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ISSNCONTENTS 2 3 ISSNCONTENTS 2 3 BBULLETIN#812October2022MONTHLYREPORTONFOODPRICETRENDSKEYKEYMESSAGES↗InternationalcerealpricesincreasedinSeptember.Themonth-on-monthincreaseininternationalwheatpricesourableweatherconditionsintheUnitedStatesofAmericaandhigherpressureonsuppliesintheEuropeanUnion.Worldmaizepricesincreasedmarginallyricepricesincreased,mostlyinresponsetoexportpolicychangesinIndiaandconcernsabouttheimpactsoftheodinginPakistantoshowwidespreadextremelyhighlevelsoffoodpriceinflationinSeptember,particularlyamonglow-incomefood-deficitcountries.ThepersistentupwardpressureonlyforimportedfooditemsDomesticpricewarningshsInternationalpricesofwheat,maizeandriceroseinSeptemberinernosebypercentlargelyduetoafurtherreductiontotheeatCWRSce419.14337.91382.321M9.41M9.41Y24.4-8.8-0.9-17.312.41.6-16.64.0180SepDec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22ice312.58.32290.731M6.411M6.41Y33.2-6.94.9-1.722.4-0.4-9.511.1190140Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22ice453.80376.00363.80675.801M1.7-3.51Y10.51.8-3.2-2.3.51.819.5Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22nsdBangladesh|WheatflourGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-0.2-0.4BurkinaFaso|CoarsegrainsGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverageChile|WheatGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverageWholesalepricesofwheatdeclinedinSeptemberforthefirsttimesinceetennondDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dColombia|WheatflourGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverageElSalvador|MaizeGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverageEthiopia|CerealsGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-0.8endtDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dGhana|CoarsegrainsGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-7.5-2.3--0.3zeHonduras|MaizeGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-3.0-0.1Malawi|MaizeGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-0.4eDOMESTICDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dMali|CoarsegrainsGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage9Mexico|MaizeGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage7Myanmar|RiceGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverage-0.7-0.1eeproductionincludingtheforthcomingeDOMESTICDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dPakistan|WheatflourGrowthRate(%)to/22eriodaverageurSomalia|CoarsegrainsGrowthRate(%)average.5gSouthSudan|StaplefoodsGrowthRate(%)average.3GrowthRate(%)average.3plesrDOMESTICDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dSriLanka|RiceandwheatflourGrowthRate(%)average.2Sudan|StaplefoodsGrowthRate(%)average.6tsnrgheeAlthoughthemonthlyofficialfoodinflationrateslowedto2percentinnnualratewasestimatedat340percent.TheexceptionallyhighrateiscausedtiesDOMESTICPRICEWARNINGScont’dZimbabwe|FooditemsGrowthRate(%)to/22averageePricesofcoarsegrainsfollowedmixedtrendsinSeptemberandremainedwellabovetheiryear-earlierlevelsinmostcountriesefBamako,Millet(local)makoSorghumlocalSgouMillet(local)ghumlocalice41000310001M3M1Y00000000000015000100007.9-2.813.97.720.0121.694.489.5-16.2-11.455.0SepDecMarJunSepDecMarJunSep-22ceAfriqueverteool00000000000015000etlocalice1M2.60.00.01Y83.768.457.910000 DecMarJunSepDec-21Mar-2220.010.578.7telnice1M3M1Y-12.1-3.37.4-5.5-6.90.0-6.90.0-8.5-6.3-6.3-6.3DecMarJunSep21Dec-21Mar-22:ine1M3M1Y378.70198.000026.20.520.2-9.21.026.2-5.73.8100321.3028.526.060.70Nov-20Feb-21May-21Aug-21Nov-21Feb-22Thliperkgice1M3M1YraMaizeMaizem413.89206.75558.97470.88-2.0-15.330.9-32.8-35.1-31.131.16.766.79.18.171.9 Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22:cont’d1800018000000160001400012000100kgricePercentChangeAug-221M3M1YKanoMaiduguriKauraNamoda2100018764-4.5-3.4-8.5-11.74.7-16.4-17.0-23.0gNovFebMayAugGiwa17200-7.7-3.1-24.4Source:FCerealpricescontinuedtotrendupwardsrRandfontein,Maize(white)Randfontein,Maize(yellow)ice4721.004673.001M9.69.06.84.51Y52.343.2Sep20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-229.509.008.508.007.507.00AugNovFebMayAugNov-21Feb-22May-22Aug-22rageice9.221M2.17.51Y17.2SOUTHERNAFRICAcont’d5011.4411.92801M.87.21Y014.213.75011.505011.20-5.11615141312111025361M1.4.81Y-1.011.400.00.0NovFebMayAugNovFebMayAug10010071.98161M-1.21.01Y18.2-0.6-0.815.6134.21-0.7-0.925.3Dec20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-1M3M1Y3.957.8127.6NovFebMayAug-21Nov-21Feb-22May-22AugPricesofcoarsegrainsremainatexceptionallyhighlevelsinSouthSudan,theSudanandSomaliaElGedarifSorghum(Feterita)ElObeid,MilletElGedarif,MilletrghumFeteritaice1M-1.2-2.7-4.2-0.943.439.237.434.71Y218.9284.6212.20000000000000000000001000000SepDecMar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22500SepDec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-221M3M1Y7.031.7122.3110001M3M1Y0.013.966.7106.6NovFebMayAugNov-21Feb-22May-22Au-4.2-0.675.21500ice28181M--10.217.41Y22.714.40Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22SepDomesticpricesofriceshowedmixedtrendsinSeptember,whilethoseofwheatgrainandwheatflourincreasedandreachedrecordlevelsinsomecountriesssed16ice14.7013.951M1.61Y25.331.2151413121110SepDecMar1Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22ntofInternalTradeMinistryofCommerceaColombo,Rice(white)Colombo,Wheat(?our)ice220.28430.571M3M1Y150100-3.840.3-3.251.4114.9336.7Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22scscontcont’d50 gDhaka,Rice(coarse-BR-8/11/Gu/Sharna)Dhaka,Rice(Medium)Dhaka,Wheat(?our)ice47.5754.571M-1Y25Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22110110120upeeperkgLatestPricePercentChange Sep-221M3M1Y 140Dec20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22106.7656.8856.88116.5010.86.16.128.421.66.16.138.356.7-2.0-0.880.9ceP00310000000LatestPricePercentChangeSep-221M3M1Y9.50066.706.7-1.06.02.7-7.812.30210001900017000DecMarJunSepDecMarJun-22Sep-22urceMinistryofConsumerAfairs.3100Linyiice090.670.008.001M3M1Y-0.3-1.818.0-0.6-3.218.80.7-0.717.3230020Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22Sijiazhuang3118.000.3-1.920.1CISCIS-ASIAANDEUROPEWheatexportpricescontinuedtodeclineinSeptemberintheRussianFederation,amidfavourableproductionprospects,whiledomesticwheatpricesshowedmixedtrendsandremainedhigheryear-on-yearinimportingcountrieserice320.001M3M1Y-3.9-23.44.7190Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22NaonalAverage,Wheat(lour,irstgrade)Batken,Wheat(lour,irstgrade)Bishkek,Wheat(lour,irstgrade)Osh,Wheat(lour,irstgrade)ice51.6851.9652.3353.021M-0.05.716.56.00.71Y31.138.432.743.635SepDecMar1Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22....CIS-ASIAANDEUROPEcont’d3200kgkageice52.621M7.81Y00NovFebMayAugNovFebMay-22Augources1.601.551.501.451.401.351.30125ice1.551M2.04.01Y24.01.2020Nov-20Feb-21May-21Aug-21Nov-21Feb-22May-22AuourcericePercentChangeSep-221M3M1Y30.05-22.7-54.0-20.90Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Seource2.202.001.801.601.401.20100kgkice1.251M3M1Y5.0-37.5-8.8Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22SeourcePricesofwhitemaizemostlydeclinedwellabovethoseayearearlierseasonallyinSeptemberandremainednGuatemala,GuatemalaCityElSalvadorSanSalvadorice.46661.321M3M1Y-2.1-3.139.80.47.263.1Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22aMAGGuatemala,GuatemalaCity,Beans(black)lvadorSanSalvadorBeansredguaManaguaorientalBeansredice1231.561601.381782.001276.441M3M1Y-5.6-14.019.8180016001400120010000.21.5-8.63.1-9.878.836.5600SepDec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22Pricesofwheatandmaizeremainedwellabovetheiryear-earliervaluesinSeptemberre00Rosario,Maize(yellow)BuenosAires,Wheatice35190.5846103.701M3M1Y000000000000150001000013.89.3102.7SepDecMarJunSepDecMarJunSep-22Source:BolsadeCereales.peoMaizeyellowatice121.340.49103.151M1.611M1.61Y--4.5-6.1-7.6-17.315.6160140120100Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22entoConabcont’d00000NaonalAverage,Wheatice4150001M-3.50.21Y71.2000NaonalAverage,Maize(yellow)32000014.312.136.5190000140000-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Septrisa.e16000atice10464.0012210.4312271.771M1.511M1.51Y-1.511.7-18.2-17.28.3150001400013000120001100010000SepDecMarJunSepDecMarJunSep-22Bogotá,Maize(yellow)Bogotá,Rice(irstquality)Bogotá,Whea
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