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WORLDENERGY
ISSUESMONITOR2024
REDESIGNINGENERGYIN5D
ImagefromtheWorldEnergyCouncil’sHumanisingEnergySeriesfeaturingInvenergy(ElSalvador)producedbyBBCStoryWorks.
ABOUT
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
WORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR2024
TheWorldEnergyCouncilistheworld’soldestindependentandimpartialcommunityofenergyleadersandpractitioners.ThroughourHumanisingEnergyvision,weinvolvemorepeopleandcommunitiesinaccelerating
cleanandjustenergytransitionsinallworldregions.Formedin1923,
theCouncilhasconveneddiverseinterestsfromacrossthefullenergy
ecosystemforacentury,andtodayhasover3,000memberorganisationsandapresenceinnearly100countries.Ourglobalnetworkdrawsfrom
governments,privateandstatecorporations,academiaandcivilsociety,aswellascurrentandfutureenergyleaders.Weeffectivelycollaborateonimpactprogrammesandinformlocal,regionalandglobalenergyagendasinsupportofourenduringmission:topromotethesustainableuseand
supplyofenergyforthebenefitofallpeople.
Furtherdetailsat
andon
and
Twitter.
PublishedbytheWorldEnergyCouncil2024
Copyright?2024WorldEnergyCouncil.Allrightsreserved.Allorpartofthispublicationmaybeusedorreproducedaslongasthefollowingcitationisincludedoneachcopyortransmission:‘UsedbypermissionoftheWorldEnergyCouncil.’
WorldEnergyCouncil
RegisteredinEnglandandWalesNo.4184478VATReg.No.GB123380248
RegisteredOffice
TempleChambers3-7TempleAvenue,London,
EC4Y0DA
TheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorprovidesasnapshotofwhatkeepsCEOs,Ministersandexpertsawakeatnightinover100countries.
TheMonitorhelpstodefinetheworldenergyagendaanditsevolutionovertime.Itprovidesahigh-levelperceptionofwhatconstituteissuesofcriticaluncertainty,incontrasttothosethatrequireimmediateactionoractas
developingsignalsforthefuture.Itisanessentialtoolforunderstandingthecomplexanduncertainenvironmentinwhichenergyleadersmustoperate,andatoolthroughwhichonecanchallengeone’sownassumptionsonthekeydriverswithintheenergylandscape.
This14thiterationoftheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorisbasedoninsightsofnearly1,800energyleadersinover100countriestoprovide40nationalassessmentsacrosssixworldregions.
WorldEnergyIssuesMonitor2024,publishedbytheWorldEnergyCouncil.
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3
PAGES
TABLEOFCONTENTS
FOREWORD
04
ABOUTTHEWORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR
08
GLOBALPERSPECTIVES
11
REGIONALHIGHLIGHTS
Africa
Asia
Europe
LatinAmericaandtheCaribbean
MiddleEast&GulfStates
NorthAmerica
19
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
33
4
FOREWORD
NETZEROANDBEYOND
InthewordsofAlfredNorthWhitehead,“Wethinkingeneralities,butweliveindetail.”
Thisyear’sWorldEnergyIssueMonitorrevealsafragmentedenergyleadershiplandscape,markedbyincreasinguncertaintyandextremepolarization.Theresultingconfusionandanxietyfuelssocialoutrageandapathyandimpedeseffectivecollaborationandbottom-upengagement.
Theoutlookforhumanityistumultuous,withenergytransitionsfacingtheriskofU-turnsanddetoursinallregions.It’swidelyacknowledgedthatourcurrentenergysystemsarenolongerfitforpurpose,demandingurgentredesignforthebettermentofbillionsoflivesandtheplanet’shealth.
Whilethedirectiontowardszeroemissionsenergysystemsbymid-centuryisclear,thejourneytoasustainablefutureisfraughtwithchallenges.Nosingleentity-beitacountry,company,orcommunity-canmanage
energytransitionsalonenorbyfocusingonasingle-issueagenda,andthereisnosilverorgreentechnologybullet.
Theriskofdisorderlyenergytransitionsloomslargeasvariousvisionsanddivergingtechnologypathways
emergeglobally.Fivekeyglobaldriversofchange-Decarbonisation,Digitalisation,Decentralisation,Disruption,andDiversification-areshapingenergytransitionsworldwide.
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
Collaborationemergesasacrucialdesignchoiceamidstthesecomplexities.Theinterconnectednessofthe
“5Ds”underscorestheimportanceofengagingmorepeopleanddiversecommunitiesandaddressingregionaldemographictrendsandglobaldemandsforenergyequityandclimatejustice.
WhilewemayunderstandthetechnicalaspectsofachievingNetZeroandbeyond,thepoliticalandsocial
hurdlesremainformidable.Manyandnewwaysofaligningdiverseneedsandinterestsandsustainingeffectivecooperationareessentialandemerging.
Redesigningenergyforpeopleandplanetraisesa‘mother-of-all’,complexcoordinationopportunityanda‘fatherofall’strategicknowledgesharingchallenge.
Thebestwayforwardinvolveshundredsandthousandsofsmallersteps,formingnewenergyecosystemsandpathfindingguidedbytheevolvingtrilemmaofsecurity,sustainabilityandsocialequity.Acceleratingthepaceofdecarbonisationwithjusticeandbuildingdynamicresiliencetopolycrisisisachievableif,andonlyif,morepeopleanddiversecommunitiesunderstandtheirrolesandchoices.
TheWorldEnergyCouncilhasplayedapivotalroleinconveningpowerforthecommongood,connectingthedotsandchangemakingforacentury.TheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorisoneofthetoolsourmembersandwiderstakeholdersuseforredesigningenergysystemstomeetcurrentneedsandfuturedemands.
Astheworld’sforemostenergycommunity,wearecommittedtofosteringfaster,fairer,andmorefar-reachingenergytransitions.Aflexibleandsharedsenseofthefragmenting,fastandfundamentallyshiftingworldenergyleadershiplandscapeisnoteasytodevelopandwethankourremarkablecommunityofenergyleadersforthisremarkablesetofglobal,regionalandsegmentedmaps.
JoinusattheRotterdamWorldEnergyCongresstocontinuethishumanisingenergydialogueandlearnwithustoconnectthedotsanddrivemeaningfulchangeforthewell-beingof10billionlivesandasustainableplanet.
AngelaWilkinson
SecretaryGeneral&CEOWorldEnergyCouncil
5
Digitalisation
Digitaltechnologiesimpacting
acrosstheentireenergyvalue
chain,modifyingindustrialand
domesticpractises,behaviours
andprocesses
Decentralisation
Theshiftawayfromcentrally
controlledenergysystemsto
moredecentralisedsystems
thatareoftenlocatedcloserto
customersandusers
EXECUTIVESUMMARY
Inaworldwherethedemandsforsecure,affordableandsustainableenergyareever-increasing,globaland
nationalenergysystemsareshowingsignsofdeficienciesandstrainseverywhere.Thereisanurgentneedforcollaborationacrosstheentireenergyecosystemtoredesignenergysystemsthatenabletheimprovementofbillionsoflivesonahealthyplanet.
Inthiscomplexlandscape,characterisedbytheinterplayofvariousenergytransitionpathways,thereisno
one-size-fits-allsolution.Theimperativeforenergytransitionsnecessitatesprofoundsystem-levelchangesthattranscendtraditionalpolicyframeworks.Energytransitionsgobeyondtechnologicaladvancements,fuelsubstitution,electrification,ordecarbonisation;theyencompassaholisticapproachthataddresseswiderandwiserusesofenergy.
Energytransitions’transformativeimpactsextendfarbeyondtheenergysectoralone.Theyintersectwithothervitalsystemssuchasindustry,agricultureandurbaninfrastructure,reshapingthefabricofsociety.Tocatalysefaster,fairerandmorefar-reachingenergytransitions,diversitymustbeactivated,andpeopleempowered,
includingwomen,workersandthenextgeneration.
Asenergytransitionsunfoldwithinthebroadercontextofsystemicshifts,theysignifyafundamental
reorientationofourrelationshipwithenergy.Energytransitionsunderscoretheimportanceofequippingdiversecommunitieswiththeknowledgeandagencytoshapethefutureofenergy,reflectingadeeperunderstandingofourinterconnectednesswiththeplanetandeachother.
FollowingtheconclusionofCOP28intheUnitedArabEmirates,thiseditionoftheWorldEnergyIssues
Surveycapturestheperspectivesofnearly1,800energyleadersacrossmorethan100countries,providingatimelyandinsightfulsnapshotofthedynamicglobalenergylandscape.Asanessentialtoolfornavigatingthecomplexitiesanduncertaintiesfacedbyenergyleaders,theWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorpromptsa
reconsiderationofassumptionsregardingthekeydriversshapingenergytransitions.
Moreover,whenconsideredinconjunctionwiththeCouncil’s
WorldEnergyTrilemmaFramework
andthe
WorldEnergyScenarios
,theseresourcescollectivelyprovideacomprehensiveunderstandingofcurrent
advancements,futurechallengesandemergingopportunitiesintheglobalenergysector.Together,theyoffervaluableinsightsthatcanguidestrategicdecision-makingandpolicyformulationintheenergydomain.
The2024WorldEnergyIssuesMonitorreaffirmstheWorldEnergyCouncil’s“5Ds”thataredrivingchangeinenergysystemsacrosstheworld.
Decarbonisation
Theactofdecarbonisingenergy
supplies,servicesanduseswiththose
offeringalowercarbonintensity
Diversification
Thedesiretosecureenergyfrom
morethanone(ormore)sourcesin
pursuitofenergysecurity
Humanisingenergy
Theimperativetoengagepeople
andcommunities,consideringtheir
diverseneeds,perspectives,and
globalimpacts.
Disruption
Massivedemand-sidechangesinenergyuse
WORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR2024
6
These“5Ds”areconnectedandshapedbyregionaldiversityanddifferencesindemographicpatters,energyneedsandwants.Thesurveyresultsofferarichanddiversesetofviewsonglobalenergyissues,sheddinglightonkeytrendsandpriorities,andtheirimplicationsforthefiveglobaldriversofchangeshapingenergytransitionsinallregions.Keyinsightsinclude:
.Oldandnewgeopoliticalagendasarevyingforpoleposition.TheongoingwarinUkraineandinstabilityintheMiddleEastescalateuncertainty,affectingenergytradeandsecurity.TheexpansionofBRICSwith6newmembersillustrateschangingglobalpoliticalaffiliationsandpartnerships,impactingenergydynamicsandcollaboration.Thegeopoliticsofenergyareextendingbeyondoilandgasresourcestosupplychainsanddata.
.Energysecurityconcernshaveevolvedbeyondconventionalsupplysidesecuritytodemanddriven
shocksanddisruptionsandtheimpactsofclimatechange.Theseincluderesilience,diversityofsupplies,climatechange,theenergy-water-foodnexus,shiftsinsupplychainsandaccessibilityofcriticalmineralsandmetals.Theshifttowardsresilienceisobservedinboththisreportandthe2024WorldEnergy
TrilemmaReport.Demandmanagementpoliciesandatransitionofcontroltowardsendusers.
.Investorconfidenceinde-riskingcleanenergyinvestmenthasgrownsignificantly–exceptinAfrica
andLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean.Whilede-riskinginvestmentinenergyhasexhibitedoneofthe
lowestlevelsofuncertaintyintheglobalaverage,thestart-upsandinnovatorsgroupindicateahigherlevelofuncertainty,necessitatingleadershipattention.Thereisanurgentneedforagreaterflowoffinance
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
andinvestmentintoinfrastructureandthescalingupofnewtechnologiestofacilitateenergytransitionstowardsamoresustainable,lowcarbonfuture.
.Keytechnologiesareemergingaspivotsinenergytransitions,disruptingtheenergylandscapeandreshapingthesectorastheygaintraction.Whileincreasingthesupplyofrenewableelectrificationintheenergymixiscommontoall,thereissignificantdifferenceinhowkeytechnologiespivot.HydrogenandP2Xtechnologiesareincreasinglybecomingpivotalinachievingnetzeroemissions.Uncertaintiesstill
existinsomeregions,notablytheMiddleEastandGulfStates.Scalingupthesekeytechnologiesrequiresessentialenablerssuchasappropriateandtimelyregulation,aswellasfinancialinnovation.Carbon
Capture,UtilisationandStorage(CCUS)hardlyfeatures,withMiddleEastandGulfStatesbeinganotableexceptionwhereitisconsideredanactionpriority.
.Transmissiongridstrengtheningandexpansion,aswellasmoreflexibleenergystoragesolutions,
includingdemandmanagement,aregloballyrecognisedareasoffocusandaction.Anexceptionis
observedinLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean.Urgentactionandinvestmentareneededtoupgradeand
integrateelectricitytransmissiongridsglobally,particularlytoaccommodatetheincreasingdemandforenergy,expandandintegraterenewableenergysources,andenhanceclimateresilience.Whilstmuchofthedebatearoundenergytransitionscentresaroundenergysources,astronginfrastructureisrequiredtodeliverenergytohungrymarkets.Thereisnotransitionwithouttransmission.
.Climateactionpriorities,encompassingmitigation,adaptation,andcompensation,varyacross
regionsandextendtobroaderconcernsaboutenergyforsustainabledevelopmentincludingwaterstressandfoodsecurity.Mixedviewsonclimateadaptationexist,withhighuncertaintyamongrespondentsfromAsiaandLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean.Theinterdependenceofwater,energyandfoodsystemsisa
toppriorityforAfricanrespondentsbutremainsuncertainforthoseinLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean.
.Newmixesofpolicyandregulationsareneededtomanagethemultipleobjectivesinredesigning
energyforpeopleandplanet.Uncertaintyincreasedregardingpolicyenvironmentsnecessaryto
transformenergydemandacrosssectors,includingenergyefficiency,requiringarevaluationofpoliciesandstakeholdercollaboration.Demandmanagementisanewpolicyimperativeforastableelectricity
system.Thisissuewasfirmlyintheuncertaintydomainforallregionsandgroups,exceptforstart-upsand
Innovatorswhereitwasanaction.Therearemarkedregionaldifferencesinprogressingpeer-to-peerandpeer-to-markettradingsolutions.
.Socialtransformationgainsmomentum:demandsforsharedbenefits,socialinclusivityandjustice
increasinglyinfluenceenergystrategies.Bottom-upengagementisweakerthanneededandbetter-
qualityleadershipdialogueandenhancedstakeholdercoordinationareessentialtoaddressinterconnectedissuessuchasdemandmanagement,qualityenergyaccess,andwiderandwiserusesofenergy.Changesinmindsetsarerequiredtogeneratenewformsofcollaboration.Thepolarisationofviewsaboutenergy,notablythe“good”vs“bad”energy,isunhelpfulandcanhindertangibleprogress.Thecomplexityof
engagingdiversestakeholdersandfindingnewwaysofcollaborationcannotbeunderestimated.While
manylocallyappropriatenovelapproachesareemerging,thenextchallengeliesinscalingandconnectingtheseinitiatives.
The2024WorldEnergyIssuesMonitorunderlinesthecomplexnatureofenergytransitions,emphasizingtheirmultifacetedcharacterwhereaone-size-fits-allstrategyprovesinadequate.Signalsofdeficiency,stressandstrainareeverywhereemphasisingthatredesigningenergyforpeopleinplanetisimperative,makingfasterfairerandmorefar-reachingenergytransitionshappenisnoteasy.RegionalprioritiesanduncertaintiesvariedsignificantlyasdidresponsesfromkeystakeholdergroupssuchasFutureEnergy
WORLLDENERRYGISSUESMONITOR2022
LeadersandStart-upsandInnovator.Multipleenergytransitionpathwaysareemerginginallregionsandincreasingthesupplyofrenewableelectrificationinthemixiscommontoall,butsignificantdifferenceinbasketsoftechnologypivots(H2,CCS,storageandgrids)exist.Thisdivergencehintsatvaryingriskappetitesorawareness,differencesinculture,resourceendowment,economicandintergenerational
distinctionsaswellasdifferencesbetweenestablishedorganisationandburgeoningstart-ups.
Centraltothesuccessofenergysystemtransformationsistheimperativetoleadwithdiversity,leveragingandlearningfromdifferences,andfosteringqualitydialoguestoreconciledivergentperspectivesand
enablecollaborationtailoredtoeachdistinctcontext.
The2024WorldEnergyIssuesMonitorisakintoanenergyRubik’sCube,offeringamultifacetedviewoftheenergylandscapewhereeachissuerepresentsacolourfulfacet,yetonlyaportionofthewholecanbeexaminedatatime,providingasnapshotofemergingtrendsandtransformations.
Beyondwhereyouaredirectingyourfocusin2024,howdoyouinterprettheconceptofdiversityinorchestratingorderlytransitionsandhowcanweeffectivelyleveragethesedifferencestodrivemeaningfulactionandcollaboration?
Ourcommitmentliesinredesigningenergyforpeopleandplanet,aswestrivetoconnectthedotsin
afaster-paced,fundamentallyshiftingandincreasinglyfragmentedleadershiplandscape.Throughour
conveningpowerforcommongood,weendeavourtoengageabroaderspectrumofpeopleanddiversecommunities,ensuringthatnewvoicesareincludedinbetterqualitydialogues.Weareacommunityof
changemakers,seekingtomakeenergytransitionshappenthatarefaster,fairerandmorefar-reaching.Thisinvolvesscalingamultitudeofsmallerstepsanddesigninginnovativepolicymixestoachievemultipleobjectives,includingsecurity,affordability,andsustainability,whileemphasisingdynamicresilienceand
broaderjustice.
Weinviteyoutoharnessthepowerofthistoolnotjustforreadingandreflecting,butalsoasacatalystforactionandcollaborationinourpursuitofmakingfaster,fairerandmorefar-reachingenergy
transitionshappen.
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8
ABOUTTHEWORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR
Forthepast15years,theWorldEnergyCouncilhasdiligentlymonitoredenergyleaders’
perspectivesonissuesimpactingenergytransitionsthroughtheannualWorldEnergyIssuesMonitor,servingasavitalglobalsourceofcriticalinformationguidingactionprioritiesforfaster,fairerand
morefar-reachingenergytransitions.TheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorassessestheimpactand
uncertaintyofpre-identifiedenergytransitionissuesbysolicitingfeedbackfrompolicymakers,
CEOsandleadingindustryexperts.Itoffersinsightsintoa)ActionPriorities,representingareas
wherecountriesareactivelyadvancingtheirenergytransitionefforts;andb)CriticalUncertainties,highlightingissuesthatareofconcerntoenergyleadersandrequireleadershipattention.
ForthiseditionoftheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitor,theCouncilsurveyednearly1,800energy
leadersandglobalexpertsdrawnfromitsglobalnetworkspanningover100countries.Thesurvey
alsoincludedtwodistinctgroups:theWorldEnergyCouncilFutureEnergyLeaders,comprising
energyprofessionalsunder35yearsofage,andStart-upsandInnovators,consistingofcompaniesfoundedlessthan10yearsagothatcanpresentafunctioningprototypewithaprovedscaledmodel.Thesurveywasconductedinearly2024,followingtheconclusionofthe28thConferenceofthe
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
Parties(COP28),whichwasheldinDubaiintheUnitedArabEmiratesinNovember2023.The2024WorldEnergyIssuesMonitorshouldbeconsideredwithinthiscontext.
TheWorldEnergyIssuesMonitorsurveyquestionnaireunderwentathoroughreviewandupdate
toensureitsalignmentwiththeevolvingcontextandtheimperativetoredesignenergysystems
toimprovebillionsoflivesonahealthyplanet.The2024surveyincluded33coreenergytransitionissues,organisedintosixcategories.Thefulldescriptionsoftheissuesgivemorecontextandwillhelpguidethereaderinreachingnewinsightsandconnections.
9
Table1:Issues’CategoriesandDefinitions
ShortnameFulldescription
Geopoliticalissues
RisktoPeace*War/extendedconflicts/risktopeace
SupplyChains
Supplychaindisruptions(solar,wind,etc)
CriticalMinerals
Criticalmineralsandmetalsbottlenecks
Investment
De-riskinginvestment
CommodityPrices*
Commoditypricevolatility
InternationalCollaboration*EffectiveInternationalcollaboration
CapitalCost*Costof/accesstocapital
GlobalGrowth
Globaleconomicgrowth
DomesticGrowth*
Domesticgrowthoutlook
Workforce*Workforcetransitions
SocietalIssues
Accessibility*Accessibility–accesstoreliableandcleanenergyservices
Affordability*
Affordability–costofenergyservices
Acceptability
Acceptability–permit/licencedelays
SocietalNeeds
Activeengagementfromacriticalmassrepresentingbroadersocietalneeds
StakeholderCoordination
Complexcoordinationandcollaborationofmultiplestakeholders
PopulismRiseofpopulism
Regulatoryregimes
FossilSubsidies*Removal/reductionoffossilsubsidies/taxbreaks
Infrastructure
Infrastructureactionplanning-strategicallybuildingandupgradingphysicalsystems
Demandmanagement
Policyenvironmenttotransformenergydemandacrosssectors
TrilemmaManagementEnergytransitionstrilemmamanagement-workingacrosspolicysilos
Technologygamechangers
ArtificialIntelligence*ArtificialIntelligence(AI)
EnergyStorage*
Energystorage
Circularity
Circularity-Closedloopsystemsthatreduce,reuse,recycle,restore
TransmissionGrids
Transmissiongrids
CCUS
CarbonCapture,UtilisationandStorage(CCUS)
DAC
Directaircapture(DAC)
H2andP2X*HydrogenandPower-to-X
Economicissues
Food-Energy-Water*Food-energy-waternexus
Environmentand
climatechange
ClimateAdaptation*
Adaptationtotheimpactsandrisksofclimatechange
EcosystemsReparation*
Carbonremovalsandrepair/restorationofecosystems
ClimateMitigation*
Mitigation/netzeroimplementationtopreventandoffsetemissions
Compensation
Compensationtooffsetslosses/damagesduetoclimateimpacts
LifeCycleImpactFulllifecycleimpactofrenewableenergysolutions
Issueswithan(*)canbetrackedfromprevioussurveyssince2009,toshowtrendsoveralongerperiod.
WORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR2024
10
Figure1:HowtoReadanIssuesMap
WORLDENERGYCOUNCIL
WORLDENERGYISSUESMONITOR|2024
HowtoReadanIssuesMap
CriticalUncertainties:
Whatkeepsenergy
leadersawakeat
night
WeakSignals
ActionPriorities:
Whatkeepsenergy
leadersbusyatwork
Impact一
Centre-pointline
CriⅥcalUncertainⅥes:whatkeepsenergyleadersawakeatnightAcⅥonPrioriⅥes:whatkeepsenergyleadersbusyatwork
EachIssuesMapprovidesavisualsnapshotoftheCriticalUncertaintiesandActionPrioritiesthatpolicymakers,CEOsandleadingexpertsstrivetoaddress,shapeandmanage.Thebubblesinthe
IssuesMaprepresenttheaveragedlevelofa)uncertainty;andb)impactthatrespondentsattributetoeachenergytransitionissue.Thoseissuesinthetopright-handcornerofthemaphighlightedinorangehavethehighestlevelsofimpactanduncertaintyandaredefinedasCriticalUncertainties.Thebottomright-handcornerofthemaphighlightsissuesinbluethathavehighimpact,butlow
uncertaintyandaredefinedasActionPriorities.Thecentre-pointoftheissuesmaprepresents
themediumlevelforimpactanduncertaintytohelpcomparisonbetweendifferentissuesmaps.
Colourshades,gradedaccordingtoproximitytotheright-handcornersofthemaps,allowthe
readertodifferentiatebetweenthevaryingdegreesofuncertaintyandimpactattributedtoissuesandtohighlight(lightershades)issuesthatareclosetobecomingCriticalUncertaintiesandActionPriorities.
TheIssuesMonitorservesasavaluablerealitychecktoolutilisedbytheWorldEnergyCouncil’sMemberCommitteesandtheglobalenergycommunity,offeringasnapshotofperspectives
onenergytransitionsfromvariousstakeholderswithineachcountry.ThroughtheIssuesMaps
andaccompanyingcommentaries,thereportpresentsaninsider’sviewoftheevolvingenergy
landscape,reflectingdiverseglobal,regionalandnationalviewpoints.Theseinsightshighlightthearrayofuniqueneedsandapproachesshapingthemultifacetedjourneyofenergytransitions.
11
GLOBALPERSPECTIVES
Sincethe2022IssuesMonitor,therehavebeenaplethoraofchangesintheenergysector,fundamentally
alteringuncertaintyandoutlook.TheimpactoftheCOVID-19pandemichasfaded,andenergydemandhasreboundedduetoeconomicstimuluspackagesandadeclineintheimpactofthevirusonkey
economicsectors.
TheimpactofthewarinUkraineontheenergysectorhasbeensignificantandsustained.Itledto
volatilityinenergypricesandshortagesofsomeenergycommodities.Thishasresultedinenergysecurityconcernsandeconomicimpactsduetohigherpricesanduncertainty.Giventheimportanceofenergy
inunderpinningeconomicgrowth,manycountrieshaveincreasedenergyresiliencemeasuressuchasdiversificationandneworincreasedenergytradeflows.Theeffectsofthewarhaveadisproportionateimpactonpoorcountriesduetoinflationarypressuresglobally.
COP28inlate2023wasaimedatshiftingtheconversationto“deliveronoldpromisesandraisenew
ambitionsonadaptation,mitigationandmeansofimplementation”.TheagendasetbytheUAEPresidencycentredonfast-trackingajustandorderlyenergytransition,fixingclimatefinance,focusingonpeople,
nature,lives,andlivelihoods,andfosteringinclusivity.Theconferencestoodoutinitsapproachbyembracingdiversityandrecognizingtheimportanceofhearingdifferentvoicestomaintainglobaltemperaturesbelow1.5degreesCelsiusand,importantly,to“l(fā)eavenoonebehind.”
Nearly200countriesreachedconsensusontheirresponsetothefirstGlobalStocktakeundertheParis
Agreement,knownastheUAEConsensus.Aplanwasputforwardtocloseimplementationgapsto2030,“ratchetupclimateactionbeforetheendofthedecade”anddefinearoadmaptonetzerowhichincludes:
·Recognitionoftheneedto“transitionawayfromfossilfuelsinenergysystems,inajust,orderlyandequitablemanner”
·Atargettotriplerenewablesanddoubleenergyefficiencyby2030·Phasingoutfossilfuelsubsidies
Afocusontheglobalfinancialarchitecture,anewlossanddamagemechanismtoassistvulnerable
developingcountriesdealwithclimatechangeimpactsandafocusontradeforthefirsttime
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