教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模測算邏輯模型 頭豹詞條報告系列

教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模測算

邏輯模型頭豹詞條報告系列曹珈赫、常喬雨發(fā)布日期：2024/09/261.教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模

(結(jié)論圖)P32.教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模

P43.早教兒童數(shù)量(0-2歲)P54.人工智能在教育行業(yè)滲透率

P65.

大模型市場規(guī)模P76.

A

I市場規(guī)模P87.大模型在人工智能的滲透率

P98.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:早教)

P109.在園幼兒數(shù)量P1110.幼兒園數(shù)量

P1211.智慧教室建造單價P1312.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:幼兒園)

P1413.小學(xué)在校生數(shù)量

P1514.

小學(xué)學(xué)校數(shù)量

P1615.

小學(xué)班額

P1716.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:小學(xué))(在校)

P1817.初中在校生數(shù)量P1918.初中學(xué)校數(shù)量P2019.初中班額

P2120.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:初中)(在校)

P2221.普通高中在校生數(shù)量P2322.普通高中學(xué)校數(shù)量P2423.

高中班額

P2524.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:高中)(在校)

P2625.中等職業(yè)教育在校生數(shù)量P2726.

中等職業(yè)教育學(xué)校數(shù)量P2827.人工智能在職業(yè)教育行業(yè)滲透率

P2928.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:職業(yè)教育)(在校)

P3029.家庭戶戶數(shù)P3130.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下)(在家)

P3231.在線教育市場規(guī)模P3332.好未來在智慧教育領(lǐng)域投入

P3433.研究與試驗發(fā)展（R&D）企業(yè)資金經(jīng)費支出P3534.教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線上)

P3635.法律聲明P3736.頭豹研究院簡介P3837.頭豹詞條介紹P3938.頭豹詞條報告P40

教育大模型行業(yè)規(guī)模

1.

教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模

(結(jié)論圖)

P3SIZE總覽教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模

:（結(jié)論=W+X+Y+Z+AA+AB+AC+AD）年份2019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)0.140.220.220.210.270.40.641.041.312.09教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:幼兒園)：X年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)2.062.693.472.932.122.132.623.384.484.615.98教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:小學(xué))(在校)：Y年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)4.96.929.518.46.357.189.4312.9618.3720.228教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:早教)：W年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)3.13.874.43.322.081.992.292.863.733.794.87

2.

教育大模型行業(yè)市場規(guī)模P4SIZE總覽早教兒童數(shù)量(0-2歲)：R年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)5,0324,7114,1883,7273,2182,9202,7402,6552,6162,5872,562溯源信息國家統(tǒng)計局，國務(wù)院新聞辦公室，經(jīng)濟網(wǎng)，新華社，聯(lián)合國經(jīng)濟和社會事務(wù)部

3.

早教兒童數(shù)量(0-2歲)

P5SIZE總覽人工智能在教育行業(yè)滲透率：A年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)18%20%22%25%27%30%33.33%37.04%41.15%45.72%50.8%

4.

人工智能在教育行業(yè)滲透率

P6溯源信息信息通信研究院，新華三集團，浪潮信息大模型市場規(guī)模：AG年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/美元)1.693.25.96.37.9811.1715.6421.930.6542.9260.08AG1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-89.35%84.38%6.78%26.67%39.97%40.02%40%40.00%40%40%SIZE總覽

5.

大模型市場規(guī)模

P7溯源信息央廣網(wǎng)SIZE總覽A

I市場規(guī)模：AF年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/美元)14.7623.336.952.899.9147186.13225.27264.4400480

6.

A

I市場規(guī)模

P8溯源信息央廣網(wǎng)，經(jīng)濟網(wǎng)，光明網(wǎng)，日報網(wǎng)大模型市場規(guī)模：AG年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/美元)1.693.25.96.37.9811.1715.6421.930.6542.9260.08AG1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-89.35%84.38%6.78%26.67%39.97%40.02%40%40.00%40%40%SIZE總覽大模型在人工智能的滲透率

:（AE=(AG/AF)*100）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)11.45%13.73%15.99%11.93%7.99%7.6%8.4%9.72%11.59%10.73%12.52%A

I市場規(guī)模：AF年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/美元)14.7623.336.952.899.9147186.13225.27264.44004807.

大模型在人工智能的滲透率

P9SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:早教):（W=R*46%*A*0.065*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)3.13.874.43.322.081.992.292.863.733.794.87大模型在人工智能的滲透率：AE年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)11.45%13.73%15.99%11.93%7.99%7.6%8.4%9.72%11.59%10.73%12.52%早教兒童數(shù)量(0-2歲)：R年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)5,0324,7114,1883,7273,2182,9202,7402,6552,6162,5872,562人工智能在教育行業(yè)滲透率：A年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)18%20%22%25%27%30%33.33%37.04%41.15%45.72%50.8%溯源信息科學(xué)院大數(shù)據(jù)挖掘與知識管理重點實驗室

8.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:早教)P10在園幼兒數(shù)量：K年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)4,656.424,713.884,818.264,805.214,627.554,092.983,941.543,795.73,655.263,520.023,389.78K1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.23%2.21%-0.27%-3.70%-11.55%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%SIZE總覽溯源信息教育部9.

在園幼兒數(shù)量

P11幼兒園數(shù)量：J年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)26.6728.1229.1729.4828.9227.4426.9226.4125.9125.4124.93J1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-5.44%3.73%1.06%-1.90%-5.12%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%SIZE總覽

10.

幼兒園數(shù)量

P12溯源信息教育部SIZE總覽智慧教室建造單價：P年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)17.1517.517.9218.118.4618.8219.1919.5719.9620.3520.75

11.

智慧教室建造單價

P13溯源信息來同品牌官網(wǎng)在園幼兒數(shù)量：K年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)4,656.424,713.884,818.264,805.214,627.554,092.983,941.543,795.73,655.263,520.023,389.78K1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.23%2.21%-0.27%-3.70%-11.55%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%-3.70%幼兒園數(shù)量：J年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)26.6728.1229.1729.4828.9227.4426.9226.4125.9125.4124.93J1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-5.44%3.73%1.06%-1.90%-5.12%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:幼兒園):（X=(K/J/30)*A*P*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)2.062.693.472.932.122.132.623.384.484.615.98溯源信息教育部

12.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，學(xué)前階段:幼兒園)P14小學(xué)在校生數(shù)量：C年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人)1.031.061.071.081.071.081.091.11.111.121.13C1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-2.15%1.55%0.70%-0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%SIZE總覽

13.

小學(xué)在校生數(shù)量

P15溯源信息教育部小學(xué)學(xué)校數(shù)量：B年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)16.1816.0115.815.4314.9114.3513.8113.2912.7912.3111.85B1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--1.05%-1.31%-2.34%-3.37%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%SIZE總覽

14.

小學(xué)學(xué)校數(shù)量

P16溯源信息教育部SIZE總覽小學(xué)班額：L年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)46.0545.84454545454545454545

15.

小學(xué)班額

P17溯源信息教育部小學(xué)學(xué)校數(shù)量：B年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)16.1816.0115.815.4314.9114.3513.8113.2912.7912.3111.85B1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--1.05%-1.31%-2.34%-3.37%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%-3.76%小學(xué)在校生數(shù)量：C年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人)1.031.061.071.081.071.081.091.11.111.121.13C1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-2.15%1.55%0.70%-0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%0.93%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:小學(xué))(在校):（Y=(C/B/L)*P*A*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)4.96.929.518.46.357.189.4312.9618.3720.228小學(xué)班額：L年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)46.0545.84454545454545454545

16.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:小學(xué))(在校)

P18初中在校生數(shù)量：E年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)4,652.594,827.144,914.095,018.445,120.65,243.695,369.545,498.415,630.375,765.55,903.87E1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-3.75%1.80%2.12%2.04%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%SIZE總覽

17.

初中在校生數(shù)量

P19溯源信息教育部初中學(xué)校數(shù)量：D年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)5.25.245.285.295.255.235.215.195.175.155.13D1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-0.77%0.76%0.19%-0.76%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%SIZE總覽

18.

初中學(xué)校數(shù)量

P20溯源信息教育部SIZE總覽初中班額：M年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)50.850.64505050505050505050

19.

初中班額

P21溯源信息教育部初中學(xué)校數(shù)量：D年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)5.25.245.285.295.255.235.215.195.175.155.13D1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-0.77%0.76%0.19%-0.76%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%初中在校生數(shù)量：E年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)4,652.594,827.144,914.095,018.445,120.65,243.695,369.545,498.415,630.375,765.55,903.87E1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-3.75%1.80%2.12%2.04%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%2.40%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:初中)(在校):（Z=(E/D/M)*P*A*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)6.238.7411.7310.247.778.611.0814.9320.7422.3530.36初中班額：M年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)50.850.64505050505050505050

20.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:初中)(在校)

P22普通高中在校生數(shù)量：G年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)2,375.372,414.312,494.452,605.032,713.872,803.632,896.432,992.33,091.353,193.673,299.38G1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.64%3.32%4.43%4.18%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%SIZE總覽

21.

普通高中在校生數(shù)量

P23溯源信息教育部普通高中學(xué)校數(shù)量：F年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)1.371.41.421.461.51.541.581.621.671.711.76F1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-2.19%1.43%2.82%2.74%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%SIZE總覽

22.

普通高中學(xué)校數(shù)量

P24溯源信息教育部SIZE總覽高中班額：N年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)50.850.64505050505050505050

23.

高中班額

P25溯源信息教育部普通高中學(xué)校數(shù)量：F年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/家)1.371.41.421.461.51.541.581.621.671.711.76F1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-2.19%1.43%2.82%2.74%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%2.67%普通高中在校生數(shù)量：G年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)2,375.372,414.312,494.452,605.032,713.872,803.632,896.432,992.33,091.353,193.673,299.38G1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.64%3.32%4.43%4.18%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%3.31%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:高中)(在校):（AA=(G/F/N)*P*A*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)12.0616.3722.1519.2714.4115.6219.6925.9735.3337.2649.56高中班額：N年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)50.850.64505050505050505050

24.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:高中)(在校)

P26中等職業(yè)教育在校生數(shù)量：

I年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)1,555.261,576.471,663.371,311.811,339.291,298.461,258.861,220.461,183.241,147.151,112.16I1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.36%5.51%-21.14%2.09%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%SIZE總覽

25.

中等職業(yè)教育在校生數(shù)量

P27溯源信息教育部中等職業(yè)教育學(xué)校數(shù)量：H年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/家)10,20010,1009,8967,2947,2017,0856,970.936,858.76,748.276,639.636,532.73H1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--0.98%-2.02%-26.29%-1.28%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%SIZE總覽

26.

中等職業(yè)教育學(xué)校數(shù)量

P28溯源信息教育部人工智能在職業(yè)教育行業(yè)滲透率：O年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)4.34%4.34%4.34%4.34%4.34%4.34%4.38%4.43%4.47%4.52%4.56%O1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-0%0%0%0%0%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%SIZE總覽

27.

人工智能在職業(yè)教育行業(yè)滲透率

P29溯源信息清華大學(xué)教育研究院中等職業(yè)教育學(xué)校數(shù)量：H年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/家)10,20010,1009,8967,2947,2017,0856,970.936,858.76,748.276,639.636,532.73H1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--0.98%-2.02%-26.29%-1.28%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%中等職業(yè)教育在校生數(shù)量：

I年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人)1,555.261,576.471,663.371,311.811,339.291,298.461,258.861,220.461,183.241,147.151,112.16I1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-1.36%5.51%-21.14%2.09%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%-3.05%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:職業(yè)教育)(在校):（AB=(I/H/N)*P*O*AE）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)2.563.224.183.372.382.272.5533.633.414.03高中班額：N年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/人)50.850.64505050505050505050

28.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下，K12教育階段:職業(yè)教育)(在校)

P30家庭戶戶數(shù)：V年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/家)371,225363,974422,895510,132497,176484,548472,240460,245.1448,554.88437,161.58426,057.68V1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--1.95%16.19%20.63%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%SIZE總覽

29.

家庭戶戶數(shù)

P31溯源信息國家統(tǒng)計局家庭戶戶數(shù)：V年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(個/家)371,225363,974422,895510,132497,176484,548472,240460,245.1448,554.88437,161.58426,057.68V1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%--1.95%16.19%20.63%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%-2.54%SIZE總覽教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下)(在家):（AC=V*(2.62-2)*A*0.5*AE*(1-2.67%)）年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(萬/人民幣元)0.230.30.450.460.320.330.40.50.650.650.82人工智能在教育行業(yè)滲透率：A年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(百分比)18%20%22%25%27%30%33.33%37.04%41.15%45.72%50.8%

30.

教育大模型市場規(guī)模(線下)(在家)

P32溯源信息國家統(tǒng)計局，IT之家在線教育市場規(guī)模：S年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)2,517.63,133.63,807.44,573.95,433.56,454.457,667.259,107.9210,819.312,852.2515,267.18S1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-24.47%21.50%20.13%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%SIZE總覽

31.

在線教育市場規(guī)模

P33溯源信息科學(xué)院大數(shù)據(jù)挖掘與知識管理重點實驗室好未來在智慧教育領(lǐng)域投入：T年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)4.886.348.2410.7113.9318.1123.5430.6139.7951.7267.24T1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-29.92%29.97%29.98%30.07%30.01%30.00%30.00%30.00%30.00%30.00%SIZE總覽

32.

好未來在智慧教育領(lǐng)域投入

P34溯源信息雷鋒網(wǎng)研究與試驗發(fā)展（R&D）企業(yè)資金經(jīng)費支出：U年份2019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)16,887.1518,895.0321,808.824,323.927,459.2530,998.7534,994.4939,505.2844,597.5150,346.12U1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-11.89%15.42%11.53%12.89%12.89%12.89%12.89%12.89%12.89%SIZE總覽

33.

研究與試驗發(fā)展（R&D）企業(yè)資金經(jīng)費支出

P35溯源信息國家統(tǒng)計局在線教育市場規(guī)模：S年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)2,517.63,133.63,807.44,573.95,433.56,454.457,667.259,107.9210,819.312,852.2515,267.18S1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-24.47%21.50%20.13%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%18.79%好未來在智慧教育領(lǐng)域投入：T年份20182019202020212022202320242025E2026E2027E2028E數(shù)據(jù)(億/人民幣元)4.886.348.2410.7113.9318.1123.5430.6139.7951.7267.24T1:增長率(b-a)/a*100%-29.92