債市啟明系列：如何看待三支箭的政策效果

證券研究報(bào)告請(qǐng)務(wù)必閱讀正文之后第證券研究報(bào)告請(qǐng)務(wù)必閱讀正文之后第33頁起的免責(zé)條款和聲明如何看待三支箭的政策效果？債市啟明系列｜2022.12.9中信證券研究部 核心觀點(diǎn)明明FICC首席分析師S1010517100001彭陽FICC分析師S1010521070001章立聰資管與利率債首席分析師S1010514110002周成華FICC分析師S1010519100001

2022▍第一支箭：信貸支持。今年以來信貸支持政策由局部到全局逐步加碼。上半年多數(shù)救市城市政策圍繞放松限購限貸、降低住房貸款利率、降低首付比例等，寬松政策由三四線等中低能級(jí)城市向二線等中高能級(jí)城市擴(kuò)散。年中開始出現(xiàn)自上而下的政策支持，下半年房貸利率水平降至歷史低位。隨著年底金融支持16步加碼。但是，在交付擔(dān)憂、疫情沖擊和提前還貸等因素的影響下，政策對(duì)于地產(chǎn)銷售的刺激效果尚未顯現(xiàn)。展望明年，上述因素都在發(fā)生積極的變化。如果這些因素在明年漸次緩和，那么與地產(chǎn)相關(guān)信貸融資的邊際改善也將出現(xiàn)。▍第二支箭：民企債券融資支持工具。民企債券融資支持工具可以追溯到2018年第二支箭主要應(yīng)對(duì)民營企業(yè)，特別是中小微企業(yè)融資難、融資貴問題。今年除擔(dān)保增信、創(chuàng)設(shè)信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)緩釋憑證等支持民營企業(yè)發(fā)債融資外，新增了“直接購買債券”。從增信發(fā)債融資主體來看，此次面向的主體更加開放，除此前優(yōu)質(zhì)房企外，一些其他穩(wěn)健經(jīng)營的民企和混合所有制房企也被納入融資“白名單”，已有八家房企完成儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行。（3）政策落地有望提振市場信心：2018年年底的民營企業(yè)座談會(huì)和民企債券融資支持工具推出后，企業(yè)融資在2019次推出“第二支箭”和金融穩(wěn)地產(chǎn)“十六條”等一系列政策一定程度上拓寬了融資主體，助力政策支持的穩(wěn)健運(yùn)營房企補(bǔ)充流動(dòng)性，對(duì)于扭轉(zhuǎn)了房地產(chǎn)市場預(yù)期，對(duì)房地產(chǎn)市場救助具有標(biāo)志性意義。▍第三支箭：民企股權(quán)融資支持工具。28日，證監(jiān)會(huì)宣布調(diào)整優(yōu)化五項(xiàng)措IPO的房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)并購重組并進(jìn)行配套融資，恢復(fù)了上市房企的再融資，體現(xiàn)出了國家穩(wěn)地產(chǎn)的決心。第三支箭與前兩支箭最大的不同在于前兩支是債券融資，可以補(bǔ)充企業(yè)的流動(dòng)性、緩解資金壓力，降低杠桿。權(quán)益類融資還可以引入戰(zhàn)▍結(jié)論：從2022年政策底到2023年市場底，信用環(huán)境也將逐步改善。2022年10年來政策在地產(chǎn)領(lǐng)域鮮有的放松和激勵(lì)。政策趨勢非常明確，房企融資和居民購房的監(jiān)管約束、市場化的土地價(jià)格和利率水平對(duì)于房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)而言均較為有利，房地產(chǎn)基本面已然具備復(fù)蘇的前置條件。顯然，這一輪房地產(chǎn)的復(fù)蘇比之前都要困難，從政策底到市場底的時(shí)滯也被拉長，市場底最為重要的觀察點(diǎn)將回到商品房銷售。在需求側(cè)和供給側(cè)政策的共同推動(dòng)下，我們認(rèn)為商品房銷售有望在明年二季度顯著復(fù)蘇，對(duì)應(yīng)居民信貸修復(fù)、社融回暖和寬信用落地。房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)也將逐步恢復(fù)拿地和開工的信心，地產(chǎn)投資的收縮幅度或較今年有所下降。對(duì)于債市而言，中期維度運(yùn)10是今年年底到明年一季度債券市場的方向。PAGE32請(qǐng)務(wù)必閱讀正文之后的免責(zé)條款和聲明PAGE32請(qǐng)務(wù)必閱讀正文之后的免責(zé)條款和聲明▍第一支箭：信貸支持信貸支持政策由局部到全局逐步加碼。今年以來，在因城施策的鼓勵(lì)和支持下，地方松綁政策不斷推進(jìn)。一方面，措施力度不斷加大，年初多數(shù)救市城市政策圍繞公積金、落戶展開，而后逐步轉(zhuǎn)向放松限購限貸、降低住房貸款利率、降低首付比例等；另一方面，315日央行下調(diào)首套個(gè)人按揭貸款利率下限為LR減s9月9年年底前階段性放寬首套個(gè)人按揭貸款利率下限。4360最新發(fā)布的房貸利率4.17%4.95%，2021140bps90bps4%5年來最高水平。供給端信貸政策從“保交樓”到“保交樓、保主體”逐步加碼。728日，中央首200023日，央行和銀保監(jiān)會(huì)正式發(fā)布《關(guān)于做好當(dāng)前金融支持房地產(chǎn)市場款集中度過渡期方面，表明了央行從“保交樓”到“保交樓、保主體”并驅(qū)的意愿轉(zhuǎn)變，126日，已有2070320182018定的民營企業(yè)和國央企，優(yōu)質(zhì)房企的信用修復(fù)將更加高效。圖1：住房貸利率經(jīng)降至歷低位（%） 首套平房貸率 全國二房貸均利率7.57.06.56.05.55.04.54.02014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部住房銷售面積呈現(xiàn)出高度負(fù)相關(guān)性，住房需求的利率彈性較高。在2011Q4-2012Q4和2014Q3-2016Q3140bps和增速始終在低位徘徊，市場修復(fù)緩慢，不及預(yù)期。圖2：個(gè)人住房貸款利率和商品房銷售的關(guān)系（%，%）個(gè)人住貸款權(quán)平利率 商品房銷額:季度同（右）88776655420092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

120100806040200-20-40資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部70，如果這些因素在明年漸次緩和，那么與地產(chǎn)相關(guān)的融資的邊際改善也將逐步出現(xiàn)。圖3：三季度人住貸款增為0（億元） 個(gè)人住房貸款季度凈增規(guī)模2014-032014-062014-032014-062014-092014-122015-032015-062015-092015-122016-032016-062016-092016-122017-032017-062017-092017-122018-032018-062018-092018-122019-032019-062019-092019-122020-032020-062020-092020-122021-032021-062021-092021-122022-032022-062022-09資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部▍第二支箭：民企債券融資支持工具8二支箭”延期并擴(kuò)容支持民營企業(yè)債券融資再加力》，其中提到：交易商協(xié)會(huì)繼續(xù)推進(jìn)并擴(kuò)大民營企業(yè)債券融資支持工具（“第二支箭”），由人民銀行再貸款提供資金支持，億元民營企業(yè)債券融資，后續(xù)可視情況進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)容”。民企債券融資支持工具可以追溯到2018年，與當(dāng)前有相似也有不同：經(jīng)濟(jì)下行期為民營企業(yè)拓寬融資渠道：2018內(nèi)源融資減少；民企地產(chǎn)違約頻發(fā)，行業(yè)信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)上升。支持方式和發(fā)債主體都有所拓展，但資質(zhì)要求并未明顯放松：有近百家房企提127121020億元、1512億元中債增進(jìn)2.99%4%動(dòng)性不足、優(yōu)質(zhì)資產(chǎn)已進(jìn)行過融資的情況下，滿足相應(yīng)抵押或反擔(dān)保要求的房企范圍較為有限。表1：已有八家房企完成儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行發(fā)債企業(yè)債券類型總規(guī)模（億元）企業(yè)性質(zhì)龍湖集團(tuán)儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行200民企美的置業(yè)儲(chǔ)架式中期票據(jù)注冊(cè)發(fā)行150民企發(fā)債企業(yè)債券類型總規(guī)模（億元）企業(yè)性質(zhì)新城控股儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行150民企萬科儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行280混合所有制金地集團(tuán)儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行150混合所有制旭輝控股儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行150民企綠城中國儲(chǔ)架式中期票據(jù)注冊(cè)發(fā)行110混合所有制金輝控股儲(chǔ)架式注冊(cè)發(fā)行20民企資料來源：銀行間交易商協(xié)會(huì)，中信證券研究部年年底的民營企業(yè)座談會(huì)和民企債券融資支20199日29%2105”、“21MTN003”、“21碧地02”和“2001”等房企債券均漲30%。14MLF。▍第三支箭：民企股權(quán)融資支持工具202228日，證監(jiān)會(huì)宣布調(diào)整優(yōu)化五項(xiàng)措施，房地產(chǎn)第三支箭正式射出，意資、以及私募股權(quán)基金的限制，幾乎為房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)打開了所有的股權(quán)融資通道。股權(quán)融資：被關(guān)閉的渠道房企股權(quán)融資的大門長期關(guān)閉。2010年，國務(wù)院為了遏制部分城市房價(jià)過快上漲，AIPOIPO趨于相同的監(jiān)管要求，導(dǎo)致房企通過重組上市進(jìn)行融資的通道也被關(guān)閉。2013年曾出現(xiàn)短暫的政（通過重組上市的方式進(jìn)行融資，20102022年的十二年間，AIPO上市、重組上市以及再融資均被暫停。2020年底，恒大借由深深房重組上市的計(jì)劃歷時(shí)四年，最終也未能實(shí)現(xiàn)。此次五項(xiàng)措施除了IPO暫未放開外，全面打開了股權(quán)融資的通道。新措施允許符合要求的房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)并購重組并進(jìn)行配套融資，恢復(fù)了上市房企的再融資，體現(xiàn)出了國家穩(wěn)地產(chǎn)的決心。同時(shí)也可以看到，政策中對(duì)于融資主體的提法為“涉房上市公司”，范圍相對(duì)較寬，對(duì)于整個(gè)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的資源整合具有重要意義。第三支箭助力房企信用修復(fù)，多板塊股債上漲并輔以配套資金的募集，可以補(bǔ)充企業(yè)的流動(dòng)性、緩解資金壓力，降低杠桿。不僅如此，、私募基金間接為行業(yè)注入活力。第三支箭發(fā)出后，房企積極行動(dòng)。第三支箭公布僅一周時(shí)間，已經(jīng)有多家上市房企發(fā)出公告，準(zhǔn)備進(jìn)行定增融資，包括北新路橋、福星股份、新湖中寶、世茂股份、萬科、華10權(quán)融資的開放對(duì)于各房企的重要性。股債市場均對(duì)第三支箭做出較強(qiáng)反應(yīng)。新政發(fā)布次日，A股房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)板塊漲幅達(dá)到7.07%403.04%1.84%。同時(shí)值29日，102.88%，10年期國債期貨主力合約30%左右或以上。圖4：權(quán)益市地產(chǎn)銀行塊所上行 圖5：10年期國收益（%） 65006000550050004500

中信行業(yè)指數(shù):房地產(chǎn)中信行業(yè)指數(shù):銀行（右軸）

900085008000750070002022-012022-022022-012022-022022-032022-042022-052022-062022-072022-082022-092022-102022-112022-12

2.952.902.852.802.752.702.652.602.552.50資料來：Wind，中信證研究部 資料來：Wind，中信證研究部▍結(jié)論從2022年政策底到2023年市場底，信用環(huán)境也將逐步改善。2022年確認(rèn)了地產(chǎn)的10103.0%是今年年底到明年一季度債券市場的方向。▍資金面市場回顧2022128日銀存間質(zhì)押式回購加權(quán)利率漲跌互現(xiàn)，隔夜、7天、14天、21天15.79bps、2.46bps、10.36bps、1.71bps和-2.24bps1.0712%、1.6609%1.646%1.5463%2.1817%35年、100.5bps1.26bps0.77bps1.03bps1.7706%2.2802%2.4918%2.7278%128日上證綜指下跌-0.4%3199.62,0.17%11418.76,0.87%2414.04。央行公告稱，為維護(hù)銀行體系流動(dòng)性合理充裕，20221208日人民銀行以利率20207時(shí)有100億元逆回購到期，實(shí)現(xiàn)流動(dòng)性凈回籠80億元。【流動(dòng)性動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測】我們對(duì)市場流動(dòng)性情況進(jìn)行跟蹤，觀測2017年開年來至今流動(dòng)SLFMLF202012201612M016010.669868.66情況，計(jì)算每日流動(dòng)性減少總量。同時(shí)，我們對(duì)公開市場操作到期情況進(jìn)行監(jiān)控。圖6：2020年12月8日至2022年12月8日公開市場操作和到期監(jiān)控（億元）資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部圖7：2017年1月1日至2022年12月8日流動(dòng)性投放和回籠統(tǒng)計(jì)（億元）資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部圖8：2022年12月8日人民幣對(duì)各幣種匯率當(dāng)前值相對(duì)于前一日值變化百分比2.50%2.00%1.50%1.00%0.50%0.00%-0.50% 資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部▍市場回顧及觀點(diǎn)可轉(zhuǎn)債市場回顧128404.620.33%，可轉(zhuǎn)債指數(shù)收于1733.351461.58135.8297.384613支上漲，2（3.52%）領(lǐng)漲，禾豐轉(zhuǎn)債（-4.68%）、華統(tǒng)轉(zhuǎn)債（-4.10%)和萬順轉(zhuǎn)債（-4.02%）領(lǐng)跌。454支可031（6%（%)（-5.21%）領(lǐng)跌。可轉(zhuǎn)債市場周觀點(diǎn)中證轉(zhuǎn)債指數(shù)上周持續(xù)放量反彈，交投熱度活躍無論是中小市值標(biāo)的亦或是大盤藍(lán)籌皆有所表現(xiàn)，市場呈現(xiàn)出較好的賺錢效應(yīng)。在這一階段，我們建議向持倉效率傾斜，重點(diǎn)從兩方面尋找機(jī)會(huì)：一是關(guān)注高彈性標(biāo)的，率稍高，但正股空間可以彌補(bǔ)這一缺憾，主要關(guān)注地產(chǎn)后周期、大消費(fèi)、金融幾大方向。我們?cè)俅螐?qiáng)調(diào)，轉(zhuǎn)債市場近一年來波動(dòng)持續(xù)放大，當(dāng)機(jī)會(huì)出現(xiàn)時(shí)，效率尤為重要，特別在當(dāng)前主題投資起勢的時(shí)候，轉(zhuǎn)債具有快速兌現(xiàn)效率的特征。高彈性組合建議重點(diǎn)關(guān)注斯萊轉(zhuǎn)債、再22轉(zhuǎn)債、法蘭轉(zhuǎn)債、博匯轉(zhuǎn)債、伯特轉(zhuǎn)債、朗新轉(zhuǎn)債、金誠轉(zhuǎn)債、豐山（元力）轉(zhuǎn)債、一品轉(zhuǎn)債、龍凈轉(zhuǎn)債。222222轉(zhuǎn)債、溫氏轉(zhuǎn)債、盛泰轉(zhuǎn)債。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素市場流動(dòng)性大幅波動(dòng)，宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增速不如預(yù)期，無風(fēng)險(xiǎn)利率大幅波動(dòng)，正股股價(jià)超預(yù)期波動(dòng)。▍股票市場表2：市場概況代碼簡稱收盤價(jià)日變化（%）成交額（億）000001.SH上證指數(shù)3,197.35-0.073,649.36399001.SZ深證成指11,389.79-0.255,049.32399300.SZ滬深3003,959.180.021,980.38399005.SZ中小板指7,610.60-0.41654.64399006.SZ創(chuàng)業(yè)板指2,411.81-0.091,627.39000016.SH上證502,672.900.08512.41資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部表3：行業(yè)漲跌幅榜每日漲幅前五板塊日漲跌幅（%）每日跌幅前五板塊日漲跌幅（%）房地產(chǎn)(中信)1.61農(nóng)林牧漁(中信)-2.59商貿(mào)零售(中信)0.96計(jì)算機(jī)(中信)-1.61銀行(中信)0.79綜合金融(中信)-1.44綜合(中信)0.59國防軍工(中信)-1.41消費(fèi)者服務(wù)(中信)0.47電子(中信)-1.20名稱日漲跌幅（%）名稱日漲跌幅（名稱日漲跌幅（%）名稱日漲跌幅（%）大盤價(jià)值0.42大盤成長0.10中盤價(jià)值0.09中盤成長-0.25小盤價(jià)值0.20小盤成長-0.71資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部▍轉(zhuǎn)債市場表5：可轉(zhuǎn)債市場名稱收盤價(jià)日變化（%）中證轉(zhuǎn)債指數(shù)404.62-0.33等權(quán)可轉(zhuǎn)債指數(shù)1,733.35-0.34可轉(zhuǎn)債預(yù)案指數(shù)1,461.58-0.30資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部表6：可轉(zhuǎn)債個(gè)券漲跌幅情況（百萬）128022.SZ眾信轉(zhuǎn)債171.227.23（百萬）128022.SZ眾信轉(zhuǎn)債171.227.235,665.83123148.SZ上能轉(zhuǎn)債198.004.822,471.83127043.SZ川恒轉(zhuǎn)債147.703.522,486.35113615.SH金誠轉(zhuǎn)債223.852.931,020.62123156.SZ博匯轉(zhuǎn)債148.372.68226.32128145.SZ日豐轉(zhuǎn)債139.892.52710.50113567.SH君禾轉(zhuǎn)債139.342.24198.54128053.SZ尚榮轉(zhuǎn)債177.962.232,995.32123072.SZ樂歌轉(zhuǎn)債129.502.03799.10123013.SZ橫河轉(zhuǎn)債510.501.751,887.91113582.SH火炬轉(zhuǎn)債192.251.45317.53123135.SZ泰林轉(zhuǎn)債196.001.292,865.91113626.SH伯特轉(zhuǎn)債239.611.18387.27128041.SZ盛路轉(zhuǎn)債286.501.16732.68127044.SZ蒙娜轉(zhuǎn)債116.501.0333.39127028.SZ英特轉(zhuǎn)債136.401.021,461.83123143.SZ勝藍(lán)轉(zhuǎn)債141.300.991,160.89113653.SH永22轉(zhuǎn)債125.080.9511.17127069.SZ小熊轉(zhuǎn)債140.400.90558.31110089.SH興發(fā)轉(zhuǎn)債118.770.82103.56127032.SZ蘇行轉(zhuǎn)債122.190.7488.96123096.SZ思創(chuàng)轉(zhuǎn)債104.730.6428.85110053.SH蘇銀轉(zhuǎn)債126.970.58247.72127040.SZN國泰轉(zhuǎn)120.370.5737.67113048.SH晶科轉(zhuǎn)債124.220.5758.97110084.SH貴燃轉(zhuǎn)債124.620.56185.18128127.SZ文科轉(zhuǎn)債112.500.55226.61127039.SZ北港轉(zhuǎn)債121.280.5190.19127064.SZ杭氧轉(zhuǎn)債170.270.51135.91123159.SZ崧盛轉(zhuǎn)債126.740.47143.91111004.SH明新轉(zhuǎn)債135.700.4688.63113585.SH壽仙轉(zhuǎn)債201.960.46382.62111000.SH起帆轉(zhuǎn)債144.460.4675.46

成交額成交額（百萬）漲跌幅（%）名稱簡稱成交額（百萬）漲跌幅（%）名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）128122.SZ興森轉(zhuǎn)債125.600.4613.51128074.SZ游族轉(zhuǎn)債111.510.4526.40113062.SH常銀轉(zhuǎn)債115.040.4581.92123154.SZ火星轉(zhuǎn)債121.540.458.69128117.SZ道恩轉(zhuǎn)債119.490.4135.93127062.SZ壘知轉(zhuǎn)債121.900.41840.86110052.SH貴廣轉(zhuǎn)債145.620.39361.68127059.SZ永東轉(zhuǎn)2131.500.389.63127055.SZ精裝轉(zhuǎn)債117.600.38875.47128070.SZ智能轉(zhuǎn)債124.450.3656.54128030.SZ天康轉(zhuǎn)債250.300.3326.77128021.SZ兄弟轉(zhuǎn)債127.440.3224.02113656.SH嘉誠轉(zhuǎn)債117.210.3281.72123158.SZ宙邦轉(zhuǎn)債127.500.3131.39113601.SH塞力轉(zhuǎn)債118.880.31290.52113627.SH太平轉(zhuǎn)債107.600.316.35118008.SH海優(yōu)轉(zhuǎn)債123.240.3058.79123166.SZ蒙泰轉(zhuǎn)債138.300.2958.55123098.SZ一品轉(zhuǎn)債147.500.27193.10118024.SH冠宇轉(zhuǎn)債124.640.2580.17113045.SH環(huán)旭轉(zhuǎn)債116.950.2520.60110085.SH通22轉(zhuǎn)債126.360.24165.92113597.SH佳力轉(zhuǎn)債119.280.2310.63128134.SZ鴻路轉(zhuǎn)債125.690.2314.86113643.SH風(fēng)語轉(zhuǎn)債120.600.228.43113011.SH光大轉(zhuǎn)債105.280.22205.40123065.SZ寶萊轉(zhuǎn)債118.050.2174.71113025.SH明泰轉(zhuǎn)債239.500.19220.55123119.SZ康泰轉(zhuǎn)2128.570.1630.37127075.SZ百川轉(zhuǎn)2123.800.1632.21113039.SH嘉澤轉(zhuǎn)債135.130.1617.73113625.SH江山轉(zhuǎn)債119.340.1628.71128133.SZ奇正轉(zhuǎn)債125.170.1343.56123122.SZ富瀚轉(zhuǎn)債115.770.113.93110075.SH南航轉(zhuǎn)債138.290.10277.79110059.SH浦發(fā)轉(zhuǎn)債104.930.10337.57128125.SZ華陽轉(zhuǎn)債108.050.094.17123064.SZ萬孚轉(zhuǎn)債129.000.09737.72118022.SH鋰科轉(zhuǎn)債125.130.0974.14113021.SH中信轉(zhuǎn)債110.630.0858.46123115.SZ捷捷轉(zhuǎn)債120.090.0827.20127027.SZ靖遠(yuǎn)轉(zhuǎn)債126.200.0820.89123127.SZ耐普轉(zhuǎn)債118.550.047.05113042.SH上銀轉(zhuǎn)債105.240.03282.03123093.SZ金陵轉(zhuǎn)債120.310.0322.36113575.SH東時(shí)轉(zhuǎn)債138.570.0327.14123075.SZ貝斯轉(zhuǎn)債119.500.033.44123128.SZ首華轉(zhuǎn)債104.130.0112.57128123.SZ國光轉(zhuǎn)債113.430.005.88128015.SZ久其轉(zhuǎn)債120.500.000.00123029.SZ英科轉(zhuǎn)債1,376.600.000.00123139.SZ鉑科轉(zhuǎn)債114.010.000.00123134.SZ卡倍轉(zhuǎn)債145.900.00141.55127030.SZ盛虹轉(zhuǎn)債135.300.0072.34113616.SH韋爾轉(zhuǎn)債113.500.0041.30113037.SH紫銀轉(zhuǎn)債102.44-0.0150.00113050.SH南銀轉(zhuǎn)債119.50-0.0189.55111007.SH永和轉(zhuǎn)債146.90-0.02123.39128142.SZ新乳轉(zhuǎn)債115.50-0.0325.65113057.SH中銀轉(zhuǎn)債121.57-0.0456.50123142.SZ申昊轉(zhuǎn)債113.95-0.042.85128129.SZ青農(nóng)轉(zhuǎn)債100.42-0.0634.55113654.SH永02轉(zhuǎn)債134.53-0.0716.67110063.SH鷹19轉(zhuǎn)債119.25-0.074.52113631.SH皖天轉(zhuǎn)債122.85-0.0866.45123054.SZ思特轉(zhuǎn)債125.30-0.086.12111003.SH聚合轉(zhuǎn)債126.70-0.0811.80113053.SH隆22轉(zhuǎn)122.25-0.0870.18128119.SZ龍大轉(zhuǎn)債120.50-0.0816.72123091.SZ長海轉(zhuǎn)債125.99-0.0910.83127047.SZ帝歐轉(zhuǎn)債99.50-0.109.61110070.SH凌鋼轉(zhuǎn)債116.93-0.1113.35123010.SZ博世轉(zhuǎn)債111.88-0.112.44113628.SHN晨豐轉(zhuǎn)110.95-0.125.62123004.SZ鐵漢轉(zhuǎn)債109.26-0.125.39113052.SH興業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)債104.72-0.12148.99128087.SZ孚日轉(zhuǎn)債130.84-0.13405.33128062.SZ亞藥轉(zhuǎn)債106.80-0.1320.39128014.SZ永東轉(zhuǎn)債119.99-0.135.20123014.SZ凱發(fā)轉(zhuǎn)債135.42-0.1310.35123113.SZN仙樂轉(zhuǎn)108.40-0.147.69127072.SZ博實(shí)轉(zhuǎn)債129.32-0.143.61113056.SH重銀轉(zhuǎn)債98.43-0.1496.98113524.SH奇精轉(zhuǎn)債120.63-0.142.41123101.SZ拓斯轉(zhuǎn)債114.40-0.153.96127053.SZ豪美轉(zhuǎn)債115.22-0.1515.14113600.SH新星轉(zhuǎn)債120.13-0.154.45127073.SZ天賜轉(zhuǎn)債128.80-0.1692.39110079.SH杭銀轉(zhuǎn)債119.81-0.16146.61113058.SH友發(fā)轉(zhuǎn)債111.85-0.1613.87128108.SZ藍(lán)帆轉(zhuǎn)債101.77-0.1724.49113526.SH聯(lián)泰轉(zhuǎn)債130.02-0.1717.13110081.SH聞泰轉(zhuǎn)債111.78-0.1741.35127018.SZ本鋼轉(zhuǎn)債113.00-0.1833.11127024.SZ盈峰轉(zhuǎn)債105.50-0.181.84111009.SH盛泰轉(zhuǎn)債130.85-0.1852.75113054.SH綠動(dòng)轉(zhuǎn)債105.71-0.1910.25110076.SH華海轉(zhuǎn)債114.80-0.195.91128121.SZ宏川轉(zhuǎn)債126.66-0.198.74128138.SZ僑銀轉(zhuǎn)債117.10-0.192.25123044.SZ紅相轉(zhuǎn)債123.16-0.1914.28128034.SZ江銀轉(zhuǎn)債115.52-0.1922.04118012.SH微芯轉(zhuǎn)債125.12-0.195.47127016.SZ魯泰轉(zhuǎn)債118.79-0.1936.94111001.SH山玻轉(zhuǎn)債117.12-0.202.06113606.SH榮泰轉(zhuǎn)債110.31-0.201.56113537.SH文燦轉(zhuǎn)債369.69-0.21236.36128071.SZ合興轉(zhuǎn)債113.64-0.225.71127041.SZN弘亞轉(zhuǎn)108.30-0.226.13118003.SH華興轉(zhuǎn)債126.50-0.2212.50113574.SH華體轉(zhuǎn)債114.57-0.221.70127046.SZN百潤轉(zhuǎn)123.11-0.2214.64123100.SZ朗科轉(zhuǎn)債115.56-0.221.37128037.SZ巖土轉(zhuǎn)債119.99-0.2225.55128063.SZ未來轉(zhuǎn)債118.58-0.221.77113060.SH浙22轉(zhuǎn)債126.24-0.2353.83110073.SH國投轉(zhuǎn)債105.70-0.2347.10113595.SH花王轉(zhuǎn)債116.30-0.2324.49113639.SH華正轉(zhuǎn)債108.41-0.234.17110061.SH川投轉(zhuǎn)債132.55-0.2354.96128135.SZ洽洽轉(zhuǎn)債122.54-0.2417.82127035.SZ濮耐轉(zhuǎn)債120.41-0.2417.70127034.SZ綠茵轉(zhuǎn)債105.39-0.2414.93127074.SZ麥米轉(zhuǎn)2121.80-0.2515.51123061.SZ航新轉(zhuǎn)債122.97-0.259.65128097.SZ奧佳轉(zhuǎn)債116.55-0.2512.06113542.SH好客轉(zhuǎn)債113.05-0.257.17113530.SH大豐轉(zhuǎn)債118.50-0.255.66127051.SZ博杰轉(zhuǎn)債110.12-0.252.14123039.SZ開潤轉(zhuǎn)債116.80-0.269.62123049.SZ維爾轉(zhuǎn)債107.23-0.264.20128039.SZ三力轉(zhuǎn)債118.20-0.264.23113577.SH春秋轉(zhuǎn)債129.60-0.265.43128085.SZ鴻達(dá)轉(zhuǎn)債114.01-0.2710.40113633.SH科沃轉(zhuǎn)債109.70-0.2715.56123152.SZ潤禾轉(zhuǎn)債127.46-0.2812.87123067.SZ斯萊轉(zhuǎn)債210.42-0.28234.26113619.SH世運(yùn)轉(zhuǎ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Z盤龍轉(zhuǎn)債192.50-2.783,165.77123114.SZ三角轉(zhuǎn)債148.90-2.8731.48128025.SZ特一轉(zhuǎn)債283.55-2.897,000.81128040.SZ華通轉(zhuǎn)債172.02-2.92402.17128082.SZ華鋒轉(zhuǎn)債142.44-3.10342.01111002.SH特紙轉(zhuǎn)債134.72-3.1431.72123085.SZ萬順轉(zhuǎn)2172.48-3.18154.14128078.SZ太極轉(zhuǎn)債144.86-3.30199.17123118.SZ惠城轉(zhuǎn)債187.00-3.46962.25128079.SZ英聯(lián)轉(zhuǎn)債162.00-3.62556.01127021.SZ特發(fā)轉(zhuǎn)2132.80-3.64537.67118006.SH阿拉轉(zhuǎn)債130.51-3.64658.25128091.SZ新天轉(zhuǎn)債231.41-3.751,916.16123018.SZ溢利轉(zhuǎn)債258.10-3.77301.04123012.SZ萬順轉(zhuǎn)債208.28-4.02260.29128106.SZ華統(tǒng)轉(zhuǎn)債199.00-4.10278.43113647.SH禾豐轉(zhuǎn)債131.81-4.68203.69資料來源：Wind，中信證券研究部表7：可轉(zhuǎn)債正股漲跌幅情況名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）002707.SZ眾信旅游10.279.9614.62300539.SZ橫河精密11.339.151.12300827.SZ上能電氣63.467.718.66603535.SH嘉誠國際20.026.211.23002895.SZ川恒股份28.206.028.27603617.SH君禾股份9.735.761.02002989.SZ中天精裝16.435.732.34300813.SZ泰林生物68.855.606.84002953.SZ日豐股份13.095.312.23002988.SZ豪美新材15.054.370.62600141.SH興發(fā)集團(tuán)33.364.1812.88300246.SZ寶萊特17.304.151.81300839.SZ博匯股份20.234.060.70002959.SZ小熊電器63.963.921.46603877.SH太平鳥19.723.680.86300078.SZ思創(chuàng)醫(yī)惠5.323.502.77605068.SH明新旭騰32.133.480.36002174.SZ游族網(wǎng)絡(luò)9.203.372.50002966.SZ蘇州銀行7.713.353.02300243.SZ瑞豐高材9.053.310.66000902.SZ新洋豐12.883.213.66688680.SH海優(yōu)新材163.023.174.05002918.SZ蒙娜麗莎19.703.141.31600903.SH貴州燃?xì)?.563.131.97002398.SZ壘知集團(tuán)6.473.032.90603708.SH家家悅12.482.971.84002551.SZ尚榮醫(yī)療5.582.956.05300876.SZ蒙泰高新31.472.840.62300729.SZ樂歌股份18.202.711.00603486.SH科沃斯81.202.683.52300863.SZ卡倍億88.602.631.06300406.SZ九強(qiáng)生物18.212.361.64000411.SZ英特集團(tuán)13.652.323.53603896.SH壽仙谷39.612.302.35002430.SZ杭氧股份40.502.202.90002370.SZ亞太藥業(yè)5.662.173.61300580.SZ貝斯特20.502.140.43605020.SH永和股份40.812.050.95600398.SH海瀾之家5.562.023.45300041.SZ回天新材17.691.961.50300651.SZ金陵體育23.461.960.45688059.SH華銳精密156.001.890.55605222.SH起帆電纜26.511.840.55名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）300482.SZ萬孚生物45.811.8219.63002864.SZ盤龍藥業(yè)41.481.795.45300601.SZ康泰生物35.331.734.88002838.SZ道恩股份20.741.622.15002775.SZ文科園林4.561.561.86603596.SH伯特利82.731.532.65002807.SZ江陰銀行4.091.491.04601689.SH拓普集團(tuán)64.801.476.08600996.SH貴廣網(wǎng)絡(luò)10.761.413.25603979.SH金誠信27.801.391.41002958.SZ青農(nóng)商行3.031.340.89601128.SH常熟銀行7.611.331.48688779.SH長遠(yuǎn)鋰科16.791.334.21300630.SZ普利制藥27.301.302.31300003.SZ樂普醫(yī)療22.811.297.99002822.SZ中裝建設(shè)4.741.281.02601012.SH隆基綠能46.501.2432.14688208.SH道通科技8603233.SH大參林43.911.222.98601998.SH中信銀行5.071.201.93002568.SZ百潤股份38.411.193.03002091.SZ江蘇國泰8.951.132.06603707.SH健友股份18.021.120.82300723.SZ一品紅0603608.SH天創(chuàng)時(shí)尚4.561.110.21300483.SZ首華燃?xì)?4.771.100.97600919.SH江蘇銀行7.501.084.98601009.SH南京銀行10.341.081.56603377.SH東方時(shí)尚6.801.040.45000582.SZ北部灣港7.851.031.70603030.SH全筑股份2.961.020.46601229.SH上海銀行6.100.992.01300427.SZ紅相股份18.330.990.35600197.SH伊力特24.800.982.01601818.SH光大銀行3.110.974.58002616.SZ長青集團(tuán)5.220.970.40300381.SZ溢多利8.570.940.75002225.SZ濮耐股份4.290.940.32002877.SZ智能自控7.510.940.74300253.SZ衛(wèi)寧健康10.850.937.62601166.SH興業(yè)銀行17.740.918.94300641.SZ正丹股份5.570.910.19000789.SZ萬年青9.010.900.40300727.SZ潤禾材料25.960.890.51名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）603007.SHST花王4.580.880.15600231.SH凌鋼股份2.290.880.16002455.SZ百川股份10.470.871.26603716.SH塞力醫(yī)療14.110.863.35002851.SZ麥格米特26.160.850.56002541.SZ鴻路鋼構(gòu)31.960.821.17300743.SZ天地?cái)?shù)碼12.730.790.26600939.SH重慶建工3.840.790.34603569.SH長久物流10.400.780.87300677.SZ英科醫(yī)療23.480.772.64600908.SH無錫銀行5.340.751.04603499.SH翔港科技8.060.750.19002083.SZ孚日股份5.380.752.80601860.SH紫金銀行2.750.731.47002287.SZ奇正藏藥24.870.730.69300871.SZ回盛生物22.170.730.36603601.SH再升科技5.550.730.52600926.SH杭州銀行13.290.681.61601366.SH利群股份6.120.660.20002839.SZ張家港行4.740.640.89300894.SZ火星人26.960.630.55603323.SH蘇農(nóng)銀行4.860.620.79300037.SZ新宙邦43.390.603.62002002.SZ鴻達(dá)興業(yè)3.440.581.70603689.SH皖天然氣8.830.571.28002562.SZ兄弟科技5.470.551.40600000.SH浦發(fā)銀行7.380.541.88601231.SH環(huán)旭電子16.810.541.27300818.SZ耐普礦機(jī)32.030.530.16000301.SZ東方盛虹13.890.515.01603797.SH聯(lián)泰環(huán)保5.980.500.25601881.SH中國銀河10.020.501.85603833.SH歐派家居115.030.472.53000401.SZ冀東水泥8.680.460.56002709.SZ天賜材料51.550.4517.71603799.SH華友鈷業(yè)65.220.4314.39300767.SZ震安科技50.500.400.47001203.SZ大中礦業(yè)15.590.393.19603901.SH永創(chuàng)智能16.130.370.27603108.SH潤達(dá)醫(yī)療11.250.360.95688026.SH潔特生物28.760.350.41603677.SH奇精機(jī)械11.870.340.09601838.SH成都銀行15.040.332.95600061.SH國投資本6.830.292.35名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）000703.SZ恒逸石化7.360.272.22002408.SZ齊翔騰達(dá)7.370.271.16603713.SH密爾克衛(wèi)122.710.251.13002812.SZ恩捷股份139.300.2210.64002224.SZ三力士4.760.210.17688556.SH高測股份2600901.SH江蘇租賃5.770.171.11300382.SZ斯萊克19.690.151.44002787.SZ華源控股6.630.150.16601963.SH重慶銀行7.060.140.30601609.SH金田股份9603681.SH永冠新材23.280.130.29002887.SZ綠茵生態(tài)9.300.110.24002749.SZ國光股份9.530.110.20002850.SZ科達(dá)利119.170.087.06688186.SH廣大特材28.120.070.43002949.SZ華陽國際14.420.070.18300196.SZ長海股份15.230.070.46300779.SZ惠城環(huán)保30.310.031.37300016.SZ北陸藥業(yè)7.370.000.44603669.SH靈康藥業(yè)6.270.000.46688772.SH珠海冠宇23.240.002.69603685.SH晨豐科技10.320.000.07002753.SZ永東股份9.050.000.24000823.SZ超聲電子10.070.000.44601619.SH嘉澤新能4.050.000.26600567.SH山鷹國際2.520.000.43601611.SH中國核建8.270.001.20300422.SZ博世科6.020.000.15300305.SZ裕興股份12.900.000.55601778.SH晶科科技5.290.001.81000928.SZ中鋼國際6.350.000.97300776.SZ帝爾激光129.05-0.023.83601211.SH國泰君安14.21-0.073.81601058.SH賽輪輪胎9.48-0.111.73000708.SZ中信特鋼18.14-0.110.71601677.SH明泰鋁業(yè)16.08-0.121.77300956.SZ英力股份15.07-0.130.09002930.SZ宏川智慧21.03-0.140.40300798.SZ錦雞股份6.50-0.150.06603585.SH蘇利股份19.46-0.150.17300587.SZ天鐵股份12.28-0.161.40600438.SH通威股份42.28-0.1720.60603618.SH杭電股份5.82-0.170.27名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）300984.SZ金沃股份23.06-0.170.12603916.SH蘇博特17.25-0.170.38600075.SH新疆天業(yè)5.73-0.170.48000589.SZ貴州輪胎5.06-0.200.51300607.SZ拓斯達(dá)15.16-0.200.72600326.SH西藏天路4.88-0.200.21000688.SZ國城礦業(yè)18.68-0.210.59300486.SZ東杰智能8.75-0.230.13603876.SH鼎勝新材47.51-0.232.38000060.SZ中金嶺南4.28-0.230.75600496.SH精工鋼構(gòu)4.12-0.240.96601127.SH賽力斯47.86-0.257.81002798.SZ帝歐家居7.91-0.250.13002034.SZ旺能環(huán)境18.91-0.260.27603976.SH正川股份22.47-0.270.22002067.SZ景興紙業(yè)3.55-0.280.21000552.SZ靖遠(yuǎn)煤電3.43-0.290.77601006.SH大秦鐵路6.85-0.291.85002941.SZ新疆交建13.70-0.290.97002228.SZ合興包裝3.32-0.300.10300925.SZ法本信息13.24-0.301.98000723.SZ美錦能源9.73-0.313.01300732.SZ設(shè)研院9.61-0.310.21000761.SZ本鋼板材3.16-0.320.20603228.SH景旺電子21.30-0.330.55300569.SZ天能重工9.03-0.330.88002631.SZ德爾未來5.97-0.330.17600674.SH川投能源11.66-0.341.70000783.SZ長江證券5.59-0.360.84002863.SZ今飛凱達(dá)5.38-0.370.33601878.SH浙商證券10.64-0.372.15002036.SZ聯(lián)創(chuàng)電子13.19-0.381.85300185.SZ通裕重工2.60-0.380.52601636.SH旗濱集團(tuán)10.30-0.391.94601108.SH財(cái)通證券7.56-0.401.39603966.SH法蘭泰克12.55-0.400.60300174.SZ元力股份24.10-0.412.13300197.SZ節(jié)能鐵漢2.36-0.420.37600577.SH精達(dá)股份4.61-0.430.72600985.SH淮北礦業(yè)13.73-0.441.29605006.SH山東玻纖9.04-0.440.21600297.SH廣匯汽車2.25-0.441.68002722.SZ物產(chǎn)金輪13.41-0.450.23002078.SZ太陽紙業(yè)11.03-0.451.17名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）300473.SZ德爾股份16.69-0.480.29002381.SZ雙箭股份6.24-0.480.11002842.SZ翔鷺鎢業(yè)8.32-0.480.20605138.SH盛泰集團(tuán)12.40-0.480.55000623.SZ吉林敖東16.29-0.491.08601016.SH節(jié)能風(fēng)電4.05-0.491.13601929.SH吉視傳媒2.02-0.490.72300933.SZ中辰股份8.07-0.490.17603898.SH好萊客12.06-0.500.15603568.SH偉明環(huán)保19.78-0.501.06601865.SH福萊特35.15-0.512.14600133.SH東湖高新5.77-0.520.44603278.SH大業(yè)股份7.60-0.520.10603538.SH美諾華27.23-0.552.67002597.SZ金禾實(shí)業(yè)36.21-0.551.17300692.SZ中環(huán)環(huán)保6.96-0.570.23002406.SZ遠(yuǎn)東傳動(dòng)5.05-0.590.15603602.SH縱橫通信11.64-0.600.81002973.SZ僑銀股份11.56-0.600.21001965.SZ招商公路8.22-0.601.18600420.SH國藥現(xiàn)代9.80-0.611.46300407.SZ凱發(fā)電氣8.00-0.620.14002861.SZ瀛通通訊10.86-0.640.19300682.SZ朗新科技26.28-0.641.36603225.SH新鳳鳴10.63-0.650.57601686.SH友發(fā)集團(tuán)6.00-0.660.21603089.SH正裕工業(yè)8.95-0.670.15603208.SH江山歐派62.12-0.670.82600461.SH洪城環(huán)境7.25-0.680.34600521.SH華海藥業(yè)19.91-0.702.26600388.SHST龍凈14.12-0.701.52601330.SH綠色動(dòng)力7.05-0.700.25300529.SZ健帆生物32.29-0.711.77603579.SH榮泰健康21.05-0.710.24300778.SZ新城市14.00-0.710.21688148.SH芳源股份16.75-0.710.54603320.SH迪貝電氣12.56-0.710.10600483.SH福能股份10.90-0.731.03002050.SZ三花智控22.82-0.745.13300283.SZ溫州宏豐5.32-0.750.20688096.SH京源環(huán)保13.11-0.760.05603679.SH華體科技12.84-0.770.10300791.SZ仙樂健康35.47-0.781.04603081.SH大豐實(shí)業(yè)12.65-0.780.27名稱簡稱收盤價(jià)（元）漲跌幅（%）成交額（億）002734.SZ利民股份10.05-0.790.16300424.SZ航新科技12.38-0.800.35002446.SZ盛路通信9.90-0.802.15002961.SZ瑞達(dá)期貨14.62-0.810.22000967.SZ盈峰環(huán)境4.84-0.820.31002738.SZ中礦資源77.35-0.825.85300850.SZ新強(qiáng)聯(lián)60.09-0.834.35300429.SZ強(qiáng)力新材8.37-0.830.22603989.SH艾華集團(tuán)27.37-0.830.24603638.SH艾迪精密15.29-0.840.37002008.SZ大族激光27.05-0.842.59300992.SZ泰福泵業(yè)19.78-0.850.16300517.SZ海波重科15.08-0.850.32603355.SH萊克電氣30.04-0.860.53605189.SH富春染織19.45-0.870.23688676.SH金盤科技37.84-0.891.26002203.SZ海亮股份12.12-0.900.98601633.SH長城汽車31.55-0.915.04603817.SH海峽環(huán)保6.48-0.920.15002996.SZ順博合金13.93-0.920.42600029.SH南方航空7.50-0.929.42300707.SZ威唐工業(yè)16.02-0.930.55002557.SZ洽洽食品52.31-0.931.32000065.SZ北方國際9.37-0.951.27300665.SZ飛鹿股份8.19-0.970.09002969.SZ嘉美包裝4.05-0.980.23300853.SZ申昊科技24.03-0.990.18603920.SH世運(yùn)電路15.00-0.990.64603368.SH柳藥集團(tuán)21.77-1.001.39600909.SH華安證券4.93-1.0