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FinancialRatioAnalysis
財務(wù)比率分析
LearningObjectivesWhatarefinancialratios?Whatcategories(種類)
canfinancialratiosbegroupedinto?Howtocalculateeachfinancialratio?What’sthemeaningofeachfinancialratio?Whataretheprosandconsofeachfinancialratio?優(yōu)缺點WisdomIfyoucannotmeasureit,youcannotimproveit.
——LordKelvin(1824-1907)無法衡量就無法改善。CoreFinancialRatioLiquidityRatios:LiquidityRatiosmeasurethecompany’sabilitytomeetitsshort-termobligations.CurrentratioQuickratioCashratio流動比率速動比率現(xiàn)金比率DebtManagementRatios:DebtManagementRatiosmeasureacompany’sabilitytomeetlong-termobligations.DebtratioDebt–to–equityratioEquitymultiplierLong-termdebtratioInterestcoverageratioCashflowcoverageratio資產(chǎn)負債比率產(chǎn)權(quán)比率權(quán)益乘數(shù)長期負債比率利息保障倍數(shù)現(xiàn)金流量保障比率AssetManagementRatios:AssetManagementRatiosmeasureacompany’sabilitytoManagetheassetsatitsdisposal.AccountsreceivableturnoverratioInventoryturnoverratioAccountspayableturnoverratioCashconversioncycleFixedassetturnoverratioTotalassetturnoverratio現(xiàn)金流轉(zhuǎn)周期存貨周轉(zhuǎn)率應(yīng)付賬款周轉(zhuǎn)率固定資產(chǎn)周轉(zhuǎn)率總資產(chǎn)周轉(zhuǎn)率應(yīng)收賬款周轉(zhuǎn)率
Profitabilityratios:Profitabilityratiosmeasurethecompany’sabilitytogenerateprofitablesalesfromitsAssets.GrossprofitmarginOperatingprofitmarginNetprofitmarginReturnonassets(ROA)Returnonequity(ROE)ReturnontotalequityReturnoncommonequity資產(chǎn)報酬率營業(yè)利潤率毛利率全部權(quán)益報酬率權(quán)益報酬率銷售凈利率普通權(quán)益報酬率Marketvalueratios:Marketvalueratiosusemarketdatasuchasstockpricetoprovideusefulinformationaboutthefirm’srelativevalue.Price/earningsratios(P/E)Market-to-bookvalueratioDividendyieldDividendpayout市值與賬面價值的比(市凈率)市盈率股利支付率股利收益率WordsStudy1.Financialratio財務(wù)比率financial
ratioanalysis
財務(wù)比率分析2.restrictivecovenants限制性條款這項借款有很多限制性條款Therearemanyrestrictivecovenantsintheloan3.Bondindenture債券契約這項債券契約是合法的Thebondindentureisalegitimate4.financialanalyst財務(wù)分析師5.last-in,first-out(LIFO)后進先出
first-in,first-out(FIFO)先進先出6.windowdressing賬面粉飾Windowdressingisanunfairwayofattractingcustomers.
粉飾帳目不是吸引客戶的公正方式。Textstudy4.1
FinancialRatioAnalysis4.2LiquidityRatios4.3DebtManagementRatios4.4AssetManagementRatios4.5ProfitabilityRatios4.6MarketValueRatios4.7UsesandLimitationsofFinancialRatioAnalysis
FinancialRatioAnalysis1.what’sfinancialratio?Afinancialratioisamathematicalrelationshipamongseveralnumbersoftenstatedintheformofpercentage,times,ordays.
財務(wù)比率是幾個數(shù)字之間的數(shù)學關(guān)系,它的單位是百分比、倍數(shù)(次數(shù))和天數(shù)。
Financialratiosareameansofevaluatingafirm’sperformanceandhealththatuseastandardofcomparisonsofitemsonthefirm’sfinancialstatementsratherthanadirectreadingoffinancialfigures.
與財務(wù)數(shù)字不同,財務(wù)指標通過對財務(wù)報表中會計報表項目之間的標準化比較來評價企業(yè)的經(jīng)營業(yè)績和財務(wù)狀況。Lenders,ratingagencies,otherinvestors,regulators,managersMoody‘s穆迪公司
創(chuàng)始人是約翰·穆迪,他在1909年首創(chuàng)對鐵路債券進行信用評級。它的股票在紐約證券交易所上市交易(代碼MCO)。在全球占有40%的份額。STANDARD&POOR'S標準普爾
由亨利·瓦納姆·普爾(MrHenryVarnumPoor)于1860年創(chuàng)立。標準普爾為投資者提供信用評級、獨立分析研究、投資咨詢等服務(wù),其中包括反映全球股市表現(xiàn)的標準普爾全球1200指數(shù)和為美國投資組合指數(shù)的基準的標準普爾500指數(shù)等一系列指數(shù)。FitchRatings惠譽國際
1913年由約翰·惠譽(JohnK.Fitch)創(chuàng)辦。2.AnalyzingFinancialRatios:Financialratiosarenotstandardized.Analyzingasinglefinancialratioforagivenyearmaynotbeveryuseful.
Inisolation(孤立地),afinancialratioisauselesspieceofinformation.單獨的一個財務(wù)指標能告訴我們的信息很少。Someofafirm’sfinancialaccountingpracticesorchoiceswillaffectitsfinancialstatementsand,finally,itsfinancialratios.Financialratiosdonotprovideanalystswithalloftheanswersaboutafirm’scondition.FinancialRatioAnalysisInterpretativeExamples
Supposeagrossprofitmarginforacompanyis25%,accordingtothegiveninformation,canyoutellitishigh,orlowforthecompany?
假設(shè)一個公司的毛利率為25%,你能判斷該公司毛利率的高低嗎?InterpretativeExamples
Ifgiventhatthiscompany’scompetitorshaveprofitmarginsof10%,whatcanyoudrawfromthecomparison?
如果我們知道該公司的競爭對手毛利率平均為10%,那通過比較我們能獲得什么結(jié)論?Ifgiventhatthehistoricaltrendofthiscompany’sgrossprofitmarginisupwards,whatconclusioncanyoumake?
如果該公司的毛利率在過去的幾年里保持增長趨勢,我們又能得出什么結(jié)論呢?
It’simperativetonotetheimportanceofthepropercontextforratioanalysis
在財務(wù)報表分析中,恰當?shù)谋容^背景非常重要。Thatis,usinghistoricaldataindependentiffundamentalchangesinacompany'ssituationorprospectswouldpredictverylittleaboutitsfuturetrends.
如果公司現(xiàn)在或?qū)頃l(fā)生根本性的變化,那么該公司的歷史信息就不能很好的預(yù)測公司未來的發(fā)展趨勢。InterpretativeExamplesLiquidityRatiosLiquidityratiosareconnectedwithshort-termassetsandliabilities,whichmeasureafirm’sabilitytomeetshort-termobligations.
變現(xiàn)能力指標是有關(guān)短期資產(chǎn)和短期負債的指標,它衡量企業(yè)的短期償債能力。
E.g.Currentratio、Quickratio、Cashratio
LiquidityRatios-CurrentRatioThethreedisadvantage:
Afirm’saccountingmethods,particularlyinventoryvaluation,mayaffectitscurrentratio.Inaninflationaryenvironment,firmsthatuselast-in,first-out(LIFO)inventoryvaluationwilllikelyhavelowercurrentratiosthanfirmsthatusefirst-in,first-out(FIFO).Equalabsolutechangesinthenumeratoranddenominatormayleadtoapparentimprovementsordeteriorationinratiosthatdonotreflectrealchangesinperformance.
分子和分母發(fā)生完全相等的變化,可能使流動比率發(fā)生明顯的改善或惡化,但是這種變化卻不能反映業(yè)績真正的變化。LiquidityRatios-CurrentRatioCurrentratiosmayhideimportantliquiditydifferencesamongfirms.E.g.A:currentassets4000(cash1000,inventory3000)currentliabilities:2000B:currentassets4000(cash4000)currentliabilities:2000LiquidityRatios-CurrentRatioLiquidityRatios-QuickRatioSometimesreferredtoastheacidtestratio.Thequickratioissimilartothecurrentratioexceptinventoryisexcludedfromthecurrentassetsinthenumerator.
Generally,anacid-testratioof1:1isgoodformanufacturesandindicatethefirmdoesnothavetosellinventoriestopaythedebtsthatcomedue.
LiquidityRatios-QuickRatioLiquidityRatios-CashRatioThecashratioismoreconservativeliquiditymeasurethanthecurrentorquickratio.Thecashratioonlyincludescashandmarketablesecuritiesinthenumerator.DebtManagementRatios
showtheextenttowhichthefirmisfinancedbylong-termdebts,whichprovideanindicationofthelong-term
solvencyofthefirm.
財務(wù)杠桿表明企業(yè)的負債程度,是衡量企業(yè)長期償債能力的指標。E.g.Debtratio、Deb
to
equityratio、
Equitymultiplier、Long-termDebtRatio、InterestCoverageRatio、CashFlowCoverageRatioDebtManagementRatiosDebtManagementRatios-
DebtRatioCreditorspreferalowormoderatedebtratiobecauseitprovidesmoreprotectionifthefirmexperiencesfinancialproblems.Stockholders,ontheotherhand,maywantmoreleveragebecauseitmagnifiesexpectedearnings.DebtManagementRatios-
Deb
To
EquityRatioDebtManagementRatios-EquityMultiplier
Equitymultiplier=Debt
to
equityratio/DebtratioDebtManagementRatios-LongTermDebtRatioWhencomputingthedebtratioandthelong-termdebtratio,somemanagersandanalystsusetotalcapitalinthedenominatorinplaceoftotalassets.
DebtManagementRatios-InterestCoverageRatio
Alsocalledtimesinterestearned.Theratiomeasurestheextenttowhichoperatingincomecandeclinebeforethefirmisunabletomeetitsannualinterestcosts.DebtManagementRatios-CashFlowCoverageRatio
DepreciationisaddedbacktoEBITtoestimatecashflowbecausedepreciationisanon-cashexpensesubtractedfromrevenuestocalculateEBITontheincomestatement.AssetManagementRatiosmeasurehoweffectivelythefirmisusingitsassets.
資產(chǎn)運營指標衡量企業(yè)運用資產(chǎn)的效率。E.g.AccountsReceivableTurnoverRatio、
InventoryTurnoverRatio、
AccountsPayableTurnoverRatio、
AssetTurnoverRatioAssetManagementRatiosAssetManagementRatios
-AccountsReceivableTurnoverRatio
Whenthefinancialstatementsdonotseparatecashandcreditsales,totalnetsalesareoftenusedinthenumerator.Technically,thenumeratorshouldonlyincludecreditsalesbecausetheaccountsreceivableinthedenominatorariseonlyfromcreditsales.AssetManagementRatios
-InventoryTurnoverRatioAhighratio,relativetosomebenchmark基準,suggestsefficientmanagementofthefirm’sinventory.Alow,decliningratiomaysuggestthefirmhascontinuedtobuildupinventoryinthefaceofweakeningdemandormaybecarryingandreportingoutdatedorobsoleteinventorythatcouldonlybesoldatreducedprices.AssetManagementRatios
-AccountsPayableTurnoverRatio
Thecashconversioncycleisthelengthoftimeacompany’scashistiedupinthebusiness.AssetManagementRatios
–AssetTurnoverRatios
Afirmwitholdplantandequipmentwillhavehigherassetturnoverratioastheequipmentisdepreciatedandreportedonthebalancesheetatalowbookvalue.ProfitabilityRatiosProfitabilityratiosrelateprofitstoinvestmentorsalestomeasureafirm’sperformance.
盈利能力指標通過將企業(yè)的盈利與銷售額或投資額相比較,來衡量企業(yè)的經(jīng)營業(yè)績。
E.g.GrossProfitMargin、
OperatingProfitMargin、NetProfitMargin、ReturnonAssets、
TotalReturnonAssets、ReturnonTotalEquity、ReturnonCommonEquity、DuPontAnalysisofROE
ProfitabilityRatios-GrossProfitMargin
grossprofit=netsales–costofsalesProfitabilityRatios-OperatingProfitMargin
Theoperatingprofitmargin,whichindicatestheoperatingprofitgeneratedperdollarofnetsales,measuresthefirm’soperatingprofitabilitybeforefinancingcosts.Operatingprofit=EBIT=netsales–costofsales–sellingexpense-generalandadministrativeexpenses–depreciationexpenseProfitabilityRatios-NetProfitMargin
Netincome=EBIT–interestexpenses–incometaxProfitabilityRatios-ReturnonAssets
ProfitabilityRatios-TotalReturnonAssets
Sincetotalassetsarefinancedbybothdebtandequityandprovidereturnstobothgroupsofinvestors,someanalystscomputetotalreturnonassetsbyaddingafirm’sinterestexpensetothenumerator.Withoutthisadjustment,firmswithhighrelativeamountsofdebtfinancingwillhavelowerreturnsonassets.ProfitabilityRatios-ReturnonEquity
ReturnonTotalEquity
ROEindicateshowwellmanagementhasusedshareholderresourcestogeneratenetincome.ProfitabilityRatios
-ReturnonCommonEquity
Justfocusesonthereturntocommonshareholders.Theequityamountinthedenominatorrepresentstheequitycapitalthathasbeeninvestedinthefirm,includingreinvestmentofretainedearnings,butdoesnotrepresentthecurrentmarketvalueofthefirm’sequityinvestment.ProfitabilityRatios
-DuPontAnalysisofROE
ByseparatingROEintothesethreecomponents,ananalystcandeterminewhetherchangesinafirm’sROEareattributabletoch
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