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波段聚合思路選取2015秋冬VMI區(qū)域完整季周銷售數(shù)據(jù)剔除C類款(過濾掉全年銷量小于500的款式)歸一化,周銷量轉(zhuǎn)換為周指數(shù)剔除導(dǎo)入期數(shù)據(jù)(周指數(shù)小于5%)修正春節(jié)銷售異常(春節(jié)期間周指數(shù)下調(diào)30%)剔除季末長(zhǎng)尾數(shù)據(jù),得到正常生命周期(進(jìn)入下降區(qū)連續(xù)三周周指數(shù)低于20%)多項(xiàng)式擬合(四次多項(xiàng)式)取擬合后函數(shù)生命周期內(nèi)最高點(diǎn)為峰值,該周為峰值周數(shù)統(tǒng)計(jì)每個(gè)波段的峰值周數(shù),其中出現(xiàn)款色數(shù)最多的周為該波段理論峰值周數(shù)調(diào)整波段,根據(jù)每個(gè)款色峰值周數(shù)以及各個(gè)波段的理論峰值周數(shù)的絕對(duì)值大小重新分配波段3002~3004、4004~4007波段趨勢(shì)清晰、集中,4001~4003款比較散結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3002原3002(藍(lán)色為被換出產(chǎn)品)小類行波段修正波段上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC套頭素寫畫300230022015272015452015332047S連衣裙紙上彩虹300230022015272015462015331712S褲子檐下風(fēng)鈴300230022015272015452015342250S褲子一路奔放300230022015272015452015341822S套頭花手帕300230022015272015492015341373A連衣裙冰上芭蕾30023002201527201546201532771B連衣裙夕陽(yáng)之舞30023002201527201542201532668B連衣裙煙火兔子300230022015292015472015341376A褲子飛奔300230022015282015442015351076A吊帶/背心寂寞不見了300230032015282015452015361041A外套樸素300230032015282015442015361122A連衣裙情書不包郵300230032015272015492015362194S褲子的光年3002 3003

201528

201547

201536965

A3002 3003

201528

201548

201537

1263

A純味冰糖大衣/風(fēng)衣

糕半裙

仙女傘3002 3003

201530

201545

201537890

A套頭西洋果子3002 3004

201528

201553

201539

2976

S結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3002新3002(紅色為換入產(chǎn)品)修正波波段

段上市周下架周峰值周

銷售數(shù)數(shù)

量SABC小類套頭行素寫畫3002 3002

201527

201545

201533

2047

S3002 3002

201527

201546

201533

1712

S連衣裙褲子紙上彩虹檐下風(fēng)鈴3002 3002

201527

201545

201534

2250

S30023002

201527

201545

201534

1822

S褲子套頭一路奔放花手帕3002 3002

201527

201549

201534

1373

A3002 3002

201527

201546

201532771

B連衣裙連衣裙冰上芭蕾夕陽(yáng)之舞3002 3002

201527

201542

201532668

B連衣裙褲子煙火兔子

3002 3002

201529

201547

201534

1376

A飛奔3002 3002

201528

201544

201535

1076

A3003 3002

201530

201546

201535

1960

S連衣裙套頭你好陌生人思念公式

3003 3002

201529

201543

201535

1494

S褲子變成淡藍(lán)色3003 3002

201529

201544

201534

1132

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3003原3003小類波段行你好陌生連衣裙套頭人思念公式201543褲子201544變成淡藍(lán)色一首歌的201606半裙 心情大衣/風(fēng)衣 等杯茶201601201548半裙

連衣裙靜夜的單簧管北201546套頭微語時(shí)光201546201546大衣/風(fēng)衣套頭耀眼的夏娜臨摹時(shí)光201602201550站在大衣/風(fēng)衣 旁邊大衣/風(fēng)衣 之下201548修正波段上市周 下架周 峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量

SABC3003 3002

201530

201546

201535

1960

S3003 3002

201529

201535

1494

S3003 3002

201529

201534

1132

A3003 3003

201530

201536 780

B3003 3003

201530

201537

1054

A3003 3003

201530

201537 519

B3003 3003

201530

201538 664

B3003 3003

201530

201538 716

B3003 3003

201530

201538

1210

A3003 3004

201530

201539

3727

S3003 3004

201531

201540 948

A3003 3004

201530

201539 590

B結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3003新3003小類修正波波段

段上市周下架周峰值周

銷售數(shù)數(shù)

量SABC行寂寞不見30023003

201528

201545

201536

1041

A吊帶/背心

了外套

樸素3002 3003

201528

201544

201536

1122

A連衣裙3002 3003

201527

201549

201536

2194

S褲子情書不包郵的光年3002 3003

201528

201547

201536965

A3002 3003

201528

201548

201537

1263

A純味冰糖大衣/風(fēng)衣

糕半裙

仙女傘3002 3003

201530

201545

201537890

A3003 3003

201530

201606

201536780

B一首歌的半裙

心情大衣/風(fēng)衣

等杯茶3003 3003

201530

201601

201537

1054

A3003 3003

201530

201548

201537519

B半裙

連衣裙靜夜的單簧管北3003 3003

201530

201546

201538664

B套頭3003 3003

201530

201546

201538716

B微語時(shí)光耀眼的夏3003 3003

201530

201546

201538

1210

A大衣/風(fēng)衣

娜套頭

幸運(yùn)符號(hào)3004 3003

201533

201548

201537

2081

S3004 3003

201533

201601

201538

2416

S連衣裙半裙時(shí)間煮雨溫婉的云3004 3003

201533

201546

201538

1078

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3004原3004修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類套頭行幸運(yùn)符號(hào)3004 3003

201533

201548

201537

2081

S3004 3003

201533

201601

201538

2416

S連衣裙半裙時(shí)間煮雨溫婉的云3004 3003

201533

201546

201538

1078

A3004 3004

201533

201604

201539

1723

S連衣裙

大衣/風(fēng)衣美美的粉葉子靜靜頓河3004 3004

201533

201603

201540510

B連衣裙3004 3004

201533

201601

201542

3083

S魔法城堡蒲公英的3004 3004

201534

201601

201540985

A連衣裙套頭約定

玻璃墻3004 3004

201534

201553

201542584

B褲子3004 3004

201533

201552

201542

1177

A風(fēng)起來的時(shí)光菠蘿的微3004 3004

201533

201551

201540

1114

A套頭外套笑

時(shí)光3004 3004

201533

201551

201540763

B襯衫3004 3004

201533

201550

201540867

B海綿盒子清晨的芬3004 3004

201533

201550

201540659

B套頭套頭芳左手右手3004 3004

201534

201551

201542688

B大衣/風(fēng)衣3004 3004

201533

201548

201542540

B如你一般摩洛哥的3004 3004

201534

201548

201540537

B大衣/風(fēng)衣褲子眼反光鏡3004 3004

201533

201546

201539

1359

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合3004新3004,以201540周為基準(zhǔn)。其中4001幾款比較特殊,有兩個(gè)銷售波段小類套頭行西洋果子套頭201602臨摹時(shí)光站在201550大衣/風(fēng)衣大衣/風(fēng)衣旁邊之下201548201604連衣裙

大衣/風(fēng)衣美美的粉葉子靜靜頓河201603連衣裙201601魔法城堡蒲公英的201601連衣裙套頭約定

玻璃墻201553褲子201552風(fēng)起來的時(shí)光菠蘿的微201551套頭外套笑

時(shí)光201551襯衫海綿盒子201550201550套頭套頭清晨的芬芳左手右手201551大衣/風(fēng)衣如你一般201548201548大衣/風(fēng)衣褲子摩洛哥的眼反光鏡201546連衣裙201612褲子金色麥田就等故事都經(jīng)過201613行走的花201613大衣/風(fēng)衣半裙201613大衣/風(fēng)衣月泉三生煙火201609大衣/風(fēng)衣手心的仁慈201549修正波段上市周 下架周 峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量

SABC3002 3004

201528

201553

201539

2976

S3003 3004

201530

201539

3727

S3003 3004

201531

201540 948

A3003 3004

201530

201539 590

B3004 3004

201533

201539

1723

S3004 3004

201533

201540 510

B3004 3004

201533

201542

3083

S3004 3004

201534

201540 985

A3004 3004

201534

201542 584

B3004 3004

201533

201542

1177

A3004 3004

201533

201540

1114

A3004 3004

201533

201540 763

B3004 3004

201533

201540 867

B3004 3004

201533

201540 659

B3004 3004

201534

201542 688

B3004 3004

201533

201542 540

B3004 3004

201534

201540 537

B3004 3004

201533

201539

1359

A4001 3004

201534

201540

1172

A4001 3004

201535

201540

1675

S4001 3004

201535

201541

1182

A4001 3004

201535

201542

1728

S4001 3004

201535

201541 677

B4001 3004

201535

201540 537

B結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4001原4001,為過度波次,銷售趨勢(shì)較分散修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類連衣裙行金色麥田4001 3004

201534

201612

201540

1172

A褲子4001 3004

201535

201613

201540

1675

S就等故事都經(jīng)過行走的花4001 3004

201535

201613

201541

1182

A大衣/風(fēng)衣半裙4001 3004

201535

201613

201542

1728

S4001 3004

201535

201609

201541677

B月泉大衣/風(fēng)衣 三生煙火大衣/風(fēng)衣40013004201535201549

201540537

B手心的仁慈空氣之城4001 4001

201537

201613

201543562

B外套套頭4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1184

A小鋪

向西去大理4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1732

S連衣裙半裙4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1527

S一指流砂

兩個(gè)人的風(fēng)4001 4001

201537

201609

201546985

A大衣/風(fēng)衣大衣/風(fēng)衣

景浪漫回憶4001 4001

201544

201602

201547737

B連衣裙(ZG)晨曲中的少女4001 4001

201536

201612

201548

1495

S套頭旅行記(ZG)4001 4001

201545

201610

201548714

B4001 4001

201545

201612

201548

1052

A套頭

連衣裙相約冬季(ZG)陌上花開4001 4002

201536

201614

201606

1086

A4001 4005

201537

201612

201601

2014

S褲子 且聽風(fēng)吟大衣/風(fēng)衣 今夕何夕40014006201535201611201603

1405

A套頭4001 4007

201536

201612

201549

1278

A捧花的香氣可惜不是水40014007201537201614

201550885

B半裙

連衣裙瓶座最美遇見你4001 4007

201536

201612

201550

1069

A4001 4007

201537

201607

201551922

A連衣裙套頭初見海上的月亮4001 4007

201537

201610

201553

1420

A外套奇妙的朋友4001 4007

201536

201611

201553929

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4001新4001,以201545為基準(zhǔn)修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類外套行空氣之城4001 4001

201537

201613

201543562

B套頭4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1184

A小鋪向西去大4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1732

S連衣裙半裙理一指流砂4001 4001

201536

201612

201545

1527

S大衣/風(fēng)衣4001 4001

201537

201609

201546985

A大衣/風(fēng)衣兩個(gè)人的風(fēng)景浪漫回憶4001 4001

201544

201602

201547737

B連衣裙(ZG)晨曲中的少女4001 4001

201536

201612

201548

1495

S套頭旅行記(ZG)4001 4001

201545

201610

201548714

B套頭4001 4001

201545

201612

201548

1052

A相約冬季(ZG)棟到誰的夢(mèng)4002 4001

201536

201611

201543621

B大衣/風(fēng)衣外套墻外4002 4001

201537

201611

201543657

B4002 4001

201537

201618

201543734

B褲子褲子一個(gè)人的地老天荒風(fēng)中旅行4002 4001

201536

201611

201547

1280

A4002 4001

201541

201608

201547749

B大衣/風(fēng)衣連衣裙剪刀石頭布動(dòng)態(tài)的詩(shī)4002 4001

201538

201612

201548

1609

S套頭4003 4001

201540

201612

201544

2371

S青春四曲暖暖的五4003 4001

201540

201610

201546

1084

A半裙

連衣裙月定格青春4003 4001

201540

201611

201547

1466

A40044001201542201610

201545733

B褲子套頭堇色素年昨天的云40054001201544201606

201547525

B套頭安靜的寧4005 4001

201544

201607

201548507

B原4002,銷售趨勢(shì)分散結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合40小0類

2

行大衣/風(fēng)衣外套棟到誰的夢(mèng)墻外褲子褲子一個(gè)人的地老天荒風(fēng)中旅行大衣/風(fēng)衣連衣裙剪刀石頭布動(dòng)態(tài)的詩(shī)連衣裙愛跳舞的貓初雪的風(fēng)套頭外套景貓咪有約褲子大衣/風(fēng)衣敘說故事皎皎月色連衣裙半裙青春的裙角彼夏此冬套頭時(shí)間的漩渦書卷的靈羽絨服外套光畫里曾今羽絨服大衣/風(fēng)衣枯葉蝶在期待囈語風(fēng)信子褲子大衣/風(fēng)衣傷心的童話雪花飄飄卻是春褲子套頭黎明的遐思隨意森林大衣/風(fēng)衣天空畫的畫波段 修正波段上市周4002 4001

2015364002 4001

2015374002 4001

2015374002 4001

2015364002 4001

2015414002 4001

2015384002 4002

2015384002 4002

2015374002 4002

2015414002 4002

2015374002 4003

2015364002 4003

2015384002 4005

2015404002 4006

2015384002 4006

2015444002 4006

2015434002 4006

2015404002 4006

2015404002 4007

2015374002 4007

2015404002 4007

2015374002 4007

2015394002 4007

201539下架周 峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量

SABC201611

201543 621

B201611

201543 657

B201618

201543 734

B201611

201547

1280

A201608

201547 749

B201612

201548

1609

S201615

201605 542

B201613

201605

2709

S201612

201605 539

B201617

201609 608

B201612

201602

1072

A201611

201602

1980

S201608

201601 725

B201610

201603 576

B201609

201603

3540

S201611

201604 576

B201610

201604

1152

A201610

201604

2124

S201613

201549

1542

S201609

201551

1170

A201612

201553 503

B201613

201553 622

B201610

201553 599

B結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4002新4002修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周

下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類連衣裙行陌上花開4001 4002

201536

201614

201606

1086

A連衣裙4002 4002

201538

201615

201605542

B愛跳舞的貓初雪的風(fēng)4002 4002

201537

201613

201605

2709

S套頭外套景貓咪有約4002 4002

201541

201612

201605539

B4002 4002

201537

201617

201609608

B褲子 敘說故事大衣/風(fēng)衣

守護(hù)40034002201540201614201609

2569

S連衣裙風(fēng)吹麥浪4004 4002

201541

201614

201605

1402

A40044002201542201614

201606956

A大衣/風(fēng)衣套頭一千零一夜的飛鳥集40074002201552201612

201605952

A套頭北極雪4007 4002

201550

201613

201606

1002

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4003原4003小類套頭行青春四曲半裙

連衣裙暖暖的五月定格青春大衣/風(fēng)衣連衣裙守護(hù)大海的歌大衣/風(fēng)衣大衣/風(fēng)衣雕刻時(shí)光遛魚的貓羽絨服雨中的等待藍(lán)色港灣羽絨服套頭花園那片云大衣/風(fēng)衣箱子的蜜語雪落的季大衣/風(fēng)衣羽絨服節(jié)(ZG)歲月無痕褲子別樣年華褲子連衣裙一株紫丁香撐著油紙傘波段 修正波段上市周 下架周4003 4001

2015404003 4001

2015404003 4001

2015404003 4002

2015404003 4003

2015404003 4003

2015404003 4003

2015414003 4003

2015414003 4005

2015414003 4006

2015444003 4006

2015404003 4006

2015414003 4006

2015454003 4006

2015474003 4007

2015394003 4007

2015434003 4007

201540峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量

SABC201612

201544

2371

S201610

201546

1084

A201611

201547

1466

A201614

201609

2569

S201610

201602 876

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201602

5110

S201610

201602 501

B201607

201602 634

B201607

201601 687

B201608

201603

3086

S201612

201603

2401

S201609

201603

1817

S201605

201603

1425

A201607

201604

1459

A201610

201550 618

B201607

201552 707

B201611

201553

2285

S結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4003新4003修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類大衣/風(fēng)衣行皎皎月色4002 4003

201536

201612

201602

1072

A4002 4003

201538

201611

201602

1980

S連衣裙連衣裙青春的裙角大海的歌4003 4003

201540

201610

201602876

B4003 4003

201540

201609

201602

5110

S大衣/風(fēng)衣大衣/風(fēng)衣雕刻時(shí)光遛魚的貓4003 4003

201541

201610

201602501

B40034003201541201607

201602634

B羽絨服套頭雨中的等待開心麻花4004 4003

201544

201609

201602546

B4004 4003

201542

201610

201602763

B羽絨服青春不迷大衣/風(fēng)衣

茫掌心的溫4004 4003

201545

201610

201602

1990

S大衣/風(fēng)衣度遲來的優(yōu)雅4006 4003

201545

201609

201602532

B做不完的大衣/風(fēng)衣

夢(mèng)4007 4003

201551

201607

201602

1474

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4004原4004小類行波段修正波段上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC褲子堇色素年40044001201542201610201545733B連衣裙風(fēng)吹麥浪400440022015412016142016051402A大衣/風(fēng)衣一千零一夜的40044002201542201614201606956A套頭開心麻花40044003201544201609201602546B大衣/風(fēng)衣青春不迷茫40044003201542201610201602763B羽絨服掌心的溫度400440032015452016102016021990S連衣裙不一樣的童年400440052015432016112016011648S套頭都市沖浪400440052015422016092016011563S半裙都市的守候400440052015422016092016011428A連衣裙小羊咩咩400440052015432016092016011440A羽絨服冬日的慵懶40044006201544201608201603961A羽絨服所謂青春400440062015452016092016031202A套頭條紋的記憶40044006201542201614201603583B套頭童話森林400440062015422016132016042629S羽絨服雪人爽約400440062015442016092016041602S結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4005原4005修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類套頭行昨天的云4005 4001

201544

201606

201547525

B4005 4001

201544

201607

201548507

B套頭

連衣裙安靜的寧漫卷西風(fēng)4005 4005

201544

201609

201601

1790

S半裙4005 4005

201544

201613

201601587

B大衣/風(fēng)衣全世界迷路隨風(fēng)搖擺的衣4005 4005

201544

201608

201601666

B4005 4005

201544

201607

201601803

B憂郁大衣/風(fēng)衣

黎羽絨服 預(yù)謀邂逅4005 4006

201545

201607

201604

2610

S4005 4006

201546

201609

201604

2704

S羽絨服套頭在溫暖的地方等你那年匆匆4005 4007

201544

201609

201552

1458

A結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4005新4005,4004、4005合并為波次修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類褲子行且聽風(fēng)吟4001 4005

201537

201612

201601

2014

S4002 4005

201540

201608

201601725

B半裙大衣/風(fēng)衣彼夏此冬藍(lán)色港灣4003 4005

201541

201607

201601687

B4004 4005

201543

201611

201601

1648

S連衣裙套頭不一樣的童年都市沖浪4004 4005

201542

201609

201601

1563

S4004 4005

201542

201609

201601

1428

A半裙

連衣裙都市的守候小羊咩咩4004 4005

201543

201609

201601

1440

A連衣裙4005 4005

201544

201609

201601

1790

S半裙漫卷西風(fēng)全世界迷路4005 4005

201544

201613

201601587

B4005 4005

201544

201608

201601666

B隨風(fēng)搖擺大衣/風(fēng)衣 的衣憂郁大衣/風(fēng)衣

黎4005 4005

201544

201607

201601803

B結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4006、4007原4006、4007款式較少,合并為一個(gè)波段修正波波段

段峰值周 銷售數(shù)上市周 下架周

數(shù)

量SABC小類套頭行飛鳥集4007 4002

201552

201612

201605952

A套頭北極雪4007 4002

201550

201613

201606

1002

A4006 4003

201545

201609

201602532

B遲來的優(yōu)大衣/風(fēng)衣

雅做不完的40074003201551201607201602

1474

A大衣/風(fēng)衣

夢(mèng)羽絨服 瞌睡姑娘4006 4006

201546

201608

201603808

B40074006201551201606

201603

1183

A等待一個(gè)大衣/風(fēng)衣 約定套頭 獨(dú)處4007 4006

201552

201608

201603859

B連衣裙4007 4006

201550

201612

201604766

B套頭南山南的南站在兩個(gè)4006 4007

201546

201610

201552587

B大衣/風(fēng)衣世界邊緣行走在記憶里4007 4007

201550

201607

201553825

B4007 4007

201550

201610

201553825

B喝醉了她大衣/風(fēng)衣 的夢(mèng)大衣/風(fēng)衣 異想4007 4007

201551

201605

201553

1809

S結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4006新4007,為重組波段,

期集中在201553周小類行套頭半裙捧花的香氣可惜不是水瓶座最美遇見連衣裙連衣裙你

初見套頭外套海上的月亮奇妙的朋褲子友傷心的童大衣/風(fēng)衣話雪花飄飄卻是春褲子套頭黎明的遐思隨意森林大衣/風(fēng)衣褲子天空畫的畫別樣年華褲子一株紫丁香撐著油紙連衣裙套頭傘那年匆匆套頭大衣/風(fēng)衣站在兩個(gè)世界邊緣行走在記憶里大衣/風(fēng)衣大衣/風(fēng)衣喝醉了她的夢(mèng)異想波段 修正波段上市周 下架周4001 4007

2015364001 4007

2015374001 4007

2015364001 4007

2015374001 4007

2015374001 4007

2015364002 4007

2015374002 4007

2015404002 4007

2015374002 4007

2015394002 4007

2015394003 4007

2015394003 4007

2015434003 4007

2015404005 4007

2015444006 4007

2015464007 4007

2015504007 4007

2015504007 4007

201551峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC201612

201549

1278

A201614

201550

885

B201612

201550

1069

A201607

201551 922

A201610

201553

1420

A201611

201553 929

A201613

201549

1542

S201609

201551

1170

A201612

201553 503

B201613

201553 622

B201610

201553 599

B201610

201550 618

B201607

201552 707

B201611

201553

2285

S201609

201552

1458

A201610

201552 587

B201607

201553 825

B201610

201553 825

B201605

201553

1809

S結(jié)論一:波段重新聚合4006新4006,為重組波段,

期集中在201603周小類大衣/風(fēng)衣行今夕何夕套頭時(shí)間的漩渦書卷的靈羽絨服外套光畫里曾今羽絨服枯葉蝶在期待囈語風(fēng)信子大衣/風(fēng)衣羽絨服花園套頭那片云大衣/風(fēng)衣箱子的蜜語雪落的季大衣/風(fēng)衣羽絨服節(jié)(ZG)歲月無痕羽絨服羽絨服冬日的慵懶所謂青春套頭套頭條紋的記憶童話森林羽絨服羽絨服雪人爽約預(yù)謀邂逅羽絨服羽絨服在溫暖的地方等你瞌睡姑娘大衣/風(fēng)衣套頭等待一個(gè)約定獨(dú)處連衣裙南山南的南波段 修正波段上市周4001 4006

2015354002 4006

2015384002 4006

2015444002 4006

2015434002 4006

2015404002 4006

2015404003 4006

2015444003 4006

2015404003 4006

2015414003 4006

2015454003 4006

2015474004 4006

2015444004 4006

2015454004 4006

2015424004 4006

2015424004 4006

2015444005 4006

2015454005 4006

2015464006 4006

2015464007 4006

2015514007 4006

2015524007 4006

201550下架周 峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量

SABC201611

201603

1405

A201610

201603 576

B201609

201603

3540

S201611

201604 576

B201610

201604

1152

A201610

201604

2124

S201608

201603

3086

S201612

201603

2401

S201609

201603

1817

S201605

201603

1425

A201607

201604

1459

A201608

201603 961

A201609

201603

1202

A201614

201603 583

B201613

201604

2629

S201609

201604

1602

S201607

201604

2610

S201609

201604

2704

S201608

201603 808

B201606

201603

1183

A201608

201603 859

B201612

201604 766

B結(jié)論二:峰值偏差為負(fù)值較大產(chǎn)品,銷售曲線大部分為雙波峰結(jié)構(gòu)小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量行褲子40024001-2234201537201618201543734B一個(gè)人的地老天荒連衣裙40013004-19312015342016122015401172A金色麥田褲子40013004-21312015352016132015401675S就等故事都經(jīng)過大衣/風(fēng)衣40013004-19312015352016132015411182A月泉行走的花半裙40013004-17312015352016132015421728S半裙30033003-1729201530201606201536780B一首歌的心情外套40014001-1729201537201613201543562B空氣之城套頭40014001-11292015362016122015451184A小鋪連衣裙40014001-11292015362016122015451732S向西去大理半裙40014001-11292015362016122015451527S一指流砂大衣/風(fēng)衣40024001-1428201536201611201543621B棟到誰的夢(mèng)大衣/風(fēng)衣40013004-1527201535201609201541677B三生煙火外套40024001-1527201537201611201543657B墻外套頭40034001-17252015402016122015442371S青春四曲大衣/風(fēng)衣30033003-10242015302016012015371054A等杯茶連衣裙30043004-12242015332016042015391723S美美的粉葉子連衣裙40034001-10242015402016112015471466A定格青春半裙40034001-11232015402016102015461084A暖暖的五月連衣裙30043003-11212015332016012015382416S時(shí)間煮雨褲子40044001-1521201542201610201545733B堇色素年套頭40014001-14202015452016122015481052A相約冬季(ZG)套頭40014001-1218201545201610201548714B旅行記(ZG)結(jié)論二:峰值偏差為正值較大產(chǎn)品,銷售曲線大部分平緩,只有一款“守護(hù)”為雙波峰結(jié)構(gòu)小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量行大衣/風(fēng)衣4001400613292015352016112016031405A今夕何夕套頭400240061125201538201610201603576B時(shí)間的漩渦羽絨服4002400611232015402016102016041152A枯葉蝶在期待大衣/風(fēng)衣4002400611232015402016102016042124S囈語風(fēng)信子連衣裙400240021030201538201615201605542B愛跳舞的貓?zhí)最^4002400213292015372016132016052709S初雪的風(fēng)景外套400240021024201541201612201605539B貓咪有約連衣裙4001400215312015362016142016061086A陌上花開褲子400240021733201537201617201609608B敘說故事大衣/風(fēng)衣4003400217272015402016142016092569S守護(hù)結(jié)論三:SA產(chǎn)品大部分生命周期在20周以上,不過有幾款在15周以內(nèi)小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量行大衣/風(fēng)衣40074007-372015512016052015531809S異想大衣/風(fēng)衣40074006282015512016062016031183A等待一個(gè)約定大衣/風(fēng)衣40074003-192015512016072016021474A做不完的夢(mèng)半裙30043003-3132015332015462015381078A溫婉的云褲子30043004-1132015332015462015391359A反光鏡大衣/風(fēng)衣400340069132015452016052016031425A雪落的季節(jié)(ZG)羽絨服400340067132015472016072016041459A歲月無痕套頭40074002-113201552201612201605952A飛鳥集套頭30033002-2142015292015432015351494S思念公式半裙30023003-115201530201545201537890A仙女傘褲子30033002-5152015292015442015341132A變成淡藍(lán)色套頭30043003-7152015332015482015372081S幸運(yùn)符號(hào)羽絨服400540069152015452016072016042610S預(yù)謀邂逅結(jié)論四:節(jié)假日對(duì)于曲線的影響峰值落在節(jié)的產(chǎn)品:小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC行褲子30043004-1132015332015462015391359A反光鏡大衣/風(fēng)衣30043004-214201534201548201540537B摩洛哥的眼大衣/風(fēng)衣40013004-414201535201549201540537B手心的仁慈套頭30043004-4182015332015512015401114A菠蘿的微笑襯衫30043004-317201533201550201540867B海綿盒子套頭30043004-317201533201550201540659B清晨的芬芳大衣/風(fēng)衣30033004-119201531201550201540948A站在

旁邊大衣/風(fēng)衣30033004018201530201548201539590B時(shí)光之下外套30043004-418201533201551201540763B連衣裙30043004-820201534201601201540985A蒲公英的約定連衣裙30043004-12242015332016042015391723S美美的粉葉子套頭30023004-3252015282015532015392976S西洋果子大衣/風(fēng)衣30043004-923201533201603201540510B靜靜頓河20153結(jié)論四:節(jié)假日對(duì)于曲線的影響峰值落在圣誕節(jié):小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC行套頭40054007-2182015442016092015521458A那年匆匆褲子40034007117201543201607201552707B一株紫丁香套頭40064007-517201546201610201552587B站在兩個(gè)世界邊緣結(jié)論四:節(jié)假日對(duì)于曲線的影響峰值落在春節(jié)期間:小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC行套頭40074002-113201552201612201605952A飛鳥集套頭400740022162015502016132016061002A北極雪外套400240021024201541201612201605539B貓咪有約大衣/風(fēng)衣40044002925201542201614201606956A一千零的連衣裙400440028262015412016142016051402A風(fēng)吹麥浪套頭4002400213292015372016132016052709S初雪的風(fēng)景連衣裙400240021030201538201615201605542B愛跳舞的貓連衣裙4001400215312015362016142016061086A陌上花開結(jié)論五:峰值最集中的周201603(2016-01-18)周有13款產(chǎn)品小類波段修正波段峰值偏差生命周期上市周下架周峰值周數(shù)銷售數(shù)量SABC行大衣/風(fēng)衣40074006282015512016062016031183A等待一個(gè)約定套頭40074006-19201552201608201603859B獨(dú)處大衣/風(fēng)衣400340069132015452016052016031425A雪落的季節(jié)(ZG)羽絨服400340067172015442016082016033086S花園羽絨服400240066182015442016092016033540S書卷的靈光羽絨服40044006717201544201608201603961A冬日的慵懶羽絨服400440065172015452016092016031202A所謂青春羽絨服40064006515201546201608201603808B瞌睡姑娘大衣/風(fēng)衣400340069212015412016092016031817S箱子的蜜語套頭400240061125201538201610201603576B時(shí)

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