ithaca : Cornell University Press.Yee, Albert S. 1996. “The causal effects of ideas on policies, ”International Organization, Vol. 50 Issue 1, pp. 6

14、9-108.Larson, Deborah Welch and Alexei Shevchenko, 2003. S“hortcut to Greatness: The New Thinking and the Revolution in Soviet Foreign Policy, ”International Organization, Volume 57, Issue 01, pp 77-109.第七週 (10/28)觀念的作用 (續(xù)) Idea and Foreign Policy Decision-making (II)Acharya, Amitav. 2004. “How Idea

15、s Spread: Whose Norms Matter? Norm Localization and Institutio nal Change in Asian Regionalism, ”International Organization, Volume 58, Issue 02, pp 239-275.Parsons, Craig. 2002. Sh“owing Ideas as Causes: The Origins of the European Unio, n” International Organization , Volume 56, Issue 01, pp 47-84

16、.第八週 (11/04)期中考第九週 (11/11)官僚政治與組織 Bureaucracy and Bureaucratic OrganizationAllison, Graham. “Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis, ”in G. John Ikenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.Krasner, Stephen. “Are BureaucraciesImportant? (Or Allison Wo

17、nderland), ”in G. John Ikenberry, ed. American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005.Allison, Graham T. and Philip D. Zelikow, Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis (2nd ed.). Addison Wesley Longman, 1999.第十週 (11/18) 認(rèn)知、信仰與形象的作用 Faith, Belief and ImageJervi

18、s, Robert.“ Hypotheses on MisperceptioGn,. John”Ikei nberry, ed. AmericanForeign Policy: Theoretical Essays. 5th ed. NY: Longman, 2005Tetlock, Philip E. and Charles B. McGuire Jr. “Cognitive Perspectives on Foreign Policy, ” iGn . John Ikenberry, ed.American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays.5th ed

19、. NY: Longman, 2005Holsti, Ole R. 2006.Making American Foreign Policy, New York :Routledge,. Chapter 1-3.第十一週 (11/25) 個(gè)人因素與人格特質(zhì) Individual charactersByman, Daniel L. and Kenneth M. Pollack. 2001. L“et Us Now Praise Famous Men: Bringing the Statesman Back In, ”International Security, Vol. 25, No. 4,

20、pp.107-146. Sidney Verba. 1961. A“ssumptions of Rationality and Non-Rationality in Models of the International System, ”World Politics . Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 93-117.Greenstein, Fred. 1998.“Impact of Personality on the End of the Cold War”, Political Psychology, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 1-16.第十二週 (12/02) 民

21、意與利益團(tuán)體 Interests Groups and Public OpinionKacobs, Lawrence R .and Benjamin I. Page. 2005. “Who Influences U.S. Foreign Policy?, A”merican Political Science Review, Volume 99, Issue 01, Feb 2005, pp 107-123.Barnett, Michael N and Jack S. Levy. 1991. “Domestic sources of alliances and alignments: the

22、case of Egypt, 1962-73, ”International Organization , Vol. 45 Issue 3, pp. 369-395.Fordham, Benjamin O. and Timothy J. McKeown . 2003. “Selection and Influence: Interest Groups and Congressional Voting on Trade Policy , ” International Organization, Vol. 57, No. 3. pp. 519-549.第十三週 (12/09) 案例討論英國(guó)對(duì)德國(guó)

23、的綏靖政策 Case study 1, British Appeasement policy toward Nazi germany in the 1930s.Barros, Andrew, Talbot C. Imlay, Evan Resnick, Norrin M. Ripsman, and Jack S. Levy. 2009. “Debating British Decision-making toward Nazi Germany in the 1930s, ”In ternatio nal Security, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 173-98.Ripsman,

24、 Norrin, and Jack S. Levy, 2008.“Wishful Thinking or Buying Time? TheLogic of British Appeasement in the 1930s,Internation”al Security, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp.148-181.Lobell, Steven E. 2007.“TheSecond Face of Security: Britains Smart AppeasementPolicy towards Japan and Germany,Interna”tional Relations of the Asia-Pacific,Vol. 7,No. 1, pp. 73-98.Treisman, Daniel. 2004.“Rational AppeasementI,nter”national Organization, Vol. 58, No. 2, pp. 345-373.第十四週 (12/16) 案例討論中國(guó)參與韓戰(zhàn) Case study 2, Chinas intervention on Korea WarHunt, Michael