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The
Coffee
Report
and
Outlook
is
a
new
bi-annual
report
by
the
International
CoffeeOrganization,
which
is
publicly
available
on
the
website.
It
provides
a
snapshot
of
the
2021/22and2022/23
coffeeyearsproductionandconsumption.A
new
methodology
for
calculating
production
and
consumption
is
presented,
providing
ameaningfulupdatetothe
legacymodel.An
annex
containing
the
comprehensive
production
and
consumption
data
for
five
historicyears
and
current
year
data
for
192
consuming
countries
and
54
producing
countries
can
bedelivered
by
to
Members
upon
request.
Alternatively,
the
full
report
of
the
CRO
can
besubscribedto.IExecutiveSummary1?World
coffee
production
decreased
by
1.4%
to
168.5
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2021/22,hampered
by
the
off
biennial
production
and
negative
meteorological
conditions
in
anumber
ofkeyorigins,
however
it
isexpectedto
bounceback
by1.7%to171.3millionbagsin
2022/23.
Increased
global
fertiliser
costs
and
adverse
weather
conditions
are
expectedto
partially
offset
the
positive
impact
of
the
on
biennial
production
from
Brazil,
explainingthe
relativelylowrateof
growthin
coffeeyear2022/23.???The
impact
of
the
biennial
production
is
anticipated
to
drive
the
outlook
for
Arabica,
whichis
projected
to
increase
by
4.6%
to
98.6
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2022/23,
following
a
7.2%decrease
in
the
previous
coffee
year.
Reflecting
the
cyclicality
of
Arabica’s
output,
its
shareofthe
totalproductionis
expected
toincreaseto57.5%
from55.9in
coffee
year
2021/22.South
America
is
and
will
remain
the
largest
producer
of
coffee
in
the
world,
despite
sufferingfrom
thelargest
dropoutputin
almost20years,fallingby7.6%
in
coffeeyear2021/22.
Therecovery
in
coffee
year
2022/23,
partly
driven
by
the
on
biennial
production,
is
expected
topush
theregion’soutputto
82.4millionbags,ariseof6.2%.World
coffee
consumption
increased
by
4.2%
to
175.6
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2021/22,following
a
0.6%
rise
in
the
previous
year.
Release
of
the
pent-up
demand
built-up
duringthe
COVID-19
years
and
sharp
global
economic
growth,
increasing
6.0%
in
2021,
explains
thesharpbouncebackin
coffeeconsumptionin
coffee
year
2021/22.??Decelerating
world
economic
growth
rates
for
2022
and
2023,
coupled
with
the
sharplyincreasing
cost
of
living,
would
have
an
impact
on
the
coffee
consumption
for
coffee
year2022/23.
Itisexpectedto
grow,but
at
a
deceleratingrateof1.7%
to178.5millionbags.The
global
deceleration
is
expected
to
come
from
the
non-producing
countries,
with
growthrate
of
Europe’s
coffee
consumption
presumed
to
suffer
from
the
largest
deceleration
amongall
regions,
with
growth
rate
falling
to
0.1%
in
coffee
year
2022/23
from
a
6.0%
expansionincoffeeyear2021/22.?Asa
result,theworldcoffeemarketisexpectedtorunanotheryearofdeficit.Table1:Summaryof
theWorldCoffeeMarket'00060-KgBags201720182019202020212022ProductionConsumptionBalance167,569
169,887
168,390
170,876
168,485
171,268165,637
170,876
167,593
168,569
175,605
178,5341,932-9897972,307-7,120-7,266Growth
Rates,Year-on-YearProductionConsumption4.5%2.0%1.4%3.2%-0.9%-1.9%1.5%0.6%-1.4%4.2%1.7%1.7%1Allyearsrefertothestartingyear
ofcoffeeyear,October-September.
AllproductionandconsumptionareinGrenBeansEquivalent60-kgbags,unlessotherwisestated.Table2:Summaryof
WorldCoffeeProduction22ColombianMilds–Colombia,KenyaandTanzania.OtherMilds–Bolivia,Brazil,Burundi,
Cameroon,CostaRica,Cuba,DRC,DominicanRepublic,Ecuador,ElSalvador,Ethiopia,
Guatemala,Haiti,Honduras,India,Indonesia,Jamaica,La175.6os,Madagascar,Malawi,Nepal,Nicaragua,Panama,PNG,Peru,Rwanda,SriLanka,Uganda,Venezuela,ZambiaandZimbabwe.BrazilianNaturals–Angola,Bolivia,Brazil,DRC,DominicanRepublic,Ecuador,ElSalvador,Ethiopia,Ghana,Guatemala,Honduras,India,Indonesia,Kenya,Mexico,Nicaragua,Paraguay,
Philippines,Tanzania,Thailand,Timor-Leste,Uganda,VietnamandYemen.Robustas–Angola,Benin,Brazil,Burundi,Cameroon,CAR,Congo,C?ted'Ivoire,DRC,DominicaRepublic,Ecuador,EquatorialGuinea,Gabon,Ghana,Guatemala,Guinea,India,Indonesia,Laos,Liberia,Madagascar,Mexico,Nigeria,PNG,Philippines,Rwanda,SierraLeone,SriLanka,Tanzania,
Timor-Leste,Togo,Trinidad&Tobago,
Uganda,VietnamandYemen.Graph1:Summaryof
the
WorldCoffeeMarket–‘00060-KgBags200,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,000180,000160,000140,000120,000100,00080,00060,00040,00020,00000-5,000-10,000-15,0001990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022BalanceProductionConsumptionTable3:Summaryof
WorldCoffeeConsumptionCoffee
Consumption,
'000
60-KgBags2017165,637
170,876
167,593
168,569
175,605
178,53451,575
52,234
51,441
52,518
53,615
55,369114,062
118,642
116,152
116,051
121,991
123,16520182019202020212022TotalProducersNon-ProducersRegionsAfrica11,7075,66725,98129,93938,81953,52311,9215,80526,34031,78939,57255,44912,0345,85725,96930,58139,19853,95312,5525,88226,38130,22841,28952,23712,8775,96726,89531,67942,82855,35913,4036,12427,37932,07844,16255,388Caribbean,
Central
America&
MexicoSouth
AmericaNorth
AmericaAsia&
PacificEuropeGrowth
Rates,Year-on-Year20172.0%3.0%1.6%20183.2%1.3%4.0%2019-1.9%-1.5%-2.1%20200.6%2.1%-0.1%20214.2%2.1%5.1%20221.7%3.3%1.0%TotalProducersNon-ProducersRegionsAfrica6.3%2.6%3.1%1.5%0.7%1.8%1.8%2.4%1.4%6.2%1.9%3.6%0.9%0.9%-1.4%-3.8%-0.9%-2.7%4.3%0.4%1.6%-1.2%5.3%-3.2%2.6%1.4%1.9%4.8%3.7%6.0%4.1%2.6%1.8%1.3%3.1%0.1%Caribbean,
Central
America&
MexicoSouth
AmericaNorth
AmericaAsia&
PacificEuropeShareofCategories,Percent(%)201731.1%68.9%201830.6%69.4%201930.7%69.3%202031.2%68.8%202130.5%69.5%202231.0%69.0%ProducersNon-ProducersRegionsAfrica7.1%3.4%15.7%18.1%23.4%32.3%7.0%3.4%15.4%18.6%23.2%32.4%7.2%3.5%15.5%18.2%23.4%32.2%7.4%3.5%15.7%17.9%24.5%31.0%7.3%3.4%15.3%18.0%24.4%31.5%7.5%3.4%15.3%18.0%24.7%31.0%Caribbean,
Central
America&
MexicoSouth
AmericaNorth
AmericaAsia&
PacificEuropeII1?ProductionExecutiveSummaryWorld
coffee
production
decreased
by
1.4%
to
168.5
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2021/22,hampered
by
the
off
biennial
production
and
negative
meteorological
conditions
in
numberof
key
origins,
however
it
is
expected
to
bounce
back
by
1.7%
to
171.3
million
bags
in2022/23.??The
impact
of
the
on
biennial
production
is
anticipated
to
drive
the
outlook
for
Arabica,
whichis
projected
to
increase
by
4.6%
to
98.6
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2022/23
following
a
7.2%decrease
in
the
previous
coffee
year.
Reflecting
the
cyclicality
of
Arabica’s
output,
its
shareof
the
total
coffee
production
is
expected
to
increase
to
57.5%
from
55.9%
in
coffee
year2021/22.South
America
is
and
will
remain
the
largest
producer
of
coffee
in
the
world,
despite
sufferingfrom
thelargest
dropoutputin
almost20years,fallingby7.6%in
coffeeyear2021/22.
Therecovery
in
coffee
year
2022/23,
partly
driven
by
the
on
biennial
production,
is
expected
topush
theregion’soutputto
82.4millionbags,ariseof6.2%.Table4:Summaryof
WorldCoffeeProduction,GrowthRatesand
SharesCategoriesTotalCoffee
Production,
'00060-kgBags2017167,56920182019202020212022171,268169,887168,390170,876168,485SpeciesArabicaRobusta97,86269,70799,61570,26996,67071,717101,57769,29094,24874,23798,55972,709RegionsAfrica17,42821,47576,45352,21418,52321,36181,93448,06918,69819,32181,06449,30719,28119,74783,93747,91219,13219,65577,59652,10219,40519,72682,42449,713Caribbean,
CentralAmerica&MexicoSouth
AmericaAsia&PacificGrowthRates,Year-on-YearTotal4.5%1.4%-0.9%1.5%-1.4%1.7%SpeciesArabicaRobusta-1.8%14.9%1.8%0.8%-3.0%2.1%5.1%-3.4%-7.2%7.1%4.6%-2.1%RegionsAfrica3.6%7.1%1.2%8.9%6.3%-0.5%7.2%0.9%-9.5%-1.1%2.6%3.1%2.2%3.5%-2.8%-0.8%-0.5%-7.6%8.7%1.4%0.4%6.2%-4.6%Caribbean,
CentralAmerica&MexicoSouth
AmericaAsia&Pacific-7.9%Share
ofCategories,Percent(%)SpeciesArabicaRobusta58.4%41.6%58.6%41.4%57.4%42.6%59.4%40.6%55.9%44.1%57.5%42.5%RegionsAfrica10.4%12.8%45.6%31.2%10.9%12.6%48.2%28.3%11.1%11.5%48.1%29.3%11.3%11.6%49.1%28.0%11.4%11.7%46.1%30.9%11.3%11.5%48.1%29.0%Caribbean,
CentralAmerica&MexicoSouth
AmericaAsia&Pacific2Reportof
CoffeeYear2021/222.1TotalCoffeeProduction–WorldandRegionsWorld
coffee
productiondecreased
by1.4%
to168.5millionbagsin
coffee
2021/22,
down
from170.9millionbags
intheprevious
coffeeyear.
The
decrease
in
worldproductionwasmainlyasa
resultof:???South
America’s
7.6%
fall
due
to
the
off
biennial
production
in
Brazil
and
adversemeteorological
conditions
in
number
of
other
key
origins
from
the
region;
Colombia
andHondurasoutweighing,Asia
&
Pacific’s
bumper
year,
with
their
production
increasing
by
8.7%
on
the
back
of
relativehigh
prices
for
coffee
and
good
weather
conditions
during
the
key
stages
of
coffee
beansdevelopment,especiallyin
Vietnam.In
coffee
year
2021/22,
the
ICO
Composite
Indicator
Price
(I-CIP)
had
averaged
US
Cents197.9/lb,
US
Cents
97.5/lb
higher
as
compared
with
the
recent
nadir
of
US
Cents
100.5/lbreachedin
coffee
year2018/19.Graph2:Productionof
Coffee–
Regions,‘00060-kgBags&GrowthRate90,000-7.6%80,00070,00060,0008.7%50,00083,93740,00077,59630,000-0.8%19,281
19,132Africa52,102-0.5%47,91220,00010,000019,747
19,655Asia&
Oceania2020/21C/CAmerica&
Mexico2021/22SouthAmericaGraph3:ICOCompositeIndicatorPrices(I-CIP)25022520017515012510075502.2RegionalSharesof
Total
andSpeciesOutputsThe
interactions
ofoff
biennialproduction
inBraziland
relative
high
prices
for
coffee
and
goodweather
conditions
during
the
key
stages
of
coffee
beans
development
in
Asia
&
Pacific
havehadaclearimpacton
the
regionaland
Arabica’s
shares
oftheworldcoffeeproduction:????South
America’s
share
of
the
world
coffee
production
fall
by
3%
to
46%
in
coffee
year2021/22,The
market
share
was
lost
to
Asia
&
Pacific,
which
increased
its
share
of
the
world
productionto31%in
coffeeyear2021/22,Total
output
of
Arabica
fell
by
7%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
94
million
bags
from
102
millionbagsin
thepreviouscoffee
year,World
marketshare
ofArabica
dropped
3.5%
from59.4%in
coffee
year2020/21to
57.5%
incoffeeyear2021/22.Graph4:Productionof
Coffee–
Regions,PercentShare(%)InnerRing-
2020/21AfricaOuterRing-
2021/2211%11%SouthAmerica46%Asia
&Pacific49%28%31%12%12%C
&
C
America
&
MexicoGraph5:Productionof
Arabica/Robusta–Regions,
‘00060-kgBag,Percent
Share,CoffeeYear2021/22100%33390%20,90580%69,2908,05174,23794,24870%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%44,9487,15419,32256,69111,081Africa101,577Asia&
Oceania
C/C
America&
South
America
World
2021MexicoWorld
2020ArabicaRobusta2.3TotalCoffeeProduction–RegionsandCountries2.3.1
AfricaAfrica’s
production
of
coffee
decreased
by
0.8%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
19.1
million
bags,
from19.3
million
bags
in
the
previous
coffee
year,
with
the
market
share
of
the
world’s
output
risingslightly
to11.4%
from11.3%.
Thesestable
regionallevelnumbers
beliethe
significant
changesatthecountry
level:?Uganda’s
production
decreased
by
10.0%
in
2021/22
due
to
drought,
first
reported
onFebruary
2022,
that
affected
most
of
the
coffee
growing
regions,
leading
to
a
lower
andshorter
main
harvest
season
in
central
and
eastern
parts
of
the
country
and
hence
loweroutput,?Ethiopia’s
production
reached
a
new
record
level
of
7.9
million
bags,
a
3.6%
increase
overthe
output
in
coffee
year
2020/21
at
7.6
million
bags.
Increasing
area
under
coffee
andadoption
of
good
agricultural
practice
are
the
main
reasons
behind
the
positive
growth.
Infive
years
to
2020,
the
area
harvested
had
increased
by
22.3%
or
156,117
hectares,
accordingofficial
government
figures3,
while
TechnoServe,
a
non-profit
organisation,
has
been
in
thecountry
since
2012
running
the
“Coffee
Farm
College”,
teaching
farmers
how
to
increaseproductivity4.
In10years,
the
CoffeeFarmCollegehastrainedaround
200,000
farmers.C?ted'Ivoirewastheonlymajororiginofthe
regionwithadecreasingoutputincoffeeyear2020/21.
Itwas
due
to
smallholders
actively
choosing
not
to
harvest
coffee
from
trees
thatwere
deem
to
have
insufficientnumber
ofberries,
which
combinedwith
relativelowprice
ofcoffee,
and
was
deemed
not
economical.
In
coffee
year
2021/22,
the
incentive
pick
thecherries
returned,
with
the
I-CIP
increasing
by
51.7%,
rising
to
the
highest
nominal
level
sincecoffeeyear2010/11.??Zambia’s
coffee
production
had
increased
by
16.4%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
64,000
bags,which
followed
a
59.4%
rise
in
the
previous
coffee
year.
Since
coffee
year
2014/15,
Zambia’scoffee
production
has
increased
22-folds,
a
recovery
due
to
the
consolidation
andrejuvenation
of
its
estate
sector
under
the
Olam
Food
Ingredients
(OFI)
and
its
ZambiansubsidiaryNorthernCoffeeCorporationLimited
(NCCL).Graph6:CoffeeProductionof
Africa,CoffeeYears2020/21Vs2021/22,‘00060-kgBags9,0008,0007,0006,0005,0004,0003,0002,0001,00002020/212021/223FAOSTAT4WorldBank,News
–FeatureStory“EthiopianFarmersTripleYieldswithSustainableTree
Stumping”,20April2021.Graph7:CoffeeProductionof
Africa,GrowthRates,
CoffeeYear2020/21Vs2021/2255.9%60.0%41.9%35.8%26.3%0.0%
0.0%
0.0%40.0%20.4%4.6%20.0%
3.6%0.0%2.6%4.1%0.0%
0.0%-20.0%-40.0%-60.0%-0.1%-10.2%-10.0%-9.6%-12.5%-14.3%-18.4%-34.3%-36.4%2.3.2
Asia&PacificAsia
&
Pacific’s
coffee
production
increased
by
8.7%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
52.1
million
bags,from
47.9
million
bags
in
the
previous
coffee
year,
increasing
its
market
share
of
the
world’soutputto30.9%
from28.0%in
coffeeyear2020/21.
Atthe
individualcountry
level:?Vietnam
remains
the
largest
origin
in
Asia
&
Pacific,
producing
32.4
million
bags
in
coffeeyear
2021/22,
a
14.9%
increase
or
4.2
million
bags.
It
isthe
secondlargest
output
on
record,behind
33.4
millionbagsproduced
incoffee
year2017/18.
Rejuvenationoftrees,
followinga
5.2%
fallinoutputin
coffee
year2020/21,
and
good
meteorologicalconditions
duringthedry
season
and
timely
precipitation
combined
to
produce
a
bumper
year
in
coffee
year2021/22.?Indonesia
is
the
second
largest
origin
in
Asia
&
Pacific,
behind
Vietnam.
The
origin’sproduction
has
beenrange-boundat
10-12.3
millionbagssince
coffee
year2014/15.
This
ismainly
a
reflection
equally
range-bound
coffee
area
with
the
area
harvested
fluctuatingbetween
1.2-1.3
million
hectares
since
2012,
coupled
with
the
predominance
ofsmallholders,
small
plots
(average
1-2
hectares)
and
lower
good
farming
practice
leadingultimately
to
lower
productivity.
In
2020-2022
(calendar
years),
total
area
under
coffeeincreasedby
41,400hectares.
Indonesia’saverageyieldis8.9
bagsforcoffee
year2016/17-2020/21
as
compared
with
the
world
average
of
15.6
bags
over
the
same
period.
Thesefactors
mean
that
over
short-term
environmental
factors
are
key
in
determining
changes
toannual
coffee
production
of
Indonesia
above
incremental
growth.
For
coffee
year
2021/22,the
key
producing
region
of
Sumatra
was
subject
to
frequent
rain
and
strong
wind
until
theend
of
May
2021
disturbing
coffee
trees
during
the
fruit’s
flowering
stage.
Indonesia
has
twoharvest
seasons,
the
first
and
main
occurs
between
April
and
May,
followed
by
the
secondharvest
in
September
or
October.
As
a
result,
output
of
coffee
decreased
by
1.1%
in
coffeeyear
2021/22,
fallingto11.9millionbagsfrom
12.0
millionbagsin
coffeeyear2020/21.Heavy
rains
in
July
and
August
2021
in
coffee
producing
states
of
Karnataka,
Kerala
and
TamilNadu
led
the
Coffee
Board
ofIndia
to
reduce
its
post-blossom
estimates
ofcoffee
outputby10%
fromtheir
earlier
assessment
to
6.2
million
bags
in
late
August
2022,
however
it
provedhave
been
an
optimisticoutlook.
Theoutput
was
eventually
finalised
at
5.7
million
bags,
up2.4%
or
up
134,000
bags
over
coffee
year
2020/21.
With
area
harvested
increased
by
1.5%or
6,203
hectares
in
coffee
year
2021/22,
more
than
half
of
the
increment
of
India’s
outputcan
be
attributed
totheexpansionofarea.??Laos
is
an
up-and-coming
origin,
increasing
its
coffee
production
by
three-folds
in
coffee
year2000/01-2018/19,
growing
at
an
average
11.4%
per
annum.
During
this
period,
Laos
hadovertaken
the
Philippines,
Thailand
and
Yemen
to
become
the
fifth
largest
producer
of
coffeein
Asia
&
Pacific,
and
had
increased
its
share
of
the
region’s
output
to
1.3%
from
0.7%.
Incoffee
year
2018/19
0.6
million
bags
of
coffee
was
produced
in
Laos.
However,
since
thattime
the
output
from
the
origin
has
been
falling
and
in
coffee
year
2021/22
production
hadfallen
to
0.5
million
bags,
a
16.8%
fall.
Official
statistics
on
area
under
coffee
shows
that
theharvested
areas
have
continually
risen,
increasing
by
1.4%
in
2018-2021
(calendar
years)
to83,320
hectares
from
80,890
hectares.
The
Lao
Coffee
Association
had
attributed
the
sharpfall
in
the
production
to
climate
change
and
the
invasion
of
insects,
among
other
factors,lowering
yieldperhectare.Graph8:CoffeeProductionof
Asia&Pacific,‘00060-kgBags35,00030,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,0000Viet
Nam
IndonesiaIndiaLaosThailand2020/21PNGPhilippines
Timor-Leste
Yemen2021/22Sri
LankaNepalGraph9:CoffeeProductionof
Asia&Pacific,GrowthRates,CoffeeYear2020/21Vs2021/2251.4%60.0%40.0%20.0%0.0%26.2%14.9%2.4%India1.2%PNG1.2%4.0%-1.1%-1.8%-20.0%-40.0%-4.6%Nepal-23.4%LaosViet
Nam
IndonesiaThailandPhilippines
Timor-Leste
YemenSri
Lanka2.3.3
Caribbean,CentralAmerica&MexicoCaribbean,
Central
America
&
Mexico’s
coffee
production
decreased
by
0.5%
in
coffee
year2021/22to
19.66
millionbags,
from
19.75millionbagsintheprevious
coffee
year,
maintainingits
market
share
of
the
world’s
output
at
11.7%.
These
stable
regional
level
numbers
belie
thesignificantchangesat
thecountry
level:?El
Salvador’s
coffee
production
has
been
struggling
to
recover
from
devastation
of
the
leafrust
disease
that
in
2013
had
hit
the
origin
and
other
origins
in
Central
Americas.
Theimmediate
impact
of
the
disease
was
a
58.5%
fall
in
the
output
from
1.2
million
bags
in
coffeeyear
2012/13to0.5
millionbags
in
coffee
year2013/14.
Overthe
nexteightyearsto
coffeeyear
2020/21
the
output
had
been
range-bound
at
0.5-0.8
million
bags.
To
rejuvenate
thecoffee
industry
the
government
of
El
Salvador
launched
the
“Program
for
Strengthening
theClimate
Resilience
of
the
Coffee
Forests
of
El
Salvador”
in
late
2021.
The
initiative
aims
torenovate
25%
of
the
origin’s
coffee
area
(50,000
manzanas
or
approximately
34,900hectares),
involving
making
available
24
million
rust-resistant
plants
in
the
next
five
years
tofarmers,
which
will
complement
an
existing
effort,
which
started
in
2016
and
has
sincerenewed
about
20,000
hectares.
As
a
result
of
the
rejuvenation
programme
and
goodweather,
the
output
has
increased
0.7
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2021/22
from
0.6
millionbagsin
coffee2020/21.??Nicaragua’s
coffee
output
increased
by
17.7%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
3.2million
bags.
Itfollows
a
8.3%
fall
in
the
previous
year,
attributed
to
the
country’s
dire
economic
situationthat
prevented
proper
management
of
the
coffee
trees
and
area
under
coffee,
which
mitigatesthe
strength
of
the
increase
in
coffee
year
2021/22.
Increase
in
productivity,
buoyed
by
the52.7%
increase
in
the
I-CIP,
and
strong
on
biennial
production
are
the
reasons
behind
thejumpinthe
output.Honduras
isthe
largest
producer
in
theregion,
accountingfor31%
ofthe
totalcoffeeoutputof
the
Caribbean,
Central
America
&
Mexico
in
coffee
year
2020/21
with
6.2
million
bagsharvested.
However,
in
coffee
year
2021/22,
output
fell
to
5.5
million,
down
11.1%,
withaccompanying
drop
in
the
market
share
to
28%.
Multiple
factors
explain
the
decrease
andits
intensity:
impact
of
the
biennial
production,
lower
rainfall
during
the
beans
growingperiodinnumberofgrowingregions,highincidence
ofrustdiseaseasa
resultofhurricanesETA
and
IOTA
and
stumping
following
the
rust
disease
led
renewal
in
2012
that
reached
theirpeakproduction
betweenthe
2018/2020
harvests
which
allaffected
the
country’s
supply
ofcoffee.?The
coffee
production
of
Guatemala
has
been
range-bound
between
3.3-4.1
million
bags
overcoffee
year
2001/02-2020/21,
tied
largely
to
the
equally
range-bound
area
under
coffee
at240,000-275,000
hectares
over
the
2001-2018
(calendar
years).
Since
then,
area
undercoffee
has
expanded
significantly,
increasing
to
302,000
hectares
in
coffee
year
2019/20-2020/215,
with
all
other
sources
of
information
suggesting
that
the
hectarage
has
beenmaintained
into
coffee
year
2021/22.
However,
production
has
not
accompanied
thisexpansion,
falling
to
3.7
million
bags
in
coffee
year
2021/22
from
4.1
million
bags
in2020/21,
a
fall
of
9.0%.
High
labour
cost,
availability
of
labour
and
climatic
reasons
lie
behindthe
fall.Graph10:CoffeeProductionof
Caribbean,Central
America&Mexico,‘00060-kgBags7,0006,0005,0004,0003,0002,0001,0000HondurasMexicoGuatemala
Nicaragua
El
Salvador2020/21Dom.RepublicCubaPanamaHaitiJamaicaTri.&Tobago2021/225EstadísticasAgropecuarias2020and2021,InstitutoNacionaldeEstadísticaGraph11:CoffeeProductionof
Caribbean,Central
America&Mexico,GrowthRates,CoffeeYear2020/21Vs2021/2217.7%16.6%20.0%15.0%10.0%5.0%12.4%10.3%5.0%5.1%0.7%Cuba0.0%0.0%-5.0%-10.0%-15.0%-4.4%-9.0%Mexico
Guatemala
Nicaragua
El
Salvador-11.1%HondurasDom.RepublicPanamaHaitiJamaicaTri.&Tobago2.3.4.
SouthAmericaSouth
America’s
coffee
production
decreased
by
7.6%
in
coffee
year
2021/22
to
77.6
million
bags,from83.9
million
bags
in
the
previous
coffee
year.
This
isthe
single
largest
drop
in
output
sincethe
16.6%
fall
in
coffee
year
2004/05.
Brazil
was
the
main
reason
behind
the
negative
growthofthe
region,
while
itsmagnitudewas
duetothedownwardreinforcementof
Colombia:?Following
on
from
its
on
biennial
production
in
coffee
year
2020/21,
Brazil’s
coffee
output
incoffee
year
2021/22
was
on
its
off
biennial
production,
with
output
decreasing
by
7.7%
to60.4
million
bags
from65.5
million
bagsin
the
previous
year.
This
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