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DebtManagementReport
2022
TheGovernmentDebtManagement
andtheStateofPublicDebts
FinancialBureau,MinistryofFinance,JAPAN
i
Box3
Box4
2022
DebtManagementReport
TheGovernmentDebtManagementandtheStateofPublicDebts
Contents
Preface
■1About“DebtManagementReport”2
■2WhatisDebtManagementPolicy?3
(1)Overview3
(2)Frameworkof“GovernmentFundingActivities”4
(3)DebtswithPublicCharacteristics5
Box1JGBYields7
Box2DemandforJGBswithnegativeyields9
IStateofDebtManagementPolicies
■1TrendsofJGBMarketinFY2021
(1)Review
(2)InvestorTrends
■2JGBIssuancePlan
(1)JGBIssuancePlanforFY2021(revisedunderasupplementarybudget)
(2)AnnouncementofJGBIssuancePlanforFY2022
(3)OverviewofDiscussionsatVariousMeetings
(4)JGBIssuancePlanforFY2022
(5)JGBIssuancePlanBasedonMarketTrendsandDemands
(6)RevisionofJGBIssuancePlanforFY2022
Cost-at-RiskAnalysis
ReviewofAdvisoryCouncilonGovernmentDebtManagementandItsSuccessor
■3DiversificationofJGBInvestorBase
(1)JGBHoldingsbyRetailInvestors
(2)JGBHoldingsbyForeignInvestors
■4Others
(1)DebtManagementAuthorities’BusinessOperations
(2)ApartialmodificationtotheOrderRegardingAccountManagementInstitutions
12
12
14
16
16
18
18
19
22
24
25
26
27
28
30
34
34
34
ii
IIFrameworkofDebtManagement
令Chapter1GovernmentBonds(JGBs)
■1PrimaryMarketforGovernmentBonds36
(1)JGBsbyLegalGroundsofIssuance36
(2)TypesofJGBs40
(3)MethodsofIssuance42
(4)JGBMarketSpecialParticipantsScheme46
(5)GovernmentBondAdministration48
■2SecondaryMarketforGovernmentBonds51
(1)JGBMarketLiquidityMaintenanceandEnhancement51
(2)OTCTransactionsandTransactionsontheStockExchange52
(3)ImprovementstotheJGBTransactionSettlementSystem53
(4)WITransaction55
(5)BondGensakiandBond-LendingTransactions55
(6)STRIPS58
(7)JGBFuturesTrading59
■3DebtManagementSystems62
(1)RedemptionSystem62
(2)LiquidityEnhancementAuctions70
(3)Buy-backProgram72
(4)InterestRateSwapTransaction74
(5)DialoguewithMarketParticipants74
■4TaxationofGovernmentBonds76
(1)Individuals(Residents)76
(2)DomesticCorporations77
(3)NonresidentIndividualsandForeignCorporations77
(4)TaxExemptionSchemeforNonresidentIndividualsandForeignCorporations77
令Chapter2FinancingBills,Borrowings,Government-Guaranteed DebtandSubsidyBonds
■1FinancingBills80
(1)LegalGroundsofFinancingBills80
(2)StatusofFinancingBillsintheBudget81
(3)AuctionMethods,etc.81
(4)OutlineofCashManagementoftheNationalTreasury81
■2Borrowings82
(1)LegalGroundsofBorrowings82
(2)StatusofBorrowingsintheBudget82
(3)SourceofBorrowings82
(4)BorrowingsfromthePrivateSector83
(5)BorrowingthroughPublicAuctiononPrivate-sectorBorrowings84
■3Government-GuaranteedDebt85
(1)LegalGroundofGovernmentGuarantee85
iii
(2)FeaturesofGovernment-GuaranteedDebt85
(3)TreatmentintheBudgetandExaminationProcess85
■4SubsidyBonds87
(1)SubsidyBonds(narrowlydefined)87
(2)Subscription/ContributionBonds87
(3)Others88
令Chapter3OtherPublicDebt
■1LocalGovernmentBonds(LGBs)89
(1)BasicSchemeofLGBs89
(2)LGBProgram91
■2DebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.93
(1)DebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.93
(2)FinancialConditionsofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.94
令Chapter4DebtManagementinForeignCountries
■1DebtManagementPoliciesinForeignCountries95
(1)DebtManagementPolicyFrameworks95
(2)BondTypesandIssuanceMethods96
(3)LiquidityMaintenance/EnhancementMeasures98
(4)PrimaryDealerSystem99
■2DebtManagementStatusinForeignCountries100
(1)GovernmentDebtIssuanceTrends100
(2)AverageMaturity102
(3)BreakdownbyGovernmentBondHolders103
■3CollaborationandCooperationwithForeignCountries104
IIIAppendices
令Chapter1GovernmentBonds(JGBs)
■1PrimaryMarketforGovernmentBonds106
(1)IssuanceAmountofGovernmentBonds106
(2)HistoricalChangesinJGBMarketIssuancebyJGBTypes107
(3)AuctionResultsforJGBsandT-BillsinFY2021108
(4)IssuanceAmountofJGBsandT-BillsOfferedtotheMarketatEachAuction111
(5)Principal/CouponPaymentCorrespondingtoDaysofIssuanceinFY2022112
(6)SuccessfulBidsShareforJGBsbyInvestorTypeinFY2021113
(7)IssuanceofJGBsforRetailInvestors114
(8)IssuancebytheBankofJapanRollover115
(9)Front-LoadingIssuanceofRefundingBonds115
(10)ListofCommissionsforIssuingJGBs,etc.116
■2SecondaryMarketforGovernmentBonds117
iv
(1)10-YearJGBYield117
(2)10-YearGovernmentBondsYields117
(3)YieldsofJGBsinFY2021117
(4)JGBYieldCurves118
(5)VariousRatesintheShort-termFinancialMarketinFY2021118
(6)Break-Even-Inflation(BEI)Rate118
(7)JGBShareinTotalTradingVolumeofYenBonds119
(8)JGBShareinTotalIssuanceAmountofYenBonds119
(9)PortfolioInvestmentAssetsinFY2021120
(10)PortfolioInvestmentLiabilitiesinFY2021120
(11)TrendsinJGBTransactions(byinvestortype)inFY2021121
(12)TradingVolumeofYenBonds122
(13)TradingVolumeofJGBFutures122
(14)TradingVolumeofBondGensaki122
(15)TradingVolumeofBond-Lending123
(16)TradingVolumeofJGBsOptionbyOTC123
(17)TradingVolumeofJGBFuturesOptions124
(18)OutstandingAmountofSTRIPS-Principal-OnlyBook-entryTransferJGBs124
(19)Japan'sSovereignRatingbyMajorCreditRatingAgencies125
(20)ListofSovereignRatingsbyMajorCreditRatingAgencies125
■3DebtManagementSystems126
(1)RevenuesandExpendituresfortheSpecialAccountfortheGDCF
(FY2022InitialBudget)126
(2)PaymentStatusofDebtRedemptionExpensesandInterest,DiscountExpensesandsoonoftheEachAccount(FY2022InitialBudget,FY2020Settlementof
Accounts)127
(3)TransferofRedemptionSources,RedemptionAmount,OutstandingAmountandRefundingAmountoftheGDCF(FY2022InitialBudget)128
(4)GDCFInvestmentinJGBs128
(5)BudgetarySurplusoftheSpecialAccountoftheGDCF129
(6)ResultsofLiquidityEnhancementAuctionsinFY2021129
(7)Buy-backResultsinFY2021129
(8)Buy-backResults129
(9)VariousMeetings130
(10)HistoryofPostwarDebtManagementPolicy134
(11)GovernmentBond-relatedLegalSystems136
令Chapter2FinancingBills,BorrowingsandGovernment-GuaranteedDebt
■1FinancingBills(FBs)139
(1)OutstandingAmountofFBs-BreakdownbytheTypes(asoftheendofFY2021)139
(2)OutstandingAmountofFBs139
(3)IssuanceAmountofFBsinFY2021-BreakdownbyFundingResources140
(4)ReceiptsandPaymentsontheNationalTreasuryforFY2021140
■2Borrowings141
(1)OutstandingAmountofBorrowings141
(2)OutstandingAmountofBorrowings-BreakdownbytheTypesofAccount(asoftheendofFY2021)141
(3)OutstandingAmountofBorrowingsoftheSpecialAccountforLocalAllocationTax142
(4)AmountofBidsAcceptedandAverageInterestRateatEachAuctionbytheSpecialAccountforLocalAllocationTax142
(5)AuctionResultsoftheBorrowingsoftheSpecialAccountforLocalAllocationTaxinFY2021143
(6)AuctionResultsoftheBorrowingsoftheSpecialAccountfortheNationalForestDebtManagementinFY2021144
(7)AuctionResultsoftheBorrowingsoftheSpecialAccountforEnergyPolicyinFY2021144
■3Government-GuaranteedDebt145
(1)ChangesintheOutstandingAmountofGovernment-GuaranteedDebt145
(2)ChangesintheIssuanceAmountofGovernment-GuaranteedDomesticBondsOfferedtotheMarket145
(3)BreakdownoftheGovernment-GuaranteedDebtbyAgencies146
(4)IssuanceCalendarofGovernment-GuaranteedDomesticBondsbyAgenciesinFY2021147
(5)OutstandingAmountofGovernment-GuaranteedForeignBonds-BreakdownbyDenominationandbyAgencies(asoftheendofFY2021)149
(6)Yieldsof10-YearGovernment-GuaranteedBondsinFY2021149
令Chapter3OtherPublicDebt
■1LocalGovernmentBonds(LGBs)150
(1)OverviewofLGBPrograminFY2022150
(2)LGBProgram-BreakdownbyFundingResources150
(3)OutstandingAmountofLGBProgram-BreakdownbyFundingResources151
(4)IssuanceConditionsofPublicOfferingLGBsinFY2021152
(5)IssuanceAmountofPublicOfferingLGBs152
■2DebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.153
(1)FY2022FILPPlan153
(2)PlannedandActualIssuanceAmountofFILPAgencyBonds154
(3)Yieldsof10-YearFILPAgencyBondsinFY2021155
令【Supplement】FiscalConditionsandDebtOutstandings
(1)TrendinGeneralAccountTaxRevenues,TotalExpendituresandGovernmentBondIssuances156
(2)GovernmentBondIssuanceandBondDependencyRatio156
(3)ChangesinRatioofPrimaryBalancetoGDP157
(4)ProjectionsinPrimaryBalance(CentralandLocalgovernmentbasis;percentageofGDP)157
(5)GovernmentDebt-relatedExpendituresintheGeneralAccount-BreakdownbyCategories(FY2022)158
(6)HistoricalChangesinGovernmentDebt-relatedExpenditures158
(7)ProjectionoftheFY2022BudgetImpactonFollowingYear'sExpenditureandRevenue159
(8)Cash-flowProjectionsoftheGDCF160
(9)ChangesintheOutstandingAmountofJGBs,FinancingBills,Borrowingsand
Government-GuaranteedDebt161
(10)Long-termDebtOutstandingofCentralandLocalGovernments162
(11)BreakdownoftheOutstandingAmountofGeneralBondsbyRemainingYearstoMaturity163
(12)Term-to-maturityStructureofGeneralBonds(FY2022InitialBudgetBasis)163
(13)BreakdownoftheOutstandingAmountofGeneralBondsbyMaturityTypesandTheirAverageInterestRateattheendofFY2021164
(14)OutstandingInterestRateWeightedAverage,InterestPaymentofGeneralBonds
andAverageYearstoMaturity164
(15)OutstandingAmountofJGBandT-Bill-BreakdownbyHolders-165
(16)BalanceSheetofJapaneseGovernment(GeneralAccountandSpecialAccounts)
(asoftheendofFY2020)166
(17)InternationalComparisonofGeneralGovernmentFiscalBalancetoGDP167
(18)InternationalComparisonofGeneralGovernmentGrossDebttoGDP168
(19)InternationalComparisonofGeneralGovernmentNetDebttoGDP168
v
vi
Chapter1GovernmentBonds
2SecondaryMarket
forGovernmentBonds
ⅢAppendices
Thetabslocatedinthesamepositionsindicatethatthechaptersarerelevanttoeachotheracrossthepartstheybelongto.
Chapter1GovernmentBonds
2SecondaryMarket
forGovernmentBonds
ⅡFramework
(BodyText)
Preface
2
Preface
1About“DebtManagementReport”
Theobjectiveofthe“DebtManagementReport,”whichhasbeenpublishedsince2004,istoprovidereadersacrossawidespectrumspanningdomesticandforeignmarkets,governmentaffairs,andresearch,etc.,withtheopportunityofgainingadeeperunderstandingofJapan’sdebtmanagementpolicy.Thisreport,thoughfocusingonJapaneseGovernmentBond(JGB)managementpolicyasdebtmanagementpolicy,coversissuesinvolvingpublicdebtsingeneral.
Tobeginwith,PartI,headed“StateofDebtManagementPolicies,”discussestherecenttrendsintheJGBmarket,aswellasvariouslatestpolicies,specificallyinrelationtotheJGBIssuancePlanforthisfiscalyear.
PartII,headed“Framework,”concernsitselfwiththefundamentalmechanismofpublicdebtsanddebtmanagementpolicyingeneral.
Lastly,PartIII,the“Appendices,”listsallmaterialsthatdidnotfitintothepreviouspart;thissectionshouldbeusedwithreferencetoPartII“Framework.”
Inthislatestreportaswell,weprovidealotofcross-referencesincludingsomethatlinkPartII“Framework”withPartIII“Appendices”sothatreaderswillbeabletoquicklyaccesstheinformationthattheywant.Yourcommentsarehighlyappreciatedforfurtherimprovementsofthisreport.
3
2
Preface
WhatisDebtManagementPolicy?
(1)Overview
UndertheFY2022budget(April-March),thecentralgovernmentplanstoissueJGBsworth215.0trillionyen,postingadecreaseof21.0trillionyenfromtheinitiallevelforFY2021.ConstructionBondsandSpecialDeficit-FinancingBondstoprovideGeneralAccountrevenuesdecreaseby6.7trillionyenfromtheinitiallevelforthepreviousyearto36.9trillionyen.Ontheotherhand,JGBsoutstandingattheendofFY2021totaledasmuchas1,096.0trillionyen.
ThegovernmentraisesfundswithFinancingBillsandBorrowingsaswellasJGBs.IfincludingFinancingBillsandBorrowings,outstandinggovernmentdebtsexceptgovernment-guaranteeddebtcameto1,241.3trillionyen.Moreover,thegovernmentgivesguaranteestoIncorporatedAdministrativeAgenciesinorderforthemtocarryoutfundingtoimplementpublicprojects,andthegovernment-guaranteeddebttotals32.0trillionyen(ThefiguresareattheendofFY2021).
Thegovernment’sfundraisingamountorflowhasbecomeenormous.Outstandingdebtsonstockbasishavebeenincreasingpersistently.Governmentdebtmanagementaffectsnotonlythechoiceoffinancialassetsofeconomicentitiessuchascorporationsandhouseholds,butalsotheflowoffundsonamacro-scale,whicheventuallywouldinfluenceinterestrates.Inturn,changesinmarketinterestratesinfluencegovernmentfundingactivitiesandtheactivitiesofeveryeconomicentity.
Basedonthesepoints,thegovernment,whiletryingtomitigatefiscalburden,implementsJGBissuance,absorption,distributionandredemptionmeasurestoallowgovernmentdebts(JGBs,FinancingBills,Borrowings,Government-GuaranteedDebtandSubsidyBonds)tobesmoothlyacceptedateachstageofthenationaleconomy.Thesemeasuresrepresent“debtmanagementpolicy.”InJapan,basedonthefollowingbasicgoalsforJGBManagementPolicy,thegovernmentcarefullyimplements“communicationswiththemarket”throughvariousmeetingsforthedevelopmentandoperationoftheJGBIssuancePlan,triestobaseJGBissuancefullyonmarketneedsandtacklesthediversificationofJGBholders:
(1)EnsuringthesmoothandsecureissuanceofJapaneseGovernmentBonds
(2)Minimizingmedium-tolong-termfundraisingcosts
Meanwhile,anyexcessiveresponsetotemporaryorshort-termchangesinmarketdemandcouldaffectthemarket’stransparencyandpredictabilityformarketparticipants,leadingtoariseinmedium-tolong-termfundraisingcosts.InJapanwheremassivegovernmentdebtissuanceisexpectedforthefuture,therefore,thegovernmentwilltrytoissueJGBsmorestablyandtransparentlywhileidentifyingmedium-tolong-termdemandtrends.
The“GuidelinesforPublicDebtManagement,”publishedbytheInternationalMonetaryFundandtheWorldBankin2001,describessovereigndebtmanagementas“theprocessofestablishingandexecutingastrategyformanagingthegovernment’sdebtinordertoraisetherequiredamountoffunding”andtheobjectiveofsovereigndebtmanagementas“toensurethatthegovernment’sfinancingneedsanditspaymentobligationsaremetatthelowestpossiblecostoverthemediumtolongrun,consistentwithaprudentdegreeofrisk.”
4
Preface
(2)Frameworkof“GovernmentFundingActivities”
?UnlikeJGBs,Borrowingsareaformoffundingthatdoesnotinvolvetheissuingofsecurities.
Governmentexpendituresinayearshouldbasicallybecoveredbytaxandotherrevenuesintheyear.Tosatisfyexpendituredemandthatcannotbecoveredbysuchrevenues,however,thegovernmentissuesJGBsorcarriesoutBorrowings(?).ThegovernmentalsoissuesFinancingBillstocovertemporarycashshortagesfordailycashmanagementoftheNationalTreasury.Thefollowingdiscussestheframeworkofthesegovernmentfundraisingactivities.
Fig.1NationalTreasuryReceiptsandPayments
【NationalTreasury】
(Allreceiptsandpaymentsofthecashinthe
NationalTreasuryismadethroughtheBOJ.)
(PrivateSector)
RedemptionofJGBs,repaymentoflong-termBorrowings
IssuanceofFinancingBills
IssuanceofJGBs(includingRefundingBonds),long-termBorrowings
Localallocationtax,generalexpenditures,otherpaymentssuchaspensionbenefits
Taxesandotherrevenue
Fund-raisingtocovertemporarycashshortageoftheNationalTreasury
<Payments><Receipts>
Fund-raisingtomeetannualgovernmentexpendituredemands
ThecentralgovernmentbudgetconsistsoftheGeneralAccountand13SpecialAccounts(asofApril1,2022),andallreceiptsandpaymentsintheseaccountsaremanagedthroughtheBankofJapan(BOJ).Asfollows,thegovernmentsmoothlyimplementsspendingunderthebudgetbyusingJGBsandBorrowingstosatisfyexpendituredemandthatcannotbecoveredbytaxand
otherrevenuesandbyissuingFinancingBillstocovertemporarycashshortagesoftheNationalTreasury.
A.JGBsandBorrowingstomeetannualgovernmentexpendituredemand
ThegovernmentissuesJGBsorcarriesoutBorrowingstosatisfyexpendituredemandthatcannotbecoveredbytaxandotherrevenuesandbooksfundsraisedthroughJGBsandBorrowingsasrevenues.Thegovernmentsmoothlyimplementsbudgetspendingbyraisingfundsinthiswayasnecessary.
Inadditiontoplanningthegovernmentdebtmanagementpolicy,theFinancialBureauoftheMinistryofFinanceimplementsthepolicythroughconductingJGBauctions,issuanceandredemption,andauctionsforBorrowings.
B.FinancingBillstocovertemporarycashshortageoftheNationalTreasury
Governmentministries,agenciesorspecialaccountscarryoutalotoffiscalactivitieseveryday.AllthereceiptsandpaymentsaremadethroughtheBOJfortheirintegratedhandling
5
Borrowings
(assumed
debts)
LocalGovernment
Bonds
LocalGovernment
Bonds
Note1:Theshadedarearepresentsgovernmentdebts.
Note2:Inadditiontothesedebts,therearegovernmentbondsthatareheldbytheBankofJapanasameansofopenmarketoperations.Note3:TheGovernment-GuaranteedBondsissuedbytheJapanFinanceOrganizationforMunicipalities,areissuedonlyforrefundingof
Government-GuaranteedBondsconvertedfromtheformerJapanFinanceCorporationforMunicipalEnterprises.
Basedonwhatwasdescribedabove,thechartbelowprovidesanoverviewofthevariouselementsofpublicdebtsandliststherelevantreferencepointsinthisreport.
Preface
intheNationalTreasury.AsexplainedinsectionA,thegovernmentraisesfundswithJGBsandBorrowingstomeetexpendituredemandthatcannotbecoveredbytaxandotherrevenues.However,thegovernmentseestemporarycashshortagesandsurplusesduetolagsofday-to-dayreceiptsandpaymentsofNationalTreasuryfunds.TheFinancialBureauoftheMinistryofFinancemakesadjustmentsthroughtheissuanceofFinancingBillsinthecaseofshortage,andthroughthetemporaryuseofthetreasurysurplusinthecaseofsurplus(“CashManagementintheNationalTreasury”)(?).
(3)DebtswithPublicCharacteristics
Besidesgovernmentdebts,thereareseveralformsofpublicdebtsincludinglocalgovernmentbondsanddebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.Suchpublicdebtwouldaffectgovernmentdebtmanagementthroughthemarketinterestrateformationmechanism.
Fig.2PublicDebts(ConceptionalDiagram)
FB
FB
Government
Borrowings
FB
GovernmentBonds
(ReconstructionBonds)
GovernmentBonds
(ConstructionBonds,Special
Deficit-FinancingBonds)
GovernmentGuaranteedBonds
Government-GuaranteedBorrowings
FiscalLoanFund
(SpecialAccount)
IncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.
GovernmentDebt
ConsolidationFund(SpecialAccount)
LocalGovernmentBonds
FILPAgencyBonds,Borrowings
Government-GuaranteedBonds
JapanFinanceOrganizationforMunicipalities
GovernmentBonds(RefundingBonds)
SpecialAccounts
FinancialMarkets
(asofApril1,2022)
GeneralAccount
(PublicIssueBonds)
GovernmentBonds
(FILPBonds)
Borrowings
Borrowings
Local
FB
FB
?Theterm“revenue”shall
refertoalltheincomeinone
fiscalyearandtheterm
“income”shallmeanreceived
fundsthatserveasthesource
ofpaymenttomeetthe
demandsarisingonthe
variouslevelsoftheState.
FinancingBills,whichare
issuedtomanagetheNational
Treasury,arenotcountedas
revenue,sinceFinancing
Billsareredeemedwiththe
revenueofthesamefiscal
year.
Debts
ⅠⅡ(Framework)
Ⅲ(Appendices)
PrimaryMarketfor
GovernmentBonds
■2SecondaryMarketfor
GovernmentBonds
■3DebtManagementSystems
P126
P106
P117
Government
令Chapter1
■1PrimaryMarketforGovernmentBonds
■2SecondaryMarketforGovernmentBonds
令Chapter1■1
■1TrendsofJGBMarketinFY2021
■2JGBIssuancePlan
■3DiversificationofJGB
P12
P16
P36
P51
GeneralBonds
FILPBonds
Bills
Borrowings
Government-GuaranteedDebt
■3DebtManagementSystemsP62
■4TaxationofGovernmentBondsP76
InvestorBase
P27
令Chapter2■1FinancingBills
FinancingBills
令Chapter2■1
Financing
P139
P80
Borrowings
Borrowings
令Chapter2■2
令Chapter2■2
P82
P141
Government-Guaranteed
Debt
令Chapter2■3
令Chapter2■3
Government-
GuaranteedDebtP85
P145
SubsidyBonds
令Chapter2■4SubsidyBonds
P87
LocalGovernment
LocalGovernment
Government
Other
PublicDebts
令Chapter3■1
令Chapter3■1
Bonds
Local
BondsP89
BondsP150
DebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,etc.
DebtofIncorporatedAdministrativeAgencies,
ofIncorporated
令Chapter3■2
令Chapter3■2
Debt
AdministrativeAgencies,etc.
etc.P93
P153
Preface
6
Fig.3VariousElementsofPublicDebtsandRelevantReferencePointsinThisReport
insidethisreport(fordetails,see
Contents)
Topics
PublicDebts
7
Preface
(2)
Parvalue(100yen)-Purchaseprice(yen)
Maturity(years)
(1)
+
(Yield:%)
Assumption:10-YearJGB(Couponat2%,parvalueat100yen)
(Price:yen)
0.5yearslater
1year
later
1.5yearslater
9yearslater
9.5yearslater
Box1JGBYields
Japanesegovernmentbondisabondthegovernmentissuesbypromisingtopayacertainamountofmoneyafteracertainperiodoftime.TheMOFpresetsacouponandmaturityforaJGBissuance.WhiletheJGBparvalue(anamountthataJGBholderwillreceiveuponredemption)remainsunchanged,aJGBpriceatwhichmarketparticipantsbuyfluctuatesdependingontheconditions,includingsupplyanddemand.Forexample,aJGBwithaparvalueof100yenmaybepricedat95yen,belowtheparvalue,orat105yen,abovetheparvalue.JGByieldisanannualpercentagerateofreturnonaJGBbasedonthepurchaseprice.
InthecaseamarketparticipantbuysaJGBwiththeparvalueof100yen,forexample,theinvestmentreturnincludesthefollowing:
(1)Anannualinterestincome(anincomegainrepresentedbyacoupon),and
(2)Agapbetweentheparvalueandthepurchaseprice(capitalgainorloss)thatisannualized.
TheJGByieldisrepresentedbythefollowingequation.
Fig.B1-1Calculatingyield
Annualinterestincome(yen)
Purchaseprice(yen)
Yield=×100
(Beforetax,simpleinterest,%)
Fig.B1-2Relationshipbetweenyieldandprice
Theannualinterestincomein(1)isfixedbythecoupondeterminedupon
issuanceandwillremainunchangeduntilredemption.However,thepurchase
pricein(2)fluctuatesdependingonthepurchasetiming.Therefore,theJGByield
fluctuates.Therightgraph(Fig.B1-2)indicatestherelationshipbetweentheJGB
priceandyieldintheaboveequationfora10-YearJGBthathasa2%couponand
apervalueof100yen.Asthepurchasepricefalls(from100yento95yen),the
yieldrises(from2.0%to2.63%).Conversely,asthepricerises(from95yento
100yen),theyielddeclines(from2.63%to2.0%).
Note:Thefigureisforillustrativepurposesonly.
Thefigurebelow(Fig.B1-3)showsacashflowindicatingfundreceiptsand
paymentsfrompurchasingtoredemptionfora10-YearJGBthathasa2%
couponandapervalueof100yen.Ifaninvestorbuysthe10-YearJGBatapriceof95yenandholdsituntilitsredemption,forexample,theinvestorwillgetatotalinvestmentreturnof25yenincludingtheinterestincomeof20yenandthegapof5yenbetweentheparvalueandthepurchaseprice.Theannualyield(simpleinterest)comestoapprox.2.63%withtheinterestincomeof2yenandthecapitalgainof0.5yen.
Fig.B1-3Bondinvestmentcashflow
(10-YearJGBpricedat95yenthathasa2%couponandapervalueof100yen)
10yearslater
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Totalinterestincomein10years=1yen×2times×10years=20yen
Redemptionamount100yen
Purchaseamount▲95yen
8
Preface
0.5yearslater
1yearlater
1.5yearslater
9yearslater
9.5yearslater
Inrecentyears,JGByieldsintheshort-tomedium-termzonehavebeennegative.Ifaninvestorbuysthe10-YearJGBatapriceof125yenandholdsituntilitsredemption,forexample,thecombinationofaninterestincome(20yen)andthegap(▲25yen)betweentheparvalueandthepurchasepricewillbringaboutaloss(▲5yen)(Fig.B1-4).Onanannualbasis,thecombinationofanannualinterestincome(2yen)andtheannualcapitalloss(▲2.5yen)bringsayield(simpleinterest)ofapprox.▲0.40%.
Fig.B1-4Bondinvestmentcashflow
(10-YearJGBpricedat125yenthathasa2%couponandapervalueof100yen)
10yearslater
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Interest
1yen
Totalinterestincomein10years=1yen×2times×10years=20yenPurchaseamount▲125yen
Redemptionamount100yen
IfaninvestorbuysaJGBwithanegativeyield
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