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ThinkAhead
TheAssociationof
Accountantsand
Financialprofessionals
inBusiness
GLOBALECONOMICCONDITIONSSURVEYREPORT:Q3,2024
2
Executivesummary
AccountantsandCFOsbecomemorepessimisticonglobaleconomicprospectsinQ3.
Confidenceamongaccountantsand
chieffinancialofficers(CFOs)declines.
TheACCAandIMAGlobalEconomic
ConditionsSurvey(GECS)suggeststhat
globalconfidenceamongaccountantsandfinanceprofessionalsdeclinedmoderatelyinQ3.ItisnowatitslowestsinceQ42023andslightlybelowitshistoricalaverage.1
Therewasalsoamoderatedeclineinthe
forward-lookingNewOrdersIndex,and
modestfallsintheCapitalExpenditure
andEmploymentindices(seeChart1).
Themessagecomingfromtheglobal
CFOsinourpanelwasalsomorecautious.ConfidenceamongCFOsfellmoderately,andisnowbelowitshistoricalaverage,
andtherewasasharpdeteriorationintheirassessmentofneworders(see
Chart15
).
SomerecoveryinconfidenceinNorth
America,butlargefallsinAsiaPacificandWesternEurope.ConfidenceimprovedinNorthAmerica(see
Chart2
),althoughit
recoupedlessthanhalfofitsQ2fall,and
thekeyindicatorsfortheregionlookweakbyhistoricalstandards.GrowthintheU.S.
economyislikelytoslowovercoming
quarters,butasoftlandinglooksthe
mostlikelyscenario.TherewasamarkeddeclineinconfidenceinAsiaPacific,
erasingmostofthegainsmadeearlierin2024.Concernsaboutthecontinued
weaknessoftheChineseeconomymayhaveweighedonsentiment,aswellas
fearsabouttheriskofaU.S.recession.
Thesurveywascompletedbeforethe
Chineseauthoritiesannouncedapivot
toamoreaggressivepolicystimulus.
AsharpdeclineinconfidenceintheUK
weighedheavilyontheindexforWesternEurope,amidconcernsaboutpredicted
taxrisesintheupcomingBudget.
Costconcernsremainelevated,but
indicatorsofcorporatestressarestillnotconcerning.Theproportionofrespondentsreportingincreasedoperatingcostsremainselevatedbyhistoricalstandardsinmost
regions(see
Chart5
),suggestingcentralbanksneedtoproceedquitecautiously
withmonetaryeasing,particularlygiven
eventsintheMiddleEast.Butconcerns
thatcustomersand/orsupplierscouldgo
outofbusinessremainclosetohistorical
averagesandtheproportionofglobalfirmshavingproblemsaccessingfinancehas
movedloweramideasingglobalfinancialconditions(see
Charts7and8
).
Theglobalriskssectionaskedaccountantstoranktheirtopthreeriskpriorities.
Regulatorychangewasthetopconcernforthesecondquarterrunningforrespondentsinfinancialservices,whiletheeconomy
remainedwelloutinfrontforthoseinthe
corporatesector.Bothpublicsectorentitiesandsmallandmedium-sizedpractices
(SMPs)putcybersecurityastheirtoppriority,andforthefirsttimesincetherisksurvey
started,climatechangeclaimedatopthreespot,withthepublicsectorplacingitthird.Anotherfirst-everwasWesternEurope
beingtheonlyregiontoranktalentscarcityasitshighestriskpriority.
GECSsurveypointstosomeslowingin
globalgrowthinQ3.Theglobaleconomyhasbeenquiteresilientsofarin2024,
butthelatestsurveyofaccountantspointstosomeeasingingrowthatthecurrent
juncture.Onapositivenote,theincreasedpolicystimulusshouldboosttheChineseeconomyoverthecomingmonthsand
quarters,andthemovetoratecutsby
theU.S.FederalReserve,andmanyothercentralbanks,willincreasinglysupport
globalactivity.Thatsaid,geopolitical
risksareveryelevated,withtheconflictintheMiddleEastescalating.Inadditiontopotentiallyweighingonconfidence,
anyfurtherspikeinoilpriceswould
clearlybeproblematicforcentralbanks
andconsumers.Meanwhile,significant
uncertaintyabouttheupcomingU.S.
electioncouldincreasecorporatecaution.
ConfidenceamongglobalaccountantsdeclinedinQ3toitslowestsinceQ42023.
CHART1:GECSglobalindicatorsIndex
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndexSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
1Themedianisusedtocalculatetheaverages.
3
1.Globalandregionalanalysis
TherewassomerecoveryinconfidenceinNorthAmerica,butasharpfallinAsiaPacific.
Therewasawidedivergenceinthe
regionalchangesinconfidenceinQ3
(seeChart2).Thelargestrisewasinthe
MiddleEast,andthereweredecentgainsinSouthAsiaandNorthAmerica.The
improvementinthelatterwasdrivenby
quitealargeriseinU.S.confidenceafter
ahugefallpreviously.Whilelessthanhalfofthepreviousdeclinewasrecouped,it
wouldsuggestthatfearsaboutapotentialU.S.recessionmayhaveeasedsomewhat.Thatsaid,theotherkeyindicatorslook
consistentwithaslowingeconomy.
Meanwhile,therewasahugedeclinein
confidenceinAsiaPacific,wipingoutmostofthegainsmadeearlierin2024.This
mayreflectgrowingconcernsabouttheweaknessoftheChineseeconomy,fears
Confidencefellsharplyin
AsiaPacificinQ3andregisteredquitealargedeclineinWestern
Europe.TherewassomeimprovementinNorthAmericaafterthehugefallinQ2.
TheGlobalNewOrdersIndex declinedmoderatelyinQ3, drivenbyfallsinthekeyAsiaPacific,NorthAmericaandWesternEuroperegions.
abouttheriskofahardlandingfortheU.S.economy,andtherecentweakeningintheglobalmanufacturingsector.Thesurvey
wascarriedoutbeforetheannouncementofamoreaggressivepolicystimulusby
theChineseauthorities.Therewasalso
quiteamaterialdeclineinconfidencein
WesternEurope,drivenbyaverysharp
fallintheUK.Concernsabouttaxrises
intheupcomingBudgetandotherpolicy
changesappeartohavebeenakeyfactor.
ConfidenceismoderatelybelowitshistoricalaverageinNorthAmerica,
WesternEurope,andAfrica,andvery
slightlylowerinAsiaPacific.ConfidenceissignificantlyaboveaverageintheMiddleEast,andmeaningfullysoinSouthAsia.
TheGlobalNewOrdersIndexdeclinedmoderatelyinthelatestquarter(see
Chart3).ItisnowatitslowestsinceQ4
2020,albeitonlyslightlybelowitsaverageoverthesurvey’shistory.Thedeclinesin
orderswerequitebroad-basedacrossregions.ThelargestfallsoccurredinthekeyregionsofWesternEurope,North
America,andAsiaPacific,withmore
modestdeclinesinAfricaandtheMiddle
East.BuckingthetrendwasSouthAsia,
withasmallrise.Comparedwiththeir
history,newordersaremeaningfullybelowaverageinNorthAmericaandWestern
Europe,butaboveaveragebyvarying
degreesinAsiaPacific,Africa,SouthAsia,andtheMiddleEast.
CHART2:Confidence–changeoverthepastquarter/year,byregion
MiddleEast
SouthAsia
NorthAmerica
Africa
Global
WesternEuropeAsiaPacific
-30-20-1001020
Indexpoints
ConfidenceoverthepastquarterConfidenceoverthepastyear
Source:ACCA/IMA(2023–24)
CHART3:GECSOrders–changeoverthepastquarter/year,byregion
SouthAsia
MiddleEast
Africa
Global
AsiaPacific
NorthAmerica
WesternEurope
-10-5051015
Indexpoints
OrdersoverthepastquarterOrdersoverthepastyear
Source:ACCA/IMA(2023–24)
GLOBALECONOMICCONDITIONSSURVEYREPORT:Q3,2024
4
Theproportionofglobalrespondentsreporting‘increasedcosts’waslargelyunchangedinQ3butremainselevatedbyhistoricalstandards(seeChart4).
Attheregionallevel,costpressures
increasedmateriallyinWesternEurope
(drivenbyaverysignificantriseintheUK),
roseslightlyintheMiddleEast,and
werelargelyunchangedinAsiaPacific.
CostpressuresfellverysharplyinSouthAsia,andtoamuchlesserextentinAfricaandNorthAmerica.
CostpressuresremainelevatedbyhistoricalstandardsinWesternEurope,Africa,Asia
Pacific,andNorthAmerica(seeChart5),suggestingthatcentralbanksenacting,orcontemplating,monetaryeasinginthose
regionsneedtotreadsomewhatcarefully.CostpressuresarearoundtheirhistoricalaveragesintheMiddleEastandSouth
Asia.ConcernsaboutcostsamongCFOsdeclinedmeaningfullyversusthepreviousquarter(seeChart6),butover60%are
stillreportingincreasedoperatingcostscomparedwithahistoricalaverageof
under50%.
Theproportionofrespondentsreportingincreasedoperating costsremainedelevatedbyhistoricalstandardsinQ3.
CostpressuresfacingbusinessesremainelevatedinWesternEurope,AsiaPacific,NorthAmerica,andAfrica.
TheproportionofCFOsexperiencingincreasedoperating costsdeclinedmateriallyinQ3 andisnowsimilartothatofthebroaderpanel.
CHART4:Concernsaboutincreasedoperatingcosts%
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
%ofglobalrespondentsreporting‘increasedcosts’Medianoversurveyhistory
80
60
40
20
0
CHART5:Concernsaboutincreasedoperatingcosts%ofrespondentsreportingincreasedcosts
NorthAmericaWesternEuropeMiddleEastAsiaPacificSouthAsiaAfrica
Q32024.Medianoversurveyhistory
Source:ACCA/IMA(2024)
CHART6:GlobalCFOconcernsaboutincreasedoperatingcosts%ofrespondentsreportingincreasedcosts
100
80
60
40
20
0
Medianoversurveyhistory
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
GLOBALECONOMICCONDITIONSSURVEYREPORT:Q3,2024
5
ConcernsgloballythatcustomerscouldgooutofbusinessroseslightlyinQ3,while
concernsaboutsupplierseasedagain.
NeitherofourtwoGECS‘fear’indiceslookworryingbyhistoricalstandards(seeChart7).Meanwhile,globalproblemsaccessingfinanceeasedforthesecondconsecutivequarter,withonly14%ofrespondents
reportingissuesaccessingfinance,belowthehistoricalaverageof20%.Therecentdeclinelikelyreflectstheimprovementin
globalfinancialconditionssinceautumn
2023andthebeginningofratecutsby
themajorglobalcentralbanks.Global
problemssecuringpromptpaymentalso
easedslightlyandarebelowtheirhistoricalaverage(seeChart8).
Theeasinginglobalfinancialconditions
hasbeenahelpfultailwindfortheglobal
economy,andmonetaryeasingbycentral
banks,particularlytheU.S.FederalReserve,
isclearlyverybeneficial.Nevertheless,
absentasharpslowingingrowth,interest-rate-cuttingcyclesarelikelytobequite
gradualandratesarestilllikelytoremainhighbythestandardsofthepost-GlobalFinancialCrisisperiod.Hence,firms
andhouseholdsthatlockedinverylow
interestratesinrecentyearsarelikelyto
experienceariseinborrowingcostswhentheycometorenewtheirloans.
Concernsgloballythatcustomerscouldgooutofbusinessedged upinQ3,butconcernsabout supplierscontinuedtoease. Neitherserieslooksalarmingbyhistoricalstandards.
Globalproblemsaccessing financehaveeasedquitemateriallyin2024andareclosetorecordlows.
CHART7:GECSglobal‘fear’indicesIndex
50
40
30
20
10
0
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
GECS:Indexofconcernaboutcustomersgoingoutofbusiness
GECS:IndexofconcernaboutsuppliersgoingoutofbusinessSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART8:Problemssecuringpromptpaymentandaccessingfinance
%
35
30
25
20
15
10
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
GECS:Globalproblemsaccessingfinance
GECS:GlobalproblemssecuringpromptpaymentSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
GLOBALECONOMICCONDITIONSSURVEYREPORT:Q3,2024
6
NORTHAMERICA
ConfidenceimprovedsomewhatinQ3,albeit
recoupinglessthanhalfofQ2’sdecline(seeChart
9),andremainsbelowitshistoricalaverage.TheNewOrders,CapitalExpenditureandEmploymentindicesalldeclinedbyvaryingdegreesandarewellbelow
theirhistoricalaverages.Somewhatencouragingly,theproportionofrespondentsreportingincreasedoperatingcostseasedtoitslowestsinceQ12021,
whileremaininghighbyhistoricalstandards.Allin
all,whiletheincreaseinconfidenceiswelcome,thekeyindicatorsareconsistentwithsomeslowingin
theU.S.economyandsignificantcautiononbehalfofbusinesses.Butwiththejobmarketshowing
resilienceandtheFederalReservebeginningits
rate-cuttingcycle,themostlikelyscenariofortheU.S.economystilllookstobeasoftlanding.Nevertheless,giventheuncertaintyfacedbyfirmsamidtheelection,andsharplyheightenedgeopoliticaltensions,one
cannotruleoutasharper-than-expectedslowdown.
ASIAPACIFIC
ConfidencefellverysharplyinQ3,erasingmostofthegainsmadeearlierintheyear,althoughitisonlyslightlybelowitshistoricalaverage.Therewasalsoquiteameaningfuldecreaseintheforward-lookingNewOrdersIndex(seeChart10),butitremains
wellaboveaverage.ThemessagecomingfromtheCapitalExpenditureandEmploymentindiceswas
mixed.Theformerimprovedslightlyandisaboveaverage,whilethelatterfellquitematerially,but
isclosetoitsaverage.Allinall,thekeyindicatorspointtoamoredownbeatbackdropfortheregion.ThecontinuedweaknessoftheChineseeconomywaslikelyafactor,aswellasconcernsaboutthe
U.S.economyandsignsofweakeninginglobal
manufacturing.ThemovetoamoreaggressivepolicystimulusbytheChineseauthorities,subsequentto
thesurveyperiod,shouldhelpactivityintheregion,aswillfallingU.S.interestrates.TheU.S.electionandgeopoliticsremainimportantrisks.
WESTERNEUROPE
Therewasquitealargedeclineinconfidence,whichisnowatitslowestsinceQ42023(seeChart11).
SimilarlyfortheNewOrdersIndex,whichisnow
meaningfullybelowitshistoricalaverage.More
encouragingly,theCapitalExpenditureIndexedgedslightlyhigher,andtherewasadecentgaininthe
EmploymentIndex.Theformerisbelowitshistoricalaveragewhilethelatterisjustabove.Meanwhile,
theproportionofrespondentsreportingincreased
operatingcostsjumpedandremainswellaboveits
average.Muchworsethanexpected,outturnsfortheUKheavilyinfluencedtheresults.UKconfidencefellmarkedly,andtherewasameaningfuldeclineinthe
NewOrdersIndex.TheproportionofUKrespondentscitingincreasedoperatingcostsalsosoared.TheUKresultsseemtoflyinthefaceoftheimprovingdata
thisyear,bothontheactivityandinflationfront,and
likelyreflectbusinessconcernsaboutpolicychangesandtaxrisesattheBudgeton30October.
CHART9:NorthAmericaIndex
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
60
-
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndexSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART10:AsiaPacificIndex
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndexSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART11:WesternEuropeIndex
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndex
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
GLOBALECONOMICCONDITIONSSURVEYREPORT:Q3,2024
7
MIDDLEEAST
Confidenceintheregionimprovedquitesharplyin
Q3,asdidtheCapitalExpenditureandEmployment
indices(seeChart12),allofwhicharenowwellabovetheirhistoricalaverages.Bycontrast,therewasa
smallfallintheNewOrdersIndex,althoughitremains
aboveaverage.Thelatestresultswereclearly
encouragingandcomedespiteconflictintheregionandthefallinoilpricessincetheQ2survey.The
positiveresultslikelyreflectthecontinuedresilienceofthenon-oileconomiesinkeycountriessuchas
SaudiArabia,aswellasrisingexpectationsofeasierU.S.monetarypolicy,withmanycurrenciesinthe
regionpeggedtotheU.S.dollar.ComparedwithQ2,surveyrespondentsalsobecamemoreoptimisticontheprospectsforincreasesingovernmentspendingoverthenext12months.Onanoteofcaution,the
surveywasconductedbeforethelatestintensificationofhostilitiesintheregion,whichriskweighingon
businessandconsumersentiment,despitepushingoilpriceshigher.
SOUTHASIA
ConfidenceregisteredadecentincreaseinQ3–itisnowatitshighestlevelsinceQ32022andaboveitshistoricalaverage.Therewasalsoa
smallimprovementintheNewOrdersIndex,which
remainsaboveitsaverage(seeChart13).There
weresolidgainsinboththeCapitalExpenditureandEmploymentindices.Theformerisaboveitshistoricalaverage,whilethelatterisatit.Meanwhile,the
proportionofsurveyrespondentsreportingincreasedoperatingcostsfellsharplyandisnowatitshistoricalaverage.Overall,thekeyindicatorsareconsistent
withaquitepositivebackdropforSouthAsia.The
region’slargesteconomy,India,shouldcontinuetobetheworld’sfastestgrowingmajoreconomyin
both2024and2025.Itshouldbenefitfromstrong
infrastructureinvestmentbythegovernment,fast
growthintheservicessector,andthecontinued
diversificationofinternationalsupplychains.Thejobmarketremainsanareaofsomeweaknessthough.
AFRICA
Allthekeyindicesdeclinedbyvaryingdegreesin
Q3(seeChart14).TheConfidenceandNewOrdersindicesbothregisteredquitesmallfalls.Theformerisbelowitshistoricalaverage,whilethelatteris
aboveit.TheCapitalExpenditureIndexrecorded
amodestdecline,buttherewasalargerretreatintheEmploymentIndex.Bothindicesarebelowtheirhistoricalaverages,butnotsignificantly.Meanwhile,theproportionofrespondentsreportingincreased
operatingcostseasedinQ3whileremainingelevated
byhistoricalstandards.Inflationremainsamajor
issueintheregion,althoughtheimprovingpictureinsomecountriesisallowingcentralbankstoreducepolicyrates.MonetaryeasingbytheU.S.Federal
Reserveshouldproveveryhelpfulbyreducing
currencydepreciationpressures,butgeopoliticaldevelopmentsremainamajorrisk,giventheir
potentialimpactoncommodityprices.
CHART12:MiddleEastIndex
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndexSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART13:SouthAsiaIndex
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndexSource:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART14:AfricaIndex
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndex
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
8
2.ChiefFinancialOfficers(CFOs)
ConfidenceamongCFOsfallsinQ3,amidabigdeclineinneworders.
TheindicesreportedinthissectionreflectthesurveyresponsesofCFOswhoarepartofourbroaderglobalpanelofaccountantsandfinanceprofessionals.
ConfidenceamongCFOsrecordeda
moderatedeclineinQ3andisnowslightlybelowitshistoricalaverage.TheNew
OrdersIndexfellsharply,though,andiswellbelowaverage(seeChart15).TheConfidenceIndexforCFOsisjustbelowthatofthebroaderpanel(accountants,
auditors,etc.,aswellasCFOs),whiletheNewOrdersIndexismeaningfullylower.
TheCapitalExpenditureIndexforCFOs
fellmoderatelyafteraverylargegain
previously(seeChart16).Itremainsbelowitshistoricalaverage,althoughithasbeenmateriallyloweronseveraloccasionssinceRussiainvadedUkraine.Itremainslower
thantheindexforthebroaderpanel,but
notsignificantly.TheEmploymentIndex
increasedmoderatelyandisaboveits
average(seeChart16)andwellabove
thatofthebroaderpanel.Meanwhile,the
proportionofCFOsexperiencingincreasedoperatingcostsdeclinedbyalmost10
percentagepointsbutremainselevatedbyhistoricalstandards(see
Chart6
).
Allinall,thelatestresultsfromCFOspointtosomeincreaseincautioninQ3,and
areconsistentwithsomeslowinginglobalgrowth.Thelargefallintheproportionof
CFOsreportingincreasedoperatingcostsisawelcomedevelopment,nonetheless,
andpointstoaninflationarybackdropthatisbecomingmoreconducivetoareductioninthemagnitudeofcentralbanks’policy
restraint.Thatsaid,withcostconcerns
remainingonthehighsidehistorically,
policymakersstillneedtotreadcarefully.
ConfidenceamongCFOsdeclinedinQ3,andtherewasaverysharpfallintheNewOrdersIndex.
ThemessagefromtheCapital ExpenditureandEmploymentindiceswasmixed,withtheformerdecliningandthelatterrising.
CHART15:GECSglobalindicators–CFOsIndex
40
20
0
-20
-40
Medianoversurveyhistory
-60
-80Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
ConfidenceIndexOrdersIndex
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
CHART16:GECSglobalindicators–CFOsIndex
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
Medianoversurveyhistory
Q32014Q32016Q32018Q32020Q32022Q32024
CapitalExpenditureIndexEmploymentIndex
Source:ACCA/IMA(2014–24)
9
3.Theultimateyearofnationalelectionsandgeopoliticaluncertainties
Whileaccountantsaroundtheworld
againrankedmacroeconomicsasthehighestriskpriorityoverall,differencesacrosssectorspaintedatellingstory
abouthowtheprofessionismakingsenseoftoday’slandscape.
Worldwide,morevotersinhistorywill
haveheadedtothepollsbytheendof
2024,withatleast64countries,plus
theEuropeanUnion,holdingnational
elections,theresultsofwhichmayproveconsequentialforyearstocome.With
intensifyingconflictsintheMiddleEast
andthewarbetweenRussiaandUkraine,responsestotherisksectionofourthird-quarter2024(Q32024)GECSreport
revealhowchallengingithasbecomeforfinancialprofessionalstounderstandtheeconomicimpactsofthisunprecedentedcombinationofrisks.
Byregion,NorthAmericahadthelargest
proportionofrespondentstorank
‘economicinflation,recessionandinterestrates’astheirtopriskpriorityforQ32024.
Answerstotheopen-endedquestion,‘whatdoyoufeelisthemostunderestimatedriskfacingyourorganisation?’illustratethe
degreeofemergingthreatsfacing
businessesintoday’spoly-crisisenvironment.U.S.respondentspointedtoarangeof
scenariosfromtradetariffstochanging
cybersecurityreportingrequirementsandartificialintelligence(AI)laws.Afinancialmanagerfromamanufacturerinthe
Midwestsaid:‘theimplicationsofthesearehardtomeasure’.Othersalsoshowed
growingconcernsabouttheshortageof
skills,notleastintheaccountancy
profession.AcontrollerfromanotherU.S.
manufacturerrepliedmorecandidlyabout
blindspotswithinherowncompany,sayingthat‘thebiggestriskstomyorganisationareinternal.Withnoconsistentinternalcontrols
orcentralisedriskassessment,Ibelievetherearethingshappeningthatcould
causeirreparabledamageinthefuture’.
‘Bearish’isthebestwaytodescriberisk
surveyresponsesfromtheUK,which
accentuatedwhatACCA’schiefeconomistwroteintheprevioussectionaboutfallingconfidencedespitelong-awaitedeconomicgrowth.‘Themostunderestimatedriskforusisthereductionincharitabledonations
ifthenewgovernmentincreasestaxes’,
saidanACCAmemberfromthenot-for-
profitsector.Thisrespondentalsosaidthatthebiggestimpacttheeconomyhadon
hisbusinesswas‘scalingbackinvestmentincapitalprojectsandstaff’.
Mostrespondentsexpressedconcerns
abouttheupcomingBudgetspeech.One
saidthatthemostunderestimatedriskwas‘uncertaintyaroundchangestotaxation
andemploymentlawandhowthatimpactsrecruitment,whichisalreadydifficult.Iworryhowwewillbeabletoprovideacceptablelevelsofsupportforourcustomers’.
Responsesfromthoseworkingatsmall-to-medium-sizedenterprises(SMEs)
alsostruckchordsabouttheincreasing
riskoverloadandthinningcapacity.Onecommentedhow‘highertaxationand
increasedworkers’rightsarehittingsmallbusinessemployershard’whileanother
ACCAmemberadded,‘Ihaveneverseensuchuncertaintysincequalifying’.
Respondentsfromthecorporatesector
rankedmacroeconomicsasthehighestriskpriority,butresponsesfromaroundtheworld
showedhowinterconnectedeverythingis.Forexample,oneACCAmemberin
Australia,notedthe‘increasingpossibilityofaglobalAI-triggeredcrash’whilealsosuggestingthatautomationwillhelp
eliminateinefficiencies.Afinancedirector
atatransportationcompanyin
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