人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)及性別比表

65+負(fù)擔(dān)比0-14賀擔(dān)出獸45右0営獸-S器045営岳花040淳蘭赳0盂20蘭占0冊$1*20202==倉茁ZSTZOS280花005199CJl￡M}01900幫1電0一ggx985ssJlgg19SZ9751&65S9S一9§19益1952955圖4中國人【丨年齡負(fù)擔(dān)比變優(yōu)趨勢瓷料來源：UnilcclNationsSecretariat?DepartmentufEconomicaidSocialAikirs、PopulationDivision*WorldPoDulaiionProspects<2002Revision).UN2003綜上所述，中國面臨的老齡化挑戰(zhàn)最為嚴(yán)重的時期大約是在2025年以后，其理由有三:一是屆時老年人口將會在巨大規(guī)模的基礎(chǔ)上迅速增長;二是屆時老齡化發(fā)展的速度最為迅速;三是屆時人口年齡負(fù)擔(dān)比將進(jìn)入上升時期。但是，我們應(yīng)對老齡化挑戰(zhàn)的行動必須從現(xiàn)在開始。X口國未來勞動力資源的變豹瞇勢 萬A；%訃悄労動年齡人U15-64出15-5>歲男W-39歲龍tI&-5OAK比魚人霰tEJH人麺iBA退叫替代比2000B561B67.2481523&4.02772M20229232.19200591965餌陰8764566.1082488235?H653.OS20109744271.059I8K566.9985R732J5914571.48201$1006517]r27931406(5,93S7478197015911価202010109769.7793S0I872SW182118650.982025101339CSJ39223062J984776176821980.812030994)76?6.]S88885蹄”91816S7119(?21580.S320359679163398625456.498OT351829IK650.982M0945906L678602656.08IS9118241.042(M59J379^1.518559155.7378550187?2O4?0.9320509394261398363454.6776710187420760.90件r勞動力皆代比年進(jìn)人勞動年齡人II數(shù)/■年退陽勞動年齡人I】數(shù)査料來?。豪罱?原新，王金營.持鏤的挾戰(zhàn)：未來中國人口發(fā)展越剪、問題利對策.科孕山版社，珈町(3)勞動力規(guī)模及年齡結(jié)構(gòu)變化趨勢勞動力是社會和經(jīng)濟(jì)活動的主體人口，其規(guī)模和年齡結(jié)構(gòu)的變化也將會給中國社會和經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展帶來廣泛的影響。根據(jù)預(yù)測，中國未來勞動力規(guī)模變化的趨勢主要有以下特點:一是在本世紀(jì)上半葉，勞動年齡人口將一直保持著巨大的規(guī)模;二是在2025年之前，勞動年齡人口將繼續(xù)增長，但增長

速度將持續(xù)下降;三是2025年以后，勞動年齡人口進(jìn)入負(fù)增長時代;四是按照中國的勞動力年齡標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，勞動力年齡人口將在20巧年以后開始減少（見表5）0和也國人口性別tt&并正常玻訪范圉】峨卑 釦尬口： 帥珂牢年側(cè)山箱諛動范曲正常脫動減國預(yù)測期鬼iEWtt碗國下觀.1陽j.m下利上阻11!0.2^105.6710L66KT7.6Bin.?8104.89IOQ.B?1D6.B?105,751Q4.72]02,74106.733T10?,23105.7&10L6S107,71118^07104.79102.79106.78105.65104.631CKLC4IM.6310—14106.66T05.601口的LO7.61118.20]04.69a01-70]06.6?105.36104.57102.58106.36W—19106,5510￡.52103”,1107.33U7-14I3.M血門106.5?1M,J2104,51魄敦UM.502(F-24106-81103.43100.42107.43109.91IM.44102.47106.45]09-41104.40102.41MM.?25—29106-00105.32itn.ii107.33107.77t04.)110132106.29|14?27]04.29m,3o106.2710W109,21103.10血-L0137J0IM.n104.W103.11LOfi.tWH7.inIM-14102.151061?35—391?9]1(4.H102,92■06,3]105.82103-79UH.駐J05.T1|】?93103.941BL時105.924C—44lg飢ED4.371哄陽106.35LQ5.TJ103.38IQ】，41105.35116.701CU.66101.69Ld5.t4曲?L11.43109.M；U]l7110(5,47LiMLid103.SO1OLH410476]J6.JI103.24101.?LU5.2U5CT41IX26KQ.&5130.7^ID4⑹106.7710：.7499.SO103.L15.19102.57100.62104.52葛一59110.09IOO.W轉(zhuǎn)M[02.44103.:a]UO.：7嘛箔1(Q.<K113.^7:Dl.W.49佩3560—144L06.M77.9396x07W.BDim.51W.3695.5STO.iiLO4.4OW.4397.541DI.3365—6?細(xì)?2903.1141.?餉3LOO一4492_?l90.84W.3?98.72g札射g1】QTJ.1&70—7485,9786.00緘眇87.67的.8684.9983?37冊..&]90.7?眇6487-939L3575—7073.M76.327J.D777,9ftS2.M74.H7X907J7375.W7?.Lfi77.S3MJ.67範(fàn)一8&S9.37W.4S63-2565.71?,3660亠59J6?L4563,70?3.7?62,5364,?785=8?幅?5331583C.6052.5645.6645,4844J5I46.J443.4146.0243,134d.9O4X.21S7.33檢磋25.773L10詛.so31.CTSl.Ofi27?7137.192S.24總性寅止10fi.SK103.42101.45105.39301.|2務(wù)1*ira.M102.OJ9